Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood watch at Mar 7, 2011, 6:02 PM CST for 5 parishes in Louisiana; 40 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 8, 2011, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 7, 2011, 6:02 PM CST (00:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 8, 2011, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Mar 9, 2011, 11:05 AM CST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Flood severity
- None
All 45 counties
Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Warren County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 19 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1970 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 286 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
963 WGUS64 KJAN 080002 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 602 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 ...INCREASING CONCERN FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY... LAZ016-023>026-MSZ030>033-037>039-042>066-072>074-080815- /O.NEW.KJAN.FF.A.0008.110309T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE- NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES- MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA... FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 602 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS HIGHEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT COULD EXCEED 4 INCHES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS COMING EVENT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONS NOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 50
7 follow-up statements
993 WGUS64 KJAN 080815 FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 215 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY... LAZ016-023>026-MSZ030>033-037>039-042>066-072>074-081615- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0008.110309T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE- NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES- MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA... FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 215 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS HIGHEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT COULD EXCEED 4 INCHES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS COMING EVENT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONS NOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 22
346 WGUS64 KJAN 081558 AAA FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 958 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY... LAZ016-023>026-MSZ030>033-037>039-042>066-072>074-090000- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0008.110309T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE- NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES- MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA... FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 958 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS HIGHEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT COULD EXCEED 4 INCHES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS COMING EVENT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONS NOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 17
693 WGUS64 KJAN 082213 FFAJAN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 413 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... MSZ026>029-036-090615- /O.EXA.KJAN.FF.A.0008.110309T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-HOLMES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...DURANT... TCHULA...LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN 413 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS HIGHEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT COULD EXCEED 4 INCHES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS COMING EVENT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONS NOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ LAZ016-023>026-MSZ030>033-037>039-042>066-072>074-090615- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0008.110309T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE- NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES- MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA... FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN... WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 413 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS HIGHEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT COULD EXCEED 4 INCHES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS COMING EVENT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONS NOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 50
612 WGUS64 KJAN 082239 FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 439 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... LAZ016-023>026-MSZ026>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-090645- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0008.110309T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA- WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN- HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON- SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA... FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 439 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK. POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN IS HIGHEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT COULD EXCEED 5 INCHES. ELSEWHERE IN THE WATCH AREA RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS COMING EVENT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONS NOW. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 50
476 WGUS64 KJAN 091006 FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 406 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS... LAZ016-023>026-MSZ026>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-091800- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-GRENADA-CARROLL- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA- WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN- HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON- SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...VIDALIA... FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY...GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON... CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...DURANT...TCHULA... LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON... BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST... MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN... PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE... MENDENHALL...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG... QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE... ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON... PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL... COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 406 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. * UNTIL NOON CST TODAY * RAPID RETURN OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE HAS COMBINED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS HAS RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY BE EXITING THE WATCH AREA TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING AFTER DAYBREAK WITH SOME LINGERING LIGHTER RAINFALL POSSIBLE AFTER DAYBREAK. LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...HAVE SEEN RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE THE HEAVIEST RAINS EXIT THE REGION. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS EVENT HAVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 28
