Special Marine Warning 39, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
347 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST AREA IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH AND TUTT LOW OVER THE GULF. IN BETWEEN A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE WITH PWAT NEAR 2 INCHES AND LAPS
CAPES OVER 3K J/KG. TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100
THIS AFTERNOON...WELL ABOVE TRIGGER TEMPERATURES...AND SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW PEPPERING THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE HIGH
INSTABILITY...WELL MIXED ATMOSPHERE...AND WEAK SHEAR...POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG/SEVERE HAIL AND DOWN BURST WINDS. THIS ACTIVITY LOOKS
TO BE MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN TODAY...AND SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL
SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP 30 POP GOING INTO THE EVENING.

ON TUESDAY...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. ALSO...A SHORT WAVE IS NOTED TO COME AROUND THE
RIDGE LATE ON TUESDAY. THESE FEATURES SHOULD HELP KICK-OFF MORE
CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING HOURS. SO WILL HAVE
ANOTHER 30 POP FOR TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING.

AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT BY LATER IN THE WEEK...AND THUS
POPS WILL BE TRIMMED BACK TO ISOLATED AT BEST FOR WEDNESDAY AND
ONWARD.

RUA

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT ONSHORE DURING THE WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF.

RUA

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING...AND THEN AGAIN ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING...AS A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS WILL BE IN PLACE. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING ALONG WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. LOCALIZED LOCATIONS
WILL RECEIVE SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAIN TO BRIEFLY WET GROUND
FUELS...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO
BREAK THE DROUGHT. AWAY FROM THE STORMS...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER
WILL REMAIN WITH HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY GROUND FUELS...AND ERRATIC
WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

RUA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  75  95  74  92  73 /  30  30  30  20  10
KBPT  75  94  74  92  74 /  30  30  30  20  10
KAEX  71  98  71  95  72 /  30  30  30  20  10
KLFT  74  96  73  93  73 /  30  30  30  20  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
445 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-070945-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
445 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. STRONGER
STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY. COMBINED WITH THE HUMIDITY...APPARENT
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES DURING PEAK
HEATING. INDIVIDUALS ARE URGED TO USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
AND DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE DUE TO VERY DRY GROUND FUELS
AND LOW DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY
EVENING. STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM
WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE DUE TO VERY DRY GROUND FUELS
AND LOW DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-070945-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
445 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT. STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

05

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>