Severe Thunderstorm Warning 207, NWS Louisville, KY

044 
WWUS53 KLMK 270707
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
207 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

KYC031-141-183-270730-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-110427T0730Z/
OHIO KY-BUTLER KY-LOGAN KY-
207 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...WESTERN BUTLER AND OHIO COUNTIES...

AT 204 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED FROM COFFMAN TO 
WYSOX TO JERICO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT...
  MORGANTOWN...
  HARTFORD...
  BEAVER DAM...
  HIGHVIEW AND SILVER CITY...
  EDEN AND MINING CITY...
  DEANEFIELD AND ABERDEEN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8711 3748 8713 3764 8692 3767 8685
      3771 8682 3749 8667 3721 8665 3691 8706
      3707 8707 3709 8692 3712 8691 3714 8694
      3722 8691 3727 8699 3732 8700 3736 8704
      3736 8709 3733 8711 3734 8713
TIME...MOT...LOC 0707Z 223DEG 44KT 3749 8709 3727 8694
          3700 8694
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.50IN

$$

13

518 
WWUS53 KLMK 270730
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

KYC031-141-183-270739-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-110427T0730Z/
OHIO KY-BUTLER KY-LOGAN KY-
230 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...WESTERN
BUTLER AND OHIO COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 230 AM CDT...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND ARE NO LONGER
SEVERE. HOWEVER STRONG STORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. THESE ARE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

A TORNADO WATCH IS STILL IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...
WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3737 8711 3748 8713 3764 8692 3767 8685
      3771 8682 3749 8667 3721 8665 3691 8706
      3707 8707 3709 8692 3712 8691 3714 8694
      3722 8691 3727 8699 3732 8700 3736 8704
      3736 8709 3733 8711 3734 8713
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 223DEG 44KT 3769 8686 3747 8671
          3720 8671

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
127 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

...MESOSCALE/FORECAST UPDATE...

ANOTHER ACTIVE EVENING ACROSS THE LOUISVILLE FORECAST AREA WITH A
CLASSIC RIGHT MOVING SUPERCELL MOVING THROUGH PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY.  SFC ANALYSIS THIS EVENING REVEALS A VERY FINE BOUNDARY
THAT WAS LOCATED MAINLY ALONG THE WESTERN KY AND BLUEGRASS PARKWAYS
THIS EVENING.  THE CLASSIC SUPERCELL MOVED EASTWARD ALONG THAT
BOUNDARY...AND THAT BOUNDARY HAS NOW SHIFT NORTH AND CURRENTLY
EXTENDS FROM NEAR PAOLI INDIANA SEWD TO JUST NORTH OF LEXINGTON.  A
FEW DISCRETE CELLS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PART OF
THE STATE BETWEEN LOUISVILLE AND LEXINGTON.  THESE STORMS ARE
PRIMARY PRODUCING WIND AND HAIL AND WILL CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD INTO
NORTHERN KENTUCKY THIS EVENING.

FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST...WE HAVE A BOWING LINE SEGMENT
THAT IS MOVING INTO OUR FAR NORTHWEST PORTION OF OUR WARNING AREA.
THIS ACTIVITY IS ALSO HEADING NORTHEASTWARD AND WILL LIKELY AFFECT
AREAS WEST OF THE LOUISVILLE METRO AREA.  A FEW MORE DISCRETE CELLS
HAVE DEVELOPED NORTH OF BOWLING GREEN AND ARE HEADING DUE NORTH AT A
FAST CLIP.  WE COULD SEE THESE CELLS MERGE INTO THE ADVANCING BOWING
SEGMENT AND PRODUCE MORE SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THE NOCTURNAL LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS IS NOW STARTING TO FLARE UP AND
PUSH INTO OUR REGION.  KLVX WSR-88D VERTICAL WIND PROFILES SHOW AN
INCREASE IN VELOCITIES BETWEEN 2-4KFT AGL.  IN ADDITION...WE ARE
START TO SEE WINDS IN THE LOWEST SFC-2K AGL STARTING TO BACK TO THE
SOUTHEAST.  THIS IS RESULTING IN A VEERED WIND PROFILE SUFFICIENT
FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS. IN ADDITION...MUCH OF SOUTHERN KENTUCKY IS
CONVECTIVELY UNDISTURBED WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWING 1000-1500
J/KG WITH A RELATIVELY WEAK CAP IN PLACE.  THUS...EXPECT A MIX MODE
OF LINEAR/BOWING CONVECTION ALONG WITH ISOLATED SUPERCELLS THAT CAN
FORM DISCREETLY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

