Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Northern Indiana

May 10, 20114 counties in Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2011, 2:48 PM EDT for 4 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2011, 2:48 PM EDT (18:48 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2011, 3:30 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.5 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Cass County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, White County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3483 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 183 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3483 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
717 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
243 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
10.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

662 
WUUS53 KIWX 101848
SVRIWX
INC017-049-131-181-101930-
/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0025.110510T1848Z-110510T1930Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
248 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CASS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...
  SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...
  NORTHEASTERN WHITE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 241 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. 
  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF ROYAL CENTER...OR 12 MILES
  NORTHEAST OF MONTICELLO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GRASS CREEK AROUND 255 PM EDT...
  LAKE CICOTT AND MARSHTOWN AROUND 300 PM EDT...
  GEORGETOWN...LUCERNE...LEASES CORNER AND FLETCHER AROUND 305 PM
  EDT...
  FULTON AROUND 310 PM EDT...
  DUNKIRK...CLYMERS AND METEA AROUND 315 PM EDT...
  LOGANSPORT AROUND 320 PM EDT...
  ADAMSBORO AND TWELVE MILE AROUND 325 PM EDT...
  ANOKA AROUND 330 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4109 8674 4101 8621 4064 8622 4068 8638
      4070 8639 4070 8646 4071 8653 4074 8653
      4074 8664 4076 8674
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 303DEG 20KT 4084 8656
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.50IN

$$

JK
1 follow-up statement
402 
WWUS53 KIWX 101923
SVSIWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
323 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

INC017-049-131-181-101933-
/O.EXP.KIWX.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110510T1930Z/
CASS-FULTON-PULASKI-WHITE-
323 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CASS AND SOUTHWESTERN FULTON
COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND NORTHEASTERN WHITE AND
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST INDIANA WILL EXPIRE AT 330
PM EDT/230 PM CDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 4109 8674 4101 8621 4064 8622 4068 8638
      4070 8639 4070 8646 4071 8653 4074 8653
      4074 8664 4076 8674
TIME...MOT...LOC 1923Z 303DEG 20KT 4073 8635

$$

JK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 2:35 PM EDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 2:35 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
ISSUED BY NWS INDIANAPOLIS IN
235 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

FOR TONIGHT...UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE CURRENTLY BRUSHING THE SOUTHERN
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY SPARK OFF SOME CONVECTION FOR THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE IMPULSE DRIFTS OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST.
OTHERWISE...CREST OF UPPER RIDGE EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...NOT SEEING TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPPER
SUPPORT FOR PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...CAN/T RULE OUT SOMETHING DEVELOPING TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE
WITH SMALL CHANCE POPS FOR TONIGHT.

LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUGGEST THE GFS MOS LOWS TONIGHT MAY BE A
LITTLE ON THE COOL SIDE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH. WILL NUDGE UP THE
LOWS A FEW DEGREES TONIGHT.

IN THE LATER PERIODS...RATHER UNSETTLED WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY DRIFTS OFF TO THE EAST AND
DEEP UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AS A RESULT...EXPECTING
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO SLOWLY INCREASE WITH TIME. AT THE
SURFACE...SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MEANDER
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM...ALLOWING FOR A LOW
LEVEL FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION AS WELL. WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCE
POPS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

PROGGED LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUGGEST THE GFS MOS GUIDANCE
TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE FOR THE MOST PART. THE ONLY EXCEPTION
IS WITH THE LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT...WHERE THE GUIDANCE LOOKS A LITTLE
COOL. WILL NUDGE THE LOWS UP A FEW DEGREES DURING THAT PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY/...

ENSEMBLE DATA SUGGEST A SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH RESPECT TO
THE UPPER FEATURES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS PERIOD. LONG WAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY OVER THE ROCKIES SHOULD DRIFT EAST INTO THE MIDWEST BY
FRIDAY AND LINGER OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
PRESENCE OF THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE VICINITY SUGGESTS CHANCE POPS
ARE IN ORDER FOR THE ENTIRE LONG TERM PERIOD. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAFS...MAIN CONCERN FOR TAF PERIOD IS AFTERNOON CONVECTION.  CAP
IS BEGINNING TO BREAK ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL INDIANA.  AS A
RESULT...INCLUDED VCTS FOR KFWA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
CURRENTLY...MOST STORMS ARE PULSING.  NOT CONFIDENT THAT KSBN WILL
SEE ANY STORMS...SO LEFT OUT FOR NOW.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JAS
LONG TERM...JAS
AVIATION...TDUD
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 7:08 AM EDT, 7 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
708 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-111115-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
708 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011 /608 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL ACROSS
NORTHWEST OHIO EARLY THIS MORNING.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE ARE PERIODIC CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL BE UNSTABLE...WEAK WIND SHEAR WILL
LIKELY LIMIT THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT AS
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED
SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-111115-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
708 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE ARE PERIODIC CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Blackford, Jay, Wells44 min
May 10, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Grant33 min
May 10, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXJay4 min
May 10, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Grant, Jay38 min
May 10, 3:50 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningIWXBlackford, Jay2 hr
May 10, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBlackford, Jay41 min
May 10, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Wells45 min
May 10, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen65 min
May 10, 5:00 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningIWXAdams, Allen101 min
May 10, 5:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2011Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.