Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 730, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 31, 2011, 4:05 PM CDT for Logan County, Yell County, Arkansas. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 31, 2011, 4:05 PM CDT (21:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2011, 4:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 25 min
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Logan County, AR, Yell County, AR
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 861 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -120 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1336 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 135 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 220 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 3.8
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 31, 3:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 3:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 304 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. OPPRESSIVE HEAT WAS ALSO THE STORY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA...WITH SOME LOCATIONS SEEING TEMPS OVER 100 BY NOON. THIS AFTERNOON...MUCH OF THE STATE WAS SEEING UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S...AND DEWPTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. THE EXCEPTION HOWEVER IS SOME OF THE NRN COUNTIES WHERE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER FROM EARLY MORNING PRECIP HAS KEPT TEMPS IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S. THE ONGOING SHRA/TSRA WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HRS...WITH SOME STRONG...MAYBE SVR STORMS POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THE PERSISTENT...AND OPPRESSIVE HEAT THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE BECOMES PARKED OVERHEAD. UPPER 90S...TO LOW 100S WILL BE LIKELY EACH DAY...WITH WED POSSIBLY THE HOTTEST AS WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTH TO SWRLY. DRIER AIR FROM THE SW...COMBINED WITH INCREASED MIXING OF DRY AIR ALOFT WILL RESULT IN TEMPS EASILY WARMING TO 100 OR MORE AT MOST LOCATIONS WED AFTERNOON. THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE OZARKS MAY REMAIN IN THE 90S HOWEVER. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE TEMPS AROUND 105..ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR SW AND ALONG THE AR RIVER VALLEY REGION WEST OF LITTLE ROCK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO REMAIN HIGH...WITH MAINLY MID 70S TO LOW 80S SEEN. HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN DANGEROUSLY HIGH...WITH 105-115 LIKELY. SO HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND HEAT ADV THROUGH AT LEAST WED EVENING...THOUGH AN EXTENSION LATER IN THE WEEK LOOKS FAIRLY LIKELY AT THIS TIME. EXPECT POPS TO REMAIN LOW WITH THIS RIDGE...WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED STORM POSSIBLE DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON HRS EACH DAY. && .LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE DOMINANT THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH VERY HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN A 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE IN MUCH OF CENTRAL/WESTERN ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL EXCEED 105 DEGREES IN MOST AREAS...WITH HEAT ADVISORIES NECESSARY. THE HIGH WILL BE LEAST DOMINANT IN EASTERN ARKANSAS. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE EAST FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. KEPT SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN TO THE FORECAST. TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...IT APPEARS THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARD THE ROCKIES. IF THIS HAPPENS...IT WILL NOT BE QUITE SO HOT WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. NOT CONFIDENT THIS WILL PAN OUT...BUT WILL MONITOR. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 75 99 74 100 / 20 10 10 0 CAMDEN AR 75 102 78 103 / 20 20 10 10 HARRISON AR 74 99 74 100 / 20 10 10 0 HOT SPRINGS AR 77 101 78 103 / 20 10 10 0 LITTLE ROCK AR 77 102 77 103 / 20 10 10 0 MONTICELLO AR 75 99 76 101 / 20 20 10 10 MOUNT IDA AR 75 102 77 102 / 20 10 10 0 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 74 99 74 101 / 20 10 10 0 NEWPORT AR 75 99 73 100 / 20 10 10 0 PINE BLUFF AR 76 99 77 102 / 20 20 10 0 RUSSELLVILLE AR 77 103 77 104 / 20 10 10 0 SEARCY AR 76 99 76 100 / 20 10 10 0 STUTTGART AR 76 98 77 100 / 20 10 10 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ARKANSAS-BRADLEY- CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW- FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON- JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY- PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL. HEAT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 9 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR BAXTER- BOONE-FULTON-IZARD-MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE. && SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...46
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 5:00 AM CDT, 11 hours 5 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 31, 2:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
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</html>Special weather statement, Jul 31, 2:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
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</html>Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:14 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 314 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 ARZ037-038-041-312045- MONTGOMERY AR-SCOTT AR-YELL AR- 314 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN YELL...EASTERN SCOTT AND NORTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT... AT 310 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES EAST OF LITTLE TEXAS...OR 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DANVILLE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MUDDY CREEK WMA... UNION HILL... OLIO... NOLA... HARVEY... GRAVELLY... CHULA... BLUFFTON... BLUE BALL... LITTLE TEXAS... FREEDOM MTN... DUTCH CREEK MTN... CALLAHAN KNOB... IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN! LAT...LON 3469 9374 3494 9386 3499 9364 3480 9351 TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 073DEG 5KT 3487 9364 64
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:28 PM CDT, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
328 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011
ARZ012-021-312115-
JOHNSON AR-NEWTON AR-
328 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN JOHNSON AND SOUTHWESTERN
NEWTON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...
AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PAXTON KNOB...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JASPER...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WALNUT... ROSETTA... DEVILS KNOB...
WAYTON... SWAIN... SALUS...
NAIL... MOSSVILLE... FALLSVILLE...
DEER... CROSSROAD... COWELL...
ARBAUGH... TAYLOR MTN... PLEASANT HILL...
PAXTON KNOB... NATURAL BRIDGE... MURRAY...
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.
LAT...LON 3583 9313 3567 9336 3578 9352 3583 9353
3596 9327
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 050DEG 5KT 3584 9329
62Special weather statement, Jul 31, 3:36 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 336 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 ARZ041-052-053-312120- CLARK AR-MONTGOMERY AR-PIKE AR- 336 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN PIKE AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT... AT 335 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DEGRAY DAM...OR NEAR DEGRAY LAKE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SEGUR... NORMAN... GLENWOOD... GAP MTN... DAISY... DAISY SP... WELSH... ROSBORO... LODI... KIRBY... HOPPER... FANCYHILL... CADDO GAP... BLACK SPRINGS... WYLIE PICNIC AREA... TWEEDLE MTN... STRAWN MTN... SHARP TOP MTN... IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. LAT...LON 3414 9353 3426 9387 3450 9366 3440 9344 TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 180DEG 0KT 3421 9312 227
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 4:00 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 ARZ030-037-038-312130- LOGAN AR-SCOTT AR-YELL AR- 400 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2011 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN LOGAN...WESTERN YELL AND NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT... AT 356 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES EAST OF POTATO HILL MTN...OR 12 MILES WEST OF DANVILLE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH. HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... STONEHOUSE REC AREA... WAVELAND... WALTREAK... BLUFFTON... WAVELAND PARK... WALNUT GROVE... POTATO HILL MTN... LICK CREEK REC AREA... FLOOD MTN... DUTCH CREEK MTN... CHAMBERS LAKE... CHALYBEATE SPGS... CALLAHAN KNOB... IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. LAT...LON 3489 9361 3506 9380 3513 9361 3504 9345 TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 039DEG 5KT 3503 9360 64
The office that day
Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 7:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Stone | 31 min |
| Jul 30, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Stone, Van Buren | 40 min |
| Jul 30, 8:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Sharp | 43 min |
| Jul 31, 11:11 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Sharp, Stone | 49 hr |
| Jul 31, 12:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Saline | 29 min |
| Jul 31, 12:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Polk | 32 min |
| Jul 31, 1:35 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Faulkner | 30 min |
| Jul 31, 1:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Conway | 29 min |
| Jul 31, 2:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pope | 28 min |
| Jul 31, 2:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pulaski | 31 min |
| Jul 31, 2:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 32 min |
| Jul 31, 2:53 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pope | 47 min |
| Jul 31, 2:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Pulaski, Saline | 36 min |
| Jul 31, 3:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pulaski | 31 min |
| Jul 31, 3:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Yell | 31 min |
| Jul 31, 3:28 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Newton | 47 min |
| Jul 31, 3:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 27 min |
| Jul 31, 3:36 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pike | 44 min |
| Jul 31, 3:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson | 51 min |
| Jul 31, 4:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Yell | 30 min |
| Jul 31, 4:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Grant | 30 min |
| Jul 31, 4:58 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Garland | 32 min |
| Jul 31, 5:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Garland | 32 min |
| Jul 31, 6:01 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2011Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.