INITIAL WATCH BOX THAT CAME OUT ONLY WENT AS FAR NORTH AS THE OHIO
RIVER AS IT WAS UNCLEAR OF HOW CONVECTION WOULD EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.  SINCE THE WATCH WAS ISSUED...CONVECTION HAS TAKEN A
NOTICEABLE UPTICK AND AFTER COORDINATING WITH SPC...ALONG WITH
TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE EXTENSIVE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND LATEST
RADAR TRENDS...WE FELT IT WOULD BE BEST TO EXPAND THE TORNADO WATCH
TO ALL AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

AS IF THE SEVERE CONVECTION WAS NOT ENOUGH....STRONG MOISTURE
TRANSPORT COURTESY OF THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY PBL FLOW IS PUSHING
PWAT VALUES UP OVER AN INCH IN MANY AREAS.  PWATS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
INCREASE OVERNIGHT.  WHILE CONVECTION MAY EVENTUALLY WIND DOWN A
BECOME SUB-SEVERE...EXTENSIVE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY
TO IMPACT THE REGION.  LIGHTER QPF IS EXPECTED IN THE EAST AS
MOISTURE WILL WORK IN THERE LATER...BUT IN AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE
65...1-2 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR TONIGHT.  THIS WILL SIMPLY
ADD INSULT TO INJURY TO OUR ALREADY SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS.  THUS
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH A LONG DURATION
AREAL FLOOD WARNING FOR OUR SOUTHERN INDIANA COUNTIES AND NORTHWEST
KENTUCKY COUNTIES.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING)...

...WIDESPREAD FLOODING RAIN LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH A
POSSIBLE REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

WITH NEAR RECORD APRIL RAINFALL ALREADY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
OUR FORECAST AREA...MORE RAIN IN NOT NEEDED. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD
RAINS RANGING FROM TWO TO LOCALLY OVER 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED. THIS
WILL AGGRAVATE AN ALREADY BAD FLOODING SITUATION. HAVE THEREFORE
ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA-WIDE FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

OVER THE PAST WEEK...PERSISTENT TROUGHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS
AND RIDGING ACROSS FLORIDA HAS LEAD TO REPEATED CONVECTIVE EPISODES
ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THE LAST IN A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS LAST SYSTEM
WILL BE THE STRONGEST OF ALL...FUELED BY A POWERFUL UPPER JET THAT
WILL NOSE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY...A COUPLED JET STRUCTURE WILL LEAD TO STRONG RISING
MOTION OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND RAPID DEEPENING OF LOW
PRESSURE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW.

EVEN AT THIS LATE TIME...DIFFERENCES EXIST BETWEEN THE LATEST GFS
AND THE NAM IN THE STRENGTHENING AND MOVEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW. THE
NAM IS STRONGER AND FURTHER NORTH...STRENGTHENING THE LOW TO 986MB
OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS WEAKER AND
SLIGHTLY MORE DIFFUSE WITH THIS FEATURE...BRINGING A BROAD TROUGH
THAT WILL EXTEND FROM CENTRAL INDIANA THROUGH ARKANSAS DURING THIS
SAME TIME.

IN RESPONSE TO THE RAPID DEEPENING OF THIS LOW...MID AND UPPER WINDS
WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY OVERNIGHT AND MOISTURE AND ELEVATED
INSTABILITY WILL RACE NORTHWARD FROM THE WESTERN GULF OVERNIGHT.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO SOUTHWESTERN KENTUCKY BY LATE EVENING...OVERSPREADING THE
ENTIRE AREA BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

PERIODIC THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WEDNESDAY
WITH OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN. THE HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER HAS
REMAIN CONSISTENT IN ITS FORECAST OF UP TO 4 INCHES OVER A 24 HOUR
PERIOD ENDING BY 06Z THURSDAY. SHOULD WIDESPREAD CONVECTION DEVELOP
AND CONTINUE ACROSS ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE LATER TONIGHT...MOISTURE
TRANSPORT MAY BE DISRUPTED AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY BE LESS.

