Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Jackson, KY

357 
WWUS53 KJKL 042214 RRA
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
614 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYC025-193-042224-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
BREATHITT KY-PERRY KY-
614 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL PERRY AND
EASTERN BREATHITT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3736 8289 3773 8294 3787 8242
      3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232 3767 8229
      3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218 3760 8216
      3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206 3756 8204
      3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 260DEG 61KT 3746 8278

$$

KYC071-115-119-153-159-195-042245-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-MAGOFFIN KY-FLOYD KY-PIKE KY-KNOTT KY-
614 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL
KNOTT...PIKE...FLOYD...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MAGOFFIN...SOUTHERN
MARTIN AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 612 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.  THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR ESTILL...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF HINDMAN...MOVING
EAST AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OSBORN...GRETHEL...CRAYNOR AND GALVESTON AROUND 620 PM EDT.
  PIKEVILLE...COAL RUN...BOLDMAN AND SHELBIANA AROUND 625 PM EDT.
  RACCOON...ZEBULON...CHLOE AND META AROUND 630 PM EDT.
  KIMPER...PHYLLIS AND CANADA AROUND 635 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS EXHIBITED SOME WEAK ROTATION. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP
QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE... SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN OCCASSIONALY PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES IN
ADDITION TO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3736 8289 3773 8294 3787 8242
      3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232 3767 8229
      3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218 3760 8216
      3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206 3756 8204
      3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 260DEG 61KT 3746 8278
WIND...HAIL 80MPH 1.00IN

$$

GREIF

526 
WWUS53 KJKL 042216
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
616 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYC193-042226-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
PERRY KY-
616 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3738 8296 3771 8298 3787 8242
      3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232 3767 8229
      3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218 3760 8216
      3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206 3756 8204
      3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8261 3752 8271
          3735 8274

$$

KYC025-071-115-119-153-159-195-042245-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-MAGOFFIN KY-FLOYD KY-PIKE KY-BREATHITT KY-
KNOTT KY-
616 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
KNOTT...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL BREATHITT...PIKE...FLOYD...SOUTHEASTERN
MAGOFFIN...SOUTHERN MARTIN AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL
645 PM EDT...

AT 612 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM DICKS CREEK TO LANGLEY TO KITE...MOVING EAST AT 60
MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAURA...COALPOINT...PILGRIM AND LOVELY AROUND 625 PM EDT.
  HATFIELD STATION...WHITEPOST...OPPY AND ZEBULON AROUND 630 PM EDT.
  TURKEY CREEK...PHYLLIS...KIMPER AND HUDDY AROUND 635 PM EDT.
  MOUTHCARD...MCANDREWS AND HARDY AROUND 640 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3738 8296 3771 8298 3787 8242
      3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232 3767 8229
      3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218 3760 8216
      3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206 3756 8204
      3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8261 3752 8271
          3735 8274
WIND...HAIL 70MPH 0.88IN

$$

PELTON

386 
WWUS53 KJKL 042222
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
622 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYC025-153-042232-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
MAGOFFIN KY-BREATHITT KY-
622 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BREATHITT AND MAGOFFIN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3738 8280 3755 8280 3776 8280
      3787 8242 3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232
      3767 8229 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8249 3752 8260
          3735 8263

$$

KYC071-115-119-159-195-042245-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-FLOYD KY-PIKE KY-KNOTT KY-
622 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL
KNOTT...PIKE...EASTERN FLOYD...SOUTHERN MARTIN AND SOUTHEASTERN
JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 620 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MOREE TO ALUBA TO MELVIN...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  HATFIELD STATION...WHITEPOST...OPPY AND ZEBULON AROUND 630 PM EDT.
  TURKEY CREEK...PHYLLIS...KIMPER AND HUDDY AROUND 635 PM EDT.
  MOUTHCARD...MCANDREWS...HARDY AND FEDSCREEK AROUND 640 PM EDT.
  JAMBOREE...MAJESTIC AND PAW PAW AROUND 645 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3738 8280 3755 8280 3776 8280
      3787 8242 3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232
      3767 8229 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8249 3752 8260
          3735 8263
WIND...HAIL 70MPH 0.88IN

$$

PELTON

250 
WWUS53 KJKL 042226
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
626 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYC119-042236-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
KNOTT KY-
626 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL KNOTT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3738 8270 3755 8270 3776 8271
      3787 8242 3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232
      3767 8229 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8241 3752 8252
          3735 8256

$$

KYC071-115-159-195-042245-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
JOHNSON KY-MARTIN KY-FLOYD KY-PIKE KY-
626 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PIKE...EASTERN
FLOYD...SOUTHERN MARTIN AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 645
PM EDT...

