Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 13, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

November 28, 2011Haywood County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this river flood warning at Nov 28, 2011, 5:32 PM EST for Haywood County, North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 28, 2011, 8:37 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 28, 2011, 5:32 PM EST (22:32 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 28, 2011, 8:37 PM EST
Expired
Nov 29, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Haywood County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pigeon River above Old River Rd (NC 215), 1 SW Canton (CTPN7). The gauge peaked at 10.55 ft at Nov 28, 2011, 8:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate5101511/2811/2911/30
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03456991, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

495 
WGUS42 KGSP 282232
FLWGSP

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
532 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG 
HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...


  PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON AFFECTING HAYWOOD COUNTY


.RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE. ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO
RISE TO FLOOD STAGE. 

 REMEMBER...RIVER STAGE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECASTED RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST 
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. REMEMBER...NIGHTIME MAKES IT
DIFFICULT TO RECOGNIZE FLOODED AREAS.

THE LATEST STAGES AND FORECASTS FOR RIVERS CAN BE FOUND ON OUR WEB 
PAGE AT HTTP://NEWWEB.ERH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=GSP

&&

NCC087-291800-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0013.111129T0600Z-111129T1800Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.111129T0600Z.111129T0600Z.111129T0600Z.NO/
532 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...WATER SURROUNDS SOME HOMES IN THE VANCE 
  STREET AND FIBERVILLE ROAD AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 8286 3553 8284 3552 8284 3551 8285

$$
PAT
4 follow-up statements
920 
WGUS82 KGSP 290053
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
753 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...


  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

  PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON AFFECTING HAYWOOD COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM THE CURRENT AND PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVERS  
APPROACHING AND EXCEEDING FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-300053-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0012.111129T0214Z-111201T0040Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.111129T0214Z.111129T1200Z.111130T1240Z.NO/
753 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING ON PARTS OF HIGHWAY 64 UP
  AND DOWN STREAM OF THE GAGE SITE WILL BE LIKELY.  A FEW BUILDINGS 
  BETWEEN THE RIVER AND HIGHWAY 64 WILL ALSO BE FLOODED. 

&&

LAT...LON 3545 8261 3545 8244 3521 8264 3527 8273 3540 8257
 
$$

NCC087-291800-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0013.111129T0600Z-111129T1800Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.111129T0600Z.111129T0600Z.111129T0600Z.NO/
753 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER WILL OVERFLOW ITS BANKS AND START
  TO FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS IN CLYDE.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 8286 3553 8284 3552 8284 3551 8285

$$
285 
WGUS82 KGSP 290138
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
838 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...


  PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON AFFECTING HAYWOOD COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER  REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC087-300138-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.111129T0137Z-111130T0632Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.111129T0009Z.111129T0600Z.111129T1832Z.NO/
838 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.0 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL CHAMPION PAPER COMPANY WILL 
  NEED TO TAKE PREVENTATIVE FLOOD ACTION AT THE PLANT.  AREAS ON THE 
  RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER NEAR CANTON WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. THIS 
  INCUDES HOMES ON FIBERVILLE ROAD AND VALLEY, NORTH AND CONLEY 
  STREETS.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 8286 3553 8284 3552 8284 3551 8285

$$
047 
WGUS82 KGSP 290251
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
951 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...


  PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON AFFECTING HAYWOOD COUNTY.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN HAS WORKED ITS WAY FURTHER 
DOWNSTREAM THUS...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL SLOWLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC087-291832-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-111129T1832Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.111129T0009Z.111129T0130Z.111129T0632Z.NO/
951 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...AT THIS LEVEL CHAMPION PAPER COMPANY WILL 
  NEED TO TAKE PREVENTATIVE FLOOD ACTION AT THE PLANT.  AREAS ON THE 
  RIGHT BANK OF THE RIVER NEAR CANTON WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD. THIS 
  INCUDES HOMES ON FIBERVILLE ROAD AND VALLEY, NORTH AND CONLEY 
  STREETS.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 8286 3553 8284 3552 8284 3551 8285

$$
646 
WGUS82 KGSP 290630
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
130 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...


  PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON AFFECTING HAYWOOD COUNTY.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN HAS WORKED ITS WAY FURTHER 
DOWNSTREAM THUS...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...KEEP CHILDREN AWAY 
FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-300630-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-111201T0040Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.111129T0450Z.111129T1200Z.111130T1240Z.NO/
130 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 12:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES...ADDITIONAL PARTS 
  OF THE GROVE BRIDGE AND PLEASANT GROVE ROADS WILL FLOOD. BUILDINGS 
  BETWEEN THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AND HIGHWAY 64 WILL BEGIN TO SEE WATER 
  APPROACH THEM.

&&

LAT...LON 3545 8261 3545 8244 3521 8264 3527 8273 3540 8257

$$

NCC087-290700-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-111129T1832Z/
/CTPN7.1.ER.111129T0009Z.111129T0130Z.111129T0223Z.NO/
130 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PIGEON RIVER IN NC AT CANTON.
* AT  1:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9:23 PM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 1.2 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 8286 3553 8284 3552 8284 3551 8285

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 28, 3:34 PM EST, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 3:34 PM EST, 1 hour 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
334 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL MOVE NORTH
TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY....FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE LOW OVER EAST TN CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD KEEPING
THE CWA UNDER THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES STREAMING ACROSS AREA. BEST QG FORCING WILL AFFECT THE REGION
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. WIND SHIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW WILL
ENTER EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ZONES BY LATE AFTERNOON. BOTH GFS AND NAM
ARE CONSISTENT IN PLACING THE AXIS OF STRONGEST VERTICAL MOTION AND
DEEPEST MOISTURE RIGHT OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AT 00Z TUESDAY
THEN SWINGING IT NORTHWARD OUT OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. DRY SLOT
BEGINS TO AFFECT FAR WESTERN ZONES THIS EVENING WITH CONTINUED
EASTWARD PROGRESSION OVERNIGHT. THUS IT APPEARS THAT HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL AFFECT THE FLOOD WATCH AREA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. PLAN TO CONTINUE WATCH UNTIL TUESDAY
MORNING UNTIL DRYING TREND BECOMES MORE EVIDENT. MINOR DIFFERENCES
EXIST IN PLACEMENT OF UPPER LOW TRACK TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST
TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY... BUT THE MODELS ARE SIMILAR IN MOVING A
MOISTURE MAXIMUM ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY.
THICKNESSES LOWER SIGNIFICANTLY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD
FRONT. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW WILL PROVIDE
FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT FORCING DURING TUESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF
MOISTURE AND UPWARD MOTION WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION... ALTHOUGH WITH MUCH SMALLER AMOUNTS THAN ARE
EXPERIENCED TODAY. COLDER AIR WILL RESULT IN SOME SNOW IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A PERIOD OF MIXED RAIN AND SNOW
COULD OCCUR IN THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS. SOME ACCUMULATION... AN
INCH OR SO... IS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS... BUT AT THE
PRESENT TIME SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENTLY WARM TO MINIMIZE PROBLEMS. TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER
CONSIDERABLY AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE COLD AIR WILL BE
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ZONES BY MORNING... BUT WILL NOT REACH THE
EAST UNTIL LATER IN THE MORNING. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE GOING
TO BE IN THE 30S AND 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS AND IN THE 40S AND 50S
EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STEADY OR FALL
SLOWLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHWEST AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE AND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE TO AROUND
10 MPH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 2 PM MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE SHORT TERM FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
WEDNESDAY WITH THE CLOSED H5 LOW LIFTING TO OUR NORTH AS ANOTHER
HEALTHY LOOKING UPPER SHORTWAVE DIGS DOWN JUST TO OUR WEST. THE
SHORTWAVE SHOULD MOVE OVER THE CWFA EARLY THURS WITH HEIGHTS QUICKLY
RISING BEHIND IT TO FINISH OFF THE PERIOD. ON WEDNESDAY...THE SFC
LOW WILL QUICKLY LIFT FARTHER NORTH AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES
INTO THE LOWER MISS RIVER VALLEY. I RAMP POPS DOWN PRETTY QUICKLY
FROM 00 TO 12Z AS PROFILES DRY OUT AND WE LOSE OUR SOUTHERLY UPSLOPE
LOW LVL COMPONENT. ANY LINGERING PRECIP WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO
THE NC MTS...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TN BORDER REGION. MODEL PROFILES
CURRENTLY SUPPORT MOSTLY SNOW OVER MOST OF NC MTS WITH MIN TEMPS FOR
EARLY WED IN THE UPPER 20S. ANY ACCUMS SHOULD BE LIGHT WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS AROUND AN INCH. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR IN THE AFTERNOON
ALLOWING TEMPS TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S FOR THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS AND MID TO UPPER 40S FOR THE MTS. ON THURSDAY...THE
CENTER OF THE SFC HIGH SLIDES TOWARDS THE CAROLINAS WITH DRY
PROFILES OVER THE REGION AND LIGHT WINDS. HIGH TEMPS CLIMB ABOUT A
CATEGORY FROM WED WITH VALUES IN THE UPPER 50S FOR THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT
00Z ON FRIDAY WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM H5 TROF AXIS JUST OFFSHORE
AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES OVER THE CWFA. SOME DEGREE OF UPPER LVL
RIDGING IS STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE FCST AREA THRU AT LEAST
DAY 6 WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROF APPROACHING EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THE
SFC...HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA THRU THE WEEKEND WITH
THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE CWFA EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO SIG
POPS WERE CARRIED FOR DAYS 4...5...AND 6 WITH DAY 7 CARRYING A
SLIGHT CHANCE POP WITH THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM. HIGH
TEMPS WILL BE AROUND NORMAL OR A FEW DEGREES ABOVE WITH MIN TEMPS
ABOUT A CAT BELOW WITH FAVORABLE RADIATIONAL COOLING EACH NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...CEILING AND VISIBILITIES WILL LOWER DURING THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON IN RAIN. ISOLATED CBS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WILL GUST TO AROUND 20
KT. DIRECTION WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHWEST BY 06Z BUT SPEEDS WILL
DECREASE A LITTLE AND REMAIN CLOSE TO 10 KT. BY 07Z... CEILING WILL
BECOME MVFR AROUND 15 HND FT WITH VISIBILITY UNRESTRICTED EXCEPT 3
TO 5 MILES IN RAIN SHOWERS.

