Alert archive / New York / Coastal Flood Statements in 2011

Coastal Flood Statement 27, NWS New York, NY

October 27, 20118 counties in New York; Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut; Essex County, Hudson County, Union County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this coastal flood statement at Oct 27, 2011, 4:41 PM EDT for 8 counties in New York; Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut; Essex County, Hudson County, Union County, New Jersey. It took effect at Oct 28, 2011, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 27, 2011, 4:41 PM EDT (20:41 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 28, 2011, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 28, 2011, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
460 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

215 
WHUS41 KOKX 272041
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
441 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NYZ179-280445-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.111028T1200Z-111028T1600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
441 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO NOON EDT FRIDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS OF
  NASSAU COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/4 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...TIDE LEVELS MAY APPROACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
  THRESHOLDS THIS EVENING...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED THESE
  THRESHOLDS WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR COASTAL
  FLOODING BENCHMARKS BY 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF A FOOT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&


...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY...214 AM.........5.4/4.6.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....858 AM.........5.7/............MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>075-078-079-176>178-280445-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0027.111028T1200Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
441 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL
  TIDES.

* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE
  CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS.

$$
6 follow-up statements
553 
WHUS41 KOKX 272341
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
741 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NYZ179-281000-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.111028T1200Z-111028T1600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
741 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS 
  OF NASSAU COUNTY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/4 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...TIDE LEVELS MAY APPROACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING 
  THRESHOLDS THIS EVENING...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED THESE 
  THRESHOLDS WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE FRIDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR COASTAL 
  FLOODING BENCHMARKS BY 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF A FOOT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY..
.................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY...214 AM.........5.4/4.6.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....858 AM.........5.7/............MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>075-078-079-176>178-281000-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0027.111028T1200Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
741 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH 
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE 
  CYCLE. 

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS. THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND
  WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE DUE TO THE ADDITIVE AFFECTS OF WAVE
  ACTION.


$$
412 
WHUS41 KOKX 280238
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1038 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NYZ179-281100-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.111028T1200Z-111028T1600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1038 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS 
  OF NASSAU COUNTY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/4 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE CYCLE FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR COASTAL 
  FLOODING BENCHMARKS BY 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF A FOOT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. 
.................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY...917 AM.........5.4/4.6.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....858 AM.........5.7/............MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>075-078-079-176>178-281100-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0027.111028T1200Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
1038 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH 
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE 
  CYCLE. 

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS. THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND 
  WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE DUE TO THE ADDITIVE AFFECTS OF WAVE 
  ACTION. 

$$
873 
WHUS41 KOKX 280830
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
430 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NYZ179-281600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.111028T1200Z-111028T1600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
430 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS
MORNING TO NOON EDT TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS 
  OF NASSAU COUNTY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/4 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR COASTAL 
  FLOODING BENCHMARKS BY 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF A FOOT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. ....
.............................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY...917 AM.........5.4/4.6.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....858 AM.........5.7/............MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>075-078-079-176>178-281630-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0027.111028T1200Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
430 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH 
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES. 

* TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS. THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND 
  WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE DUE TO THE ADDITIVE AFFECTS OF WAVE 
  ACTION. 

$$
474 
WHUS41 KOKX 281357
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072-074-075-178-281600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0027.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-111028T1600Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 3/4 TO 1 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING/S HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL EXCEED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
  BENCHMARKS BY A FEW TENTHS OF A FOOT AROUND HIGH TIDE THIS
  MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...NEW YORK HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. 
.................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

THE BATTERY NY.....841 AM............7.1...........MINOR.....
BERGEN POINT NY....858 AM............7.4...........MINOR.....

$$

NYZ179-281600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-111028T1600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS 
  OF NASSAU COUNTY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/4 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR COASTAL 
  FLOODING BENCHMARKS BY 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF A FOOT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. ....
.............................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY...917 AM.........5.4/4.6.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....858 AM.........5.7/............MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-079-176-177-281900-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0027.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH 
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES. 

* TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS. THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND 
  WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE DUE TO THE ADDITIVE AFFECTS OF WAVE 
  ACTION. 

$$

MALOIT
414 
WHUS41 KOKX 281359 CCA
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
958 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072-074-075-178-281600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0027.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/
/O.COR.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-111028T1600Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
958 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 3/4 TO 1 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING/S HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL EXCEED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
  BENCHMARKS BY A FEW TENTHS OF A FOOT AROUND HIGH TIDE THIS
  MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...NEW YORK HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. 
.................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

THE BATTERY NY.....941 AM............7.1...........MINOR.....
BERGEN POINT NY....945 AM............7.4...........MINOR.....

$$

NYZ179-281600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-111028T1600Z/
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
958 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TODAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THE SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS 
  OF NASSAU COUNTY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/4 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR COASTAL 
  FLOODING BENCHMARKS BY 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF A FOOT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR EARLY MON MORNING...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. ....
.............................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY...917 AM.........5.4/4.6.........MINOR.....
POINT LOOKOUT NY....858 AM.........5.7/............MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-079-176-177-281900-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0027.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
958 AM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH 
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES. 

* TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS. THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND 
  WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE DUE TO THE ADDITIVE AFFECTS OF WAVE 
  ACTION. 

$$

MALOIT
879 
WHUS41 KOKX 281604
CFWOKX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1204 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072-074-075-178-179-281715-
/O.EXP.KOKX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-111028T1600Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1204 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

TIDES HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...THEREFORE THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-073-078-079-176-177-281900-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0027.000000T0000Z-111028T1900Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-
1204 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NEW YORK HARBOR...THE SOUTH 
  SHORE BACK BAYS OF QUEENS AND BROOKLYN...WESTERN LONG ISLAND 
  SOUND...AND THE ENTIRE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...ABOUT 1/4 TO 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES. 

* TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* IMPACTS...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH AND LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING BENCHMARKS. THE NORTH SHORE OF LONG ISLAND 
  WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE DUE TO THE ADDITIVE AFFECTS OF WAVE 
  ACTION. 

$$

MALOIT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Oct 27, 1:32 PM EDT, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 1:32 PM EDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
132 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA
TODAY...WITH WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ALONG IT THROUGH THIS
EVENING. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW ON FRIDAY. A
DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST SATURDAY
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER HIGH WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM
FROM SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MAY IMPACT
THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1400Z UPDATE...ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWNWARD A LITTLE FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS AS COLD FRONT HAS MADE IT THROUGH AT LEAST THE LAND AREAS OF
THE CWA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL JUST TO OUR SOUTH FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY. PERIOD OF RAIN CONTINUE WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE RIDING ALONG THE FRONT. SOME ENHANCEMENT OF PRECIP
COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. THE RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW ACROSS NW
HILLS...WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST-EAST THIS EVENING.

TEMPS TODAY WILL NOT RISE MUCH MORE IF AT ALL...GENERALLY TOPPING
OFF IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LOWS TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE
MID AND UPPER 30S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA...AND
INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S ACROSS THE INTERIOR. FREEZING OF
RESIDUAL WATER ON ROADWAYS IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. EXISTING
FREEZE WATCH HAS BEEN CONVERTED TO A WARNING...AND A FREEZE WATCH
AS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL SE CT WHERE TEMPS MAY DROP CLOSE TO
FREEZING...BUT WHERE FCST CONFIDENCE IN TEMPS IS NOT QUITE AS
HIGH. FROST ADVYS HAVE ALSO BEEN ISSUED S OF THE FREEZE WARNING
AREA FOR COASTAL SW CT...CENTRAL/EASTERN LONG ISLAND...AND FOR THE
OUTLYING SUBURBS NORTH/WEST OF NYC METRO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE AREA OF FRI WILL PROVIDE DRIER
CONDS. A COOL NW FLOW WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN SITUATED OVER THE NE EARLY FRI NIGHT
BEFORE MOVING OFF TO THE NORTH AS A COASTAL LOW MOVES IN. A
RELATIVELY QUIET NIGHT IS EXPECTED UNTIL 10Z AS THE ACTIVITY BEGINS
MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH. WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD...LIGHT WINDS WILL
PREVAIL...GRADUALLY SHIFTING FROM A NLY FLOW TO A NELY BY EARLY
MORNING. COOLER...DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED IN FOR MOST OF FRI INTO
FRI NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR SKIES TO BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR. CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL BEGIN SEEPING INTO THE FAR SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA BY MORNING. HOWEVER...THIS SHOULD OCCUR AFTER
THE LOWS HAVE HIT FOR THE NIGHT. GUIDANCE SUGGESTED LOWER 30S FAR
INLAND...WITH ISOLATED SPOTS IN THE UPPER 20S....AND COASTAL AREAS I
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. AREAS NEAR NYC SHOULD HOVER AROUND 40.

