Severe Thunderstorm Warning 168, NWS Wichita, KS

739 
WWUS53 KICT 020236
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
936 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

KSC105-020245-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0168.000000T0000Z-110602T0245Z/
LINCOLN KS-
936 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

AT 932 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND EXTREME DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 100 MPH.  THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR LINCOLN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BEVERLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS 
LINCOLN COUNTY. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 9819 3922 9793 3912 9792 3898 9792
      3897 9793 3902 9822
TIME...MOT...LOC 0236Z 290DEG 22KT 3903 9809
WIND...HAIL 100MPH 1.50IN

$$

MCGUIRE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
633 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

COULD STILL SEE THE CHANCE FOR SOME HIT OR MISS CONVECTION ACROSS
CENTRAL KS AT LEAST UNTIL 02-03Z...AS AFTERNOON HEATING HAS LED TO
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN THIS AREA.  GREATEST AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE
NORTH OF KRSL AND KSLN...BUT WILL KEEP A VCTS NEAR KRSL WITH CB
CLOUD DESCRIPTOR NEAR KSLN AND KHUT.  THINK TSRA CHANCES WILL
DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 03Z AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA
IN THE MID LAYERS.

AFTER TSRA CHANCE ENDS...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AREA...WITH THE ONLY CONCERN BEING GUSTY WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME
HOURS ON THU.

KETCHAM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011/

DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT:
RATHER TOUGH CONVECTIVE FORECAST OUT OF THE BOX...WITH CONSIDERABLE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND NOT A LOT OF CAPPING. HOWEVER CONVERGENCE/TRIGGER
FOR CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE LIMITED RESIDUAL LIFT FROM THIS
MORNINGS CONVECTION IN OK...WHICH WOULD PRIMARILY AFFECT AREA EAST
OF I-35 AFTER 0000 UTC. ALSO SOME POTENTIAL BASED ON CORFIDI
VECTORS FOR HIGH PLAINS STORMS TO WORK INTO FAR NORTHWEST SECTIONS
BEFORE DISSIPATING.

THU:
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER RUSSELL/BARTON COUNTIES...IF NOT MOST OF
CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL KS. WHILE MODELS SEEM TO BE LAGGING A BIT ON
SURFACE DEWPOINTS...DOES APPEAR TO BE SOME DRYING LIKELY IN THE
WEST WITH MINIMAL REDUCTION IN THE EAST. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A BIT
MORE CUMULUS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES IN SOUTHEAST KS VS
REST OF FORECAST AREA. WHILE STRAY THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...COMBO OF CAPPING AND LACK OF CONVERGENCE PRECLUDES
MENTIONING ANYTHING IN GRIDS. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY KEEP
TEMPERATURES MILD OVERNIGHT.

FRI:
SMALL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION IN CENTRAL KS FRI NIGHT AS
SURFACE BOUNDARY EDGES VERY CLOSE TO NORTHWEST EDGE OF FORECAST
AREA. WITH SLIGHT DECREASE IN 850MB TEMPERATURES AND POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL CLOUDS...WILL SHAVE A DEGREE OR TWO OFF PERSISTENCE FOR
MAXES.

SAT-TUE:
THE PAST SEVERAL RUNS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOW GFS AND
ECMWF HEADING IN OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS WITH SPEED OF WEST COAST LOW.
WITH CURRENT SOLUTIONS RELATIVELY CLOSE TO EACH OTHER...THE AVERAGING
IN THE TESTBED GRIDS SHOULD BE QUITE GOOD. LOW TEMPERATURES MAY BE
A BIT TRICKY WITH A LOT DEPENDING ON THE SURFACE DEWPOINTS. THERE
IS THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS MOST DAYS...BUT AREA/TIMING IS PROBLEMATIC...AND WANT
TO AVOID MENTIONING SLIGHT CHANCES EVERY DAY. -HOWERTON

AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

COULD SEE WIDELY SCATTERED...HIT-AND-MISS THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS FOR ALL TAF SITES...DUE TO A
MOIST/UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIRMASS...IN CONCERT WITH SUBTLE
MID/UPPER ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. INCLUDED "CB"
WORDING FOR ALL SITES TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS THREAT. ACTIVITY COULD
LINGER LONGER INTO THE EVENING AT KRSL AND COULD BE A BIT MORE
ORGANIZED...AS AFTERNOON HIGH PLAINS ACTIVITY ROLLS EAST THIS
EVENING. CIGS LOOK TO BE SCT-BKN VFR THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL COMMENCE BY THURSDAY MORNING...DUE TO
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.

ADK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    69  95  69  96 /  10  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      66  96  68  96 /  10  10  10  10
NEWTON          67  93  68  95 /  10  10  10  10
ELDORADO        68  93  68  92 /  10  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   69  94  69  93 /  10   0  10  10
RUSSELL         67  96  67  97 /  20  10  10  10
GREAT BEND      66  96  66  98 /  20  10  10  10
SALINA          69  96  71  97 /  20  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       66  95  69  96 /  20  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     71  93  70  92 /  20  10  10  10
CHANUTE         68  91  70  91 /  20  10  10  10
IOLA            68  91  70  91 /  20  10  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    70  92  70  91 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
506 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-022215-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
506 PM CDT WED JUN 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL
KANSAS...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. OTHER ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
GENERALLY EAST OF I-35. ALL OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WANE
AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SUSTAINED WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL BE NEAR 30 MPH OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...ESPECIALLY OVER RUSSELL AND
BARTON COUNTIES.  A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT
NEARS CENTRAL KANSAS. STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

HOWERTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
803 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     HAIL             CANTON                  38.39N 97.43W
06/01/2011  E1.50 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   PUBLIC

&&

DUNTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
817 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     HAIL             W ROXBURY               38.55N 97.43W
06/01/2011  E1.75 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DUNTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
822 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     HAIL             PARADISE                39.11N 98.92W
06/01/2011  E1.75 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF PING PONG BALL TO GOLF BALL HAIL.
            DAMAGE TO CARS.

&&

BDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
824 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             2 W PARADISE            39.11N 98.95W
06/01/2011  E2.75 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0815 PM     HAIL             LURAY                   39.12N 98.69W
06/01/2011  E1.50 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

DUNTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
829 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     TORNADO          2 NW BARNARD            39.21N 98.07W
06/01/2011                   LINCOLN            KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORTS OF A POSSIBLE RAIN WRAPPED TORNADO ON THE
            LINCOLN/MITCHELL COUNTY LINE.

&&

DUNTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
841 PM CDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 W PARADISE            39.11N 98.97W
06/01/2011                   RUSSELL            KS   STORM CHASER

&&

DUNTEN