Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Jackson, MS

March 8, 2011Clay County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2011, 8:12 AM CST for Clay County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 11, 2011, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 8, 2011, 8:12 AM CST (14:12 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 11, 2011, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 11, 2011, 8:30 AM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tibbee Creek near Tibbee (TBBM6).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
23 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02441000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

543 
WGUS44 KJAN 081413
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
812 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-092012-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T1100Z-110312T0712Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T1100Z.110311T0600Z.110312T0112Z.NO/
812 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE RISING TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING. IT WILL CREST NEAR 23.8 FEET EARLY ON FRIDAY.
  THE CREEK WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  16.2 TUE  7 AM  18.0  23.1  23.7  23.8 FRI 12 AM

$$
8 follow-up statements
784 
WGUS84 KJAN 090233
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
833 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011




...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-100833-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T0712Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T0712Z.110311T0000Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
833 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  16.5 TUE 07 PM  16.7  23.4  23.9  24.0 FRI 12 AM

$$
812 
WGUS84 KJAN 091528
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 
  LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-102128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T0130Z-110312T0600Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T0130Z.110310T1800Z.110312T0000Z.NO/
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  18.6 WED 08 AM  24.0  23.9  21.6  24.3 THU 12 PM

$$

MSC103-102128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0019.110309T2012Z-110312T1100Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110309T2012Z.110310T1800Z.110312T0500Z.NO/
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.1 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON           26  23.8 WED 09 AM  29.0  27.8  25.2  29.1 THU 12 PM

$$

MSC087-102128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0024.110310T0345Z-110313T0200Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T0345Z.110311T0600Z.110312T2000Z.NO/
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
  MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF 
  COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR 
  STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
  YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE 
  STEENS AREA
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING 
  AREAS NORTH OF COLUMBUS


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS        15  11.1 WED 07 AM  17.0  19.0  16.3  19.2 FRI 12 AM

$$
777 
WGUS84 KJAN 092316
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
   MISSISSIPPI...

   *TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

   *NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 

   *LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-110516-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T1500Z-110311T1930Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T1500Z.110311T0000Z.110311T1330Z.NO/
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  19.7 WED 04 PM  22.9  23.1  20.4  23.3 THU 06 PM

$$

MSC103-110516-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110312T2300Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110310T0000Z.110311T0000Z.110312T1700Z.NO/
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  5:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON           26  25.7 WED 05 PM  27.7  28.4  26.5  28.5 THU 06 PM

$$

MSC087-110516-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0024.110310T1132Z-110312T1525Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T1132Z.110311T1200Z.110312T0925Z.NO/
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
  MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF 
  COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR 
  STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
  YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE 
  STEENS AREA
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING 
  AREAS NORTH OF COLUMBUS


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS        15  12.6 WED 03 PM  15.1  17.1  14.7  17.1 FRI 06 AM

$$
268 
WGUS84 KJAN 100236
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
   MISSISSIPPI...


  *TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

  *NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 

  *LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-110836-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110311T1800Z-110312T1500Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110311T1800Z.110312T0000Z.110312T0900Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  19.9 WED 07 PM  22.2  22.9  22.9  23.1 SAT 12 AM

$$

MSC103-110836-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110312T0600Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110310T0103Z.110310T1200Z.110312T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.1 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON           26  26.1 WED 08 PM  27.1  26.5  24.9  27.1 THU 06 AM

$$

MSC087-110836-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0024.110310T1030Z-110312T1715Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T1030Z.110311T0600Z.110312T1115Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
  MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF 
  COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS        15  13.4 WED 07 PM  15.3  17.1  14.9  17.2 FRI 12 AM

$$

JA
823 
WGUS84 KJAN 101016
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
416 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 AM.

&&

MSC025-111616-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110312T0000Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110312T0000Z.110312T0000Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
416 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 3:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET AND RISING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  21.3 THU  3 AM  22.9  22.9  21.9  23.0 SAT 12 AM

$$
065 
WGUS84 KJAN 101641
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1041 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-112241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110311T0600Z-110313T0112Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110311T0600Z.110311T1800Z.110312T1912Z.NO/
1041 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...TIBBEE CREEK WILL CONTINUE RISING TO FLOOD STAGE BY
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST OF AROUND 23.4
  FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  21.8 THU  9 AM  23.2  23.2  21.3  23.4 FRI 12 PM

$$
802 
WGUS84 KJAN 110117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
   MISSISSIPPI...

