Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 7, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2011, 8:12 AM CST for Clay County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 11, 2011, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 8, 2011, 8:12 AM CST (14:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 11, 2011, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Mar 11, 2011, 8:30 AM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Clay County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tibbee Creek near Tibbee (TBBM6).
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 23 ft
- Moderate stage
- 28 ft
- Major stage
- 30 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02441000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
543
WGUS44 KJAN 081413
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
812 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-092012-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T1100Z-110312T0712Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T1100Z.110311T0600Z.110312T0112Z.NO/
812 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL CONTINUE RISING TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY
THURSDAY MORNING. IT WILL CREST NEAR 23.8 FEET EARLY ON FRIDAY.
THE CREEK WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 16.2 TUE 7 AM 18.0 23.1 23.7 23.8 FRI 12 AM
$$8 follow-up statements
784
WGUS84 KJAN 090233
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
833 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-100833-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T0712Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T0712Z.110311T0000Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
833 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 16.5 TUE 07 PM 16.7 23.4 23.9 24.0 FRI 12 AM
$$812
WGUS84 KJAN 091528
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY
LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-102128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T0130Z-110312T0600Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T0130Z.110310T1800Z.110312T0000Z.NO/
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 18.6 WED 08 AM 24.0 23.9 21.6 24.3 THU 12 PM
$$
MSC103-102128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0019.110309T2012Z-110312T1100Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110309T2012Z.110310T1800Z.110312T0500Z.NO/
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.1 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE
MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON 26 23.8 WED 09 AM 29.0 27.8 25.2 29.1 THU 12 PM
$$
MSC087-102128-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0024.110310T0345Z-110313T0200Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T0345Z.110311T0600Z.110312T2000Z.NO/
928 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 7:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF
COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR
STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE
STEENS AREA
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING
AREAS NORTH OF COLUMBUS
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS 15 11.1 WED 07 AM 17.0 19.0 16.3 19.2 FRI 12 AM
$$777
WGUS84 KJAN 092316
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
*TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
*NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY
*LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-110516-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110310T1500Z-110311T1930Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110310T1500Z.110311T0000Z.110311T1330Z.NO/
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TOMORROW
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 19.7 WED 04 PM 22.9 23.1 20.4 23.3 THU 06 PM
$$
MSC103-110516-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110312T2300Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110310T0000Z.110311T0000Z.110312T1700Z.NO/
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON 26 25.7 WED 05 PM 27.7 28.4 26.5 28.5 THU 06 PM
$$
MSC087-110516-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0024.110310T1132Z-110312T1525Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T1132Z.110311T1200Z.110312T0925Z.NO/
516 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE
RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF
COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR
STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE
STEENS AREA
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING BEGINS IN LOW LYING
AREAS NORTH OF COLUMBUS
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS 15 12.6 WED 03 PM 15.1 17.1 14.7 17.1 FRI 06 AM
$$268
WGUS84 KJAN 100236
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
*TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
*NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY
*LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-110836-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110311T1800Z-110312T1500Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110311T1800Z.110312T0000Z.110312T0900Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 19.9 WED 07 PM 22.2 22.9 22.9 23.1 SAT 12 AM
$$
MSC103-110836-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110312T0600Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110310T0103Z.110310T1200Z.110312T0000Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.1 FEET BY
TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON 26 26.1 WED 08 PM 27.1 26.5 24.9 27.1 THU 06 AM
$$
MSC087-110836-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0024.110310T1030Z-110312T1715Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T1030Z.110311T0600Z.110312T1115Z.NO/
836 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF
COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS 15 13.4 WED 07 PM 15.3 17.1 14.9 17.2 FRI 12 AM
$$
JA823
WGUS84 KJAN 101016
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
416 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 AM.