AT 625 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM LAURA TO COAL RUN TO VIRGIE...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  TURKEY CREEK...PHYLLIS...KIMPER AND HUDDY AROUND 635 PM EDT.
  MOUTHCARD...MCANDREWS...HARDY AND FEDSCREEK AROUND 640 PM EDT.
  JAMBOREE...MAJESTIC...PAW PAW AND WOODMAN AROUND 645 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8218 3738 8270 3755 8270 3776 8271
      3787 8242 3782 8240 3777 8232 3773 8232
      3767 8229 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8197 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8241 3752 8252
          3735 8256
WIND...HAIL 70MPH 0.88IN

$$

PELTON

627 
WWUS53 KJKL 042239
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
639 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYC071-115-042249-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
JOHNSON KY-FLOYD KY-
639 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN FLOYD AND SOUTHEASTERN
JOHNSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3737 8219 3737 8246 3768 8250 3775 8232
      3768 8230 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8198 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8216 3752 8227
          3735 8232

$$

KYC159-195-042245-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
MARTIN KY-PIKE KY-
639 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
PIKE AND SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 637 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM DELBARTON TO KIMPER TO BELCHER...MOVING EAST AT 60
MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PHELPS...JAMBOREE...MAJESTIC AND PAW PAW AROUND 645 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 8219 3737 8246 3768 8250 3775 8232
      3768 8230 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8198 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 268DEG 54KT 3771 8216 3752 8227
          3735 8232
WIND...HAIL 70MPH 0.88IN

$$

PELTON

418 
WWUS53 KJKL 042247
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
647 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYC159-195-042257-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110404T2245Z/
MARTIN KY-PIKE KY-
647 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PIKE AND
SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

PORTIONS OF THIS WARNING HAVE BEEN REPLACED BY TORNADO WARNINGS. 
PLEASE REFER TO THAT BULLETIN FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER 
INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3737 8219 3737 8246 3768 8250 3775 8232
      3768 8230 3766 8224 3763 8221 3764 8218
      3760 8216 3759 8213 3756 8213 3754 8206
      3756 8204 3754 8203 3755 8198 3753 8196
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 268DEG 54KT 3770 8216 3751 8227
          3734 8232

$$

PELTON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
206 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...UPDATED

SURFACE ANALYSIS AS OF 1730Z HAS THE COLD FRONT JUST CROSSING INTO
WESTERN KENTUCKY WITH THE ASSOCIATED LINE OF STORMS QUICKLY
APPROACHING I-75 WITH ONSET IN JUST 1 TO 2 HOURS. WINDS REMAIN STRONG
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. CONTINUING WITH A 3 PM TO 4
PM TIMING FOR CROSSING INTO THE JKL COUNTY WARNING AREA. AT THIS
TIME...THERE IS STILL SOME PEAKS OF SUN IN OUR EASTERN CWA. THIS HAS
ALLOWED SOME INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA FAVORABLE FOR
SOME INTENSIFICATION TO THE APPROACHING LINE OF STORMS.
THEREFORE...WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WITH HEAVY
RAIN AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. SOME GOOD SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT THIS
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SO THE TORNADO THREAT CAN'T BE RULED OUT.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE NO SO ABUNDANT INSTABILITY...EXPECT THE STRONGER
STORMS TO BE EARLIER IN THE DAY.

WITH PWATS OF 1.2 TO 1.4 APPROACHING THE AREA...SOME QUICK HEAVY
RAINS WILL STILL BE LIKELY. THIS STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OR
PRODUCING AROUND AN INCH OF QPF ACROSS THE AREA.

TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATE FRONTAL PASSAGE
AROUND 03Z WITH WINDS SLACKING OFF SHORTLY AFTER. WHILE SOME SHOWERS
WILL STILL BE AROUND BEHIND THE FRONT...THINK THERE WILL BE A
DEFINITE ENDING TO PRECIP BY TUESDAY NOON.