613 WGUS64 KJAN 091211 AAA FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 611 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS... LAZ016-023>025-MSZ026>030-036-042-047-091315- /O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-GRENADA-CARROLL- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-HOLMES-YAZOO-WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALLULAH...WINNSBORO...JONESVILLE... HARRISONBURG...NEWELLTON...ST. JOSEPH...WATERPROOF...GRENADA... VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA... MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...DURANT...TCHULA...LEXINGTON... PICKENS...GOODMAN...YAZOO CITY...VICKSBURG 611 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH BY NOON. HOWEVER...RAINFALL RATES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GREAT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING. $$ LAZ026-MSZ031>033-037>039-043>046-048>066-072>074-091800- /O.CON.KJAN.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONCORDIA-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO... LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 611 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. * UNTIL NOON CST TODAY * WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE INTERSTATE 59 CORRIDOR. LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...HAVE SEEN RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE THE HEAVIEST RAINS EXIT THE REGION. * CONSIDERING RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS PAST WEEKEND...EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS EVENT HAVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS. RAPID RISES ON LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STEADY RISES ON LARGER RIVERS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THOSE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ 22
812 WGUS64 KJAN 091705 AAA FFAJAN FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1105 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 LAZ026-MSZ031>033-037>039-043>046-048>066-072>074-091815- /O.CAN.KJAN.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-110309T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONCORDIA-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VIDALIA...FERRIDAY...WEST FERRIDAY... COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...STARKVILLE...KOSCIUSKO... LOUISVILLE...MACON...BROOKSVILLE...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON... CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA... JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON... UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...PORT GIBSON... CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...MAGEE...MENDENHALL... TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN... STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE... MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS... BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA... WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG 1105 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ 17
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Mar 7, 3:46 PM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 7, 3:46 PM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 346 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 ...SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING... .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...FORECAST CONCERN WITH THIS PACKAGE WILL BE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL STARTING LATE TOMORROW. THE SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING THE SEVERE WEATHER TO THE REGION IS TAKING SHAPE AT THIS HOUR OVER THE SOUTHWEST PLAINS WITH AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER SE NEW MEXICO NOTED ON THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS. MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE SURFACE LOW TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW EVENTUALLY MAKING ITS WAY OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION EARLY THURSDAY. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL TRANSPORT COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WITH MOST OF THE MODELS INDICATING PW VALUES RISING IN EXCESS OF 1.5IN FOR MOST OF THE REGION BY TUES EVENING. SHOWER CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST STARTING TOMORROW MORNING AS ISENTROPIC LIFT STRENGTHENS IN VICINITY OF A WARM FRONT THAT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN LA/ SOUTHEASTERN AR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS MLCAPE VALUES INCREASE TO 400-600J/KG...BUT THIS WILL REALLY BE DEPENDENT ON HOW STRONG THE CAP IS OVER NE LA...AND HOW EXTENSIVE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BECOMES FARTHER WEST OVER SOUTHERN AR. IF THE CAP CAN HOLD ON UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY...THIS RISK WILL INCREASE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THINGS ARE EXPECTED TO REALLY GET GOING TUESDAY EVENING AS CONTINUED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION AIDS DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS OVER SOUTHWEST MS...WHICH WILL THEN EXPAND NORTHWARD AND SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL TAPER OFF TO THE SOUTH AS THE EVENING/NIGHT PROGRESSES DUE TO A SOUTHWARD SHIFT OF THE BEST INSTABILITY ROOTED NEAR THE SURFACE. THE OUTLIER TO THIS THINKING IS IN THE NAM MODEL...WHICH HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY SHOWING SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY SURVIVING THROUGH THE NIGHT FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE CWA. IF THIS DOES END UP HAPPENING...