&&
MSC025-111616-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110312T0000Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110312T0000Z.110312T0000Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
416 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 3:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE
TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 21.3 THU 3 AM 22.9 22.9 21.9 23.0 SAT 12 AM
$$065
WGUS84 KJAN 101641
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1041 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-112241-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110311T0600Z-110313T0112Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110311T0600Z.110311T1800Z.110312T1912Z.NO/
1041 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...TIBBEE CREEK WILL CONTINUE RISING TO FLOOD STAGE BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST OF AROUND 23.4
FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 21.8 THU 9 AM 23.2 23.2 21.3 23.4 FRI 12 PM
$$802
WGUS84 KJAN 110117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
*TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
*NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY
*LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS AFFECTING LOWNDES COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC025-120717-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.110311T1800Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.110311T1800Z.110311T1800Z.110312T0600Z.NO/
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 6:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD
SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR
TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 22.6 THU 06 PM 22.9 22.8 19.0 23.0 FRI 12 PM
$$
MSC103-120716-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110313T0712Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.110310T0103Z.110311T0600Z.110313T0112Z.NO/
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.0 FEET BY
TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON 26 28.6 THU 07 PM 29.0 27.8 25.1 29.0 FRI 06 AM
$$
MSC087-120716-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110312T1800Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.110310T1015Z.110311T0600Z.110312T1200Z.NO/
717 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LUXAPALLILA CREEK NEAR COLUMBUS
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.4 FEET BY
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...RESIDENTS NORTH OF COLUMBUS AND NEAR STEENS
MAY NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS. SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS NORTH OF
COLUMBUS HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THEM.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER IS FLOWING OVER GUNSHOOT ROAD NEAR
STEENS. LOW LYING AREAS ALONG SAND ROAD, BLACK CREEK ROAD, AND NEAR
YELLOW CREEK ARE FLOODING
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN THE
STEENS AREA
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
LUXAPALLILA CREEK
COLUMBUS 15 17.1 THU 03 PM 17.3 15.0 11.7 17.4 FRI 12 AM
$$886
WGUS84 KJAN 111430
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
830 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN MISSISSIPPI...
TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC025-111500-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-110312T1200Z/
/TBBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE.
* AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 22.9 FEET. THE
RIVER WILL FALL TO 22.1 FEET BY 7AM SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT AT 23 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS
OCCURRING
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON CREST DAY TIME
TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE 23 22.7 FRI 07 AM 22.1 18.5 14.0 22.7 FRI 12 PM
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 4:30 AM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 4:30 AM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
430 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
..SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...
.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MODEL CONSENSUS
THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING LATER TODAY IN THE WEST AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT AS WELL. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS A POTENT SHORTWAVE MOVING EAST OF THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION THAT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY
THEN NORTHEAST TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. IN
RESPONSE THE SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY AND BE OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE NORTHEAST DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR CWA
WEDNESDAY. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM
WILL WORK TO INCREASE DEEP MOISTURE INTO OUR REGION WITH PWS
INCREASING TO AN INCH AND A HALF AS FAR NORTH AS THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR BY THIS EVENING. SURFACE DEW POINTS RUNNING IN THE LOW TO
MID 40S THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE LOWER 60S
ACROSS MOST OF OUR AREA THIS EVENING. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL
LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LARGELY CAPPED BUT A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE MAY BECOME
STRONG AND PRODUCE HAIL. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT. AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE
AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM THIS EVENING...THE WARM FRONT WILL
LIFT NORTH AND TRIGGER CONVECTION. THIS CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN AN ENVIRONMENT DEPICTED BY ELONGATED/STRONGLY CURVED
HODOGRAPHS IN THE LOWEST FEW KMS THAT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES. MODELS CONTINUE TO PROG 0-1KM SRH OF
300-400M2/S2 CONDUCIVE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TORNADOES.
THIS CONVECTION MAY CONGEAL INTO AN MCS AND SPREAD TO THE NORTHEAST
ACROSS OUR AREA. HAIL THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE GFS AND NAM ARE FAIRLY
SIMILAR WITH THE ACTIVITY FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THE 00Z ECMWF
HINTS AT AN MCS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA THAT TRACKS TO THE
EAST SOUTHEAST AND POTENTIALLY LIMITS THE NORTHWARD EXTENT OF DEEP
MOISTURE. WL CONTINUE LEANING TOWARD MODEL CONSENSUS WHICH SUGGESTED
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPMENT OVER OUR AREA AS THE LARGE
COMPLEX OF STORMS SPREADS NORTHEAST FROM SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE CWA.
AREAS ALONG AND TO THE SE OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE LOOK TO HAVE THE
GREATEST RISK OF SEEING WIDESPREAD 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCAL
AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES OR MORE. MUCH OF THIS SAME AREA RECEIVED SEVERAL
INCHES OF RAIN LAST SATURDAY AND WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE FOR FLOODING
AND/OR FLASH FLOODING. WL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT IS IN
EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA OUTSIDE
OF THE DELTA REGION. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OF OUR CWA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL LEAD TO CLEARING SKIES
ALTHOUGH THE CLEARING MAY BE BRIEF AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER OUR AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL
SHIFT EAST OF OUR CWA THURSDAY MORNING. GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES WERE
BACK INTO THE MIDDLE 30S IN THE NORTH FOR THURSDAY MORNING. PATCHY
FROST AND BRIEF FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE CLOUDS
CLEAR BEFORE MORNING AND THE WINDS DECOUPLE. /22/
.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...QUIET WEATHER WILL RETURN TO
THE REGION FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. COOLER AIR WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION AS CAA DOMINATES THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS POINT IN
MARCH. TEMPERATURES THURS. WILL RANGE FROM 57-63. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE CHILLY WITH FROST LIKELY FRIDAY MORNING. GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT
THERE COULD BE A LIGHT FREEZE WITH LOWS IN THE 30-33 RANGE EAST OF
I-55. THIS OCCURS AS A 1027MB SURFACE HIGH TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA.
