Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2011
River Flood Warning 20, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 8, 2011, 9:18 PM CST for Covington County, Jones County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 9, 2011, 4:20 PM CST. It was in force for 29 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 8, 2011, 9:18 PM CST (03:18 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 9, 2011, 4:20 PM CST
- Expired
- Mar 10, 2011, 9:12 PM CST
- In force
- 29 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Covington County, MS, Jones County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Leaf River near Collins (CLSM6). The gauge peaked at 22.00 ft at Mar 11, 2011, 9:00 PM CST.
- Action stage
- 24 ft
- Minor stage
- 25 ft
- Moderate stage
- 28 ft
- Major stage
- 33 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02472000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
385
WGUS44 KJAN 090318
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
918 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CAUSE
A FAST AND DANGEROUS RISES IN WATER LEVELS. PLEASE STAY ALERT OF
RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE WILL OCCUR AS NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILIBLE THROUGH OUT THE NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
&&
MSC031-067-100918-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0020.110310T1800Z-110311T1500Z/
/CLSM6.1.ER.110310T1800Z.110310T1800Z.110311T0000Z.NO/
918 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 9.3 TUE 08 PM 24.6 23.7 17.6 25.0 THU 12 PM
$$6 follow-up statements
227
WGUS84 KJAN 091035
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
435 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
SYNOPSIS...
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED ACROSS THE UPPER LEAF RIVER AND BLACK CREEK
BASINS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES HAVE FALLEN AND AN ADDITIONAL
3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BASINS BEFORE ENDING AROUND NOON TODAY.
STAY INFORMED AS HEAVIER RAINFALL THAN EXPECTED COULD PRODUCE HIGHER
CRESTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC031-067-101635-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0020.110309T2034Z-110312T0625Z/
/CLSM6.1.ER.110309T2034Z.110310T1800Z.110311T1525Z.NO/
435 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES IN AREA BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 18.1 WED 04 AM 27.4 25.8 18.0 27.5 THU 06 PM
$$
MSC035-101635-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.110309T1732Z-110311T2324Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.110309T1732Z.110310T1200Z.110311T0824Z.NO/
435 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN
* FROM THIS MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 3:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES SOUTHSIDE OF BROOKLYN.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND APPROXIMATELY
5 MILES UP AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE SITE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN 20 14.0 WED 04 AM 22.5 19.1 13.8 22.5 THU 06 AM
$$458
WGUS84 KJAN 091752
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1151 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
BOUIE CREEK NEAR HATTIESBURG AFFECTING COVINGTON AND FORREST
COUNTIES
BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC031-067-102351-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0020.110309T2220Z-110311T2038Z/
/CLSM6.1.ER.110309T2220Z.110310T1200Z.110311T0538Z.NO/
1151 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...SEVERAL HOMES IN AREA ARE FLOODDED.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 21.5 WED 11 AM 27.5 22.6 12.6 27.5 THU 06 AM
$$
MSC035-102351-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.110310T0721Z-110313T0736Z/
/HATM6.2.ER.110310T0721Z.110311T0600Z.110312T1636Z.NO/
1151 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF "OLD HATTIESBURG" CLOSE TO THE
RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 25.5 FEET...WATER IS BEGINNING TO FLOOD STOCKYARD AREA
ON U.S. HIGHWAY 11.
