Severe Thunderstorm Warning 308, NWS Wichita, KS

445 
WWUS53 KICT 030039
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
739 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSC113-030100-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0308.000000T0000Z-110703T0100Z/
MCPHERSON KS-
739 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL
MCPHERSON COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 737 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNDRIDGE...OR 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MCPHERSON...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY
ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MCPHERSON...GALVA AND MCPHERSON AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

THIS STORM HAS EXHIBITED SOME WEAK ROTATION. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP
QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE... SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 9774 3842 9755 3834 9749 3818 9748
      3817 9770
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 158DEG 6KT 3827 9755
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

ES

353 
WWUS53 KICT 030044
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
744 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSC113-030054-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0308.000000T0000Z-110703T0100Z/
MCPHERSON KS-
744 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL MCPHERSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY 30 TO 40 MPH WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH 
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3842 9774 3842 9755 3834 9749 3818 9748
      3817 9770
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 158DEG 6KT 3828 9755

$$

ES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
615 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.UPDATE...

THIS EVENING:
UPDATED FORECAST TO REFLECT SCT TSRA THAT BROKE OUT OVER PRIMARILY
SC KS ALONG & S OF NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERING THROUGH KICT
COUNTRY IN GENERAL VICINITY OF KHUT & KMPR. WOULD EXPECT MOST TSRA
TO BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN BUT WITH FRONT LURKING ABOUT THE PREMISES
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF A FEW TSRA FESTER TO ~MID-NGT. FRONTAL
POSITIONING WILL PLAY GAMES WITH WINDS THROUGH THESE AREAS SO THIS
WILL BE BUT ONE FACET OF THE FORECAST THAT'LL BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
THERE ARE 2 CONCERNS THIS EVENING: 1) AREAL EXTENT & BEHAVIOR OF
TSRA WANDERING OVER PRIMARILY SC KS AND 2) POSITIONING/BEHAVIOR OF
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT MEANDERING THROUGH CNTRL/SC KS. WITH TSRA
IN THE AREA THE FRONT WILL OCCASIONALLY OSCILLATE THIS EVENING. AS
THE NIGHT PROGRESSES THE BOUNDARY SHOULD UNDERGO WARM FRONTOGENESIS
AS A WEAK TROF DEVELOPS OVER THE WRN PLAINS. OVERALL EACH TERMINAL
WILL REMAIN IN VFR STATUS THROUGHOUT THE 03/00Z TAF CYCLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 219 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011/

DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE THE HEAT FOLLOWED BY
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CONTINUES TO SPRAWL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN CONUS WHILE A DIFFUSE STATIONARY FRONT BISECTS KANSAS.
SOUTH OF THE FRONT...PREPARATIVE PLANS SHOULD BE MADE WITH HEAT
INDICES AT OR ABOVE 100 DEGREES EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE DIFFUSE STATIONARY FRONT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. OTHER ISOLATED
DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITHIN DEEPLY MIXED/WEAKLY CAPPED
AIRMASS. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
DOWNBURST WINDS AND SMALL HAIL BUT GIVEN WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR THE
PROBABILITY FOR MORE ORGANIZED/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS LOW. THE
NAM REMAINS MORE AGGRESSIVE AND FURTHER SOUTH WITH A QPF BOMB ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS WHILE THE GFS SUPPORTS A MORE NORTHERN SCENARIO. WILL
KEEP MID POPS ALONG/NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT WITH THE BEST
CHANCES FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70.

SUNDAY-TUESDAY...A FEW MORNING SHOWERS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY
SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WITHIN DEEPLY
MIXED/WEAKLY CAPPED AIRMASS. THE DIFFUSE FRONT/CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW
MAY PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION AND
MAINTAINED LOW POPS THROUGH THE DAY. THE H5 RIDGE IS PROGGED TO
BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION ON MONDAY
BEFORE EXPANDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON
TUESDAY WITH WEAK/NORTHERLY FLOW ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HARD TO RULE OUT AN ISOLATED DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORM AND
WILL MAINTAIN LOW POPS ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON MONDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
TUESDAY BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS LATE
TUE/EARLY WED.

WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY...AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA WILL HELP DRIVE
A COLD FRONT SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS IN HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT WILL TRANSLATE...HOWEVER MAINTAINED A
SUBTLE COOLING TREND THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AS THE
MID/UPPER RIDGE TEMPORARILY BREAKS DOWN ACROSS THE AREA LEADING TO
MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND TYPICAL DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

MWM

AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

MAIN ISSUE WILL BE LOCATION/TIMING/COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AT EVERY SITE...BUT BOUNDARY/DYNAMICS CERTAINLY
FAVOR THE I-70 CORRIDOR VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. BELIEVE
CHANCES ARE LOW ENOUGH TO NOT MENTION AT KCNU/KICT/KHUT AT ALL.
GIVEN UNCERTAINTY...WILL JUST GO VCTS DURING THE MOST FAVORABLE
TIMES AT KRSL/KSLN. OBVIOUSLY LOWER CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES WILL
OCCUR IF STORMS DEVELOP AND TRACK DIRECTLY OVER FORCAST SITE AND
PLAN TO AMEND AS NECESSARY WHEN CHANCES INCREASE. BOUNDARY
LOCATION BY DAYBREAK SUN WILL BE HEAVILY INFLUENCED BY AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION DURING THE NIGHT. BEST ESTIMATE AT THIS TIME IS FOR
BOUNDARY TO STILL BE LURKING IN THE VICINITY OF I-70 SUN MORNING.
-HOWERTON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    73  99  74 100 /  30  20  10  10
HUTCHINSON      73  98  73 101 /  30  30  10  10
NEWTON          73  97  73 100 /  30  30  10  10
ELDORADO        74  96  73  99 /  30  30  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   75  98  75 100 /  30  20  10  20
RUSSELL         71  97  71 100 /  40  20  10   0
GREAT BEND      71  98  72 101 /  30  20  10   0
SALINA          72  97  72 100 /  40  40  10  10
MCPHERSON       72  97  73 101 /  30  30  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     75  98  76  98 /  20  30  20  20
CHANUTE         74  95  73  96 /  20  40  20  20
IOLA            74  95  73  96 /  20  40  20  20
PARSONS-KPPF    75  96  75  97 /  20  30  20  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
KSZ069>072-093>096-098>100.

HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ052-053.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
318 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-032030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
318 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE WILL ALLOW HEAT
INDICES TO APPROACH 105 DEGREES THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS. PLEASE REFER TO
THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING AND HEAT ADVISORY WHICH REMAIN IN
EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
WINDS TO 55 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAT INDICES WILL CONTINUE TO BE AROUND 100 DEGREES ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THEN
AGAIN NEXT WEEKEND.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY OVER CENTRAL AND
EASTERN KANSAS POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO MONDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
604 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSZ071-072-022330-
ALLEN-WOODSON-
604 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ALLEN AND NORTHERN WOODSON COUNTIES...

AT 601 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MILDRED TO
8 MILES NORTH OF YATES CENTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
607 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSZ050-051-067-022330-
MCPHERSON-RENO-RICE-
607 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN MCPHERSON...RENO AND RICE COUNTIES...

AT 605 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WINDOM TO
7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARLINGTON. THESE STORMS WERE NEARLY STATIONARY.

OUTFLOW WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
628 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSZ050-051-067-030000-
MCPHERSON-RENO-RICE-
628 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MCPHERSON...RENO AND RICE COUNTIES...

AT 624 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WINDOM TO
NICKERSON TO SYLVIA...AND WERE NEAR STATIONARY.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE, OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
639 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSZ071-072-030015-
ALLEN-WOODSON-
639 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ALLEN AND WOODSON COUNTIES...

AT 637 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SCATTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KINCAID TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF GRIDLEY...AND MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

DARMOFAL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
645 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

KSZ052-068-030015-
HARVEY-MARION-
645 PM CDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HARVEY AND SOUTHERN MARION COUNTIES...

AT 642 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PEABODY...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MARION...AND MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS JUST
EAST OF HESSTON.

WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

DARMOFAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
711 PM CDT SAT JUL 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TORNADO          1 NW MOUNDRIDGE         38.21N 97.53W
07/02/2011                   MCPHERSON          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROPE TYPE TORNADO.

&&

LFW