Alert archive / Alabama / Fire Weather Watches in 2011
Fire Weather Watch 49, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this fire weather watch at Nov 8, 2011, 2:33 PM CST for 10 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Nov 11, 2011, 9:00 AM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 8, 2011, 2:33 PM CST (20:33 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 11, 2011, 9:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Nov 10, 2011, 2:18 PM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
Counties Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Eglin AFB/Valpar, FL (KVPS), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 17 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 950 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 38 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 81 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
413 WWUS84 KMOB 082033 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 233 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 25 PERCENT AND NORTHWESTERLY WINDS UP TO 20 MPH...AND FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO SAME WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES ABOVE 35... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA DUE TO MARGINALLY LONG DURATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT AND FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT AND ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT VALUES WELL ABOVE 35... .A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOVES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS USHERING MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND DROP TO AROUND 20 PERCENT ON FRIDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY TO ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. FLZ001>006-091245- /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1700Z-111111T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1500Z-111112T0000Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 233 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH AND ERC VALUES ABOVE 35... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS AND ERC VALUES WELL ABOVE 35... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004... 005 AND 006. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NEAR 20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ALZ051>064-091245- /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1700Z-111112T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 233 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 25 PERCENT WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS UP TO 20 MPH... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA FOR A MARGINALLY LONG DURATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 25 PERCENT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 051...052...053...054... 055...056...057...058...059...060...061...062...063 AND 064. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NEAR 20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091245- /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 233 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 25 PERCENT AND BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 067...075...076...078 AND 079. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
4 follow-up statements
339 WWUS84 KMOB 091151 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 551 AM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY OVER BOTH AREAS AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35 ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH... .A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA TODAY...FOLLOWED BY MUCH DRIER AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY. LOW HUMIDITY THURSDAY 22 TO 28 PERCENT WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS. DRIER ON FRIDAY BUT WITH LESS WIND. FLZ001>006-092030- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1700Z-111111T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0050.111110T1700Z-111110T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1500Z-111112T0000Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 551 AM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35E FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHICH WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SAME AREA. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004... 005 AND 006. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NEAR20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ALZ051>064-092030- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1700Z-111112T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 551 AM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 051...052...053...054... 055...056...057...058...059...060...061...062...063 AND 064. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NEAR20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-078-079-092030- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 551 AM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WIND FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 067...075...076...078 AND 079. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
044 WWUS84 KMOB 091925 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 125 PM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH... .BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT USHER MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY THEN MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE ON SATURDAY. FLZ001>006-101130- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0050.111110T1700Z-111110T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1500Z-111112T0000Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 125 PM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35 FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHICH WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SAME AREA. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004... 005 AND 006. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WESTERLY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NEAR 20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ALZ051>064-101130- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1700Z-111112T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 125 PM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 051...052...053...054... 055...056...057...058...059...060...061...062...063 AND 064. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY THEN WESTERLY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH FRIDAY. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101130- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 125 PM CST WED NOV 9 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WIND FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 067...075...076...078 AND 079. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