* IMPACT...AT 25.3 FEET...WATER IS BEGINNING TO COVER EAST SIDE OF
HARDY STREET.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...WATER IS BEGINNING TO ENTER HOMES ON CURIE
STREET.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER STREETS AND HIGHWAYS
IN LOW AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER ROAD AT A TRAILER PARK
ABOUT 3 MILES DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 11 BRIDGE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
LOWER LEAF RIVER
HATTIESBURG 22 14.4 WED 11 AM 23.7 26.0 23.0 26.0 FRI 12 AM
$$
MSC031-035-102351-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110311T2018Z/
/HBGM6.2.ER.110309T1918Z.110310T1200Z.110311T0518Z.NO/
1151 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BOUIE CREEK NEAR HATTIESBURG
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
IMPACT...AT 24.5 FEET...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING FOR
SEVERAL MILES ALONG THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING
ALONG THE RIVER. WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SEVERAL BUILDINGS ABOUT 1/2
MILE UPSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 49 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING BEGINS NEAR THE RIVER.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
BOUIE CREEK
HATTIESBURG 18 14.9 WED 11 AM 24.0 13.2 6.0 24.0 THU 06 AM
$$
MSC035-102351-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110312T1330Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.110310T0349Z.110310T1800Z.110311T2230Z.NO/
1151 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES SOUTHSIDE OF BROOKLYN.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND APPROXIMATELY
5 MILES UP AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE SITE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN 20 16.4 WED 11 AM 22.3 21.3 17.5 22.5 THU 12 PM
$$
MSC075-101-102351-
/O.ROU.KJAN.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CKYM6.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1151 AM CST WED MAR 9 2011
FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
CHUNKY RIVER NEAR CHUNKY.
* AT 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET TOMORROW EVENING.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
CHUNKY RIVER
CHUNKY 22 9.3 WED 11 AM 18.9 19.3 12.8 21.0 THU 06 PM
$$683
WGUS84 KJAN 100354
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
954 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
*LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
*LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
*BOUIE CREEK NEAR HATTIESBURG AFFECTING COVINGTON AND FORREST
COUNTIES
***RIVER CRESTS HAVE BEEN LOWERED FOR ALL THREE LOCATIONS
LISTED ABOVE BUT ALL REMAIN ABOVE RESPECTIVE FLOOD STAGES***
*CREST FOR LEAF RIVER AT COLLINS REDUCED BY ONE FOOT FROM
PREVIOUS FORECAST.
*CREST FOR LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG REDUCED BY ONE HALF
FOOT FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
*CREST FOR BOUIE CREEK AT HATTIESBURG REDUCED BY THREE AND ONE
HALF FEET FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC031-067-110954-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110312T1408Z/
/CLSM6.1.ER.110310T1653Z.110311T0000Z.110311T2308Z.NO/
954 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY TOMORROW
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 21.5 WED 09 PM 22.8 26.2 23.4 26.5 THU 06 PM
$$
MSC035-110954-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.110311T0651Z-110313T1612Z/
/HATM6.1.ER.110311T0651Z.110312T0000Z.110313T0112Z.NO/
954 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY FRIDAY
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...WATER IS BEGINNING TO ENTER HOMES ON CURIE
STREET.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
LOWER LEAF RIVER
HATTIESBURG 22 17.6 WED 09 PM 18.9 22.6 23.0 23.5 FRI 06 PM
$$
MSC031-035-110954-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110311T2210Z/
/HBGM6.1.ER.110310T0232Z.110310T1800Z.110311T0710Z.NO/
954 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BOUIE CREEK NEAR HATTIESBURG
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY
EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING
ALONG THE RIVER. WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SEVERAL BUILDINGS ABOUT 1/2
MILE UPSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 49 BRIDGE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
BOUIE CREEK
HATTIESBURG 18 18.0 WED 09 PM 20.6 15.1 8.9 21.5 THU 12 PM
$$873
WGUS84 KJAN 100525
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
***REISSUED TO CORRECT TABULAR SECTION FOR EACH FORECAST****
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI..
LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
BOUIE CREEK NEAR HATTIESBURG AFFECTING COVINGTON AND FORREST
COUNTIES
BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL AFFECTING JONES COUNTY
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT SHUBUTA AFFECTING CLARKE COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC031-067-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110312T1408Z/
/CLSM6.1.ER.110310T1653Z.110311T0000Z.110311T2308Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY TOMORROW
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 21.5 WED 10 PM 22.8 26.2 23.4 26.5 THU 06 PM
$$
MSC035-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.110311T0651Z-110313T1612Z/
/HATM6.1.ER.110311T0651Z.110312T0000Z.110313T0112Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG
* FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY FRIDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...WATER IS BEGINNING TO ENTER HOMES ON CURIE
STREET.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER STREETS AND HIGHWAYS
IN LOW AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER ROAD AT A TRAILER PARK
ABOUT 3 MILES DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 11 BRIDGE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
LOWER LEAF RIVER
HATTIESBURG 22 18.0 WED 11 PM 18.9 22.6 23.0 23.5 FRI 06 PM
$$
MSC031-035-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110311T2210Z/
/HBGM6.1.ER.110310T0232Z.110310T1800Z.110311T0710Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BOUIE CREEK NEAR HATTIESBURG
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY
EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING
ALONG THE RIVER. WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SEVERAL BUILDINGS ABOUT 1/2
MILE UPSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 49 BRIDGE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
BOUIE CREEK
HATTIESBURG 18 18.4 WED 11 PM 20.6 15.1 8.9 21.5 THU 12 PM
$$
MSC035-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-110312T1500Z/
/BKNM6.1.ER.110310T1236Z.110311T0000Z.110312T0000Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE BLACK CREEK NEAR BROOKLYN
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY TOMORROW
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES SOUTHSIDE OF BROOKLYN.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF LOWLAND APPROXIMATELY
5 MILES UP AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE SITE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
BLACK CREEK
BROOKLYN 20 19.0 WED 11 PM 19.9 21.2 18.2 21.5 THU 06 PM
$$
MSC067-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LURM6.3.ER.110310T0009Z.110311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE TALLAHALA CREEK AT LAUREL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:45 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY
FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...WATER REACHES THE UNDERCLEARENCE OF STATE
HIGHWAY 15 BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO FLOOD HOUSES IN THE THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF LAUREL ALONG THE CREEK BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAY 11
AND INTERSTATE 59. WATER COVERS BROWN STREET AND CENTER AVENUE IN
SOUTH LAUREL.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BUILDING ON THE RIGHT
BANK JUST DOWNSTREAM NEAR HIGHWAY 15. SEVERAL OTHER BUILDINGS
FURTHER DOWNSTREAM ARE AFFECTED AS WELL.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER OLD SANDERSVILLE ROAD.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
TALLAHALA CREEK
LAUREL 13 14.3 WED 11 PM 16.1 21.5 16.5 21.5 FRI 06 AM
$$
MSC075-101-111125-
/O.ROU.KJAN.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CKYM6.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
FORECAST INFORMATION FOR
CHUNKY RIVER NEAR CHUNKY.
* AT 11:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 16.6 FEET TOMORROW EVENING.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
CHUNKY RIVER
CHUNKY 22 9.5 WED 11 PM 12.7 14.9 10.0 16.6 THU 6PM
$$
MSC023-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110313T1614Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.110309T1508Z.110311T1800Z.110313T0114Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT ENTERPRISE
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY
EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...FAIR GROUNDS ARE COMPLETELY INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...WATER BEGINNING TO COVER SEVERAL STREETS AND
ROADS.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...FAIRGROUNDS ARE BEGINNING TO FLOOD.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
ENTERPRISE 25 26.6 WED 11 PM 26.9 31.3 29.4 31.5 FRI 12 PM
$$
MSC023-111125-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0031.110310T1200Z-110316T0253Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.110310T1200Z.110314T0600Z.110314T2053Z.NO/
1125 PM CST WED MAR 9 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CHICKASAWHAY RIVER AT SHUBUTA
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 5:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW
MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.0 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING...WATER FLOWING OVER RIGHT
BANK.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT CREST DAY TIME
CHICKASAWHAY RIVER
SHUBUTA 30 21.4 WED 05 AM 30.0 30.7 31.2 32.0 MON 01 AM
$$939
WGUS84 KJAN 101519
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
919 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSISSIPPI...
LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG AFFECTING FORREST COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS)
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.
&&
MSC031-067-112119-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110312T1045Z/
/CLSM6.1.ER.110311T0436Z.110311T1200Z.110311T1945Z.NO/
919 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT. IT WILL
CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST OF NEAR 26.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25 FEET...CONSIDERABLE LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 20.9 THU 8 AM 26.5 21.0 15.7 26.5 FRI 6 AM
$$
MSC035-112119-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.110311T0840Z-110313T1236Z/
/HATM6.1.ER.110311T0840Z.110312T0000Z.110312T2136Z.NO/
919 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LEAF RIVER AT HATTIESBURG
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL CREST NEAR 23.5 FEET ON FRIDAY
EVENING. THE RIVER WILL THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...WATER IS BEGINNING TO ENTER HOMES ON CURIE
STREET.
