Severe Thunderstorm Warning 362, NWS Wilmington, OH

079 
WWUS51 KILN 142228
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
528 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

OHC011-107-142300-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0362.000000T0000Z-111114T2300Z/
AUGLAIZE OH-MERCER OH-
528 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EST
FOR NORTHERN MERCER AND NORTHERN AUGLAIZE COUNTIES...

AT 525 PM EST...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CHATTANOOGA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKFORD...WAPAKONETA AND CRIDERSVILLE.

IN ADDITION...TAMA...MENDON...NEPTUNE...STATE ROUTE 116 AT STATE
ROUTE 197...KOSSUTH...BUCKLAND AND UNIOPOLIS ARE NEAR THE PATH OF
THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4069 8445 4069 8423 4066 8422 4066 8411
      4065 8410 4065 8403 4056 8403 4056 8481
      4073 8481 4073 8480 4073 8446
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 267DEG 47KT 4068 8472

$$

206 
WWUS51 KILN 142241
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
541 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

OHC011-107-142251-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0362.000000T0000Z-111114T2300Z/
AUGLAIZE OH-MERCER OH-
541 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN MERCER AND NORTHERN
AUGLAIZE COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 4069 8445 4069 8423 4066 8422 4066 8411
      4065 8410 4065 8403 4056 8403 4056 8481
      4073 8481 4073 8480 4073 8446
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 267DEG 47KT 4069 8450

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
447 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN
THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEVERE
AROUND THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
AS A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE AREA THIS EVENING SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE ENTIRE FA FOR THIS
EVENING. DUE TO GREATER INSTABILITY THE SEVERE POTENTIAL IS
HIGHEST ACROSS NW PORTIONS OF THE FA AND LESS ACROSS SE PORTIONS
OF THE AREA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT
HOWEVER DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF SHEAR AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT
EXISTS AS WELL. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL AS WELL. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL DIMINISH LATER IN
THE EVENING ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT.

ACROSS THE FA WINDS ARE CONTINUING TO BE GUSTY. SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 20 TO 25 MILES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH WIND
GUSTS UPWARDS OF 30 TO 35 MILES PER HOUR. WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING TO TAPER OFF AFTER
MIDNIGHT. CONTINUED THE TREND OF GOING HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE FOR
LOW TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
RAIN WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE SHORT
TERM TIME PERIOD. MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT AND THEREFORE
USED A BLEND. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE REGION
AND MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WILL WORK INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL KEEP
PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SE PORTION OF THE FA.
THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF MODERATE RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME HIGH
WATER CONCERNS. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THIS THREAT IN THE HWO
FOR THE SE HALF OF THE FA. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY RISE A FEW
DEGREES ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO COLDER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION. WITH
A DECREASE IN CLOUD COVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND COLDER AIR FILTERING
INTO THE AREA EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO DROP DOWN INTO THE UPPER 20S
TO LOW 30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE REGION DRY INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF BELOW NORMAL. BUT SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND WITH TEMPERATURES
ABOVE NORMAL BY SATURDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO BRING INCREASING
MOISTURE. SHOWERS WILL START TO DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF
A COLD FRONT. 12Z MODEL SUITE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN PUSHING THE
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THE FRONT WILL NOT GET VERY FAR
SOUTH OF THE AREA BEFORE STALLING. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ON HOW
FAST MOISTURE AND THUS CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL RETURN EARLY NEXT
WEEK. HAVE REINTRODUCED CHANCE POPS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND WILL ARRIVE AT
KDAY/KCVG/KLUK BY 23Z. STORMS WILL THEN BEGIN TO AFFECT
KILN/KCMH/KLCK BY 00Z TUESDAY. EXPECT GUSTY...SHIFTING WINDS...ALONG
WITH IFR VSBYS AS THESE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE TAF SITES.
RAIN SHOULD COME TO AN END BY 06Z TUESDAY. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL THEN STALL ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER. THE FRONT WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...WHICH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR
MVFR VSBYS IN SHOWERS BACK ACROSS KCVG/KLUK/KILN AFTER 12Z
TUESDAY.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES MAY OCCUR ON TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOVAK
NEAR TERM...NOVAK
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...LATTO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
421 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-070-152130-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-BUTLER-
421 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>093-OHZ063>065-071>074-077>080-082-152130-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-
HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-PIKE-
421 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING. THE MAIN
SEVERE THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE RIDE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG A SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES APPEARS
POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN SOME AREAS. THIS RAINFALL
COULD CREATE HIGH WATER ISSUES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

KYZ094>100-OHZ081-088-152130-
OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-ADAMS-SCIOTO-
421 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING. THE MAIN
SEVERE THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE RIDE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG A SLOW MOVING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES APPEARS
POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN SOME AREAS. THIS RAINFALL
COULD CREATE HIGH WATER ISSUES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.