River Flood Warning 13, NWS Gray, ME

348 
WGUS81 KGYX 151406
FLSGYX


RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY, ME
1006 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...VERMONT...

  CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON AFFECTING COOS AND ESSEX COUNTIES
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON AFFECTING GRAFTON...SULLIVAN AND
WINDSOR COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO KNOW IF THE
ROAD IS SAFE FOR TRAVEL. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

NHC007-VTC009-160206-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110416T1400Z/
/DLTN3.1.ER.110412T1152Z.110414T0830Z.110416T0600Z.NO/
1006 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 AM TODAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

NHC009-019-VTC027-160206-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110416T0800Z/
/WLBN3.1.ER.110415T1203Z.000000T0000Z.110416T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 9 AM TODAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE DAY AND FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.

$$

240 
WGUS81 KGYX 151804
FLSGYX


RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY, ME
204 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...VERMONT

  CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON AFFECTING COOS AND ESSEX COUNTIES
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON AFFECTING GRAFTON...SULLIVAN AND
WINDSOR COUNTIES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO KNOW IF THE
ROAD IS SAFE FOR TRAVEL. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR
YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

NHC007-VTC009-160604-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110416T1131Z/
/DLTN3.1.ER.110412T1152Z.110414T0830Z.110416T0331Z.NO/
204 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 1 PM TOIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

NHC009-019-VTC027-160604-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110416T1400Z/
/WLBN3.1.ER.110415T1203Z.110416T0000Z.110416T0600Z.NO/
204 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 1 PM TODAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH EARLY EVENING AND 
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

193 
WGUS81 KGYX 160030
FLSGYX


RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY, ME
830 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
VERMONT

  CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON AFFECTING COOS AND ESSEX COUNTIES


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
VERMONT
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON AFFECTING GRAFTON...SULLIVAN AND WINDSOR 
  COUNTIES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO KNOW IF THE ROAD IS 
SAFE FOR TRAVEL. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

NHC007-VTC009-161059-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110416T1059Z/
/DLTN3.1.ER.110412T1152Z.110414T0830Z.110416T0259Z.NO/
830 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 06PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.


$$

NHC009-019-VTC027-161230-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110416T1400Z/
/WLBN3.1.ER.110415T1203Z.000000T0000Z.110416T0600Z.NO/
830 PM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON.
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 07PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE EVENING
AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.


$$

165 
WGUS81 KGYX 160404
FLSGYX


RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY, ME
1204 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
VERMONT...

  CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON AFFECTING COOS AND ESSEX COUNTIES


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
VERMONT
  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON AFFECTING GRAFTON...SULLIVAN AND WINDSOR 
  COUNTIES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO KNOW IF THE ROAD IS 
SAFE FOR TRAVEL. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

NHC007-VTC009-160434-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110416T1059Z/
/DLTN3.1.ER.110412T1152Z.110414T0830Z.110416T0115Z.NO/
1204 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER NEAR DALTON.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 11PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.  
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.


$$

NHC009-019-VTC027-161400-
/O.CON.KGYX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110416T1400Z/
/WLBN3.1.ER.110415T1203Z.000000T0000Z.110416T0600Z.NO/
1204 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON.
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT THIS MORNING UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 11PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST TO FLUCTUATE AROUND FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT...BEFORE SLOWLY FALLING 
  ON SATURDAY.


$$

439 
WGUS81 KGYX 160801
FLSGYX


RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY, ME
401 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...
VERMONT...

  CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON AFFECTING GRAFTON...SULLIVAN AND WINDSOR 
  COUNTIES


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO KNOW IF THE ROAD IS 
SAFE FOR TRAVEL. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

NHC009-019-VTC027-160831-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-110416T1400Z/
/WLBN3.1.ER.110415T1203Z.000000T0000Z.110415T2200Z.NO/
401 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT WEST LEBANON.
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT 03AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL TODAY.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
303 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TONIGHT AND FRIDAY THEN CREST
OVER THE REGION SATURDAY MORNING. STRONG LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
NORTHWARD INTO CANADA WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE WEST LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL SWEEP
ACROSS THE REGION MIDDAY SUNDAY WITH HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
LIKELY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. FAIR WEATHER RETURNS SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING TO OUR SOUTH.
A WARM FRONT BRINGS CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ALONG THIS FRONT AND ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN WEDNESDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS FAIR WEATHER NEXT THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN TONIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LOWERING
DEWPOINTS EXPECT A CHILLY ONE. TEMPS LOWER INTO THE TEENS AND 20S.
WINDS WILL DROP OFF OVER LAND THIS EVENING. USED A BLEND OF
MAV/MET FOR TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVERHEAD WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LOW DEWPOINTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HIGH PRES BRINGS FAIR BUT UNSEASONABLY COOL WX FRIDAY NGT THRU
SATURDAY. THE HIGH MOVES OUT TO SEA ON SATURDAY WITH A FNT
APPROACHING FROM THE W AS LOW PRES MOVES N INTO CENTRAL CANADA.

BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS A HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WIND EVENT IS FCST
BY THE MODELS. QPF AMOUNTS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES INDICATED
BY THE MODELS. COULD BE SOME WET SN OR IP AT THE START OVER MORE NRN
LOCATIONS AS INDICATED BY MODEL TEMP AND LOW LVL THICKNESS VALUES.
MIXED PRCP SHOULDN'T LAST LONG AND NOT EXPECTING THE NEED FOR ANY
ADVISORIES. COULD ALSO SEE EMBEDDED TSTMS WITH HIGH H8 THETA-E AXIS
DIRECTED INTO THE FCST AREA ALONG WITH STRONG H8 SE FLOW VERY LATE
SATURDAY NGT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SE WINDS COULD BECOME VERY STRONG
AND GUSTY... PERHAPS WIND ADV OR MAYBE EVEN HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA. NAM AND GFS BUFKIT WIND SOUNDING FCST SHOWS 70 TO 80 KT
DOWN TO 2000 FT CENTERED ROUGHLY AROUND 12Z TO 18Z SUNDAY. BOTH
MODELS SHOW H9 MAX LOW LVL JET OF 50 TO 70 KT OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM.

FNT MOVES THRU MIDDAY SUNDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE HEAVY RN AND
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES BUILDS IN BRINGING FAIR
WX LATE SUNDAY THRU MONDAY. A WRM FNT BRINGS CLOUDS AND PSBL SHRA
MONDAY NGT. THE FNT REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS THE N AND MT ZONES WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE SHRA FOR THE FCST AREA. S OF THIS FNT TEMPS
SHOULD BE FAIRLY WRM WITH A SW FLOW...ESPECIALLY IF ANY SUNSHINE
BREAKS OUT. THIS FNT MOVES LITTLE THRU WEDNESDAY NGT AS LOW PRES
FORMS ALONG IT AND TRACKS NE. THIS LOW WILL LIKELY FOCUS MORE
SIGNIFICANT PRCP WEDNESDAY NGT. THIS LOW MOVES INTO THE MARITIMES
WITH HIGH PRES TO FOLLOW ON THURSDAY.

GENERALLY USED GFS40, HPC QPF AND BLEND OF MAV/MET MOS FOR FRIDAY
NGT THRU SATURDAY NGT. USED GMOS FOR REST OF THE FCST...EXCEPT USED A
VARIATION OF GMOS FOR MIN TEMPS TO ADJUST TEMPS UPWARD DUE TO A COLD
BIAS IN GMOS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM...VFR.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...VFR FRIDAY NGT THRU
SATURDAY. DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH IFR OR LIFR CONDITIONS
SATURDAY NIGHT THRU SUNDAY MORNING. A FNT MOVES THRU MIDDAY SUNDAY
WITH RAPIDLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS. VFR SUNDAY NGT THRU MONDAY THEN
PSBL MVFR OR MAYBE IFR IN WRM FNT SHRA MONDAY NGT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. MAY BE A FEW
GUSTS TO 25KT TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...HIGH PRES KEEPS WINDS
AND SEAS BELOW SCA LEVELS FRIDAY NGT INTO SATURDAY. DEVELOPING
STORM SYSTEM WITH STRONG ONSHORE SE FLOW DEVELOPING SATURDAY AND
CONTINUING THRU SUNDAY MORNING WITH GLW VERY LIKELY AND EVEN A
POSSIBILITY OF STORM FORCE WINDS. NAM AND GFS BUFKIT WIND SOUNDING
FCST SHOWS 70 TO 80 KT DOWN TO 2000 FT CENTERED ROUGHLY AROUND 12Z
TO 18Z SUNDAY. BOTH MODELS SHOW H9 MAX LOW LVL JET OF 50 TO 70 KT
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM. FNT MOVES
THRU MIDDAY SUNDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE STRONG ONSHORE WINDS.

WINDS WILL DROP OFF BUT THE VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO
SUBSIDE. HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AS WINDS
DROP BELOW SCA LEVELS WITH SEAS TO FOLLOW. HOWEVER SW FLOW
INCREASES ON TUESDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES OUT TO SEA WITH WINDS AND
SEAS LIKELY TO BUILD TO SCA LEVELS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...LOW RH FRIDAY BUT FUELS ARE WET AND WINDS AT LOW
END OF SCALE. FRIDAY RH INCREASES ON AN INCREASING SE FLOW.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES THIS WEEKEND DURING THE UPCOMING
STORM SYSTEM. PWM PREDICTED 11.1 FT AT 10:26 PM SATURDAY, 10.7 FT AT
10:58 AM SUNDAY AND 11.6 FT 11:17 PM SUNDAY. TIDAL FLOOD STAGE AT
PWM IS 12.0 FT. WITH STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS THERE
COULD BE ENOUGH STORM SURGE AND SPLASHOVER TO CAUSE COASTAL FLOOD
PROBLEMS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HAWLEY
NEAR TERM...HAWLEY
SHORT TERM...HAWLEY
LONG TERM...CAPRIOLA
AVIATION...CAPRIOLA/HAWLEY
MARINE...CAPRIOLA/HAWLEY
FIRE WEATHER...HAWLEY
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...CAPRIOLA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
310 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-151915-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
310 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAVY RAIN OF AN INCH OR MORE AND STRONG GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE
LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THIS MAY REQUIRE FLOOD
WATCHES OR WIND ADVISORIES OR HIGH WIND WARNINGS. HIGH
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES, STORM SURGE AND ROUGH WAVES MAY LEAD TO
COASTAL FLOODING AND SPLASHOVER DURING THE HIGH TIDES SATURDAY
EVENING, SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150>154-151915-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
310 PM EDT THU APR 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GALES OR STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.