NOW...THE MAIN STORY FOR THE TIME PERIOD IS A DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
THAT WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH...IMPACTING THE AREA...HOWEVER STAYING
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. THE 27/00Z GFS AND NAM MODELS ARE VERY CLOSE
IN TIMING AND LOCATION...KEEPING THE LOW SLIGHTLY FARTHER TO THE
EAST THAN THE ECMWF. THE 27/00Z ECMWF ALSO WANTS A STRONGER
LOW...WHICH WILL IMPACT AREAS FARTHER INLAND. HAVE CONTINUED THE
TREND AND WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE NAM AND ECMWF...AS THE GFS WAS
UNAVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF GRID CREATION. THIS KEEPS THE HEAVIEST
PRECIP TO THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA...MAINLY SOUTH OF A NEW
LONDON...TO ISLIP...TO SANDY HOOK LINE. AS FOR THE TYPE OF
PRECIP...THE TIMING OF THE PRECIP CURRENTLY BRINGS IN THE MAIN
ACTIVITY AFTER TEMPS HAVE BEGUN WARMING FOR THE DAY. DID INCLUDED
SLIGHT CHC OF -R AND -S MIX IN AREAS THAT WERE HOVERING AROUND
FREEZING AS THE PRECIP MOVES IN...BUT QUICKLY TRANSITIONED
EVERYTHING TO RAIN. 500MB THICKNESS AREN/T TOO IMPRESSIVE AT THAT
TIME...WITH ALL MODELS KEEPING THE THICKNESS ABOVE 546. SOUNDINGS DO
INDICATE DO INDICATE PROFILES REMAINING BELOW FREEZING.
HOWEVER...THE TIMING OF THIS IS AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL PRECIP AND BY
THE TIME THE PRECIP BEGINS ROLLING IN...THE PROFILES HAVE WARMED. SO
AREAS FAR INLAND MAY SEE A FLAKE OR TWO EARLY SAT
MORNING...OTHERWISE...EXPECT LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAIN
FOR THE DURATION OF PRECIP ON SAT. THE PRECIP SHOULD END BEFORE
TEMPS DROP AGAIN SAT NIGHT. THE OTHER STORY WILL BE WINDS...WHICH
SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE DAY SAT AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE
CWA. SUSTAINED BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 20 KT.

THE LOW WILL TRACK TO THE EAST OF THE AREA BY SAT NIGHT...ALLOWING
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN OVER THE NE ON SUN INTO MON. WITH THE
RETURN OF THE HIGH...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BECOME QUIET ONCE AGAIN.
WINDS WILL LIGHTEN AND SHIFT TO A NWLY AND EVENTUALLY WLY FLOW. THE
HIGH WILL MOVE THROUGH QUICKLY...EXITING THE REGION BY LATE MON.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO APPROACH THE AREA AGAIN TUES
INTO WED. FORTUNATELY...THE 00Z ECMWF CAME IN WITH BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH THE 00Z GFS...WITH BOTH KEEPING THE LOW WELL TO THE SOUTH
BEFORE IT TURNS EAST. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAD BROUGHT THE LOW UP TO
OUR AREA ONCE AGAIN...THOUGH AT DIFFERENT TIMING...SO WILL HAVE TO
BE WATCHFUL FOR ANY CHANGE IN COURSE AND TIMING IN FUTURE MODEL
RUNS. FOR NOW THOUGH...KEPT SLIGHT CHC OF POPS IN FOR MID
WEEK...KEEPING RAIN AS THE PRECIP. DID INCREASE THE WINDS AHEAD OF
THE LOW AS THE LOW INTERACTS WITH THE HIGH...TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. BASICALLY WENT WITH A GFS AND ECMWF BLEND FOR THE LATER
PERIODS TO ACCOUNT FOR AN AVERAGE BETWEEN THE TWO. TEMPS WILL BEGIN
WARMING THIS WEEK AS WITH THE RETURN OF AN ELY TO SELY FLOW. HIGHS
WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S...WHILE LOWS WILL RANGE
BETWEEN THE MID TO UPPER 30S FAR INLAND...AND THE LOWER TO MID 40S
ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOW PRES WILL PASS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND THIS EVENING. IN ITS
WAKE...A BRISK NW FLOW WILL DEVELOP FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BACK TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO
12-17KT WITH 18-25KT GUSTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE AT
TERMINALS ON THE COAST.

GENERALLY IFR CONDITIONS...BECOMING VFR LATE THIS EVENING AFTER
THE LOW DEPARTS...THEN SKC CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF -RASN IS POSSIBLE AT KSWF THIS EVENING.

NW WINDS AT 8-12 KT THEN EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

 ...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS
CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION/SPEED AND FOR CIGS/VSBYS.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION/SPEED AND FOR CIGS/VSBYS.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION/SPEED AND FOR CIGS/VSBYS.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION/SPEED AND FOR CIGS/VSBYS.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION/SPEED AND FOR CIGS/VSBYS.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR CHANGES IN WIND
DIRECTION/SPEED AND FOR CIGS/VSBYS.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

FRI...VFR WITH DIMINISHING NW FLOW.

SAT-SAT NIGHT...POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL LOW TO IMPACT THE REGION
WITH RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO SNOW.
ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE WELL NORTH AND WEST OF THE KNYC
TERMINALS. GUSTY NE WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE. TRACK AND TIMING
UNCERTAIN.

SUN-MON...VFR.

