River Flood Warning 86, NWS Wilmington, OH

569 
WGUS81 KILN 060219
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT KINGS MILLS
  LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT MILFORD
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT SIDNEY
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER BELOW MIAMISBURG
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER NEAR MIDDLETOWN
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
  MAD RIVER AT SPRINGFIELD

OHC025-061-165-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-111207T0044Z/
/KIMO1.1.ER.111205T2153Z.111206T0600Z.111206T1844Z.NO/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT KINGS MILLS
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 PM THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 21 FEET, LOW LYING ROADS ARE AFFECTED IN SOUTH 
  LEBANON INCLUDING SOUTH MAIN AND MCKINLEY STREETS...AND KING AVENUE. 
  SOME HOMES NEAR THE RIVER MAY INCUR BASEMENT FLOODING IN SOUTH LEBANON. 
  LOWLAND FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN WARREN COUNTY NEAR THE 
  LITTLE MIAMI RIVER...INCLUDING MASON MORROW ROAD.
  

$$

OHC025-061-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111207T0648Z/
/MLGO1.1.ER.111205T2308Z.111206T1200Z.111207T0048Z.NO/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT MILFORD
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 21 FEET, FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN LOW AREAS 
  BETWEEN MAIN STREET AND THE RIVER IN MILFORD. LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS 
  ALONG THE RIVER IN CLERMONT AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.
  

$$

OHC109-149-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0088.111206T0423Z-111207T1933Z/
/SIDO1.1.ER.111206T0423Z.111206T1800Z.111207T1333Z.NO/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT SIDNEY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12 FEET, THE RIVER BREACHES THE BANK ON RIVERSIDE 
  DRIVE...WITH FLOODING OF CUSTENBORDER FIELD AT THE EAST RIVER INTAKE. 
  FLOODING OF PROPERTIES OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER ON RIVERSIDE DRIVE FROM 
  THE BK ROOT BEER STAND TO THE CITY LIMITS.
  

$$

OHC017-113-165-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0086.111206T0507Z-111207T2136Z/
/MBGO1.1.ER.111206T0507Z.111206T1200Z.111207T1536Z.UU/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER BELOW MIAMISBURG
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.9 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 18 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS FROM SOUTH OF 
  MIAMISBURG TO FRANKLIN AND NEAR CARLISLE. SOME LOW LYING ROADWAYS 
  BECOME FLOODED...MAINLY ALONG LOW SECTIONS OF DAYTON OXFORD ROAD.
  

$$

OHC017-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0087.111206T0240Z-111207T1400Z/
/MDTO1.1.ER.111206T0240Z.111206T0600Z.111207T0800Z.UU/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER NEAR MIDDLETOWN
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 12.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12 FEET, WATER APPROACHES STRUCTURES SOUTH OF ROUTE 
  73 BETWEEN EXCELLO AND THE GREAT MIAMI. THIS INCLUDES PROPERTIES ALONG
  OXFORD STREET.
  

$$

OHC061-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-111209T0036Z/
/MIAO1.1.ER.111205T2002Z.111206T1800Z.111208T1836Z.NO/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 23.0 FEET, FLOODING IMPACTS LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER SOUTH OF MIAMITOWN...OVER SOUTHWEST MIAMI TOWNSHIP. 
  FLOODING ALSO OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEW BALTIMORE TO CLEVES. 
  WATER EXTENDS ONTO SEVERAL PROPERTIES BY THE RIVER...AND APPOACHES...
  BUT DOES NOT ENTER HOMES.
  

$$

OHC021-023-057-061019-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0089.111206T0216Z-111206T1612Z/
/SGFO1.1.ER.111206T0216Z.111206T0600Z.111206T1012Z.NO/
919 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOODING NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING... 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAD RIVER AT SPRINGFIELD
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 12.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12.5 FEET, WATER SPILLS ONTO LOW LYING AREA ROADS SOUTH
  OF SPRINGFIELD...POSSIBLY CUTTING OFF ACCESS TO SOME AREAS...
  PARTICULARLY NEAR DURBIN AND SNYDERVILLE. LOCATIONS ALONG THE RIVER 
  UPSTREAM IN CHAMPAIGN AND LOGAN COUNTIES ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING IN 
  LOWLAND AREAS. 
  

$$

131 
WGUS81 KILN 060923
FLSILN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  GREAT MIAMI RIVER BELOW MIAMISBURG

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...

  LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT KINGS MILLS
  LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT MILFORD
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT SIDNEY
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER NEAR MIDDLETOWN
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
  MAD RIVER AT SPRINGFIELD
  SCIOTO RIVER AT CIRCLEVILLE
  BIG DARBY CREEK AT DARBYVILLE


OHC025-061-165-061723-
/O.CON.KILN.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-111207T0044Z/
/KIMO1.1.ER.111205T2153Z.111206T0318Z.111206T1844Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT KINGS MILLS
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 10 PM THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 19.5 FEET, FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR TURTLE CREEK 
  IN SOUTH LEBANON. ROADS AFFECTED BY THE FLOODING INCLUDE BROADWAY...
  MCKINLEY AND PIKE STREETS.
  

$$

OHC025-061-061723-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-111206T2350Z/
/MLGO1.1.ER.111205T2308Z.111206T0430Z.111206T1750Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MIAMI RIVER AT MILFORD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 19.0 FEET, FLOODING OCCURS IN LOWLAND AREAS OF MILFORD 
  AND TERRACE PARK...INCLUDING PORTIONS OF ROUND BOTTOM ROAD IN ANDERSON
  TOWNSHIP.
  

$$

OHC109-149-061723-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111207T0727Z/
/SIDO1.1.ER.111206T0505Z.111206T1200Z.111207T0127Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT SIDNEY
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.4 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 10.0 FEET, THE RIVER APPROACHES THE BANK ON THE WEST 
  SIDE OF CUSTENBORDER FIELD. AT STAGES ABOVE 10 FEET...CITY OFFICIALS 
  BEGIN FLOOD OPERATIONS.
  

$$

OHC017-113-165-060953-
/O.CAN.KILN.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-111206T1800Z/
/MBGO1.1.ER.111206T1000Z.111206T1200Z.111206T1200Z.UU/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER BELOW MIAMISBURG
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 16.9 FEET LATER THIS AFTERNOON... 
  BUT WILL STAY BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

$$

OHC017-061723-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-111207T0819Z/
/MDTO1.1.ER.111206T0515Z.000000T0000Z.111207T0219Z.UU/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER NEAR MIDDLETOWN
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12.0 FEET, WATER APPROACHES STRUCTURES SOUTH OF ROUTE 
  73 BETWEEN EXCELLO AND THE GREAT MIAMI. THIS INCLUDES PROPERTIES ALONG
  OXFORD STREET.
  

$$

OHC061-061722-
/O.CON.KILN.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-111209T0036Z/
/MIAO1.1.ER.111205T2002Z.111206T1800Z.111208T1836Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GREAT MIAMI RIVER AT MIAMITOWN
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 23.0 FEET, FLOODING IMPACTS LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  GREAT MIAMI RIVER SOUTH OF MIAMITOWN...OVER SOUTHWEST MIAMI TOWNSHIP. 
  FLOODING ALSO OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEW BALTIMORE TO CLEVES. 
  WATER EXTENDS ONTO SEVERAL PROPERTIES BY THE RIVER...AND APPROACHES...
  BUT DOES NOT ENTER HOMES.
  

$$

OHC021-023-057-061541-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-111206T1541Z/
/SGFO1.1.ER.111206T0252Z.111206T0615Z.111206T0941Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MAD RIVER AT SPRINGFIELD
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS 
  MORNING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 11.0 FEET, BOTH BANKS OF THE MAD RIVER OVERFLOW NEAR 
  SPRINGFIELD. FLOOD WATERS APPROACH SEVERAL HOMES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF 
  SPRINGFIELD. IN ADDITION...THE MAD RIVER EXPERIENCES WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN CHAMPAIGN COUNTY NEAR THE RIVER.
  

$$

OHC129-061722-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-111209T0130Z/
/CRCO1.1.ER.111206T0927Z.111207T0600Z.111208T1930Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SCIOTO RIVER AT CIRCLEVILLE
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 3 AM THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.8 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT STAGES NEAR 18.0 FEET, LOW LYING AREAS NORTH OF CIRCLEVILLE NEAR 
  LITTLE WALNUT BEGIN TO FLOOD. FLOODING ALSO WORSENS AT THE 
  INTERSECTION OF CANAL ROAD AND STATE ROUTE 104 AND ON ISLAND ROAD 
  NORTH OF CIRCLEVILLE. BACKWATER FLOODING OCCURS ALONG BIG DARBY CREEK 
  NEAR CIRCLEVILLE.
  