.LONG TERM.../TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...UPDATED

THE MODELS THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE AND LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST CONTINUE TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT ALOFT ADVERTISING A
PATTERN CHANGE THAT WILL FAVOR RIDGING IN THE SOUTHEAST AND
TROUGHING TO THE WEST. AS SUCH...THE EASTERN TROUGH WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY ALLOWING THE PATTERN TO FLATTEN AND BECOME
MORE RIDGE-LIKE OVER THE MIDWEST AND EAST TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.
THE RIDGE THEN HOLDS ITS OWN OVERHEAD INTO THURSDAY BEFORE
AMPLIFYING AND STRENGTHENING LOCALLY IN RESPONSE TO A LARGE TROUGH
DIVING INTO THE GREAT BASIN OUT WEST. AT THIS POINT THE MODEL
AGREEMENT STARTS TO WANE WITH THE GFS TAKING A BATCH OF ENERGY OUT
AHEAD OF THE WESTERN TROUGH AND INTO THE MIDWEST...THURSDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF FRIDAY...THAT WILL FLATTEN THE NORTHERN
EXTENT OF THE RIDGE WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS THIS ENERGY AND ITS AFFECT
ON THE RIDGE MUCH LESS SUBSTANTIAL. AS THE MAIN TROUGH SETTLES DEEP
INTO THE WESTERN UNITED STATES...ENERGY PACKETS WILL SWEEP NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE PLAINS AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY JUST ABOVE THE RIDGE
LATER FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. THE RIDGE SHOULD PROVIDE SOME
MODICUM OF PROTECTION FROM CONVECTION THROUGHOUT EAST KENTUCKY INTO
THE WEEKEND...BUT ON THE FLIP SIDE ITS NORTHERN EXTENT WILL ALSO
SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL MCS ACTIVITY...ANY OF WHICH COULD
BRUSH SOUTH AND INTO EAST KENTUCKY. LATER INTO THE WEEKEND THE UPPER
TROUGH TO THE WEST WILL START TO WORK ITS WAY EAST AND LIKEWISE SEND
MORE ENERGY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS TROUGH IS MORE PROGRESSIVE IN
THE LATEST GFS THAN THE PREFERRED EARLIER ECMWF. FOLLOWING THE
SLOWER SOLUTION...THE UPPER RIDGE SHOULD HOLD OVER EAST KENTUCKY
INTO MONDAY...THOUGH THE TROUGH WILL LIKELY BE IMPINGING ON THE AREA
BY THE END OF THE FORECAST...MONDAY. FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE
FORECAST...ESSENTIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK
WEEK...HAVE GONE WITH AN EVENLY BLENDED SOLUTION FROM THE GFS AND
ECMWF FOLLOWED BY A LARGER LEAN TOWARD THE ECMWF FOR THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT MONDAY.

SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A WARM AND LATE SPRING-LIKE PATTERN
WITH A DIURNAL COMPONENT TO POP CHANCES FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE
FORECAST AS MOST SYNOPTIC FEATURES WILL BE JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. A
BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
NATION ON WEDNESDAY WHILE THE STORM TRACK AND A DEVELOPING BOUNDARY
WILL BE FOUND FURTHER TO THE NORTH...CLOSER TO THE GREAT LAKES. A
PASSING SFC WAVE SHOULD MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST WITH LITTLE IMPACT
TO THE AREA OTHER THAN AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
BY MIDDAY THURSDAY THE SOUTHEAST HIGH WILL HAVE WEAKENED AND MOVED
EAST ALLOWING FOR A RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY AND WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY. AT THE SAME TIME...GENERAL LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF CONVECTION
MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CWA FOR THE BULK OF THE DAY THURSDAY...
THOUGH A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA BY
FRIDAY MORNING AND WARRANTS A SMALL CHANCE OF CONVECTION. IN THE
WARM AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT SOUTH OF THIS STRENGTHENING
BOUNDARY...MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND. EVEN SO...THE BULK
OF THE AREA WILL PROBABLY STAY DRY...EXCEPT IF A DECENT MCS IS ABLE
TO DEVELOP AND IGNORE THE MEAGER PROTECTION OFFERED BY THE UPPER
RIDGE AND WEAK SFC HIGH PRESSURE. SINCE MCS ACTIVITY IS HARD TO TIME
THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST HAVE HAD TO RELUCTANTLY INCLUDE LOW
CHANCE POPS THROUGH MUCH OF THE LATTER PART OF THE EXTENDED. LATER
ON FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...THE EASTWARD DRIFTING UPPER
TROUGH WILL SPAWN A SFC LOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND A COLD
FRONT FROM THIS MAY THREATEN THE AREA ON MONDAY. WITH CONFIDENCE IN
THIS SPECIFIC SOLUTION RATHER LOW WILL MAINTAIN A SMALL CHANCE OF
CONVECTION AND TEMPERATURES ON THE WARM SIDE OF NORMAL.

