Special Weather Statement, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
258 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER INLAND THROUGH
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OFFSHORE. A WEAK
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY BEFORE STALLING AND
DISSIPATING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 245 PM SATURDAY...AS EXPECTED ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED
OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAINS IN AREA OF VERY STRONG
INSTABILITY...WITH SPC ANALYSIS SHOWING SURFACE-BASED CAPE VALUES
APPROACH 5000 J/KG. ANTICIPATE THESE SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS
UNTIL ABOUT DARK PER LATEST HIGH-RES MODELS. ANOTHER VERY WARM
MUGGY NIGHT WITH MIN TEMPS WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF 80 DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY EVENING/...
AS OF 245 PM SATURDAY...WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH LINGERING INLAND
TOMORROW AND A BIT MORE DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE...COUPLED WITH
INCREASED SHORTWAVE ENERGY AT THE MID-LEVELS ON SUNDAY...THINK
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS DURING
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HEAT INDICES WILL BE MORE MARGINAL
FOR EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING ON SUNDAY...BUT A FEW SPOTS WILL HIT 110
DEGREES AND FOR CONTINUITIES SAKE...WILL CONTINUE EXCESSIVE HEAT
WARNING FOR ONE MORE DAY AS HIGH TEMPS RANGE FROM 88 TO 90 NEAR
THE COAST AND 94 TO 98 DEGREES INLAND WITH SIMILAR OR SLIGHTLY
HIGHER DEWPOINTS FROM TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM SAT...UNSETTLED PATTERN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RETROGRADES WEST AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES FROM
CENTRAL CANADA TO THE NORTHEAST STATES. COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO
NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE TUESDAY THEN DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY. BEST
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. TIME SECTIONS SHOW
GOOD VORT ADVECTION IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS ALONG WITH DEEP
MOISTURE AND LIFT. DO NOT WANT TO GO LIKELY POPS THIS EARLY SO
WILL CAP RAIN CHANCES AT 50 PERCENT. MOISTURE THINS OUT WEDNESDAY
WITH POPS DROPPING BACK TO 20 PERCENT. DRY AND HOT THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE REGION. LEESIDE
TROF SETS UP AGAIN SATURDAY WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EVENING
CONVECTION POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND SUNDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM SATURDAY...WILL CARRY VCTS/CB FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS THRU EARLY EVENING. OTHERWISE...SHORT TERM TAFS SHOULD
BE IN THE VFR RANGE WITH ENOUGH MIXING OVERNIGHT TO PREVENT MUCH
IN THE WAY OF FOG OR LOW STRATUS.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 230 PM SAT...FOR THE MOST PART VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SCATTERED CONVECTION EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH LOCALLY IFR/MVFR IN SHOWERS AND STORMS. ONLY
ISOLATED ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY AND DRY THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
/SHORT TERM TONIGHT AND SUNDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM SATURDAY...WILL EXTEND THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR
THE CENTRAL WATERS THRU MID-MORNING ON SUNDAY. STRONG SW GRADIENT
BETWEEN SHARPENING INLAND TROUGH AND BROAD HIGH PRESSURE NEAR
BERMUDA WILL LEAD TO 15 TO 20 KNOT WINDS...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS
TONIGHT. PER LOCAL SWAN AND WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE...SOME 6 FOOT SEAS
POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER PERIPHERY OF THE CENTRAL WATERS...THUS THE
SCA.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 230 PM SAT...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS TUESDAY THEN
DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL TEMPORARILY VEER THE WINDS OVER
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WATERS TO WEST TO NORTH TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL BACK
TO SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT THEN
SUBSIDE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. VERY GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS IN
A SOUTHERLY FLOW.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NCZ029-
     044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EDT
     SUNDAY FOR AMZ152-154.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CTC
NEAR TERM...CTC
SHORT TERM...CTC
LONG TERM...HSA
AVIATION...CTC/HSA
MARINE...CTC/HSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
531 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

NCZ095-103-104-240945-
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
531 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-091>094-240945-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
531 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ090-240945-
DUPLIN-
531 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH AN
ISOLATED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ098-240945-
ONSLOW-
531 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.
   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH AN
ISOLATED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>