Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

196 
WWUS52 KMHX 050928
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
528 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

NCC061-079-107-117-147-051000-
/O.CON.KMHX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110405T1000Z/
DUPLIN NC-LENOIR NC-GREENE NC-MARTIN NC-PITT NC-
528 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EDT
FOR PITT...WESTERN MARTIN...GREENE...LENOIR AND DUPLIN COUNTIES...

AT 525 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF OAK CITY TO 9 MILES WEST
OF BOWDENS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TARBORO TO 10 MILES WEST OF WARSAW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE 
WARNING. BE PREPARED TO MOVE QUICKLY TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OF A SAFE 
SHELTER IF YOU HEAR OR SEE A TORNADO.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 0 0...8 8 9...6 8 8 9.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3489 7815 3518 7817 3519 7800 3515 7790
      3518 7784 3538 7781 3543 7784 3557 7783
      3580 7748 3582 7736 3591 7735 3600 7741
      3607 7733 3599 7719 3594 7719 3593 7708
      3513 7762 3474 7796 3471 7814 3474 7820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0927Z 234DEG 51KT 3600 7740 3504 7824

$$

29

422 
WWUS52 KMHX 050959
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
559 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

NCC061-079-107-117-147-051008-
/O.EXP.KMHX.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110405T1000Z/
DUPLIN NC-LENOIR NC-GREENE NC-MARTIN NC-PITT NC-
559 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PITT...WESTERN MARTIN...
GREENE...LENOIR AND DUPLIN COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 600 AM EDT...

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A NEW SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 0 0...8 8 9...6 8 8 9...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN NEWPORT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM EDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3489 7815 3518 7817 3519 7800 3515 7790
      3518 7784 3538 7781 3543 7784 3557 7783
      3580 7748 3582 7736 3591 7735 3600 7741
      3607 7733 3599 7719 3594 7719 3593 7708
      3513 7762 3474 7796 3471 7814 3474 7820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0958Z 234DEG 51KT 3626 7696 3530 7781

$$

29

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
236 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WILL
REMAIN OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 230 AM TUE...VERY LITTLE CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST AS
TIMING OF FRONT AND ASSOCIATED POPS LOOKS GOOD. SEVERE WEATHER
WATCHES NOW BORDERING THE FORECAST AREA TO THE WEST AND EXPECT TO
HAVE ONE ISSUED FOR THIS AREA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION WILL SWEEP THROUGH THIS MORNING ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL BE EARLY THEN FALL
THROUGH THE DAY AND HAVE WORDED THE FORECAST THIS WAY. NO CHANGE
TO CURRENT WIND ADVISORY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 230 AM TUE...CLEAR AND MUCH COOLER OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE
FRONT WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AND A DRIER AIRMASS. ONCE AGAIN THE 00Z
MAV/MET GUIDANCE IS CLOSE AND USED A BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL WX CONDITIONS FOR MID TO LATE WEEK WITH FLAT
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING EAST AND SFC HIGH PRES MOVING SOUTH OF THE AREA
THEN OFFSHORE. A COOL START TO WED AND HIGH TEMPS WILL BE BLO NORMAL
AS ANY RETURN FLOW HOLDS OFF TIL LATE IN THE DAY. TEMPS WILL
MODERATE THU AND FRI AS THE RETURN FLOW ESTABLISHES OVER THE AREA.
BACKDOOR FRONT TO THE N WILL SAG S AND MAY REACH NRN TIER FRI NIGHT.
WAVE OF LOW PRES MOVES ALONG THE FRONT THEN OFFSHORE ON SAT WHICH
WILL DRAG THE BNDRY SOUTH ON SAT IN ITS WAKE. THE FRONT MOVES
BACK NORTH LATE SAT/SAT NIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW SETTING UP AGAIN
FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

CHCS FOR ORGANIZED PCPN APPEAR TO BE SLIGHT THRU MUCH OF THE LONG
TERM FCST PERIOD. BEST OPPORTUNITY MAY BE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS
WEAK UPPER LEVEL ENERGY INTERACTS WITH NORTHWARD MOVING WARM FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TODAY & TONIGHT/
AS OF 230 AM TUE...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION WILL AFFECT
ALL 4 AREA TERMINALS THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL FRONT PASSES
DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. WIDESPREAD MVFR CEILINGS
WILL CONTINUE EXCEPT LOWER IN CONVECTION. EXPECT CEILINGS TO LIFT
QUICKLY ONCE THE FRONT PASSES AND DRIER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. STRONG WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS WELL BEHIND THE FRONT.
WINDS BY LATE AFTERNOON WILL BE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS UNDER
SCATTERED CLOUDS AROUND 4 KFT. BY THIS EVENING EXPECT SKIES TO BE
CLEAR WITH A NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 KNOTS.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINLY VFR THRU THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRES BUILDS SOUTH OF THE AREA
THRU THE END OF THE WEEK. INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY BRING
SUB-VFR CONDITIONS BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TODAY & TONIGHT/
AS OF 230 AM TUE...FOLLOWED 00Z GFS CLOSELY AS IT HAS SHOWN GOOD
RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP OFF THE COAST
BY 17-18Z WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND IT. NO
CHANGE TO CURRENT HEADLINES WITH GALES FOR ALL WATERS AND BOTH
SOUNDS. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE QUICKLY TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS FLOW
BECOMES OFFSHORE.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NW FLOW WEAKENS AND SEAS WILL BE SUBSIDING BLO SCA CRITERIA EARLY
WED. WINDS WILL BACK TO SW AND STRENGTHEN LATE WED INTO WED NIGHT
AS HIGH PRES PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. NOT EXPECTING SCA LEVELS
THRU THE END OF THE WEEK BUT MAY GET CLOSE AT TIMES ESP SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL WATERS. WINDS SHIFT W/NW FRI NIGHT THEN N/NE ON SAT
AS LOW PRES MOVING ALONG STALLED BNDRY TO NORTH PULLS THE FRONT
SOUTH ALONG THE NC COAST.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AS OF 230 AM TUE...NO CHANGE TO THREE CURRENT ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT. REASONING FROM PREVIOUS SHIFTS STILL VERY SOUND.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ095-
     098-103-104.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ047-081-095-
     103-104.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NCZ103.
MARINE...LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR AMZ135.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR AMZ130-135-150-
     156-158.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ152-154.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HSA
NEAR TERM...HSA
SHORT TERM...HSA
LONG TERM...BTC
AVIATION...BTC/HSA
MARINE...BTC/HSA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

NCZ095-104-060900-
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
THIS MORNING. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST BY
MIDDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

NCZ047-081-060900-
MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
THIS MORNING. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST BY
MIDDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

NCZ046-060900-
TYRRELL-
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD
OF IT ARE EXPECTED BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST BY MIDDAY.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

NCZ098-060900-
ONSLOW-
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD
OF IT ARE EXPECTED BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST BY MIDDAY.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

NCZ103-060900-
OUTER BANKS DARE-
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
THIS MORNING. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST BY
MIDDAY. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

NCZ029-044-045-079-080-090>094-060900-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-
PAMLICO-
136 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING. STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD
OF IT ARE EXPECTED BEFORE MOVING OFF THE COAST BY MIDDAY.
THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS MORNING.