Severe Thunderstorm Warning 182, NWS Wilmington, OH

608 
WWUS51 KILN 260337
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1137 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

OHC037-260347-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-110526T0400Z/
DARKE OH-
1137 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DARKE COUNTY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED EAST INTO MIAMI AND SHELBY COUNTIES.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 4010 8403 3998 8425 3999 8443 4030 8443
      4045 8422 4046 8401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0337Z 232DEG 36KT 4016 8428

$$

OHC109-149-260400-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-110526T0400Z/
MIAMI OH-SHELBY OH-
1137 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
FOR SHELBY AND NORTHERN MIAMI COUNTIES...

AT 1132 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR COVINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PIQUA...SIDNEY...ANNA AND JACKSON CENTER.

IN ADDITION...HOUSTON...CASSTOWN...NEWPORT...LOCKINGTON...NEWBERN...
FLETCHER...HARDIN AND BALLOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4010 8403 3998 8425 3999 8443 4030 8443
      4045 8422 4046 8401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0337Z 232DEG 36KT 4016 8428

$$

HATZOS

809 
WWUS51 KILN 260355
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1155 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

OHC109-149-260405-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-110526T0400Z/
MIAMI OH-SHELBY OH-
1155 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHELBY AND NORTHWESTERN MIAMI
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT EDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 4010 8403 3998 8425 3999 8443 4030 8443
      4045 8422 4046 8401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 232DEG 36KT 4027 8409

$$

HATZOS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
953 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AS STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THIS
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A PATTERN CHANGE WITH A LARGE EASTERN UNITED
STATES RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...AND WESTERN UNITED STATES LOW
PRESSURE. THIS WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND TO THE OHIO
VALLEY THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...AND A CHANCE TO DRY OUT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 5 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
LEWP WITH EMBEDDED ROTATING STORMS WILL PUSH INTO CWA LATER
TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE PRETTY MUCH A FOREGONE CONCLUSION WITH
THIS STORM TYPE. THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF IT...PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF
I-71 BETWEEN CVG AND CMH HAS NOT BEEN WORKED OVER THIS EVENING.
THIS WILL KEEP A GOOD BATCH OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND UNSTABLE MID
LEVELS TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE SQUALL LINE. THIS MIGHT ACTUALLY
HELP THE LINE TO SPEED UP.

WILL ISSUE A NEW SET OF ZONES AT 10 TO ALLOW THE WATCH OVER THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST TO EXPIRE...AND THE FAR NORTHWEST IN THE COLDER
STRATIFIED AIR. EASTERN CWA MAY NEED AN EXPANDED WATCH EARLY THIS
MORNING IF THE LINE HOLDS UP...BUT I SEE THE MAIN THREAT AS
DAMAGING WINDS.

DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE LINE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-70
CORRIDOR MAINTAIN THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. THIS THREAT
WILL DIMINISH AS THE LINE PUSHES IN AND TRANSLATE TO DAMAGING
WINDS ONLY. THE SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE LINE ALSO CONTAIN THE MAIN
THREAT FOR TORNAIC ACTIVITY THIS LATE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /5 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT SWING THROUGH ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
WITH RENEWED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-75 ON
THURSDAY. THERE IS A SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY GIVEN WIND
FIELDS WILL STILL BE STRONG...HOWEVER INSTABILITY WILL BE MORE
LIMITED. EXPECT STORM COVERAGE WILL BE PRETTY HIGH THOUGH GIVEN
FORCING SIGNALS AMONG THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS...COUPLED WITH
SREF PROBABILILITIES. EXPECT A RATHER SOLID DIMINISHING TREND IN
THE RAIN CHANCES THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT AS A
DRIER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IMPINGES THE AREA TO THE SOUTH OF THE
ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BE PULLING EAST OF
THE REGION ON FRIDAY. SOME LINGERING PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE.
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO HAVE SHIFTED EAST...SO WILL GO WITH JUST
SHOWERS FOR NOW.

MODEL AGREEMENT INTO THE EXTENDED IS FAIRLY GOOD...WITH DEPICTIONS
OF A WEAK DISTURBANCE PROVIDING SOME CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. FORCING IS RATHER ILL-DEFINED...SO HAVE
NOT GONE HIGHER THAN 30 OR 40 PERCENT. AFTER THIS...AN IMPRESSIVE
RIDGE ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION...WITH A SURFACE HIGH
CENTERED IN THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE STRONG
WITH THIS FEATURE...ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 90S
FOR THE FORECAST AREA BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HAVE KEPT THE
FORECAST TEMPERED JUST BELOW THE RAW ECMWF TEMPERATURE VALUES...BUT
THIS IS A SLIGHT BIT HIGHER THAN MOS/MEX GUIDANCE FOR THE SAME TIME
PERIOD.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAY RETURN BY WEDNESDAY...AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS
ENOUGH TO ALLOW A BOUNDARY TO DROP SOUTH INTO THE REGION. AFTER
THIS...THE GUIDANCE SPREADS A BIT. HOWEVER...THERE ARE SIGNS THAT A
NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL SET UP BY THURSDAY AND INTO THE PERIOD
BEYOND THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THIS WOULD FAVOR A PERIOD OF SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES BUT ALSO OCCASIONAL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS.
ALSO SHOULD NOTE THAT THE GFS IS DEVELOPING A WHOLE LOT OF
PRECIPITATION OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY...WHICH SEEMS UNLIKELY
AT SUCH A SCALE GIVEN THE GENERAL RIDGING OVER THE AREA. KEPT IT DRY
FOR NOW...BUT MAY NEED TO INCLUDE SOMETHING FOR A PORTION OF THE
AREA LATER ON.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
CONVECTION OVER CWA WILL REMAIN N OF CVG/ILN BUT A SUPERCELL WILL
CROSS INTO RICKENBACKER AND SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY OHIO BETWEEN
1 AND 01:30Z. UPSTREAM CELLS WILL LIKELY GIVE A REPEAT TO KDAY
WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS FOR A WHILE THIS EVENING BUT LIKELY NOT
COLUMBUS AFTER THIS INITIAL CELL MOVES THROUGH.