* IMPACT...AT 23 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER STREETS AND HIGHWAYS
IN LOW AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 22 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER ROAD AT A TRAILER PARK
ABOUT 3 MILES DOWNSTREAM OF THE HIGHWAY 11 BRIDGE.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
LOWER LEAF RIVER
HATTIESBURG 22 19.5 THU 9 AM 22.5 22.8 20.1 23.5 FRI 6 PM
$$087
WGUS84 KJAN 110312
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN MISSISSIPPI...
LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS AFFECTING COVINGTON AND JONES COUNTIES
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
MSC031-067-110342-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110312T1045Z/
/CLSM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE LEAF RIVER NEAR COLLINS.
* AT 8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 23.5 FEET
TOMORROW EVENING.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN CREST DAY TIME
UPPER LEAF RIVER
COLLINS 25 20.5 THU 08 PM 21.6 22.4 17.2 23.5 FRI 06 PM
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 8, 8:25 PM CST, 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 8:25 PM CST, 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
825 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011
.UPDATE...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 44 RECENTLY ISSUED TO REPLACE
EXPIRING WATCH NUMBER 42...LASTING THROUGH 3 AM. IN ADDITION TO
REPLACING COUNTIES IN PREVIOUS WATCH AROUND A TIER OF COUNTIES AND
PARISHES WERE ADDED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE PREVIOUS NORTHERN WATCH
FRINGE. PRODUCTS UPDATED AND RESENT TO REFLECT THE WATCH.
CURRENTLY WATCHING WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST
(FROM FAR SOUTHEAST MS TO NORTH CENTRAL LA). THIS BOUNDARY HAS
PREVIOUSLY BEEN ANCHORED PRETTY SOLIDLY BY HEAVY RAIN CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER OVER SE LA AND SE MS. HOWEVER...THIS CLUSTER HAS RECENTLY
BROKEN UP AND IS ALLOWING WARM FRONT TO PROGRESS NORTH MORE RAPIDLY.
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS) EXISTS SOUTH
OF THE WARM FRONT...AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO SPILL NORTH TOWARDS
HEART OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT...INCREASING SEVERE RISK. THIS EVENING
THE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRIMARILY BE
TRIGGERED ISENTROPICALLY ATOP THIS WARM FRONT...BUT ANTICIPATE A
LARGE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN AND STORMS EXTENDING SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT TO EVOLVE AND TRANSLATE EAST ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS OVERNIGHT
AND INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
PREVIOUS FORECAST MORE OR LESS ON TRACK AS MUCH OF THE REGION/S WX
IN THE EXTREME SHORT TERM IS BEING CONTROLLED BY COMPLICATED
MESOSCALE FACTORS. /BB/
&&
.AVIATION...FLIGHT CATS WILL BE PRIMARILY MVFR (TO LOCALLY IFR)
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT COMES
INTO THE REGION AND PRODUCES LOW CLOUDS...AS WELL AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDDAY TOMORROW
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE AND THUS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MAJOR
TURBULENCE. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT WILL GUST UP TO 20 MPH
AT TIMES...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST IN THE
MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY HOURS TOMORROW. EXPECT SKIES TO MAINLY
IMPROVE TO VFR AFTER FROPA...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS WILL STILL ABOUT AND
SOME CEILINGS (PARTICULARLY NORTH OF I-20) MAY SNEAK BELOW 3 KFT AT
TIMES. /BB/
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 441 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011/
DISCUSSION...HIGH-END SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING IS STILL
ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING. FORECAST
THINKING IS STILL ABOUT THE SAME...WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ALONG AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER EXTENDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL MS...AND THE GREATEST RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY.
A WARM FRONT REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS THIS AFTN WITH SFC
DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE LOWER 50S ALONG THE HWY 82 CORRIDOR FROM GWO
TO GTR...WHILE UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WERE SURGING INLAND AND
APPROACHING THE NATCHEZ AREA PRIOR TO SUNSET. SCATTERED MOSTLY
ELEVATED STORMS HAVE CONTINUED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT
SURFACE-BASED STORMS HAVE BEEN MOVING INTO THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR
WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS NOW APPROACHING THE COLUMBIA TO
HATTIESBURG AREA.