TUE...SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN -RA.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THU AFTERNOON OVER THE ERN
OCEAN WATERS...AS NE FLOW STRENGTHENS N OF A STATIONARY FRONT.
THEN AS A WAVE OF LOW PRES PASSES TO THE EAST THU EVENING...N
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN...AND WILL CONVERT EXISTING GALE WATCH TO
WARNING E OF FIRE ISLAND INLET FOR GUSTS 35-40 KT MAINLY BETWEEN
8 PM FRI-2 AM SAT. OCEAN WATERS FARTHER WEST SHOULD SEE ONLY A
BRIEF DURATION OF 35-KT GUSTS...SO WILL CONVERT TO SCA THERE. SCA
FOR ALL OTHER WATERS TONIGHT.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL BRIEFLY SUBSIDE BELOW SCA LEVELS ON FRI...AS
HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS OVER THE AREA WATERS.

WITH ANOTHER LOW MOVING SOUTH OF THE WATERS SAT...EXPECT SCA
CONDITIONS OVER THE CWA WATERS. WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NE AS
THE LOW APPROACHES LATER SAT...WITH SUSTAINED BETWEEN 20 AND 25
KT...AND GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...MAINLY BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND 12Z SUN.
AS THE LOW EXITS THE AREA LATE SAT NIGHT...THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BEGIN DIMINISHING...THOUGH SOME LINGERING GUSTS COULD KEEP SCA
CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY. WAVES WILL ALSO BUILD WITH THESE
WINDS...WITH BETWEEN 5 AND 8 FT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS...AND 2 TO
3 FT CLOSER TO SHORE. CONDITIONS SHOULD DROP TO BELOW SCA LATER
SUN AS THE HIGH SETTLES IN AND PERSIST INTO MON. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR SCA CONDITIONS WILL BE WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM...SOME TIME MID
WEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD RANGE FROM 1/2 TO 3/4
INCH...HIGHEST ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR SRN CT.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH ON SAT WILL BRING MORE PRECIP TO THE
AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMTS EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH/EAST CORNER OF
THE CWA. AREAS OVER SE CT AND OVER EASTERN LI MAY SEE BETWEEN 1/2
TO 3/4 INCH DURING THE DAY...WHILE AREAS TO THE NORTH AND WEST
WILL SEE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WITH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES UNUSUALLY HIGH AND POSITIVE TIDAL
DEPARTURES OF 1 TO 1 1/2 FT...WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDES ACROSS THE SOUND THIS MORNING.
BASED ON LATEST TRENDS...THERE MAY BE A SPOT OR TWO THAT REACHES
MODERATED COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUND...BUT THINKING
IS THAT THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SURGE WILL DIMINISH RIGHT AS WE REACH
THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE AS COMMONLY THE CASE WHERE THERE IS NOT
MUCH MOMENTUM.

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL FALL ONLY SLIGHTLY FRIDAY MORNING.
ALTHOUGH FLOW WILL BE FROM THE NW...WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH
AND COULD LOCALLY TOUCH MINOR FLOOD BENCHMARKS IN A FEW
SPOTS...PARTICULARLY THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS OF NASSAU COUNTY.

SOME LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
HIGH TIDE SAT MORNING AND AFTN. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE PLACES
MOST AREAS CLOSE TO THE MINOR FLOOD BENCHMARK. WITH A STRONG NLY
WIND...AREAS ALONG THE NORTHERN PART OF LI MAY SEE SOME MINOR
FLOODING OCCUR.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR CTZ009.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR CTZ005>008.
     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     CTZ010>012.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NYZ071-
     078>081.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NYZ067>070.
NJ...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NJZ004-
     103>105-107.
     FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NJZ002.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ350.
     GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     ANZ350-353.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GOODMAN/SEARS
NEAR TERM...JC/GOODMAN/SEARS
SHORT TERM...GOODMAN
LONG TERM...SEARS
AVIATION...MPS
MARINE...GOODMAN/SEARS
HYDROLOGY...JC/GOODMAN/SEARS
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 27, 1:14 PM EDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

NJZ006-NYZ072>075-176>179-281000-
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009-NYZ071-078-080-281000-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ004-103>105-107-NYZ079-081-281000-
EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-281000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ010>012-281000-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ106-108-281000-
EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-281000-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-355-281000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
114 PM EDT THU OCT 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 4:06 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryOKXSuffolk, Westchester30 hr
Oct 27, 4:06 AM EDTFreeze WarningOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester30 hr
Oct 27, 4:13 AM EDTGale WarningOKX12 hr
Oct 27, 7:54 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryOKX28 hr
Oct 27, 4:41 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXKings, Nassau, New York, Queens, Richmond19 hr
Oct 27, 4:06 AM EDTFreeze WatchOKXLower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region13 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in New York, 2011Coastal Flood Statements in New Jersey, 2011Coastal Flood Statements in Connecticut, 2011Every coastal flood statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.