223 WWUS84 KMOB 101148 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 548 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OVER THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL USHER IN MUCH DRIER AIR TODAY. LOWEST HUMIDITY 20 TO 25 PERCENT WITH 15 TO 20 MPH WINDS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. A BIT DRIER ON FRIDAY BUT WITH LIGHTER WINDS. ALZ051>064-102030- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KMOB.FW.W.0050.111110T1900Z-111110T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1700Z-111112T0000Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 548 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY... * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 051...052...053...054... 055...056...057...058...059...060...061...062...063 AND 064. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH TODAY. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102030- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0048.111110T1900Z-111110T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KMOB.FW.W.0050.111110T1900Z-111110T2300Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 548 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ FLZ001>006-102030- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0050.111110T1700Z-111110T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1500Z-111112T0000Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 548 AM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH FOR THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM CST THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE SAME AREA. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004... 005 AND 006. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THURSDAY. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NEAR20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
556 WWUS84 KMOB 102018 RFWMOB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 218 PM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR A MARGINALLY LONG PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR A LONG PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35 OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR A MARGINALLY LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35 FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO USHER MUCH DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THE WINDS SUBSIDE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY BUT DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 20 PERCENT. ERC VALUES REMAIN ABOVE 35 OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SATURDAY. RED FLAG WARNINGS REMAIN UP FOR THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON FRIDAY. MOISTURE BEGINS TO RETURN TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY BUT AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR A MARGINALLY LONG DURATION WITH ERC VALUES ABOVE 35. FLZ001>006-111230- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1500Z-111112T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0051.111111T1500Z-111112T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.A.0050.111112T1700Z-111112T2300Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111110T2300Z/ INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- 218 PM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35 FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND ERC VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35 FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004... 005 AND 006. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. * HUMIDITY...NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR 20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ALZ051>064-111230- /O.UPG.KMOB.FW.A.0049.111111T1700Z-111112T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMOB.FW.W.0051.111111T1700Z-111112T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111110T2300Z/ CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN- 218 PM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR A MARGINALLY LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY. * AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 051...052...053...054... 055...056...057...058...059...060...061...062...063 AND 064. * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND NEAR 20 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ MSZ067-075-076-078-079-102300- /O.CON.KMOB.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-111110T2300Z/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 218 PM CST THU NOV 10 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITY AND 20 FOOT WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH... * WIND...NORTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT. * IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this fire weather watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this fire weather watch went out at Nov 8, 2:04 PM CST, 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 2:04 PM CST, 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
204 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...THE WEAKENING NARROW
DEEP LAYER RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AS SEAN MOVES LITTLE AND THE SURFACE
LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EJECTS OFF TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES.
THE RIDGE FINALLY BREAKS DOWN EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW
CONTINUES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND BRINGS A TRAILING COLD FRONT
INTO THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY EVENING. INSTABILITY
CONTINUES TO BE LIMITED...AS SEAN HAS KEPT THE NARROW RIDGE IN
EXISTENCE AS LONG AS POSSIBLE WHICH HAS IN TURN ACTED TO SEVERELY
DELAY THE RETURN OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE TO THE FORECAST AREA. THE
EFFECTS OF THE RIDGE DECREASE FURTHER WEST WHICH HAS ALLOWED FOR
SOMEWHAT BETTER AND EARLIER MOISTURE RETURN OVER THE WESTERN PORTION
OF THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT. 0-1 KM MLCAPES ARE THUS
THE BEST OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA...IN THE 200-400 J/KG
RANGE AND SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN INDICATED YESTERDAY. 09Z SREF SHOWS
A 20-40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SBCAPES EXCEEDING 500 J/KG IN THIS
AREA...BUT ALL CAPE VALUES DECREASE EASTWARD AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH AS BOTH THE LINGERING EFFECTS OF THE RIDGE AND THE TIME OF
DAY TAKE THEIR TOLL. SO EXPECT THE BEST EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN PORTION WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
DECREASING EASTWARD WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. EVEN IF THE CAPE DOES
MANAGE TO ATTAIN 500 J/KG...0-1 KM HELICITIES ARE LESS THAN 90 M2/S2
SO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. MILD
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN DROP TO WELL BELOW
SEASONABLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS COOLER AND DRIER FLOWS
INTO THE REGION. MAY SEE A LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS THE INTERIOR PORTION
OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AND ALSO FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS HAS
ALREADY RECEIVED A FREEZE WARNING AND ANOTHER SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED.
FRIDAY WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COOL WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE MID
SIXTIES. /29
.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...A BROAD GENERALLY ZONAL
PATTERN PREVAILS OVER THE AREA SATURDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE LONGWAVE
TROF PASSAGE WHILE ANOTHER LONGWAVE TROF ADVANCES INTO THE WESTERN
STATES. THIS NEXT TROF ADVANCES SLOWLY INTO THE PLAINS STATES
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH MODEL IN AGREEMENT TO SOME DEGREE ON A SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND TRACKING TO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION THROUGH MONDAY. A LARGE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE REGION
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...LEAVING THE FORECAST AREA IN A RETURN FLOW PATTERN.