SEVERE WEATHER IS A THREAT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS
MID-LEVEL WINDS INCREASE AND THE NOSE OF THE UPPER JET MOVES INTO
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...STORM RELATIVE
HELICITIES...A MEASURE OF THE AMOUNT WIND SHEAR IN THE
ATMOSPHERE...WILL BECOME EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH. ONE LIMITING FACTOR FOR
SEVERE WEATHER TOMORROW WILL BE A POSSIBLE LACK OF INSTABILITY DUE
TO WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND CLOUDINESS. HOWEVER...SHOULD ANY
DISCRETE STORMS DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES. ONE OR MORE LINES OF STORMS OR BOWING SEGMENTS MAY ALSO
DEVELOP...AND MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.

BY THE EVENING...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF INTERSTATE 65...AND
STORMS WILL END BY LATE EVENING ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS AND LAKE
CUMBERLAND REGIONS. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO PARTIAL
CLEARING BY EARLY THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)...

THURSDAY - THURSDAY NIGHT...

FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY MORNING WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
DEEP EAST CONUS TROUGH WITH CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
WILL INFLUENCE SENSIBLE WEATHER. EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDS
SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY WITH AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OHIO
RIVER UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WRAPPED
AROUND THE UPPER LOW. THESE AREAS WILL LIKELY STAY UNDER MOSTLY
CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE
DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH A
PORTION OF THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY SHOULD BE COOL...IN THE LOWER 60S
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA AND IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ELSEWHERE. LOWS
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 40S.

FRIDAY - SATURDAY...

BY FRIDAY...LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SLIDING
EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS AND WEAK RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE
CENTRAL CONUS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DRY
WEATHER WITH HIGHS WARMING UP TO AROUND 70. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE
MILDER AROUND 50 DEGREES. RIDGING WILL HOLD ON FOR SATURDAY WITH
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REBOUND...TOPPING OUT IN THE MID
70S.

SATURDAY NIGHT - MONDAY...

A WETTER PERIOD OF WEATHER FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND FIRST PART
OF NEXT WEEK IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS MODELS HAVE COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH SLOWLY MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON
SATURDAY NIGHT AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVE INTO WESTERN ONTARIO. PERSISTENT
SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC RIDGE WILL DO ITS BEST TO HOLD GROUND...HELPING
TO STALL THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT AS OPEN SHORTWAVE OVER ONTARIO
CLOSES OFF AND HEADS DUE NORTH. BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WEST OF I 65 SATURDAY NIGHT...EVERYWHERE ON
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...AND EAST OF I 65 ON MONDAY. TIMING COULD
CHANGE SLIGHTLY SLOWER OR FASTER WITH THIS FRONTAL PROGRESSION
DEPENDING ON HOW WELL RIDGING TO THE EAST HOLDS UP. HAVE INCREASED
POPS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD TO A SOLID CHANCE OF OCCURRENCE. CURRENTLY
WITH FRONTAL PROGRESSION QUITE SLOW...QPF COULD AMOUNT TO AN INCH TO
AN INCH AND A HALF THROUGH THE EVENT...HOWEVER WITH SEVERAL DAYS
RECOVERY AHEAD OF THIS RAIN...FEEL IMPACTS WOULD BE LIMITED TO
SLOWING REGRESSION OF THE AREA RIVERS.

EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S ON SUNDAY AND IN THE UPPER 60S
ON MONDAY WITH LOWS ON SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S AND
SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER 50S.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE AREA KEEPING THINGS DRY...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S AND LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

&&

.AVIATION (06Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

LARGE BATCH OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO
CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA.  THE CONVECTION IS ALREADY
IMPACTING KSDF AND KBWG AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE FIRST
PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  MVFR CIGS/VSBYS ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE
PERIOD THOUGH CAN'T RULE OUT SOME TEMPO IFR VSBYS IN THE HEAVIER
CONVECTION.  CONVECTION SHOULD WEAKEN A BIT AS IT HEADS EAST AND WE
SHOULD SEE A TRANSITION TO HEAVY RAIN AFTER 27/10Z AT KSDF/KBWG.
FURTHER EAST AT KLEX...RAIN WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET THERE.  LATEST
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A FEW RENEGADE SHOWERS/STORMS MOVING QUICKLY NE
THROUGH EAST-CENTRAL KENTUCKY.  THUS WILL KEEP VCTS IN AT KLEX THIS
MORNING BUT AM THINKING THAT CONVECTION SHOULD REACH KLEX BY 27/09Z
OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

OVERALL...CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH BY 27/13-15Z WITH JUST SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND VFR CIGS/VSBYS.  SFC WINDS WILL BECOME QUITE
GUSTY WITH SUSTAINED 12-15KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 30KTS AFTER 27/15Z.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR KYZ023>043-
     045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR INZ076>079-
     083-084-089>092.

