Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
935 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

.UPDATE...SEVERE WEATHER EVENT HAS ENDED...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT FORMS
MAY BECOME STRONG...WITH THE MAIN CONCERN OF HAIL AS TEMPERATURES
ALOFT ARE QUITE COLD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY INCREASE LATE TONIGHT OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY
FROM GAINESVILLE SOUTHWARD AS STRONG DYNAMICS (I.E., 700/300 MB
COUPLET) RE-ESTABLISHES. ZFP HAS BEEN UPDATED.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOW CEILINGS WILL FIRST IMPACT SSI TONIGHT ON NORTHEAST WINDS
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. VLIFR CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THERE LATE
TONIGHT. LOW CEILINGS WILL THEN SPREAD OVER THE JACKSONVILLE AREA
TERMINALS MONDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM IMPACTS
WILL BE AT GNV TOMORROW.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME NE LATE TONIGHT OVER GA WATERS
AND MONDAY OVER NE FL WATERS AS COLD FRONT MOVES DOWN THE COAST.
WILL CONTINUE TO USE NAM12 WINDS WHICH ARE A LITTLE FASTER THAN
GFS WITH FRONTAL POSITION. NO HEADLINES WILL BE NEEDED. FORECAST
IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE WITH THE EVENING
FORECAST PACKAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  57  69  49  70 /  30  40  20  20
SSI  60  67  53  67 /  60  40  20  20
JAX  62  75  55  71 /  50  50  30  20
SGJ  64  74  59  71 /  50  60  30  30
GNV  62  79  58  76 /  60  70  30  20
OCF  62  80  61  79 /  60  70  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

ZAPPE/SHULER/WALKER

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
948 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 PM     HAIL             1 ESE PATTERSON         31.38N 82.13W
03/27/2011  E0.88 INCH       PIERCE             GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            5871 EAST MAIN ST NEAR DOWNTOWN PATTERSON SPOTTER REPORTS
            NICKLE SIZE HAIL

0240 PM     HAIL             3 W HORTENSE            31.33N 82.01W
03/27/2011  M1.75 INCH       BRANTLEY           GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL LASTED FOR 7 MINUTES AND COMPLETELY
            COVERED THE GROUND.

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HORTENSE                31.33N 81.96W
03/27/2011                   BRANTLEY           GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN IN HORTENSE...INCLUDING
            2 LARGE OAK TREES DOWN ON CHURCH ROAD.

0436 PM     HAIL             HAZLEHURST              31.87N 82.60W
03/27/2011  E1.00 INCH       JEFF DAVIS         GA   PUBLIC

            112 SOUTH TALLAHASSEE ST NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0446 PM     HAIL             HAZLEHURST              31.87N 82.60W
03/27/2011  E0.75 INCH       JEFF DAVIS         GA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT 8 PUBLIC SAFETY DR 911 CENTER

&&

SHULER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1009 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     WILDFIRE         10 NW HOMERVILLE        31.13N 82.89W
03/27/2011                   CLINCH             GA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            ARABIA BAY WILDFIRE NOW 45 PERCENT CONTAINED. RESIDENTS
            EVACUATED SATURDAY EVENING HAVE RETURNED TO THEIR HOMES.

0700 PM     WILDFIRE         3 ESE NICHOLLS          31.50N 82.59W
03/27/2011                   BACON              GA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            SESSOMS COMMUNITY WILDFIRE NOW AT 22,250 ACRES BURNED
            ACROSS SOUTHWEST BACON AND NORTHERN WARE COUNTIES. THE
            FIRE IS NOW 45 PERCENT CONTAINED.

0700 PM     WILDFIRE         3 SSW BROXTON           31.58N 82.91W
03/27/2011                   COFFEE             GA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            THE MOSELEY ROAD WILDFIRE HAS BURNED 1595 ACRES AND IS
            NOW 90 PERCENT CONTAINED.

0700 PM     WILDFIRE         SE WAVERLY              31.09N 81.72W
03/27/2011                   CAMDEN             GA   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            THE MARY FIELDS PLANTATION WILDFIRE IN MOSTLY MARSH AREAS
            SOUTHWEST OF KINGSLAND HAS BURNED 2500 ACRES AND IS NOW
            25 PERCENT CONTAINED.

&&

SHULER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
245 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

FLZ035-036-280730-
ALACHUA-GILCHRIST-
245 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN ALACHUA
AND GILCHRIST COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND HAIL VALID UNTIL 330 AM
EDT...

AT 243 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TRENTON...OR 11
MILES SOUTH OF CROSS CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND TRENTON...BELL AND NEWBERRY
THROUGH 330 AM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM EDT MONDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 2966 8295 2969 8296 2975 8294 2976 8295
      2990 8280 2963 8242 2954 8266 2956 8267
      2956 8275 2958 8278 2960 8295 2964 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 0643Z 241DEG 36KT 2949 8306

SHASHY