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF THE CWA...AT A MINIMUM UP TO AND ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR. ALL PARAMETERS RELATED TO TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS ARE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE THIS TYPE OF WEATHER THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM PASSES. LARGE HAIL IS THE ONLY TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT IS MARGINAL...HOWEVER NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE STRONGER CELLS. THE HWO/GRAPHICS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO INCLUDE SPECIFIC TIMING AND IMPACTS IN ACCORDANCE WITH CURRENT THINKING. THE OTHER THING THAT WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED VERY CLOSELY WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FEED IS QUITE STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM AND RAINFALL RATES IN THE 1.5-2IN/HR RANGE WILL CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THERE IS SOME HINT THAT THE QLCS MAY HANG UP FOR A FEW HOURS SOMEWHERE ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PKWY...WHICH WOULD REALLY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. THIS POTENTIAL WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR A POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN THE NEAR FUTURE. ANY LINGERING RAIN IN WAKE OF THE MCS WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN END BY WED AFTERNOON WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED WED NIGHT. TRENDED TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD TOWARD THE WARMER MET GUIDANCE... WHICH SEEMED MUCH MORE REASONABLE CONSIDERING THE STRENGTH OF THE WARM/SOUTHERLY FLOW. /BK/ .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...COOLER AIR BEGINS TAKING OVER LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES SOME 5-10F BELOW NORMALS FOR EARLY MARCH. CAA DOMINATES THURSDAY WITH LOWS OF 40-45F LEADING TO THE HIGHS MAINLY 62-68F. EXPECT ANOTHER MORNING OF WIDESPREAD LOWS OF 35-40F FRIDAY WITH FROST LIKELY IN SOME AREAS ONCE AGAIN. SOME OF THE COLDEST ENSEMBLE MOS MEMBERS SUGGEST NEAR FREEZING TEMPS POSSIBLE AS WELL AND WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THESE TRENDS AS A 1026MB SURFACE HIGH TRACKS ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. THE WARM UP BEGINS WITH LIGHT SLY FLOW FRIDAY AFTERNOON HELPING SEND HIGHS BACK CLOSER TO 70F. ON SATURDAY...A WEAK LOW LEVEL TROUGH AXIS SWEEPS THROUGH THE REGION BRINGING SOME CLOUD COVER BUT LITTLE RISK FOR ANY RAINFALL. THIS SYSTEM REINFORCES OUR DRY AIR FOR THE BALANCE OF THE WEEKEND WITH A QUICK TURNAROUND TO WAA AND THE NEXT POTENTIAL RAIN COMING ABOUT MONDAY NIGHT OR SO NEXT WEEK./40/ && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTN THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL BRING A RAPID INCREASE IN MOISTURE TO THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MVFR CATEGORY CEILINGS COULD DEVELOP PRIOR TO DAYBREAK TUESDAY AT GLH/JAN/HBG...THEN SPREAD NE ACROSS ENTIRE AREA PRIOR TO NOON. SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BECOMING LIKELY TUES AFTN INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...SO EXPECT DETERIORATING CEILINGS AND VSBYS FOR ALL SITES THEN WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN HEAVIER RAIN. /EC/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... JACKSON 47 66 63 75 / 0 76 89 48 MERIDIAN 44 66 63 76 / 0 54 87 67 VICKSBURG 47 66 59 73 / 0 83 85 25 HATTIESBURG 46 69 61 79 / 0 46 85 66 NATCHEZ 53 70 62 73 / 0 76 85 35 GREENVILLE 44 63 61 70 / 0 93 85 19 GREENWOOD 43 63 61 72 / 0 90 92 37 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. && BK/EC
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 7, 2:59 PM CST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 259 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 ARZ074-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ047-053-054-059>062-082100- ASHLEY-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA- FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 259 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY THE RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS TUESDAY AS PART OF A WEATHER EVENT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY A SIGNIFICANT EPISODE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND POTENTIALLY FLOODING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG TORNADO...DAMAGING WINDS TO 75 MPH...AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS...ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE ALSO EXPECTED...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. A POTENT DISTURBANCE IN THE JET STREAM WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MOVING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A CONTINUED INFLUX OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF THROUGH THE NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO FEED MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 55. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ARZ075-MSZ018-019-025-034>036-040>044-048>052-055>058-063>066- 072>074-082100- CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT- NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 259 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST...CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AN EPISODE OF NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SOME SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH...AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. A POTENT DISTURBANCE IN THE JET STREAM WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MOVING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TUESDAY NIGHT. A CONTINUED INFLUX OF MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF THROUGH THE NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO FEED MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY. THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MSZ026>033-037>039-045-046-082100- GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA- ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- 259 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. ALONG WITH A THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT...A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS THE MAIN THREAT. A POTENT DISTURBANCE IN THE JET STREAM WILL COMBINE WITH VERY MOIST AIR MOVING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...AND MULTIPLE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL TOTALS OF SEVERAL INCHES IN A PERIOD OF 12 HOURS OR LESS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY. IN ADDITION...ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. 08
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 8:12 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clay | 3 days |
| Mar 8, 9:57 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 8 days |
| Mar 8, 10:24 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Jones | 6 days |
| Mar 8, 2:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Lincoln | 50 min |
| Mar 8, 2:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah | 28 min |
| Mar 8, 3:52 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke | 4 days |
| Mar 8, 4:12 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Lawrence, Marion | 3 hr |
| Mar 8, 5:17 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 118 min |
| Mar 8, 5:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar, Marion | 54 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.