Small Craft Advisory 68, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

588 
WHUS72 KMHX 231923
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
323 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
MORNING SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL WATERS...

.GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 6 FEET OVER THE CENTRAL
WATERS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

AMZ152-154-240930-
/O.EXT.KMHX.SC.Y.0068.110723T2300Z-110724T1500Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
323 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

153 
WHUS72 KMHX 240015
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
815 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
MORNING SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL WATERS...

.GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 6 FEET OVER THE
CENTRAL WATERS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

AMZ152-154-240900-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-110724T1500Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
815 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

725 
WHUS72 KMHX 240815
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
415 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
THIS MORNING FOR THE CENTRAL WATERS...

.GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 6 FEET OVER THE
CENTRAL WATERS THIS MORNING.

AMZ152-154-241500-
/O.CON.KMHX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-110724T1500Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
415 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 6 FT OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

876 
WHUS72 KMHX 241351
MWWMHX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
951 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011


AMZ152-154-241500-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SC.Y.0068.000000T0000Z-110724T1500Z/
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
951 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS
CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 6 FT...THEREFORE HAVE CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
248 AM SAT JUL 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH MONDAY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC RIDGES WEST
ACROSS THE REGION. THE RESULTING SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CIRCULATE A
HOT AND HUMID AIRMASS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
TUESDAY...THEN STALL AND DISSIPATE IN THE REGION MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1010 PM FRIDAY...DIURNAL CONVECTION HAS ENDED ACROSS
EASTERN NC THIS EVENING SO WILL GO WITH A DRY FORECAST FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE IS INDICATING CHANCES FOR
ADDITIONAL STORMS OVERNIGHT BUT WITH LACK OF FORCING ALOFT DON'T
SEE MUCH DEVELOPING WITH LOSS OF HEATING. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE WELL MIXED OVERNIGHT. THE
SW FLOW IN CONJUNCTION WITH DEWPOINTS WELL IN THE 70S AND 850 MB
TEMPS ABOVE 20C SUPPORT VERY SULTRY OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 75-80
DEGREE RANGE. IT WILL BE EVEN WARMER AT THE BEACHES WHERE LOWS IN
THE LOWER 80S WILL OCCUR. COULD SEE SOME STRATUS DEVELOP IN THE
VERY MOIST LOW LEVELS BUT THINK THIS WILL BE PATCHY AND NOT
WIDESPREAD AND THUS WILL CONTINUE MOSTLY CLEAR SKY FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MIDNIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM FRIDAY...LITTLE CHANGE TO FORECAST FOR SATURDAY FROM
THAT OF FRIDAY. CONTINUED VERY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
NECESSITATE A CONTINUED EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING. AGAIN SOME
ISOLATED CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM FRI...RAIN CHANCES WILL BE IMPROVING THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. 12Z MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST RETROGRADING WEST THIS WEEKEND. UPPER TROF OVER CENTRAL
CANADA THIS WEEKEND WILL DROP INTO THE NORTHEAST STATES EARLY NEXT
WEEK...DRIVING A COLD FRONT INTO THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL OUT AND BECOME
STATIONARY ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE FORECAST AREA MIDWEEK
AS THE NORTHEAST TROF LIFTS OUT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH BETTER COVERAGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK EAST ONCE AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK WITH
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
/SHORT TERM THROUGH TONIGHT/
AS OF 140 AM SATURDAY...VCONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINATE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY MVFR FOG EXPECTED AT KEWN 10Z-12Z
DUE TO PCPN FRI AFTN BUT MIXING SHOULD PRECLUDE IFR CONDITIONS.
SLGTLY MORE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE THIS AFTN AND EVENING AND INCLUDED
VCTS ALL SITES 19Z-23Z. WDLY SCT ACTIVITY MAY LINGER INTO OVERNIGHT
HOURS BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FOR MENTION.

LONG TERM /SAT NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AS OF 215 PM FRI...VFR EACH DAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN AREA OF THE STATE TUESDAY
AND BECOME STATIONARY WEDNESDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. BETTER
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD...10-15 KNOTS BY DAY AND LESS THAN 10 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
/SHORT TERM THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1010 PM FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN 15 TO 20 KT
OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. SEAS WILL BE 3 TO 5 FEET AND THERE
COULD EVEN BE SOME 6 FOOT SEAS IN THE CENTRAL/EASTERN WATERS IN
THE VICINITY OF DIAMOND SHOALS BUOY. USED A BLEND OF SWAN AND WW3
GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST WHICH INDICATED THIS POSSIBILITY. HARD TO
GAGE ACTUAL SEAS IN THAT AREA WITH NO OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE SO
CAPPED AT 5 FEET IN THIS TEXT FCST PACKAGE ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE
A FEW PIXELS OF 6 FT SEAS VISIBLE IN THE GRIDS.

LONG TERM /SAT NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AS OF 215 PM FRI...PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN RATHER PINCHED
ACROSS THE MARINE ZONES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK IN BETWEEN A
SURFACE TROF OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE STATE AND THE OFFSHORE BERMUDA
HIGH. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20 KNOTS MOST AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...BECOME STATIONARY NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER TUESDAY THEN
DISSIPATE WEDNESDAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX AS A RESULT
WHICH WILL ALLOW WIND SPEEDS TO DECREASE.

12Z WAVEWATCH AND SWAN MODELS BOTH BRING SEAS BRIEFLY UP TO 6 FEET
SATURDAY NIGHT SOUTH OF OREGON INLET. SINCE THIS IS 3RD PERIOD OF
THE FORECAST WILL NOT ISSUE ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL LET
MIDNIGHT SHIFT EVALUATE AFTER A COUPLE MORE MODEL RUNS AND ISSUE
THE SCA IF NEEDED.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR NCZ029-
     044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSB/JME
NEAR TERM...RSB/JME
SHORT TERM...RSB
LONG TERM...HSA
AVIATION...JBM/HSA
MARINE...RSB/JME/HSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
350 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011

NCZ095-103-104-232000-
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
350 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-091>094-232000-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
350 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF BEING SEVERE WITH WIND
BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ090-232000-
DUPLIN-
350 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF BEING SEVERE WITH WIND
BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ098-232000-
ONSLOW-
350 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2011

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.
   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF BEING SEVERE WITH WIND
BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.
   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.