THE LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES THE WARM SECTOR WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE
INLAND AND EXPECT MID 60S SFC DEWPOINTS WILL APPROACH THE I-20
CORRIDOR DURING THE NIGHT WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE EXCEEDING 700 J/KG...
GIVEN THE VERY STRONG SHEAR EXPECTED (0-1KM 35-40KTS, 0-6KM >50KTS)
AND HIGH VORTICITY GENERATION POTENTIAL OVER NE LA INTO SRN MS...WE
ARE STILL VERY CONCERNED WITH THE RISK FOR STRONG TORNADOES OVER SRN
AND WRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...WITH THE RISK DECREASING
SHARPLY OVER NC/NE PORTIONS OF MS ALONG THE HWY 82 CORRIDOR WHERE
INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED FOR THE MOST PART.
THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING WILL BECOME MOSTLY CONFINED
TO SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
DRIER CONDITIONS MOVING INTO THE ENTIRE AREA FOR THE AFTN. /EC/
HYDROLOGY...VERY STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1.5 INCHES...A VERY RICH BOUNDARY LAYER...AND
INCREASINGLY DEEP MOISTURE PROFILES WILL SUPPORT INTENSE RAINFALL
RATES IN TSTM ACTIVITY...AS HAS ALREADY BEEN THE CASE OVER SC/SE MS.
DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS BECOME MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING STORMS. HIGH
RES WRF OUTPUT INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR > 5 TO 7 INCHES OF
RAINFALL SOUTH OF I-20 OVER SC/SE MS TONIGHT INTO WED MORNING. THERE
ARE SOME INDICATIONS OF BI-MODAL QPF MAXES AS PRIMARY TROUGH AXIS
APPROACHES AND INCITES TSTM COMPLEX OVER WRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
LATER THIS EVNG...WHILE THE COMPLEX OVER SC/SE MS REMAINS ANCHORED
THERE. THE OVERALL MODEL CONSENSUS SHOWS THAT THE CURRENT FLASH
FLOOD WATCH NEEDS TO BE EXPANDED A LITTLE FARTHER NW INTO NC MS AND
AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN BEEFED UP A BIT AS WELL. /EC/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 62 73 39 61 / 100 52 3 0
MERIDIAN 61 78 38 64 / 100 91 5 0
VICKSBURG 62 71 39 60 / 100 39 3 0
HATTIESBURG 63 81 42 65 / 100 96 2 0
NATCHEZ 60 69 40 60 / 100 46 2 0
GREENVILLE 57 64 38 58 / 100 20 4 0
GREENWOOD 55 68 37 57 / 100 32 6 0
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR MSZ026>033-
036>039-042>066-072>074.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR LAZ016-023>026.
AR...NONE.
&&
50Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 3:59 PM CST, 5 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 359 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040-047>049-053>056- 059>066-072>074-092200- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 359 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY HIGH END SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES...AND FLASH FLOODING...WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL EVOLVE INTO A SLOW-MOVING LINE OF STORMS LATE TONIGHT. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 75 MPH...AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MSZ018-019-025-027-034>037-041>045-050>052-057-058-092200- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES- ATTALA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE- 359 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL EVOLVE INTO A SLOW-MOVING LINE OF STORMS LATE TONIGHT. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH...AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MSZ026-028>033-038-039-046-092200- GRENADA-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-KEMPER- 359 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL EVOLVE INTO A SLOW-MOVING LINE OF STORMS LATE TONIGHT. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AND HAIL. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. EC
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 8, 8:18 PM CST, 1 hour before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
818 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0818 PM FLASH FLOOD MONTICELLO 31.55N 90.11W
03/08/2011 LAWRENCE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
RD UNDER WATER IN TOWN WITH A CAR STALLED IN THE FLOOD
WATERS.