&&

MESOSCALE......MJ
SHORT TERM.....JSD
LONG TERM......BJS
AVIATION.......MJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1139 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-280345-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
1139 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 /1039 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTH-CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT. STRONG WIND FIELDS ALOFT
ALONG WITH ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA
OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS ARE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES MAY FALL ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...MAINLY IN AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE 65. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING GIVEN THAT THE GROUND IS NEARLY
SATURATED IN ALL PLACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

VERY HEAVY RAINS MAY CREATE A DANGEROUS FLOODING SITUATION.
EXCESSIVE RAINS WITH FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO LOCALLY OVER
4 INCHES WILL FALL OVER ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. RAPID RISES IN
STREAM AND RIVERS MAY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE
OVER A FLOODED ROADWAY.

A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT AND STRONG DYNAMICS WILL BRING
A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. SHOULD STORMS FORM LINE SEGMENTS
OR BOW ECHOS...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

EXPECT CONTINUED FLOODING OF LARGER RIVERS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH A THREAT OF CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS...FLOODING AND
SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1259 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0222 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OLMSTEAD                36.75N  87.02W
04/26/2011                   LOGAN              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BARN BLOWN ONTO RAILROAD TRACKS. SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

0222 AM     TSTM WND DMG     OLMSTEAD                36.75N  87.02W
04/26/2011                   LOGAN              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRAILER FLIPPED...SEVERAL BARNS DOWN...WIDESPREAD
            DAMAGE FROM ALLENSVILLE TO OLMSTEAD

0227 AM     TSTM WND DMG     RUSSELLVILLE            36.84N  86.89W
04/26/2011                   LOGAN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE ON A HOUSE IN RUSSELLVILLE. TREE ON A TRACTOR
            TRAILER AS IT WAS TRAVELING ON CONCORD ROAD.

0236 AM     TSTM WND DMG     AUBURN                  36.87N  86.70W
04/26/2011                   LOGAN              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED

0237 AM     TSTM WND DMG     AUBURN                  36.87N  86.70W
04/26/2011                   LOGAN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF DAMAGE

0248 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 S MORGANTOWN         37.07N  86.70W
04/26/2011                   BUTLER             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TRAILER BLOWN OFF FOUNDATION AND DESTROYED ON BOWLING
            GREEN ROAD

0254 AM     TSTM WND DMG     FRANKLIN                36.73N  86.57W
04/26/2011                   SIMPSON            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON MORGANTOWN ROAD

0258 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BOWLING GREEN           36.97N  86.44W
04/26/2011                   WARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ALL OVER TOWN

0308 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CANEYVILLE              37.42N  86.49W
04/26/2011                   GRAYSON            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COUPLE OF TREES DOWN

0321 AM     TSTM WND GST     LEITCHFIELD             37.48N  86.29W
04/26/2011  M58 MPH          GRAYSON            KY   MESONET

0345 AM     TSTM WND DMG     GLASGOW                 37.00N  85.92W
04/26/2011                   BARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN GLASGOW

0417 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BARDSTOWN               37.81N  85.46W
04/26/2011                   NELSON             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW ELECTRICAL OUTAGES AND A COUPLE TREES DOWN IN
            BARDSTOWN CITY LIMITS

0428 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LEBANON                 37.57N  85.25W
04/26/2011                   MARION             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TELEPHONE POLE ABOUT TO COME DOWN... A POWER LINE DOWN

0433 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW COBURG             37.22N  85.33W
04/26/2011                   TAYLOR             KY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TAYLOR COUNTY DEPART OF HIGHWAYS HAD TO REMOVE A TREE
            FROM HIGHWAY 55 NEAR THE ADAIR COUNTY LINE.

0437 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E LITTLE MOUNT        38.07N  85.23W
04/26/2011                   SPENCER            KY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            A WELL BUILT TOBACCO BARN WAS DESTROYED AT THE 4 MILE
            MARKER ON KY 1795.