WITHOUT ANY REAL FORCING MECHANISMS AND MOISTURE GRADUALLY
RECOVERING...A DRY FORECAST CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY THEN SMALL POPS
RETURN TO THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW BRINGS A
COLD FRONT TO NEAR THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BEFORE
STALLING. TEMPERATURES RECOVER TO NEAR SEASONABLE VALUES BY
SATURDAY THEN WARM TO SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE PERIOD. /29
&&
.MARINE...LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRECEDE A STRONG
FRONTAL PASSAGE BEGINNING AROUND SUNSET WEDNESDAY. STRONG OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL FOLLOW...WITH GUIDANCE ADVERTISING WINDS BUMPING GALES IN
MAGNITUDE DURING THE INITIAL 6-12 HRS AFTER FROPA. THIS IS A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE FROM THE 00Z RUNS. HAVE CUT BACK ON THE
MAGNITUDES A BIT AS FEEL THE GUIDANCE IS A BIT OVERDONE...ESPECIALLY
WITH A NORTHEASTWARD SHUNT FROM THE RIDGE BEING SQUASHED BETWEEN THE
SYSTEM DRIVING THE FRONT OVER THE FA AND TS SEAN. AFTER
FROPA...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST...TO OVER THE FA
BY FRIDAY EVENING...THEN EAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW
ONSHORE FLOW TO RETURN TO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.
/16
&&
.AVIATION (18Z ISSUANCE)...PRETTY MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY...WITH
THE BEST LOW LEVEL INFLUX OF MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN-MOST
SECTION OF THE FA WEST OVER THE LOWER MISS RIVER VALLEY...WITH THE
LOWEST CIGS THESE AREAS(MVFR AT THE LOWEST TODAY). AS A FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL BECOME
MORE SOUTHERLY...WITH THE MOISTURE INFLUX ENCOMPASSING THE ENTIRE
FA...AND MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. COULD SEE SOME
LIGHT SHOWERS WORKING THEIR WAY OVER WESTERN-MOST SECTIONS OF THE FA
BY LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT AM EXPECTING ANY TSRA WHICH
COULD WORK IN TO BE MAINLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AFTER
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
/16
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...ERC VALUES WILL INCREASE TO ABOVE 35...THE UPPER
THIRTIES...OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY AND
INCREASE TO AROUND 40 ON FRIDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MEANWHILE WILL
DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND DROP EVEN
LOWER ON FRIDAY TO AROUND TWENTY PERCENT. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DURATION AND ERC ARE SUFFICIENT FOR A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON THURSDAY...AND THE WIND CRITERIA IS
MET AS WELL DUE TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. THE WIND AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY CRITERIA ARE MET FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
WELL AND IS VERY CLOSE FOR OUR ALABAMA COUNTIES...SO HAVE ISSUED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THESE AREAS AS WELL. FOR FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH
THE WINDS WILL HAVE SUBSIDED...THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY DURATION IS
MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
AND IS RATHER LONG FOR THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SO WILL BE
ISSUING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THESE AREAS FOR FRIDAY. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 61 75 45 64 / 20 60 30 10
PENSACOLA 61 76 51 67 / 10 40 40 10
DESTIN 63 75 54 67 / 10 30 50 10
EVERGREEN 57 77 46 63 / 10 50 40 10
WAYNESBORO 59 73 41 63 / 20 60 10 05
CAMDEN 56 75 43 63 / 10 60 30 05
CRESTVIEW 55 77 50 65 / 10 30 50 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 4 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 6 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 9 AM FRIDAY TO 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.
MS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 4 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND
WAYNE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
MS OUT 20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA
FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 10:30 AM CST, 4 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1030 AM CST TUE NOV 8 2011 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-091200- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1030 AM CST TUE NOV 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A MODERATE TO STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY A STRONG FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. LIMITED INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL HELP TO LIMIT THE STRENGTH OF THE THUNDERSTORMS...AND KEEPING THE RISK OF ANY BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE VERY LOW. BEHIND THE FRONT...STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW. HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE MARINE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2:31 PM CST | Small Craft Advisory | MOB | 3 days | |
| Nov 8, 2:33 PM CST | Fire Weather Watch | MOB | Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 4 more | 39 hr |
Nearby
Fire Weather Watches in Alabama, 2011Fire Weather Watches in Florida, 2011Every fire weather watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.