ELSEWHERE... IFR AND MVFR CEILINGS IN RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CBS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. BY 06Z CEILING WILL BECOME MVFR AROUND 15 HND FT AND
VISIBILITY UNRESTRICTED EXCEPT 3 TO 5 MILES IN RAIN SHOWERS. AFT 15Z
MIXED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE WESTERN TERMINALS ESPECIALLY
KAVL.

OUTLOOK...GENERALLY VFR WEATHER. COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FCST FORMATION OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS OUT OVER THE BLUE
RIDGE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WITH GOING FCST OF 2 TO 2.5 INCHES
OF RAIN ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE... AM EXPECTING FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT
BLANTYRE TO CREST AT OR JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE ARD 00Z ON 17TH.
BILTMORE FCST PT MAY CREST ARD 7 FT AT MOST WHICH IS WELL BELOW FS.
HEADWATER POINTS SUCH AS ROSMAN ON FRENCH BROAD AND LITTLE RIVER IN
HENDERSON COUNTY SHOULD CREST JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
FLASH FLD HEADWATER GUID. INDICATING LOWEST VALUES 2.2- 2.3 OF ONE
HOUR IN BILTMORE/ BLANTYRE/ CANTON AREAS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR GAZ010-017-018.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR GAZ010.
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-
     062>065-501>510.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
SC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR SCZ001>007.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...LGL
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...LGL
HYDROLOGY...LGL
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 28, 3:46 PM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
346 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

GAZ026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ008>014-019-292100-
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
346 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
IN ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL...THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF
TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING
OR WIND DAMAGE TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ502-504-506-508-510-SCZ007-292100-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-SPARTANBURG-
346 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN
ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL...THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ017-018-SCZ001>006-292100-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-
346 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN
ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL...THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-292100-
RABUN-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
346 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. IN ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAINFALL...THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY
LINGER INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. BLACK ICE COULD FORM ON ROADWAYS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-507-509-292100-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
346 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
   FLOOD WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. IN ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...THESE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF
TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND
POSSIBLY CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ROAD SURFACES WILL
SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
POSSIBLY PRODUCE SOME BLACK ICE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

HG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 28, 3:12 PM EST, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
312 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 E BREVARD             35.24N 82.64W
11/28/2011                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            AUTOMATED RIVER GAUGE ON THE LITTLE RIVER NEAR PENROSE
            REPORTED A STAGE OF 9.2 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.

&&

NED
Special weather statement, Nov 28, 3:18 PM EST, 2 hours 14 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
318 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCZ063-064-SCZ001-002-005-010-282100-
ANDERSON-GREATER PICKENS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN
JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
318 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
OCONEE...NORTHERN ANDERSON...PICKENS...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON AND
SOUTHWESTERN TRANSYLVANIA COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EST...