FOR TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY CONCURRED WITH THE NUMBERS FROM HPC AND
ADDED MAINLY TERRAIN BASED ADJUSTMENTS TO THEM AT NIGHT...
ANTICIPATING A FAIRLY NORMAL RIDGE TO VALLEY TEMPERATURE SPLIT EACH
NIGHT. AS FOR POPS...CONTINUED TO UNDERCUT THE MEX NUMBERS UNTIL
THERE APPEARS MORE DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT ON THE SUB SYNOPTIC FEATURES
THAT WOULD AFFECT THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF CONVECTION THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/

WINDS ACROSS THE AREA WERE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND GUSTING TO 25 TO
30 KNOTS AS OF 16Z. THE COLD FRONT WAS STILL OUT WEST JUST CROSSING
THE IL/KY STATE LINE WITH A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF
THE FRONT INTO WESTERN KY AND CENTRAL IN. STILL EXPECTING INCREASE IN
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH AND LINE OF STORMS BY 18Z
TO 20Z. THEREFORE...EXPRESSED THAT IN THE TAFS WITH A SLIGHTLY SOONER
ARRIVAL TIME FOR LOZ AND SME. PRETTY MUCH MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS
WILL LAST THROUGH THE EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR BY 03Z TONIGHT WITH THE
ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO THE AREA
BETWEEN 12Z AND 14Z.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...SHALLENBERGER
LONG TERM...GREIF
AVIATION...SHALLENBERGER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-104-106>117-119-120-
052245-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-
CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...
BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 94 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SOME
STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER
THIS EVENING.

KYZ088-118-052245-
HARLAN-LETCHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...WHITESBURG
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 94 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 50 MPH THIS EVENING ON EXPOSED HIGH
ELEVATION RIDGES...AND UP TO 45 MPH IN THE VALLEYS THIS EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. SOME
STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER
THIS EVENING.

AR/SHALLENBERGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
524 PM EDT MON APR 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     LONDON                  37.13N 84.08W
04/04/2011                   LAUREL             KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD WAS TRAVELING NORTHEAST.

&&

JCARICO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
530 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

KYZ106>110-112-042215-
JOHNSON-MORGAN-MAGOFFIN-WOLFE-FLOYD-BREATHITT-
530 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 615 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING...

   SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN...
   JOHNSON...
   MAGOFFIN...
   EAST CENTRAL WOLFE...
   NORTHWESTERN FLOYD AND
   NORTH CENTRAL BREATHITT.

AT 530 PM EDT...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED NEAR ROSEFORK...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF JACKSON...MOVING EAST AT
55 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...STELLA AROUND
535 PM EDT...GULLETT AROUND 540 PM EDT...STRINGTOWN AROUND 545 PM
EDT...BALLOT AROUND 550 PM EDT...AND FITZ AROUND 555 PM EDT.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE
INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT MONDAY
EVENING FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY.

GREIF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
541 PM EDT MON APR 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIAMSBURG            36.74N 84.17W
04/04/2011                   WHITLEY            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES, POWERLINES AND BUILDINGS DAMAGED AT TACKETCREEK
            ROAD. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIAMSBURG            36.74N 84.17W
04/04/2011                   WHITLEY            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES, POWERLINES AND BUILDINGS DAMAGED ON BARN HILL
            ROAD. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0505 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILLIAMSBURG            36.74N 84.17W
04/04/2011                   WHITLEY            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BARN LEVELED ON BRAY CHAPEL ROAD. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0528 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CORBIN                  36.94N 84.11W
04/04/2011                   WHITLEY            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *** 1 INJ *** TREE DOWN ON VEHICLE. DRIVER INJURED.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
542 PM EDT MON APR 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SCIENCE HILL            37.18N 84.64W
04/04/2011                   PULASKI            KY   PUBLIC

            CARPORT BLOWN OVER AND DESTROYED NEAR INTERSECTION OF 27
            AND 635.

&&

JCARICO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
544 PM EDT MON APR 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 E BARBOURVILLE        36.87N 83.83W
04/04/2011  M59 MPH          KNOX               KY   MESONET

&&

DSHALLEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
546 PM EDT MON APR 04 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     TSTM WND GST     BARBOURVILLE            36.87N 83.88W
04/04/2011  E65 MPH          KNOX               KY   PUBLIC

            EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 501 AND 516 PM.

&&

JCARICO