0520 AM     TSTM WND GST     7 W LEXINGTON           38.04N  84.59W
04/26/2011  M62 MPH          FAYETTE            KY   ASOS

0655 PM     HAIL             HOLLAND                 38.25N  87.04W
04/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       DUBOIS             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0655 PM     HAIL             3 N HOLLAND             38.29N  87.04W
04/26/2011  E1.75 INCH       DUBOIS             IN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            IN THE ZOAR AREA NORTH OF HOLLAND.

0709 PM     HAIL             DUNDEE                  37.55N  86.78W
04/26/2011  E1.75 INCH       OHIO               KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

0710 PM     HAIL             ST. ANTHONY             38.32N  86.83W
04/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       DUBOIS             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

0712 PM     HAIL             DUNDEE                  37.55N  86.78W
04/26/2011  E1.75 INCH       OHIO               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0722 PM     HAIL             BIRDSEYE                38.31N  86.70W
04/26/2011  E0.50 INCH       DUBOIS             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND LIKE SNOW.

0724 PM     HAIL             FORDSVILLE              37.64N  86.72W
04/26/2011  E1.75 INCH       OHIO               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0755 PM     HAIL             3 ENE SHORT CREEK       37.55N  86.43W
04/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       GRAYSON            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0756 PM     HAIL             5 SW MCDANIELS          37.55N  86.50W
04/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       GRAYSON            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0819 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNE CLARKSON          37.55N  86.19W
04/26/2011                   GRAYSON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. A HOUSE AND A BARN WERE
            DESTROYED ON THE 2900 BLOCK OF SAINT PAUL ROAD. POWER
            LINES WERE DOWNED.

0841 PM     HAIL             EASTVIEW                37.58N  86.05W
04/26/2011  E0.88 INCH       HARDIN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0850 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLENDALE                37.60N  85.92W
04/26/2011                   HARDIN             KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES WERE DOWNED ACROSS HIGH STREET.

0903 PM     HAIL             ELIZABETHTOWN           37.70N  85.87W
04/26/2011  E0.88 INCH       HARDIN             KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            ST JOHNS ROAD AND RING ROAD.

1016 PM     HAIL             BARDSTOWN               37.81N  85.46W
04/26/2011  E1.25 INCH       NELSON             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1050 PM     HAIL             3 NNE CHAPLIN           37.94N  85.20W
04/26/2011  E0.88 INCH       NELSON             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            JUST UNDER QUARTER SIZE.

1134 PM     LIGHTNING        BEAVER DAM              37.41N  86.88W
04/26/2011                   OHIO               KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PERSON STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. EXTENT OF INJURIES UNKNOWN.

1151 PM     HAIL             1 NW SUNFISH            37.31N  86.38W
04/26/2011  E1.75 INCH       EDMONSON           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1211 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FORDSVILLE              37.64N  86.72W
04/27/2011                   OHIO               KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME ROADS ARE BECOMING COVERED WITH HIGH WATER.

1225 AM     HAIL             MCDANIELS               37.60N  86.43W
04/27/2011  M0.88 INCH       BRECKINRIDGE       KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1226 AM     HAIL             CLOVERPORT              37.83N  86.63W
04/27/2011  M1.00 INCH       BRECKINRIDGE       KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1228 AM     HAIL             2 N NEW CASTLE          38.46N  85.17W
04/27/2011  M1.00 INCH       HENRY              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1229 AM     HAIL             MCQUADY                 37.70N  86.52W
04/27/2011  M1.00 INCH       BRECKINRIDGE       KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1231 AM     HAIL             BRISTOW                 38.13N  86.72W
04/27/2011  M0.50 INCH       PERRY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

1240 AM     HAIL             HARNED                  37.75N  86.42W
04/27/2011  M0.50 INCH       BRECKINRIDGE       KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

1252 AM     HAIL             SPA                     36.97N  87.00W
04/27/2011  M0.50 INCH       LOGAN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100639 LMK1100640 LMK1100629 LMK1100641 LMK1100630
LMK1100632 LMK1100631 LMK1100633 LMK1100634 LMK1100637 LMK1100635
LMK1100636 LMK1100638 LMK1100646 LMK1100645 LMK1100642 LMK1100651
LMK1100652 LMK1100648 LMK1100647 LMK1100653 LMK1100649 LMK1100650
LMK1100655 LMK1100654 LMK1100657 LMK1100656 LMK1100659 LMK1100658
LMK1100660 LMK1100661 LMK1100662 LMK1100663 LMK1100664 LMK1100665
LMK1100666 LMK1100669 LMK1100667 LMK1100668 LMK1100670 LMK1100671

SZAPPANOS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
106 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

KYZ070-270530-
LOGAN-
1206 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...SMALL
HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS...

