Severe Thunderstorm Warning 232, NWS Wichita, KS

616 
WWUS53 KICT 170401
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1101 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

KSC077-095-155-170412-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0232.000000T0000Z-110617T0445Z/
RENO KS-KINGMAN KS-HARPER KS-
1101 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HARPER...EASTERN
KINGMAN AND SOUTHEASTERN RENO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3715 9780 3773 9781 3773 9770 3790 9770
      3791 9716 3716 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 279DEG 25KT 3750 9755

$$

KSC173-191-170445-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0232.000000T0000Z-110617T0445Z/
SUMNER KS-SEDGWICK KS-
1101 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SEDGWICK AND
NORTHERN SUMNER COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

AT 1057 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR VIOLA...OR 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOWNTOWN WICHITA...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DOWNTOWN WICHITA...WELLINGTON...MAIZE...CLEARWATER...WEST
  WICHITA...WICHITA MID CONTINENT AIRPORT...VALLEY CENTER...PARK
  CITY...HAYSVILLE...SOUTH WICHITA...EAST WICHITA...MCCONNELL AIR
  FORCE BASE...DERBY...NORTHEAST WICHITA...BELLE PLAINE...MULVANE...
  OXFORD...MAYFIELD...PERTH AND RIVERDALE.

LAT...LON 3715 9780 3773 9781 3773 9770 3790 9770
      3791 9716 3716 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 279DEG 25KT 3750 9755
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

BILLINGS

991 
WWUS53 KICT 170419
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1119 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

KSC173-191-170445-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0232.000000T0000Z-110617T0445Z/
SUMNER KS-SEDGWICK KS-
1119 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SEDGWICK AND
NORTHERN SUMNER COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

AT 1115 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR HAYSVILLE...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF DOWNTOWN WICHITA...
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BELLE PLAINE...DERBY...NORTHEAST WICHITA...MULVANE...OXFORD AND
  JABARA AIRPORT.

LAT...LON 3715 9780 3773 9781 3773 9770 3790 9770
      3791 9716 3716 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 0419Z 275DEG 46KT 3751 9729
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

BILLINGS

448 
WWUS53 KICT 170435
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1135 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

KSC173-191-170445-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0232.000000T0000Z-110617T0445Z/
SUMNER KS-SEDGWICK KS-
1135 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SEDGWICK AND NORTHERN SUMNER
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3715 9780 3773 9781 3773 9770 3790 9770
      3791 9716 3716 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 0435Z 275DEG 46KT 3749 9703

$$

BILLINGS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
617 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AGAIN TONIGHT. UNCLEAR WHAT WILL HAPPEN
WHEN HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION ENCOUNTERS DEEPER OUTFLOW FROM THIS
MORNINGS CONVECTION. SO FAR IT APPEARS TO HAVE HAD LITTLE IMPACT.
CONCERN IS THAT 1800 UTC NAM MAY BE CORRECT BRINGING THE STORMS
INTO CENTRAL KS LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...SIMILAR TO THE
PAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE VCTS GOING AT
KRSL/KSLN/KHUT AND CB AT KICT. CLEARLY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
LIKELY FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME IF STORMS GO DIRECTLY OVER A
SITE...BUT ODDS/ABILITY TO ACCURATELY TIME THIS PRECLUDE A TEMPO
GROUP AT THIS TIME.  ALSO APPEARS THAT FRONT WILL WORK ABOUT HALF
WAY ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OF COURSE THIS
WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXTENT OF CONVECTION OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY S-SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. -HOWERTON

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 334 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011/

DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE EXITING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX MOVING OUT OF
SOUTHEAST KS...THEN RENEWED STORM CHANCES LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
WRN KS AND AGAIN FRI INTO THE WEEKEND.

THIS EVENING-TONIGHT:
CURRENT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL KEEP MOVING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MOST OF ERN SECTIONS REMAINING
UNDER A BUBBLE HIGH PRESSURE AREA.  THE BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CREATED BY THE MORNING COMPLEX THAT EXTENDS BACK TO
THE WEST INTO SW KS. INTERSECTION WITH THIS BOUNDARY AND THE DRY
LINE IN WRN KS NEAR DDC...WILL BE THE CONCERN FOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...AS THIS AREA REACHES ITS CONVECTIVE
TEMP...WITH STORMS DEVELOPING.  SW KS WILL BE UNDER A FAIRLY STRONG
CAP....SO THINK THE STORMS WILL BE MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE UNTIL A
WEAK SHORTWAVE IN SERN CO MOVES INTO THE WRN KS. BUT AS THIS
CONVECTION DEVELOPS...IT WILL DRIFT EAST-NORTHEAST TOWARDS CENTRAL
KS LATER THIS EVENING. A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS FOR THE STORMS
TO DEVELOP JUST TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA...SO CERTAINLY
COULD SEE A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS IT APPROACHES.

FRI:
PLACEMENT OF THE MAIN SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL BE PROBLEMATIC ON FRI...
AS BOTH THE NAM/WRF AND GFS PUSH THE BOUNDARY SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA....FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GENERALLY ALONG THE KS
TURNPIKE. THE QUESTION WILL BE CONVECTIVE CHANCES FOR THE AFTERNOON
AS WARM TEMPS ALOFT WILL LEAD TO KEEPING MOST AREAS CAPPED UNTIL THE
LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. EVEN WITH THE STRONG CAP...THINK
SOME ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP DURING MAX HEATING SO THINK A LOW
POP IS AGAIN WARRANTED FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE TURNPIKE.  DO
NOT EXPECT ANY CONVECTION THAT CAN GET GOING TO LAST INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS FRI NIGHT. BUT GIVEN A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS THINK
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE.