&&
CMELocal storm report, Mar 8, 8:23 PM CST, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
823 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0720 PM FLASH FLOOD BAXTERVILLE 31.08N 89.59W
03/08/2011 LAMAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR
4 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER OVER H. THOMAS RD IN SW LAMAR CO.
&&
CMELocal storm report, Mar 8, 8:31 PM CST, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
831 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 PM FLASH FLOOD MENDENHALL 31.96N 89.87W
03/08/2011 SIMPSON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT
A PORTION OF HWY 13 UNDER WATER IN MENDENHALL.
&&
CMELocal storm report, Mar 8, 8:39 PM CST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
839 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 PM HAIL ARCHIE 31.58N 91.97W
03/08/2011 E0.50 INCH CATAHOULA LA PUBLIC
&&Local storm report, Mar 8, 8:53 PM CST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
853 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0836 PM TSTM WND DMG PRENTISS 31.60N 89.87W
03/08/2011 JEFFERSON DAVIS MS BROADCAST MEDIA
TREES REPORTED DOWN BY FOX40
&&Local storm report, Mar 8, 9:02 PM CST, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
902 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0714 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW MONTICELLO 32.57N 91.43W
03/08/2011 EAST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ACROSS CARMEL-NEW HOPE ROAD AND
OLIVAR WILSON ROAD.
&&
JALLENThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 6:02 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lincoln | 118 min |
| Mar 8, 6:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 49 min |
| Mar 8, 6:42 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest | 102 min |
| Mar 8, 7:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln | 20 min |
| Mar 8, 7:11 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 84 min |
| Mar 8, 7:13 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lawrence | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 7:41 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Simpson | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 8 days |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 9 days |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 4 days |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala | 37 hr |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 7 days |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Rankin | 8 days |
| Mar 8, 8:21 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Simpson | 6 days |
| Mar 8, 8:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 46 min |
| Mar 8, 8:30 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 8:34 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 6 days |
| Mar 8, 9:00 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Smith | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 9:23 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest | 48 hr |
| Mar 8, 9:45 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Rankin, Simpson | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 9:57 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jasper, Jones | 10 hr |
| Mar 8, 10:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 19 min |
| Mar 8, 10:32 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 118 min |
| Mar 8, 10:45 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln | 4 hr |
| Mar 8, 10:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Smith | 35 min |
| Mar 8, 11:00 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Smith | 2 hr |
| Mar 8, 11:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson | 73 min |
| Mar 8, 11:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo | 52 min |
| Mar 9, 12:02 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 7 hr |
| Mar 9, 12:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams | 23 min |
| Mar 9, 12:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson, Warren | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 12:28 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Adams | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 12:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Jefferson, Warren | 65 min |
| Mar 9, 12:41 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Covington | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 12:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams | 47 min |
| Mar 9, 1:04 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Yazoo | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 1:32 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Madison, Rankin, Simpson, Smith | 43 min |
| Mar 9, 1:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin | 31 min |
| Mar 9, 2:02 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 2:28 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 2:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin, Simpson, Smith | 39 min |
| Mar 9, 2:43 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Newton, Scott, Smith | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:03 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Simpson, Smith | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:09 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Jefferson | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:19 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Kemper | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:24 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Adams | 2 hr |
| Mar 9, 3:59 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Holmes, Yazoo | 4 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:07 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 4 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:31 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest | 62 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:31 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest | 52 hr |
| Mar 9, 4:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion | 25 min |
| Mar 9, 4:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jones | 16 min |
| Mar 9, 5:03 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin, Lawrence, Lincoln | 117 min |
| Mar 9, 5:17 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 5:47 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Newton, Scott, Simpson, Smith | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 6:23 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 3 days |
| Mar 9, 6:44 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 10 days |
| Mar 9, 6:44 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Warren | 9 days |
| Mar 9, 7:01 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 7:58 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jasper, Jones | 3 hr |
| Mar 9, 9:56 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 12 hr |
| Mar 9, 10:20 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Franklin | 10 hr |
| Mar 9, 11:18 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Lawrence | 6 days |
| Mar 9, 11:21 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Simpson | 69 hr |
| Mar 9, 11:40 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Marion | 9 hr |
| Mar 9, 11:48 AM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke | 70 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.