Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS New Orleans, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
101 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

.AVIATION...
...18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH
18Z TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR VISIBILITIES DUE TO LIGHT FOG OR HAZE
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM 11Z TUESDAY TIL MID MORNING TUESDAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
COULD IMPACT ANY OF THE TERMINALS...ESPECIALLY BTR...MCB...ASD AND
HSA...SO INSERTED TEMPO TS 19Z-23Z THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...CONVECTION COVERAGE WILL BE SPARSE AND USE VICINITY
FOR MSY...HUM...GPT AND NEW.

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1104 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-071200-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1104 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL WATERS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE.

AN OZONE ACTION DAY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BATON ROUGE AREA THROUGH
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
HOT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HEAT INDEX
READINGS NEAR 105 DEGREES POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL.

FLOOD WARNINGS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SEVERAL POINTS ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI AND ATCHAFALAYA RIVERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LAZ046-048>050-061915-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
118 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST AFFECTING ASCENSION
PARISH...EAST BATON ROUGE PARISH...LIVINGSTON PARISH...IBERVILLE
PARISH...

AT 112 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 6 MILES EAST OF OAK HILLS PLACE...OR
ABOUT 6 MILES NORTH OF PRAIRIEVILLE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

THE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND
AROUND...DENHAM SPRINGS...BATON ROUGE AIRPORT...WESTMINSTER...OAK
HILLS PLACE...GARDERE AND BATON ROUGE

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SUB SEVERE HAIL UP TO
NICKEL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE
LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE
HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

LAZ040-MSZ080-061915-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
119 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST AFFECTING HANCOCK
COUNTY...ST. TAMMANY PARISH...

AT 112 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 10 MILES EAST OF SLIDELL...OR ABOUT 3
MILES NORTH OF PEARLINGTON...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

THE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND
AROUND...STENNIS SPACE CENTER...SLIDELL AIRPORT...SLIDELL...PEARL
RIVER AND EDEN ISLE

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE SUB SEVERE HAIL UP TO
NICKEL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE
LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE
HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN PONDING OF WATER AROUND LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO WATER COVERED
ROADWAYS. THE DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW A SAFE CROSSING.

LAZ050-072-061930-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
129 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WEST AFFECTING LIVINGSTON
PARISH...TANGIPAHOA PARISH...

AT 124 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR HAMMOND...OR ABOUT 4 MILES
NORTHEAST OF PONCHATOULA...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

THE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND
AROUND...HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...SPRINGFIELD AND KILLIAN

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR
BUILDING UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.