SAT-SUN:
LOTS OF UNCERTAINLY ON HOW THE WEEKEND WILL PLAY OUT...AS THE WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN DRAPED ACROSS SRN KS FOR SAT...BEFORE
TRYING TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH ON SUN.  INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
HIGH ACROSS SRN KS....WITH ANY WEAK DISTURBANCE LEADING TO AN
AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE CHANCE. SO WILL KEEP POPS GOING ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.  POPS FOR LATE SAT INTO SUN WILL BE DIFFICULT AS
WELL...AS UPSLOPE FLOW OVER WRN KS COULD LEAD TO A COMPLEX OF STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER WRN KS LATE SAT NIGHT.  THIS COMPLEX COULD DRIFT
INTO CEN KS EARLY ON SUN...SO WILL KEEP POPS IN THIS AREA EARLY ON
SUN. BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT TO THE NORTH FOR THE DAYTIME ON
SUN INTO NRN KS...WARM TEMPS ALOFT WILL LIMIT ANY SUN AFTERNOON
CONVECTIVE CHANCES ACROSS CENTRAL KS CLOSER TO THE BOUNDARY. SOUTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY...THINK CAPPING INVERSION WILL KEEP SOUTHERN KS DRY
FOR SUN AFTN.

MON-WED:
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS DIFFER ON THE HOW THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WILL
PLAY OUT...BUT THE GENERAL TREND LOOKS TO BE THAT THE MID LEVEL FLOW
WILL TURN MORE TO THE NW ON WED...WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPS
EXPECTED FOR THE REGION AS THE MAIN SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES
SOUTH OF THE AREA.

KETCHAM

AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

DIFFICULT AVIATION FORECAST CAME UNFOLDED TODAY AS AREA OF
CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS CONTINUES TO
MOVE ESE INTO OKLAHOMA. BEHIND THIS CONVECTION...CLOUDS DECREASE
RAPIDLY AND VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. WINDS WILL SWITCH FROM THE
EAST TO THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES
EASTWARD TOWARDS CENTRAL KANSAS. CURRENT MODELS HAVE NOT HANDLE THIS
CONVECTION WELL THEREFORE TRENDED TOWARDS CURRENT SATELLITE AND
UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS. LATER TODAY EXPECT CONVECTION TO OCCUR
ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND MOVE INTO THE AREA BY 00Z. THIS WILL
HAVE A MAIN IMPACT ON KRSL/KHUT AND EVENTUALLY KSLN/KICT. BECAUSE
OF UNCERTAINTY...MENTIONED VCTS FOR THOSE AREAS. VFR CIGS AND
VSBYS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW AS CONVECTION WANES
AND MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

DUNTEN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    75  98  72  95 /  20  30  20  10
HUTCHINSON      73  97  70  92 /  20  20  20  20
NEWTON          74  96  71  92 /  20  30  20  20
ELDORADO        73  96  71  94 /  20  20  30  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   76  98  74  98 /  20  20  20  10
RUSSELL         70  91  64  87 /  20  10  10  20
GREAT BEND      72  93  66  88 /  20  10  10  20
SALINA          73  95  68  90 /  20  20  10  20
MCPHERSON       73  95  69  91 /  20  20  20  20
COFFEYVILLE     75  94  75  97 /  20  10  20  10
CHANUTE         72  93  74  94 /  20  10  20  10
IOLA            71  92  73  92 /  10  10  20  10
PARSONS-KPPF    74  92  75  96 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
412 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-172115-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
412 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS AND SPREAD EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 135 FROM SALINA TO WICHITA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STATIONARY FRONT WILL MEANDER OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING POSSIBLE. MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS APPEAR
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...HEAT INDICES MAY EXCEED 100 ACROSS
MAINLY SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS...MAINLY WEST OF INTERSTATE 135.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

DUNTEN/KETCHAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1020 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     HAIL             5 S CUNNINGHAM          37.57N 98.43W
06/16/2011  E1.75 INCH       KINGMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1025 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 N CHENEY              37.70N 97.78W
06/16/2011  E70 MPH          SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER ESTIMATES 70 MPH WINDS ON HIGHWAY 54 JUST
            1 MILE INSIDE THE COUNTY LINE.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1027 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1021 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 ESE MARQUETTE         38.52N 97.77W
06/16/2011  M57 MPH          MCPHERSON          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURES 57 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

VJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1029 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

KSZ033-048-050-170415-
ELLSWORTH-LINCOLN-RICE-
1029 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ELLSWORTH...LINCOLN AND RICE COUNTIES...

AT 1024 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH FROM COLLAPSING SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS THE AREA.

JAKUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1031 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N GARDEN PLAIN        37.68N 97.68W
06/16/2011  M57 MPH          SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURES 57 MPH WIND GUST ON HIGHWAY 54
            BETWEEN GODDARD AND CHENEY.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1032 PM CDT THU JUN 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 ESE MARQUETTE         38.52N 97.77W
06/16/2011  M59 MPH          MCPHERSON          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 59 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

VJP