Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Northern Indiana

May 10, 2011Blackford County, Jay County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2011, 3:56 PM EDT for Blackford County, Jay County, Indiana. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2011, 3:56 PM EDT (19:56 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2011, 4:37 PM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.75 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Blackford County, IN, Jay County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 10, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2011-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2011-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 194 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-487 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1473 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

682 
WUUS53 KIWX 101956
SVRIWX
INC009-075-102045-
/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0028.110510T1956Z-110510T2045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
356 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN BLACKFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...
  JAY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 346 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUNKIRK...AND MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  REDKEY AND CENTER AROUND 410 PM EDT...
  COMO...BLAINE AND BRYANT AROUND 415 PM EDT...
  NEW MOUNT PLEASANT AROUND 420 PM EDT...
  PORTLAND AROUND 425 PM EDT...
  COLLETT...LIBER...WESTCHESTER AND TRINITY AROUND 430 PM EDT...
  BLUFF POINT AROUND 435 PM EDT...
  BOUNDARY CITY...BRICE AND BELLFOUNTAIN AROUND 440 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4032 8520 4039 8522 4039 8544 4040 8544
      4041 8524 4059 8521 4059 8481 4033 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 301DEG 17KT 4024 8533
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.75IN

$$
JK
2 follow-up statements
243 
WWUS53 KIWX 102021
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
421 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

INC009-102030-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110510T2045Z/
BLACKFORD-
421 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BLACKFORD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 4032 8520 4040 8519 4043 8519 4059 8518
      4059 8481 4033 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 301DEG 17KT 4018 8520

$$

INC075-102045-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110510T2045Z/
JAY-
421 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAY COUNTY
UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

AT 409 PM EDT/309 PM CDT/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL
SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF REDKEY...OR
12 MILES SOUTH OF DUNKIRK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  COLLETT...COLLEGE CORNER AND PORTLAND AROUND 425 PM EDT...
  LIBER...WESTCHESTER...TRINITY AND NEW CORYDON AROUND 430 PM EDT...
  BLUFF POINT AND BRICE AROUND 435 PM EDT...
  BOUNDARY CITY AND BELLFOUNTAIN AROUND 440 PM EDT...
  SALAMONIA AROUND 445 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4032 8520 4040 8519 4043 8519 4059 8518
      4059 8481 4033 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 301DEG 17KT 4018 8520
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.50IN

$$

JK
266 
WWUS53 KIWX 102037
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
437 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

INC075-102047-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110510T2045Z/
JAY-
437 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JAY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

LAT...LON 4032 8520 4040 8519 4043 8519 4059 8518
      4059 8481 4033 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 301DEG 17KT 4014 8511

$$

JK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 2:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 2:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NWS INDIANAPOLIS IN
235 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

FOR TONIGHT...UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE CURRENTLY BRUSHING THE SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY SPARK OFF SOME CONVECTION FOR THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE IMPULSE DRIFTS OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.
OTHERWISE...CREST OF UPPER RIDGE EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...NOT SEEING TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPPER
SUPPORT FOR PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...CAN/T RULE OUT SOMETHING DEVELOPING TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE
WITH SMALL CHANCE POPS FOR TONIGHT.

LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUGGEST THE GFS MOS LOWS TONIGHT MAY BE A
LITTLE ON THE COOL SIDE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH. WILL NUDGE UP THE
LOWS A FEW DEGREES TONIGHT.

IN THE LATER PERIODS...RATHER UNSETTLED WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY DRIFTS OFF TO THE EAST AND
DEEP UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AS A RESULT...EXPECTING
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO SLOWLY INCREASE WITH TIME. AT THE
SURFACE...SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MEANDER
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM...ALLOWING FOR A LOW
LEVEL FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION AS WELL. WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE
POPS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

PROGGED LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUGGEST THE GFS MOS GUIDANCE
TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE FOR THE MOST PART. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
IS WITH THE LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT...WHERE THE GUIDANCE LOOKS A LITTLE
COOL. WILL NUDGE THE LOWS UP A FEW DEGREES DURING THAT PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY/...

ENSEMBLE DATA SUGGEST A SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH RESPECT TO
THE UPPER FEATURES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS PERIOD. LONG WAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER THE ROCKIES SHOULD DRIFT EAST INTO THE MIDWEST BY
FRIDAY AND LINGER OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE VICINITY SUGGESTS CHANCE POPS
ARE IN ORDER FOR THE ENTIRE LONG TERM PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAFS...MAIN CONCERN FOR TAF PERIOD IS AFTERNOON CONVECTION.  CAP
IS BEGINNING TO BREAK ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL INDIANA.  AS A
RESULT...INCLUDED VCTS FOR KFWA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
CURRENTLY...MOST STORMS ARE PULSING.  NOT CONFIDENT THAT KSBN WILL
SEE ANY STORMS...SO LEFT OUT FOR NOW.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAS
LONG TERM...JAS
AVIATION...TDUD
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 7:08 AM EDT, 8 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
708 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-111115-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
708 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011 /608 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL ACROSS
NORTHWEST OHIO EARLY THIS MORNING.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE ARE PERIODIC CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL BE UNSTABLE...WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL
LIKELY LIMIT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT AS
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED
SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-111115-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
708 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE ARE PERIODIC CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 10, 3:31 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
331 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     HAIL             1 W HARTFORD CITY       40.45N 85.39W
05/10/2011  E1.00 INCH       BLACKFORD          IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Local storm report, May 10, 3:33 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
333 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     HAIL             FAIRMOUNT               40.42N 85.65W
05/10/2011  E1.75 INCH       GRANT              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Local storm report, May 10, 3:35 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     HAIL             3 S GAS CITY            40.45N 85.61W
05/10/2011  E1.75 INCH       GRANT              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
Local storm report, May 10, 3:55 PM EDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
355 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0316 PM     HAIL             DUNKIRK                 40.37N 85.21W
05/10/2011  E1.00 INCH       JAY                IN   PUBLIC

&&
Local storm report, May 10, 3:56 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
356 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             PENNVILLE               40.49N 85.15W
05/10/2011  E1.00 INCH       JAY                IN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Blackford, Jay, Wells44 min
May 10, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Grant33 min
May 10, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass, Fulton, Pulaski, White42 min
May 10, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXJay4 min
May 10, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Grant, Jay38 min
May 10, 3:50 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningIWXBlackford, Jay2 hr
May 10, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Wells45 min
May 10, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen65 min
May 10, 5:00 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningIWXAdams, Allen101 min
May 10, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2011Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.