River Flood Warning 9, NWS Louisville, KY

976 
WGUS83 KLMK 260205
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
905 PM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
HART...MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODED ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC099-261605-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0008.110226T0800Z-110226T2000Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.110226T0800Z.110226T1200Z.110226T1400Z.NO/
905 PM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 28.3 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...CITY PARK UNDER US 31W BRIDGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 28.3  
  FEET ON MAR 21 2002.

$$

KYC061-261605-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110227T1232Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.110226T0513Z.110226T1800Z.110227T0632Z.NO/
905 PM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  8:45 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LOCK WALLS AND 
  SOME OF THE LOWER BANKS...CREEKS...SLOUGHS...AND SOME BOTTOMLAND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.7  
  FEET ON APR 19 1998.

$$

KYC031-227-261605-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110301T0000Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.110225T1911Z.110226T1800Z.110228T1800Z.NO/
905 PM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 39.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...LOW SPOTS ON NORTH AND SOUTH CHURCH STREETS 
  IN WOODBURY FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 39.8  
  FEET ON FEB 18 2003.

$$

KYC031-177-183-261605-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0007.110226T1100Z-110302T1100Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.110226T1100Z.110228T0600Z.110302T0500Z.NO/
905 PM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 20.2 
  FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.1  
  FEET ON DEC 20 1996.

$$

024 
WGUS83 KLMK 261559
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1059 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
HART...MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING.

&&

KYC099-270359-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-110227T0600Z/
/MFVK2.1.ER.110226T0317Z.110226T1345Z.110227T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT MUNFORDVILLE.
* AT 10:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...CITY PARK UNDER US 31W BRIDGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 29.0  
  FEET ON FEB 24 1994.

$$

KYC061-270359-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110227T2200Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.110226T0706Z.110227T0000Z.110227T1600Z.NO/
1059 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT 10:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW THE LOCK WALLS AND 
  SOME OF THE LOWER BANKS...CREEKS...SLOUGHS...AND SOME BOTTOMLAND.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 19.7  
  FEET ON APR 19 1998.

$$

KYC031-227-270359-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110303T1400Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.110225T2316Z.110227T0000Z.110303T0800Z.NO/
1059 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 39.2 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...LOW SPOTS ON NORTH AND SOUTH CHURCH STREETS 
  IN WOODBURY FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 39.0  
  FEET ON JAN 30 2009.

$$

KYC031-177-183-270359-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 20.3 
  FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.4  
  FEET ON FEB 1 2009.

$$
RL

479 
WGUS83 KLMK 270238
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
938 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
WARREN.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...MUHLENBERG...
OHIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

KYC061-271638-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110228T0200Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.110226T0706Z.110227T0600Z.110227T2000Z.NO/
938 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  8:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY
  AFTERNOON.

$$

KYC031-227-271638-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110303T2000Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.110225T2316Z.110227T0600Z.110303T1400Z.NO/
938 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.8 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...LOW SPOTS ON NORTH AND SOUTH CHURCH STREETS 
  IN WOODBURY FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 39.0  
  FEET ON JAN 30 2009.

$$

KYC031-177-183-271638-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 20.4 
  FEET EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.4  
  FEET ON FEB 1 2009.

$$

418 
WGUS83 KLMK 271552
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
1052 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE 
  GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...EDMONSON...
WARREN.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...

  GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...MUHLENBERG...
OHIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS IS 
ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO
OR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTED
BY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THIS EVENING.

&&

KYC061-280352-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110228T0800Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.110226T0706Z.110227T0830Z.110228T0200Z.NO/
1052 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TONIGHT.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.4  
  FEET ON MAR 21 1997.

$$
 
KYC031-227-280352-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110303T1700Z/
/WDBK2.1.ER.110225T2316Z.110227T1100Z.110303T1100Z.NO/
1052 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURY.
* AT  6:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...LOW SPOTS ON NORTH AND SOUTH CHURCH STREETS 
  IN WOODBURY FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 37.7  
  FEET ON MAR 21 2008.

$$

KYC031-177-183-280352-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.110228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1052 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 20.4 
  FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.4  
  FEET ON FEB 1 2009.

$$
RL

887 
WGUS83 KLMK 280220
FLSLMK
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 
920 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...EDMONSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
 
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).

THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS HIGH WATER EVENT.

&&

KYC061-280250-
/O.CAN.KLMK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110228T0800Z/
/BRNK2.1.ER.110226T0706Z.110227T0830Z.110228T0030Z.NO/
920 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GREEN RIVER AT BROWNSVILLE.
* AT  8:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  7:30 PM SUNDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 13.9 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
644 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THRU SAT NIGHT)...

