Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Gray, ME

416 
WWUS51 KGYX 062101
SVSGYX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
501 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

MEC007-017-NHC007-062115-
/O.CON.KGYX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-110706T2115Z/
OXFORD ME-COOS NH-FRANKLIN ME-
501 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL FRANKLIN...COOS AND NORTHWESTERN OXFORD COUNTIES...

AT 458 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM COBURN GORE TO 20 MILES 
EAST OF COLEBROOK TO LANCASTER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DUMMER...JEFFERSON...COBURN GORE...MOLLIDGEWOCK STATE PARK...LINCOLN
PLANTATION...LAKE UMBAGOG NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE...YORK POND...
DAVIS...MILAN...MOOSE BROOK STATE PARK...UPTON...MIDDLE DAM...
RANDOLPH AND BERLIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR WESTERN MAINE AND NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

&&

LAT...LON 4539 7065 4542 7064 4542 7058 4484 7083
      4437 7125 4442 7169 4450 7159 4488 7124
      4530 7106 4531 7105 4535 7099 4534 7094
      4524 7086 4543 7081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 275DEG 35KT 4541 7081 4486 7105
          4447 7147

$$

SH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
359 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND WILL CROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TOMORROW THROUGH
FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL
MOVE OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF
THE EAST COAST MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
MINOR FORECAST UPDATE TO TREND POP TO CURRENT SPEED OF THE LINE OF
TSTMS WORKING THRU VT ATTM. MORE ISOLD TSTMS ARE POPPING AHEAD OF
THE LINE AND WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NRN GRAFTON AND OXFORD AND
ALL OF COOS COUNTIES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

MARGINALLY SVR HAIL WILL BE A THREAT WITH THE STRONGEST
UPDRAFTS...BUT DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN THE CONCERN. KCXX 88D SAMPLED
MULTIPLE SIGNATURES SHOWING AOA 60 KT WINDS DOWN TO 200 TO 300 FT.
THE RESULT HAS BEEN WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE IN PARTS OF THE WFO BTV
CWFA. DCAPE IS INCREASING THROUGHOUT NH AND EXTREME WRN ME...AND
LLVL LAPSE RATES REMAIN IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KMK. THIS WIND THREAT
SHOULD BE REALIZED IN THE CT RIVER VALLEY WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR...MOVING EWD AFTER THAT.

THE ADDITIONAL THREATS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL
ALSO BE APPARENT WITH THE LINE.

WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING AND STABILIZATION OF THE BOUNDARY
LYR..EXPECT THE LINE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE
COAST THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...TSTMS WILL LKLY CONTINUE INTO THE
NIGHT WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING POSSIBLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CWFA FOR THU. THIS WILL KEEP THINGS
QUIET AND DRY. TEMPS A MAV/MET BLEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON
FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN TRACK SOUTH OF THE REGION AND OUT TO
SEA. THE RESULT FOR NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD ONLY BE SOME
CLOUDS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS
TO BUILD AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE AREA
THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES ON TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR EXPECTED FOR THE MOST PART TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY
EXCEPT IN SCT THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SFC WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40KT POSSIBLE TODAY IN STORMS.

LONG TERM...PRIMARILY VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. IF SATURDAYS
SYSTEM TRACK A BIT FURTHER NORTH THEN WE MIGHT SEE SOME IFR
CIGS/VSBYS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA.
THOUGH WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 20 KT THIS AFTN. SOME STRONG TSTMS
ARE POSSIBLE COMING OFF THE LAND THIS EVE...BEFORE WEAKENING TNGT.

LONG TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...LEGRO
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
153 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

MEZ007>009-012>014-NHZ001>009-071800-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-
NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-
SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
153 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 605 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY AND CROSS TONIGHT.
A VERY WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO TRIGGER SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA IN A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAY.
HOWEVER...WESTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE MAY KEEP THE SEVERE
WEATHER COVERAGE SOMEWHAT MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OR RADIO IN SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MEZ018>028-NHZ010-013-014-071800-
INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-
INTERIOR WALDO-COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-
KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
153 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA TODAY AND CROSS TONIGHT.
A VERY WARM AND INCREASINGLY HUMID AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO TRIGGER SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA IN A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAY.
HOWEVER...WESTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE MAY KEEP THE SEVERE
WEATHER COVERAGE SOMEWHAT MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE. A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS MAY MOVE OUT OF THE WATCH AREA ONTO THE COASTAL
PLAIN THIS EVENING. ANY STORM MAY BE CAPABLE FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL AS THEY DO SO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OR RADIO IN SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ150>154-071800-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
153 PM EDT WED JUL 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO SURFACE
LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OR RADIO IN SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.