$$

OHC049-097-129-061722-
/O.EXT.KILN.FL.W.0091.111206T1052Z-111208T0500Z/
/DBVO1.1.ER.111206T1052Z.111207T0000Z.111207T2300Z.NO/
423 AM EST TUE DEC 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG DARBY CREEK AT DARBYVILLE
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 AM THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 11.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12.0 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG BIG DARBY 
  CREEK IN PICKAWAY...FRANKLIN AND MADISON COUNTIES. PORTIONS OF DARBY 
  CREEK ROAD NORTH OF DARBYVILLE BECOME FLOODED.
  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
452 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
RAIN TONIGHT. THE BULK OF THE RAIN WILL MOVE EAST BY TUESDAY
MORNING WITH THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM...LEAVING CLOUDY SKIES
AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
SHOULD KEEP THE WEATHER DRY ON WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW STAYS
SOUTH OF THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
RAIN CONTINUES AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WEST TENNESSEE RIDES
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING THROUGH KENTUCKY AND OHIO. THE SLOW
MOVING FRONT WHICH IS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE UPPER FLOW HAS A
PLUME OF MOISTURE CONTAINING OVER 200 PERCENT NORMAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER. PREVIOUS RAINFALL OF 2 INCHES WITH ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES ON
THE WAY WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING. SYSTEM IS SLOWER THAN
SUGGESTED ON EARLIER MODEL RUNS SO KEPT CATEGORICAL POPS INTO
TONIGHT. A TRAILING EDGE TO THE STEADY RAIN IS EVIDENT ON RADAR
AND OBS AND THIS BACK EDGE WILL ENTER SOUTHWEST COUNTIES THIS
EVENING BEFORE CROSSING THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT PRECIPITATION
TO END BEFORE COLD AIR ARRIVES BUT WILL MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE
CHANCE OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 30S FOR
OVERNIGHT LOWS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
FRONT WILL BE EAST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ENTERING THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...THOUGH SEVERAL RIVER POINTS WILL BE IN FLOOD
DUE TO THE RAIN EVENT. WITH MODELS SHOWING A LINGERING LAYER OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IN A NORTHERLY FLOW...LOOK FOR CLOUDY SKIES AND A
LOW CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN.

FURTHER DRYING OF THE AIRMASS WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH
PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER...CLOUDS WILL PERSIST...ASSOCIATED
WITH A LOW TO THE SOUTH AND WITH RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S ON TUESDAY COOLING
TO AROUND 40 ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TO UNDERGO A TRANSITION WITH NORTHERN STREAM
BECOMING DOMINATE AS UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGS INTO THE GREAT LAKES NEXT
WEEKEND. INITIALLY IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS
WESTERLY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND NEAR
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY. SURFACE COLD FRONT TO DROP SE
THRU THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY. WL CONTINUE CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW
SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTN INTO SATURDAY AS COLDER AIR ADVECTS INTO THE
REGION.

ARCTIC AIRMASS TO SETTLE INTO THE GREAT LAKES NEXT WEEKEND. ECMWF IS
SHARPER WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL TROF AND OFFERS A COLDER SOLN. WL
TREND THE FORECAST TOWARD THIS MORE CONSISTENT ECWMF SOLN. ILNS FA
LOOKS TO GET MORE OF A GLANCING BLOW OF COLD AIR WITH WAA BEGINNING
AT THE END OF THE WEEKEND OFFERING A MODERATION TO TEMPERATURES BACK
TO NORMAL VALUES BY NEXT MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS CROSSING THE REGION...AND
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FRONT INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. WHEN THE FRONT PASSES...IT WILL CAUSE A GRADUAL
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTH. MEANWHILE...THE
PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAINFALL WILL MEAN THAT IFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL BE THE PREVAILING CONDITIONS.

STEADY RAIN WILL MOVE OUT OF THE REGION THIS EVENING...BUT LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A LIFTING
OF THE PREVAILING CONDITIONS TO MVFR IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL
TOMORROW.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS LIKELY ON TUESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
     051>056-060>065-070>072-077-078.
KY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR KYZ089>096.
IN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...HATZOS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
352 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>096-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>072-077-078-062100-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-
DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-
MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-
CLINTON-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-
352 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL...SEVERAL POINTS ON AREA RIVERS ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KYZ097>100-OHZ073-074-079>082-088-062100-
BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-ROSS-HOCKING-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-
SCIOTO-
352 PM EST MON DEC 5 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RAINFALL OCCURRING TODAY WILL RESULT IN RISES ON AREA
CREEKS...STREAMS...AND RIVERS. LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL...SEVERAL POINTS ON AREA RIVERS ARE
EXPECTED TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
453 PM EST MON DEC 05 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0451 PM     FLOOD            SPARTA                  38.68N 84.91W
12/05/2011                   GALLATIN           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EABLE CREEK FLOODING. ESTIMATED TO BE 4 FEET OUT OF ITS
            BANKS.

&&

ALANR