Flood Watch 4, NWS Miami, FL

883 
WGUS62 KMFL 291108
FFAMFL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
708 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

FLZ063-066>074-168-172>174-291600-
/O.CON.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111029T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
708 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL MIAMI DADE... 
  COASTAL PALM BEACH...FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE...GLADES...HENDRY... 
  INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI DADE...INLAND 
  PALM BEACH...METRO BROWARD...METRO MIAMI DADE AND METRO PALM 
  BEACH. 

* UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
  REGION TODAY, WITH THE HIGHEST RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
  THROUGH MIDDAY. COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
  ACROSS MOST OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. RAINFALL RATES OF 1
  TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. AREAS OF FLOODING ARE ALREADY
  OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

230 
WGUS62 KMFL 291359
FFAMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
959 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

FLZ063-073-074-173-174-291500-
/O.CAN.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111029T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GLADES-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
959 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THIS EVENING, THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL HAS
DIMINISHED. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH SOME
SHOWERS.

$$

FLZ066>072-168-172-292200-
/O.EXT.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-
959 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
  COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL PALM BEACH...
  HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND PALM BEACH...
  METRO BROWARD AND METRO PALM BEACH.

* THROUGH MIDNIGHT

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING AS COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE FEEDS INTO THE
  AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
  HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL RATES MAY RESULT IN FLOODING,
  PARTICULARLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCED EXCESSIVE
  RAINFALL IN THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

019 
WGUS62 KMFL 291408
FFAMFL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1008 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

FLZ066>072-168-172-292215-
/O.CON.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-
1008 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
  COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL PALM BEACH...
  HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND PALM BEACH...
  METRO BROWARD AND METRO PALM BEACH.

* THROUGH MIDNIGHT

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING AS COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE FEEDS INTO THE
  AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
  HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL RATES MAY RESULT IN FLOODING,
  PARTICULARLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCED EXCESSIVE
  RAINFALL IN THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

963 
WGUS62 KMFL 291804
FFAMFL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
204 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

FLZ066>072-168-172-300400-
/O.CON.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-
204 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... 
  COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL COLLIER...COASTAL PALM BEACH... 
  HENDRY...INLAND BROWARD...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND PALM BEACH...
   METRO BROWARD AND METRO PALM BEACH. 

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
  THROUGH THIS EVENING AS COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE FEEDS INTO THE
  AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
  HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL RATES MAY RESULT IN FLOODING,
  PARTICULARLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE ALREADY EXPERIENCED EXCESSIVE
  RAINFALL IN THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

240 
WGUS62 KMFL 292257
FFAMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
657 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

FLZ066>070-168-300000-
/O.CAN.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
657 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR GLADES...HENDRY...PALM BEACH AND COLLIER
COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS THESE COUNTIES
HAVE SUBSIDED AND ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS THESE
COUNTIES ARE NOT EXPECTED THIS EVENING OR OVER NIGHT.
THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

FLZ073-074-173-174-300700-
/O.EXB.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
657 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF MIAMI DADE COUNTY.  

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* AS A COLD FRONT ENTERS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS EVENING AND OVER
  NIGHT, HEAVY SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MIAMI DADE COUNTY. THE
  GROUNDS ARE NEAR SATURATION FROM THE PREVIOUS DAYS RAINS AND ANY
  HEAVY RAINFALL THIS EVENING AND OVER NIGHT WILL QUICKLY RUNOFF
  CREATING POSSIBLE FLOOD CONDITIONS. THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH
  HAS BEEN ISSUED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

FLZ071-072-172-300700-
/O.EXT.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL BROWARD-
657 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL BROWARD COUNTY.

* THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING

* AS A COLD FRONT ENTERS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS EVENING AND OVER
  NIGHT, CONTINUING HEAVY SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS BROWARD
  COUNTY. THE GROUNDS ARE NEAR SATURATION FROM THE PREVIOUS DAYS
  RAINS AND ANY HEAVY RAINFALL THIS EVENING AND OVER NIGHT WILL
  QUICKLY RUNOFF CREATING POSSIBLE FLOOD CONDITIONS.
  THEREFORE...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

071 
WGUS62 KMFL 300755
FFAMFL

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
355 AM EDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...


FLZ071>074-172>174-300900-
/O.CAN.KMFL.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-111030T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
355 AM EDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED. 

THE FLOOD WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HEAVY SHOWERS THAT AFFECT
THESE AREAS SATURDAY EVENING AND EARLIER THIS MORNING HAVE MOVED
OFFSHORE. ONLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THESE AREAS THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. DUE TO RECENT RAINS AND SATURATED CONDITIONS...ANY
HEAVY DOWNPOUR COULD RESULT IN STREET FLOODING ACROSS THESE AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1005 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

.UPDATE...

THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINING EVENING HOURS AND OVER NIGHT WAS
UPDATED TO INCLUDE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT GULF AND ATLANTIC
WATERS. IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AREAS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CAME INTO THE REGION FROM THE GULF WATERS AND
ACROSS THE FLORIA STRAITS. THE LINE OF CONVECTION THAT MOVED
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE STRAITS WAS GENERATED FROM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
FROM CONVECTION THAT ORIGINATED JUST OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA
AND CONTINUED PROPAGATE NORTH. THE LINE OF CONVECTION THAT ENTERED
THE GULF WATERS INDICATES LOW LEVEL AND MID LEVEL SYNOPTIC SCALE
ROTATION THAT WAS LIKELY AN AREA OF ROTATION IN THE MID LEVELS
THAT PROPAGATED NORTHEAST FROM THE OPEN GULF EARLIER IN THE
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING
TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WITH REGIONAL PWATS NEAR 2.4
INCHES. IN ADDITION THERE IS LIKELY A SHORTWAVE IN THE MID TO
UPPER LEVELS THAT IS HELPING TO SUSTAIN CONVECTION ACROSS THE
REGION. PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH URBAN
TYPE FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ISOLATED SECTIONS OF THE METRO
AREAS. AT THE MOMENT A FLOOD WATCH IS NOT BEING CONSIDERED...BUT
MAY BE CONSIDERED AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

60

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 755 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011/

AVIATION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA
TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
SATURDAY. THE MOST IMMEDIATE IMPACTS WILL BE FOR TERMINAL KAPF. AN
ACTIVE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS DEVELOPING ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF
KAPF OVER THE GULF WATERS AND STEADILY MOVING NORTHEAST AND RECENT
RADAR RETURNS HAVE INDICATED FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. ANOTHER ACTIVE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE KEYS AND MOVING STEADILY NORTH ALONG OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES. ALTHOUGH TIMING WILL BE TOO DIFFICULT TO
ESTIMATE...ALL SOUTH FLORIDA TERMINALS COULD HAVE BRIEF PERIODS OF
IFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TAF'S
WILL BE AMENDED AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.

60

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011/

SHORT TERM...
SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN NORTH OF THE REGION. MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES
WERE SEEN ACROSS THE REGION. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION FROM
RINA WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA
TONIGHT DUE TO THE STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. IN ADDITION...A
COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS THE STATE. SO PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL MAY SET UP ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND
THE NAPLES REGION OVERNIGHT BEFORE MOVING INTO THE REST OF SOUTH
FLORIDA ON SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION...WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS. SO PONDING ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE FLORIDA KEYS OR
FLORIDA STRAITS SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE. SO LIGHT STRATIFORM RAIN IS POSSIBLE
SATURDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. THE WINDS SHIFT BACK TO THE EAST
AGAIN ON SUNDAY...PUSHING MOISTURE BACK ACROSS THE REGION. MODELS
ARE SHOWING DECENT ISENTROPIC LIFT ALONG THE OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...SO EXPECT A CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS THE EAST COAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80
DEGREES.

LONG TERM...
ANOTHER ENERGY IMPULSE WILL DIG RAPIDLY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST U.S. BY
MONDAY INDUCING A SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF IT ALLOWING THE FRONT TO
BEGIN TO DRIFT BACK NORTH ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. WL INDICATE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS MON AND MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THIS SAME SHORT
WAVE WILL FINALLY PUSH THE FRONT SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY
WITH DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS WED THROUGH THURSDAY. &&

AVIATION...FOR 18Z TAFS
AN ORGANIZED AREA OF RAINFALL AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH TOWARD THE REGION.
IN ADVANCE OF IT, SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FORMING IN THE
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. WE
EXPECT CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING,
ALTHOUGH THE MOST WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF
UNTIL OVERNIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY NEAR THE EAST COAST. AT KAPF,
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE AROUND 00Z. BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. IFR CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING, ALTHOUGH TIMING REMAINS
SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. WHILE A FEW TSRA ARE EXPECTED, FOR NOW WE WILL
CARRY JUST VCSH AND A CB REMARK IN THE TAFS, GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED
COVERAGE.

MARINE...
LIGHT WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT, BUT SHOULD BEGIN
VEERING TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST BY SATURDAY MORNING OUT AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT. WILL WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE RAPIDLY
TO ADVISORY CRITERIA SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THE FRNT MOVES
TROUGH. MODERATE TO STRONG NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...
MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH
PERIOD. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAY
ON SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  74  80  68  78 / 80 90 30 30
FORT LAUDERDALE  75  80  71  80 / 80 90 50 40
MIAMI            74  81  71  80 / 80 90 50 40
NAPLES           73  81  66  80 / 80 90 20 20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...60/BD
AVIATION/RADAR...57/DG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1047 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-291800-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1047 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT...
...FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING STRIKES
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

TORNADOES: A BRIEF TORNADO OR WATERSPOUT CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT WATERS TONIGHT. THIS THREAT IS
MINIMAL BUT JUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME.

FLOODING: THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOOD CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON SATURDAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME OF THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD
LEAD TO SOME MINOR URBAN STREET FLOODING.

WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE GULF STREAM OFF THE PALM
BEACH COUNTY COAST. THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND AND
POSSIBLY INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION: WIDESPREAD SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT
ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
HIGH WIND, HAIL AND FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
924 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FLZ066-067-070-071-290215-
HENDRY FL INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL INLAND
PALM BEACH COUNTY FL
924 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN BROWARD COUNTY
  SOUTHWESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN HENDRY COUNTY
  EAST CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY

* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT

* AT 919 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF MICCOSUKEE INDIAN
  RESERVATION...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
  COLLIER/BROWARD LINE AND ALLIGATOR ALLEY...
  MICCOSUKEE SERVICE PLAZA...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

THIS STORM IS ALSO DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR
FUNNEL CLOUDS.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2643 8088 2624 8049 2599 8085 2611 8105
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 216DEG 14KT 2611 8087

BAXTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
937 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FLZ069-070-073>075-173-174-290230-
COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL FAR SOUTH
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL INLAND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTY FL MAINLAND MONROE FL METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL
937 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  MIAMI-DADE COUNTY
  SOUTHERN COLLIER COUNTY
  NORTHERN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY

* UNTIL 1030 PM EDT

* AT 933 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES
  SOUTH OF ROYAL PALM HAMMOCK TO KEY LARGO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  25 MPH.

* THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT...
  WILDERNESS WATERWAY NORTH...
  ROYAL PALM HAMMOCK...
  CARNESTOWN...
  HOMESTEAD...
  COPELAND...
  FLORIDA CITY...
  COUNTRY WALK...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS
CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

THIS LINE OF STORMS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE
FOR FUNNEL CLOUDS TO DEVELOP AT ANYTIME.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2627 8136 2562 8029 2547 8033 2537 8028
      2531 8037 2525 8039 2522 8048 2519 8049
      2522 8058 2517 8065 2562 8126 2568 8129
      2573 8122 2579 8128 2580 8136 2588 8148
      2583 8153 2589 8155 2589 8163 2593 8168
TIME...MOT...LOC 0136Z 213DEG 20KT 2595 8157 2510 8040

BAXTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
951 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0948 PM     HEAVY RAIN       W BOYNTON BEACH         26.53N 80.09W
10/28/2011  M3.00 INCH       PALM BEACH         FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER NUMBER PB41 WEST BOYNTON BLVD/JOG ROAD REPORTED 3
            INCHES IN 1 HOUR 10 MINUTES

&&

EBAUGH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1012 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FLZ069>075-172>174-290315-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL COASTAL MIAMI
DADE COUNTY FL FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL INLAND BROWARD COUNTY
FL INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL MAINLAND
MONROE FL METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL
1012 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN BROWARD COUNTY
  MIAMI-DADE COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN COLLIER COUNTY
  NORTHERN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY

* UNTIL 1115 PM EDT

* AT 1005 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES
  WEST OF INTERSECTION ALLIGATOR ALLEY AND SR 29 TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST
  OF OCEAN REEF...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH.

* THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT...
  DADE-COLLIER TRAINING AIRPORT...
  BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE...
  MIAMI...
  DORAL...
  MIRAMAR...
  GOULDS...
  CUTLER BAY...
  PALMETTO BAY...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. THESE WINDS
CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
PASSES.

THIS LINE OF STORMS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE
FOR FUNNEL CLOUDS AT ANYTIME.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2589 8014 2584 8019 2575 8019 2572 8025
      2560 8032 2550 8035 2540 8032 2524 8045
      2522 8049 2539 8088 2579 8128 2599 8153
      2617 8139 2612 8083 2598 8087 2608 8072
      2611 8061 2607 8012
TIME...MOT...LOC 0210Z 219DEG 24KT 2617 8139 2538 8032

BAXTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1018 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1012 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DELRAY BEACH            26.46N 80.09W
10/28/2011                   PALM BEACH         FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DELRAY BEACH POLICE DEPARTMENT REPORTED FLOODED ROADWAYS.
            400 BLOCK OF S. CONGRESS AVE, LYNTON ROAD AND CONGRESS,
            600 BLOCK OF LINDELL BLVD, SOUTH BOUND MILITARY TRAIL AND
            ATLANTIC AVE AND CONGRESS.CARS ARE STRANDED AT THESE
            LOCATIONS.

&&

EBAUGH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1056 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FLZ070>074-172-173-290330-
COASTAL BROWARD COUNTY FL COASTAL MIAMI DADE COUNTY FL INLAND BROWARD
COUNTY FL INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL INLAND MIAMI-DADE COUNTY FL METRO
BROWARD COUNTY FL METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL
1056 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  BROWARD COUNTY
  NORTHERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY

* UNTIL 1130 PM EDT

* AT 1051 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MICCOSUKEE
  SERVICE PLAZA TO UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI...AND MOVING NORTH AT 25 TO 30 MPH.

* THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT...
  UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI...
  DORAL...
  HIALEAH...
  EL PORTAL...
  CAROL CITY...
  AVENTURA...
  FORT LAUDERDALE...
  PEMBROKE PINES...
  WEST0N...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

THIS LINE OF STORMS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE
FOR FUNNEL CLOUDS AT ANY TIME.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2590 8012 2585 8015 2588 8015 2577 8018
      2574 8020 2572 8024 2566 8026 2573 8050
      2593 8089 2633 8087 2632 8007
TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 185DEG 33KT 2623 8085 2571 8026

BAXTER