DEEPENING SFC LOW WENT OVER SDF AT 07Z AND AT 08Z WAS LOCATED
BETWEEN CVG AND LEX...CONTINUING A RAPID NEWD MOVEMENT. STRONG NW/N
FLOW WAS COMING IN BEHIND THE LOW IN TIGHT GRADIENT...WINDS WILL
GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH THIS MORNING AND DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERN EDGE OF LIGHT SNOW IN WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE SHUD SPREAD EWD
FROM PARTS OF CENTRAL MO/SRN IL INTO SRN INDIANA THIS MORNING WITH
SLIMMER CHCS SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
THIS MORNING UNDER CLOUDS WITH READINGS IN THE MID/UPPER 30S BY
MIDDAY OVER MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. LOW CLOUDS WILL LINGER THRU
THE AFTERNOON AS WELL.

ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACRS OUR REGION THRU SAT AFTER SHRTWV TROF
PASSAGE THIS MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...UPPER MIDWEST HIGH PRES
WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO OUR REGION AND PREVAIL TNGT. WINDS WILL
TURN SLY SAT AND SAT NIGHT WITH A NOTICEABLE WARM-UP AND MOISTURE
RETURN IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SYSTEM ON SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY - THURSDAY)...

THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK WILL BRING AN
ACTIVE PERIOD OF WEATHER AS SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTS
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST CONUS AND GREAT PLAINS SURFACE LOW MOVES TOWARD
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. MODELS STILL DISAGREE ON THE TIMING/PLACEMENT
OF SURFACE LOW...HOWEVER BEST CHANCES FOR COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
APPEAR TO BE EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. PREFER THE FASTER
GFS SOLUTION AS IT HAS OTHER MODEL SUPPORT AND IS NOT EVEN AS FAST
AS ITS ENSEMBLE MEAN. DO NOT LIKE THE SLOWER ECMWF AS IT TENDS TO
HOLD ONTO EJECTING SOUTHWEST ENERGY TOO LONG. THEREFORE...EXPECT
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO ISENTROPIC
LIFT TO INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST ON SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY
EVENING...EXPECT LIKELY CHANCES FOR RAIN SWEEPING ACROSS THE AREA
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THOUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL ALSO BE
THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG TO
SEVERE. A 60 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH SOME
INSTABILITY EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS TO CREATE A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT. HOWEVER...AS IS GENERALLY THE CASE WITH STRONG DYNAMIC/LOW
INSTABILITY SITUATIONS...WILL THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT BE ABLE TO MIX
DOWN TO THE SURFACE THROUGH A SOMEWHAT STABLE LAYER. THE BEST CHANCE
FOR THIS TO OCCUR WILL BE IN ANY THUNDERSTORM. CANNOT RULE OUT
ISOLATED TORNADOES EITHER AS CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY BE IN THE
QLCS FORM. SPC HAS OUTLOOKED AREAS JUST TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE MENTION OF POTENTIALLY EXPANDING AN OUTLOOK
EASTWARD WITH FUTURE UPDATES. STAY TUNED. ALSO OF CONCERN WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
AS ANOTHER INCH TO POSSIBLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD FALL OVER A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. WITH OUR RECENT RAINS...FLASH FLOODING WILL
ALSO BE A THREAT.

COLD FRONT LOOKS TO SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BACK INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT BY
MONDAY NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO WATCH NON-CONVECTIVE WIND POTENTIAL ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON VERTICAL THETA SURFACES ON TIME HEIGHT CROSS
SECTIONS WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX INTO A 40 TO 50 KNOT LAYER OF WIND
JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE. ADDING TO THE WIND POTENTIAL...A DRY SLOT
HAS POTENTIAL TO WORK INTO THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON WHICH COULD
INCREASE MIX DOWN POTENTIAL.

TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL WARM NICELY INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S AS
WE STAY IN THE WARM SECTOR AND STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW ADDS A WAA
COMPONENT. SUNDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE MILD WITH LOWS ONLY DROPPING
INTO THE LOWER 50S. MONDAY WILL LIKELY FEATURE AN EARLY HIGH
TEMPERATURES WITH THE MERCURY DROPPING OFF LATER IN THE DAY AS
STRONG COLD FRONT WORKS THROUGH AND CAA COMMENCES.

MONDAY NIGHT - THURSDAY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL DOMINATE THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH FLOW TRANSITIONING TO A MORE NORTHWEST PATTERN BY
MID WEEK. EXPECT MUCH COOLER LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE MERCURY BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 30 TO 35
DEGREE RANGE. HIGHS SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE TO THE FROM THE LOW
50S ON TUESDAY TO THE MID AND UPPER 50S ON THURSDAY. THIS PORTION OF
THE FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY ASIDE FROM LINGERING SHOWERS
EAST OF I 65 ON MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAF ISSUANCE)...

DEEP SURFACE LOW QUICKLY EXITING OUR REGION...HEADED INTO NEW
ENGLAND LATER THIS MORNING. TIGHT GRADIENT BEHIND LOW HAS RESULTED
IN STRONG WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR NRN BLUEGRASS REGION
INCLUDING LEXINTON WHERE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO AROUND 40
MPH THRU MID MORNING. WINDS AT ALL SITES WILL DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY
BY MIDDAY AND BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT.

MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL THRU MUCH OF TODAY...GRADUALLY LIFTING TO VFR
BY LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM........DK
LONG TERM.........DK/BJS
AVIATION..........DK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
515 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-260945-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
515 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011 /415 AM CST FRI FEB 25 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REFER TO RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND RELATED STATEMENTS FOR UPDATED
FLOOD INFORMATION. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
WHICH COULD BRING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS.
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL HAVE TO BE
MONITORED SINCE GROUNDS ARE NOW SATURATED. GUSTY WINDS AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THE THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL TOTALS AND STORM DAMAGE
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT.

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
515 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0133 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N CAMPBELLSVILLE      37.36N  85.35W
02/25/2011                   TAYLOR             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MILLER PARK DRIVE IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100152

MJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
519 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0133 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N ELK HORN            37.40N  85.31W
02/25/2011                   TAYLOR             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PALESTINE ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100153

MJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
701 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N LEWISBURG           37.00N  86.95W
02/24/2011                   LOGAN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 431.

1042 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 W PLUM SPRINGS        37.02N  86.43W
02/24/2011  M60 MPH          WARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH GUST MEASURED AT WKY MET LAB. SUSTAINED 45 MPH.

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BOWLING GREEN           36.97N  86.44W
02/24/2011                   WARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CINDER BLOCK WALL OF A CAR WASH WAS BLOWN IN.

1110 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E FRANKLIN            36.73N  86.47W
02/24/2011                   SIMPSON            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 100.

1115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 WNW HAYWOOD           36.99N  86.08W
02/24/2011                   BARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN IN WESTERN PARTS OF BARREN COUNTY.

1115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW BON AYR            37.01N  86.12W
02/24/2011                   BARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TWO BARNS WERE DESTROYED NEAR RAILTON.

1120 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SW BON AYR            36.99N  86.14W
02/24/2011                   BARREN             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A GARAGE WAS DAMAGED ON LITTRELL ROAD.

1158 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PERRYVILLE              37.65N  84.95W
02/24/2011                   BOYLE              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREES DOWN ON BATTLEFIELD ROAD IN THE PARK. SOME
            OF THE TREES ARE UP TO 22 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBIA                37.10N  85.31W
02/25/2011                   ADAIR              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN.

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBIA                37.10N  85.31W
02/25/2011                   ADAIR              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES WERE DOWNED ACROSS MAIN ROADWAYS IN AND NEAR
            COLUMBIA.

1207 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N DANVILLE            37.70N  84.77W
02/25/2011                   BOYLE              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES WERE DOWNED ON HIGHWAY 33 NEAR THE MERCER COUNTY
            LINE.

1220 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SSE HALFWAY           36.74N  86.28W
02/25/2011                   ALLEN              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            OLD FRANKLIN ROAD CLOSED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS DUE TO
            FLOODING

1223 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 SSE ARGYLE            37.20N  84.81W
02/25/2011  E60 MPH          CASEY              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WITH
            STRONGER GUSTS.

1225 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE TEMPLE HILL       36.90N  85.83W
02/25/2011                   BARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BULLDOG ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1225 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW MT. HERMAN        36.84N  85.79W
02/25/2011                   BARREN             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CRABTREE ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE JAMESTOWN         37.00N  85.06W
02/25/2011                   RUSSELL            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HALF ACRE ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N SALEM               37.09N  84.98W
02/25/2011                   RUSSELL            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MOUNT EDEN ROAD IS PARTIALLY CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0133 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N CAMPBELLSVILLE      37.36N  85.35W
02/25/2011                   TAYLOR             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MILLER PARK DRIVE IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0133 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N ELK HORN            37.40N  85.31W
02/25/2011                   TAYLOR             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PALESTINE ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100134 LMK1100136 LMK1100146 LMK1100137 LMK1100138
LMK1100140 LMK1100139 LMK1100143 LMK1100141 LMK1100145 LMK1100144
LMK1100147 LMK1100142 LMK1100148 LMK1100149 LMK1100150 LMK1100151
LMK1100152 LMK1100153

SZAPPANOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
822 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAGNOLIA                37.45N  85.75W
02/24/2011                   LARUE              KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            BARN ROOF DAMAGE ON PARKERS GROVE ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100154

CMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
828 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N MAGNOLIA            37.46N  85.75W
02/24/2011                   LARUE              KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            BARN ROOF DAMAGE NEAR CHARLIE RAGLAND ROAD AND US 31E

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100155

CMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1028 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0956 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S WELCHS CREEK        37.31N  86.57W
02/24/2011                   BUTLER             KY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            BUTLER COUNTY DEPARTMENT OF HIGHWAYS REPORTED TREES
            ACROSS AL EMERY ROAD AND BROOKLYN CHAPEL ROAD NEAR
            BROOKLYN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100156

SCHOETTMER