   *TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

   *NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 

   *LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-120717-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110311T1800Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110311T1800Z.110311T1800Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  22.6 THU 06 PM  22.9  22.8  19.0  23.0 FRI 12 PM

$$

MSC103-120716-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110313T0712Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110310T0103Z.110311T0600Z.110313T0112Z.NO/
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON           26  28.6 THU 07 PM  29.0  27.8  25.1  29.0 FRI 06 AM

$$

MSC087-120716-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110312T1800Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T1015Z.110311T0600Z.110312T1200Z.NO/
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.4 FEET BY 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
  MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF 
  COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR 
  STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
  YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE 
  STEENS AREA

&&

              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS        15  17.1 THU 03 PM  17.3  15.0  11.7  17.4 FRI 12 AM

$$
886 
WGUS84 KJAN 111430
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
830 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-111500-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE.
* AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 22.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 22.1 FEET BY 7AM SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST DAY  TIME

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE          23  22.7 FRI 07 AM  22.1  18.5  14.0  22.7 FRI 12 PM

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 4:30 AM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 4:30 AM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
430 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

..SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MODEL CONSENSUS
THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING LATER TODAY IN THE WEST AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT AS WELL. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS A POTENT SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST OF THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION THAT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY
THEN NORTHEAST TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. IN
RESPONSE THE SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY AND BE OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE NORTHEAST DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR CWA
WEDNESDAY. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL WORK TO INCREASE DEEP MOISTURE INTO OUR REGION WITH PWS
INCREASING TO AN INCH AND A HALF AS FAR NORTH AS THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR BY THIS EVENING. SURFACE DEW POINTS RUNNING IN THE LOW TO
MID 40S THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE LOWER 60S
ACROSS MOST OF OUR AREA THIS EVENING. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL
LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LARGELY CAPPED BUT A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE MAY BECOME
STRONG AND PRODUCE HAIL. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT. AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM THIS EVENING...THE WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTH AND TRIGGER CONVECTION. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN AN ENVIRONMENT DEPICTED BY ELONGATED/STRONGLY CURVED
HODOGRAPHS IN THE LOWEST FEW KMS THAT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES. MODELS CONTINUE TO PROG 0-1KM SRH OF
300-400M2/S2 CONDUCIVE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TORNADOES.
THIS CONVECTION MAY CONGEAL INTO AN MCS AND SPREAD TO THE NORTHEAST
ACROSS OUR AREA. HAIL THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE GFS AND NAM ARE FAIRLY
SIMILAR WITH THE ACTIVITY FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THE 00Z ECMWF
HINTS AT AN MCS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA THAT TRACKS TO THE
EAST SOUTHEAST AND POTENTIALLY LIMITS THE NORTHWARD EXTENT OF DEEP
MOISTURE. WL CONTINUE LEANING TOWARD MODEL CONSENSUS WHICH SUGGESTED
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPMENT OVER OUR AREA AS THE LARGE
COMPLEX OF STORMS SPREADS NORTHEAST FROM SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE CWA.
AREAS ALONG AND TO THE SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE LOOK TO HAVE THE
GREATEST RISK OF SEEING WIDESPREAD 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES OR MORE. MUCH OF THIS SAME AREA RECEIVED SEVERAL
INCHES OF RAIN LAST SATURDAY AND WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE FOR FLOODING
AND/OR FLASH FLOODING. WL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT IS IN
EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE
OF THE DELTA REGION. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF OUR CWA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO CLEARING SKIES
ALTHOUGH THE CLEARING MAY BE BRIEF AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER OUR AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL
SHIFT EAST OF OUR CWA THURSDAY MORNING. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES WERE
BACK INTO THE MIDDLE 30S IN THE NORTH FOR THURSDAY MORNING. PATCHY
FROST AND BRIEF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE CLOUDS
CLEAR BEFORE MORNING AND THE WINDS DECOUPLE. /22/