AT 308 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SALEM TO ANDERSON...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THESE SHOWER WILL BE NEAR...
  SALEM...
  NINE TIMES...
  LAKE JOCASSEE...
  CASHIERS...
  LAKE TOXAWAY...

THIS LINE OF SHOWERS IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS
OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LAT...LON 3475 8290 3481 8289 3478 8294 3492 8314
      3499 8310 3503 8313 3521 8313 3508 8275
      3506 8276 3505 8274 3506 8271 3506 8260
      3501 8260 3501 8255 3490 8250 3453 8260

MCAVOY
Local storm report, Nov 28, 3:40 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
340 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ROSMAN                  35.14N 82.82W
11/28/2011                   TRANSYLVANIA       NC   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            AUTOMATED RIVER GAUGE ON THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT ROSMAN
            REPORTED A STAGE OF 9 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET.

&&

NED
Special weather statement, Nov 28, 4:04 PM EST, 1 hour 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
404 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

SCZ003-006-007-012-019-282200-
GREATER GREENVILLE-GREENVILLE
MOUNTAINS-GREENWOOD-LAURENS-SPARTANBURG-
404 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT GREENVILLE...LAURENS...
NORTHEASTERN GREENWOOD AND SPARTANBURG COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EST...

AT 403 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS THAT WAS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD FRONT. THE
LINE WAS MOVING INTO WESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTY AND EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD TO ABOUT THE CITY OF GREENWOOD. THE LINE WAS MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THE LINE WILL AFFECT MOST OF GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG AND LAURENS
COUNTIES THROUGH 5 PM. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE SHOWERS. HOWEVER...A FEW AREAS WILL SEE GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
THE COMBINATION OF THE GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND WET
GROUND WILL LEAD TO A FEW TREES BLOWING DOWN AS THE LINE MOVES
THROUGH.

LAT...LON 3407 8204 3461 8240 3501 8254 3502 8257
      3512 8261 3518 8246 3516 8245 3520 8238
      3518 8237 3520 8230 3518 8189 3461 8185
      3446 8174 3434 8182 3430 8189 3421 8194
      3419 8191 3414 8194

MCAVOY
Special weather statement, Nov 28, 5:22 PM EST, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
522 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCZ068-508-510-SCZ007-008-013-282300-
CHEROKEE-CLEVELAND-EASTERN POLK-GREATER RUTHERFORD-SPARTANBURG-UNION-
522 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS AFFECT CHEROKEE...POLK...
SOUTHERN RUTHERFORD...SOUTHWESTERN CLEVELAND...SPARTANBURG AND UNION
COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM EST...

AT 518 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE
ADGER TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF UNION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE ADGER...
  BUFFALO...
  UNION...
  SANTUC...
  CHESNEE...
  RUTHERFORDTON...
  GAFFNEY...

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS LINE OF
SHOWERS...WHICH IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. WITH THE
ALREADY WET GROUND...WINDS OF THIS SPEED WILL DOWN A FEW TREES AS
THE LINE OF SHOWERS MOVES THROUGH.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER
LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE...THEREFORE SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

LAT...LON 3445 8155 3456 8168 3458 8182 3530 8228
      3533 8226 3541 8212 3539 8172 3518 8144
      3505 8143 3503 8149 3494 8149 3485 8146
      3481 8148 3476 8145 3473 8149 3472 8145
      3466 8145 3464 8142 3449 8143

MCAVOY
Local storm report, Nov 28, 5:26 PM EST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
526 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NW WOODRUFF           34.79N 82.10W
11/28/2011                   SPARTANBURG        SC   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 101 AT LAWSON ROAD.

&&

HG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 27, 7:46 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPHenderson, Transylvania4 days
Nov 27, 10:23 PM ESTLake Wind AdvisoryGSPAvery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Graham, Haywood and 11 more24 hr
Nov 28, 10:45 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPHenderson, Transylvania6 hr
Nov 28, 10:55 AM ESTFlood WatchGSPAvery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Graham, Haywood and 11 more16 hr
Nov 28, 12:28 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPJackson, Macon6 hr
Nov 28, 4:30 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPHenderson, Transylvania6 hr
Nov 28, 4:43 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPHaywood16 hr
Nov 28, 5:22 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk38 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.