AT 1203 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELKTON...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE
INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE...SMALL PEA
SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  RUSSELLVILLE...
  CAVE SPRINGS AND WHIPPOORWILL...
  DANBY AND EPLEYS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS.
&&

LAT...LON 3677 8707 3680 8707 3699 8707 3701 8706
      3687 8680 3665 8692 3665 8707 3666 8708
      3674 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 0505Z 213DEG 37KT 3677 8701

JDG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
125 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

INZ091-092-KYZ030-031-270600-
CLARK-FLOYD-JEFFERSON-OLDHAM-
125 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
HALF INCH HAIL...

AT 122 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PLEASURE RIDGE PARK...AND MOVING NORTH AT 40
MPH.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND HALF INCH SIZE HAIL...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  VALLEY STATION...
  ST. MATTHEWS...
  SHIVELY...
  PROSPECT...
  PLEASURE RIDGE PARK...
  LOUISVILLE BOWMAN FIELD...
  CLARKSVILLE...
  CEMENTVILLE AND WATSON...
  CLARK REGIONAL AIRPORT AND PRATHER...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
125 AND 137.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
0 AND 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3849 8584 3845 8555 3809 8570 3809 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 0524Z 196DEG 37KT 3818 8580

AML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
141 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

KYZ026-027-061-070>072-270615-
BUTLER-GRAYSON-LOGAN-OHIO-SIMPSON-WARREN-
1241 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...HALF
INCH SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS...

AT 1236 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MORGANTOWN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...HALF INCH SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40
MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  RUSSELLVILLE...
  MORGANTOWN...
  CASEY AND BANOCK...
  NEAFUS AND DOGWALK...
  STEFF AND DO STOP...
  PINE KNOB AND POST...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN KENTUCKY (FORD) PARKWAY BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 75 AND 94.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE NATCHER PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 27
AND 41.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 8705 3709 8693 3711 8690 3713 8692
      3760 8678 3748 8631 3732 8640 3732 8647
      3725 8644 3665 8676
TIME...MOT...LOC 0541Z 205DEG 36KT 3726 8668

AML

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
158 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

KYZ027-062-071-270630-
EDMONSON-GRAYSON-WARREN-
1258 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS...

AT 1254 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PLUM SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO
40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  PLUM SPRINGS...
  MOUNT VICTOR...
  LEITCHFIELD...
  DELAFIELD...
  CRESTMOOR...
  NICK AND ASPHALT...
  LINDSEYVILLE AND WINDYVILLE...
  BEE SPRING AND SWEEDEN...
  BROADWAY AND MOUTARDIER...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
22 AND 30.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE NATCHER PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 5 AND
7.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

&&

LAT...LON 3698 8658 3717 8648 3715 8646 3716 8644
      3715 8642 3717 8640 3724 8645 3760 8627
      3757 8619 3756 8611 3744 8606 3733 8613
      3733 8616 3731 8615 3688 8632
TIME...MOT...LOC 0557Z 196DEG 43KT 3707 8636

JDG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
243 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

KYZ028-270715-
HARDIN-
243 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
GUSTY WINDS...

AT 241 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF MUNFORDVILLE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE
INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE...AND GUSTY
WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THIS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  ELIZABETHTOWN...
  HARCOURT AND UPTON...
  NOLIN AND SONORA...
  GLENDALE AND HANSBROUGH...
  GAITHERS AND CECILIA...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
86 AND 94.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN KENTUCKY (FORD) PARKWAY BETWEEN
MILE MARKERS 123 AND 137.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

&&

LAT...LON 3780 8594 3777 8583 3773 8573 3764 8578
      3762 8581 3758 8583 3755 8589 3745 8589
      3744 8590 3753 8610 3755 8610
TIME...MOT...LOC 0643Z 212DEG 31KT 3746 8600

JDG