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...QUIET WEATHER WILL RETURN TO
THE REGION FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. COOLER AIR WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION AS CAA DOMINATES THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS POINT IN
MARCH. TEMPERATURES THURS. WILL RANGE FROM 57-63. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE CHILLY WITH FROST LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING. GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT
THERE COULD BE A LIGHT FREEZE WITH LOWS IN THE 30-33 RANGE EAST OF
I-55. THIS OCCURS AS A 1027MB SURFACE HIGH TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA.
CONDITIONS WILL NOT REMAIN TOO CHILLY FOR TOO LONG AS SHORTWAVE
RIDGING MOVES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND THE SFC HIGH SCOOTS A LITTLE
TO THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW BACK TO THE REGION
AND HELP TO SEND HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...A WEAK TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REGION BUT LOOKS TO NOT MAKE IT COMPLETELY
THROUGH THE CWA. THE MAIN AFFECT FROM THIS WOULD BE TO BRING IN SOME
CLOUD COVER AND A LITTLE BIT OF DRIER AIR...MOSTLY TO LOCATIONS
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS PASSAGE. UNLIKE THIS PAST WEEKEND...THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
LOOKS TO BE FANTASTIC. WAA INCREASES AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
COOL IN THE 40S...BUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.

THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR RAIN COMES AROUND MONDAY. MODELS SHOW SOME
DIFFERENCES IN SOLUTIONS AS TO HOW MUCH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE GFS IS A BIT FASTER AND A BIT MORE
BULLISH IN DEVELOPING THE UPPER LOW AND KEEPING IT A CLOSED LOW AS
IT BARRELS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST STATES.. AS WELL AS DEVELOPING A SFC
LOW AND TRACKING IT ACROSS ARKANSAS MONDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF IS MUCH
WEAKER AND EVENTUALLY OPENS IT UP INTO A WAVE AS IT MOVES NORTH OF
THE REGION. THE GFS ENSEMBLES DO NOT SHOW MUCH DEEPENING OF THE
TROUGH WHICH MIGHT LEND THAT THE OPERATIONAL GFS IS A BIT TOO
BULLISH. EITHER WAY...THIS WOULD LEAD TO THE NEXT POTENTIAL CHANCE
FOR RAIN. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...DEEP MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY. MVFR
CATEGORY CEILINGS WERE BEING REPORTED IN THE SOUTH FROM HEZ TO HBG
AND WILL SPREAD NE ACROSS ENTIRE AREA PRIOR TO NOON. SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING AND BECOMING LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WEST BY LATE AFTN.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
DETERIORATING CEILINGS AND VSBYS FOR ALL SITES INCLUDING IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS IN HEAVIER RAIN. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE WEDNESDAY IN THE
WAKE OF S STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE NEAR GLH BY 12Z WED AND BE
SE OF HBG BY 21Z WED. /22/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       65  60  71  38 /  80  99  34   3
MERIDIAN      62  60  75  38 /  67 100  72   5
VICKSBURG     67  60  71  39 /  88  98  18   3
HATTIESBURG   65  63  75  43 /  65  94  73   2
NATCHEZ       68  58  71  40 /  82  98  24   2
GREENVILLE    62  57  65  38 /  92  94  16   4
GREENWOOD     63  56  67  37 /  88  99  22   6

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR MSZ030>033-037>039-042>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR LAZ016-023>026.

AR...NONE.
&&

22/28
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 5:47 AM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-054-059>062-
091200-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-
CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG
TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS TO 75 MPH...AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
BALLS...WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. IN
ADDITION...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND STORMS TRAINING
OVER THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL
INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF
INTERSTATE 55.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD DIMINISH
DURING THE MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

MSZ018-019-025-034>036-040>044-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-
091200-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST...CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS...DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND
MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED
RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS.
THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY.

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

MSZ026>033-037>039-045-046-091200-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1
TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME
AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A
PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY. ALONG
WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY BE PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

22

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 7, 6:02 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAdams, Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clarke and 34 more41 hr
Mar 8, 9:57 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes8 days
Mar 8, 10:24 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANJones6 days
Mar 8, 2:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln50 min
Mar 8, 2:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah28 min
Mar 8, 3:52 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke4 days
Mar 8, 4:12 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lamar, Lawrence, Marion3 hr
Mar 8, 5:17 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANFranklin118 min
Mar 8, 5:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar, Marion54 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.