A MORE WIDESPREAD BUT MUCH LESS ORGANIZED LINE OF CONVECTION WILL
CROSS INTO THE CWA LATER THIS EVENING WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SUPERCELLS LOCATED AHEAD OF IT. AS THE LINE OF STORMS MOVE EAST
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW...SHOWERS WILL PREVAIL WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDER TOMORROW MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.

CIGS WILL ONLY DROP BELOW VFR IN THE WORST OF THE CONVECTION.
VSBYS WILL DROP A BIT MORE EASILY IN AND BEHIND SHOWER ACTIVITY
AND THEN REBOUND WITH THE MEAN SOUTHERLY FLOW HELPING TO KEEP THE
BOUNDARY LAYER SCOURED OUT.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED BEYOND THURSDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BINAU
NEAR TERM...FRANKS
SHORT TERM...BINAU
LONG TERM...HATZOS
AVIATION...FRANKS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1008 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ042>046-051>055-060>064-
070>073-077>082-270215-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-
DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-
GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
1008 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

...TORNADO WATCH 376 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO
AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

DISCRETE SUPERCELLS NORTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR WILL MAINTAIN A
THREAT THIS LATE EVENING FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOS. THIS IS AHEAD OF A LARGE NORTH TO SOUTH
ORIENTED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL PUSH EAST OF THE I-75
CORRIDOR AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM CENTRAL INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.
THIS LINE WILL CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS. THE THREAT FOR HAIL IS
MINIMAL WITH THE LINE. BRIEF SPIN UP TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE LINE AS IT MOVES EAST.

DUE TO THE REPEATED PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING THIS
WEEK THERE IS ALSO A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY AS
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO INDIANA. DUE TO THE REPEATING
NATURE OF THESE STORMS THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL PERSIST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

KYZ100-OHZ026-034-035-056-065-074-088-270215-
LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-LICKING-FAIRFIELD-HOCKING-SCIOTO-
1008 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS EAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY LATER OVERNIGHT
AS THIS LINE MOVES THROUGH.

DUE TO THE REPEATED PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING THIS
WEEK THERE IS ALSO A HEIGHTENED POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY AS
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO INDIANA. DUE TO THE REPEATING
NATURE OF THESE STORMS THE THREAT FOR FLOODING WILL PERSIST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY NEED TO ACTIVATE AND REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS LATER TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1020 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     HAIL             BRADFORD                40.13N 84.43W
05/25/2011  M0.75 INCH       DARKE              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR ABOUT 5 TO 10 MINUTES AND
            COMPLETELY COVERED THE STREET.

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1025 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND GST     JACKSON CENTER          40.44N 84.04W
05/25/2011  M59 MPH          SHELBY             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

0959 PM     HAIL             FORT LORAMIE            40.35N 84.37W
05/25/2011  E0.75 INCH       SHELBY             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

0717 PM     HAIL             CENTERVILLE             39.64N 84.14W
05/25/2011  E1.75 INCH       MONTGOMERY         OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            NR INTERSECTION SR48/I675

1023 PM     HAIL             DELAWARE                40.30N 83.08W
05/25/2011  E1.00 INCH       DELAWARE           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HUGHES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1029 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0957 PM     HAIL             MARYSVILLE              40.24N 83.37W
05/25/2011  E1.00 INCH       UNION              OH   PUBLIC

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1042 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     HAIL             OSTRANDER               40.27N 83.21W
05/25/2011  E1.00 INCH       DELAWARE           OH   PUBLIC

&&

KURZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1058 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

OHZ045-046-054-055-260345-
DELAWARE OH-FRANKLIN OH-MADISON OH-UNION OH-
1058 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN UNION...
NORTHEASTERN MADISON...FRANKLIN AND DELAWARE COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 PM
EDT...

AT 1055 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX
STRETCHING FROM NEAR DUBLIN TO LONDON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...HILLIARD...PLAIN
CITY...COLUMBUS...UPPER ARLINGTON...DUBLIN...WORTHINGTON...MINERVA
PARK...POWELL...WESTERVILLE...DELAWARE...SUNBURY AND ASHLEY.

ALSO...LINCOLN VILLAGE...VALLEYVIEW...AMITY...MARBLE CLIFF...
GRANDVIEW HEIGHTS...UNIONVILLE CENTER...RIVERLEA AND SHAWNEE HILLS
ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 4044 8302 4042 8301 4042 8293 4041 8292
      4036 8292 4036 8280 4035 8274 4031 8274
      3984 8301 3984 8332 3988 8348 4045 8322

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1111 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 PM     HAIL             N WEST MANCHESTER       39.90N 84.63W
05/25/2011  E0.75 INCH       PREBLE             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SNYDER