CONDITIONS WILL NOT REMAIN TOO CHILLY FOR TOO LONG AS SHORTWAVE
RIDGING MOVES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND THE SFC HIGH SCOOTS A LITTLE
TO THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW BACK TO THE REGION
AND HELP TO SEND HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...A WEAK TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE NORTHERN PART OF THE REGION BUT LOOKS TO NOT MAKE IT COMPLETELY
THROUGH THE CWA. THE MAIN AFFECT FROM THIS WOULD BE TO BRING IN SOME
CLOUD COVER AND A LITTLE BIT OF DRIER AIR...MOSTLY TO LOCATIONS
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS PASSAGE. UNLIKE THIS PAST WEEKEND...THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
LOOKS TO BE FANTASTIC. WAA INCREASES AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
COOL IN THE 40S...BUT CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE DRY.
THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR RAIN COMES AROUND MONDAY. MODELS SHOW SOME
DIFFERENCES IN SOLUTIONS AS TO HOW MUCH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE GFS IS A BIT FASTER AND A BIT MORE
BULLISH IN DEVELOPING THE UPPER LOW AND KEEPING IT A CLOSED LOW AS
IT BARRELS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST STATES.. AS WELL AS DEVELOPING A SFC
LOW AND TRACKING IT ACROSS ARKANSAS MONDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF IS MUCH
WEAKER AND EVENTUALLY OPENS IT UP INTO A WAVE AS IT MOVES NORTH OF
THE REGION. THE GFS ENSEMBLES DO NOT SHOW MUCH DEEPENING OF THE
TROUGH WHICH MIGHT LEND THAT THE OPERATIONAL GFS IS A BIT TOO
BULLISH. EITHER WAY...THIS WOULD LEAD TO THE NEXT POTENTIAL CHANCE
FOR RAIN. /28/
&&
.AVIATION...DEEP MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY. MVFR
CATEGORY CEILINGS WERE BEING REPORTED IN THE SOUTH FROM HEZ TO HBG
AND WILL SPREAD NE ACROSS ENTIRE AREA PRIOR TO NOON. SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING AND BECOMING LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WEST BY LATE AFTN.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
DETERIORATING CEILINGS AND VSBYS FOR ALL SITES INCLUDING IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS IN HEAVIER RAIN. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE WEDNESDAY IN THE
WAKE OF S STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE NEAR GLH BY 12Z WED AND BE
SE OF HBG BY 21Z WED. /22/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 65 60 71 38 / 80 99 34 3
MERIDIAN 62 60 75 38 / 67 100 72 5
VICKSBURG 67 60 71 39 / 88 98 18 3
HATTIESBURG 65 63 75 43 / 65 94 73 2
NATCHEZ 68 58 71 40 / 82 98 24 2
GREENVILLE 62 57 65 38 / 92 94 16 4
GREENWOOD 63 56 67 37 / 88 99 22 6
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR MSZ030>033-037>039-042>066-072>074.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR LAZ016-023>026.
AR...NONE.
&&
22/28Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 5:47 AM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-054-059>062- 091200- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS TO 75 MPH...AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND STORMS TRAINING OVER THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. MSZ018-019-025-034>036-040>044-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074- 091200- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA- SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS- COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. MSZ026>033-037>039-045-046-091200- GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- 547 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING... ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY. ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. 22
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 6:02 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | JAN | Adams, Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clarke and 34 more | 41 hr |
| Mar 8, 9:57 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 8 days |
| Mar 8, 10:24 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Jones | 6 days |
| Mar 8, 2:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Lincoln | 50 min |
| Mar 8, 2:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah | 28 min |
| Mar 8, 3:52 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke | 4 days |
| Mar 8, 4:12 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Lawrence, Marion | 3 hr |
| Mar 8, 5:17 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 118 min |
| Mar 8, 5:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 54 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.