River Flood Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

984 
WGUS82 KGSP 061916
FLSGSP
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
216 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE THE RIVER TO CONTINUE TO 
RISE TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS. KEEP 
CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

&&

NCC089-175-071916-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.110306T2020Z-110308T2230Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T2020Z.110307T0600Z.110308T1030Z.NO/
216 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 1:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 17.0 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BACK BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AND ADDITIONAL 
  PARTS OF GROVE BRIDGE AND PLEASANT GROVE ROADS WILL FLOOD. BUILDINGS 
  BETWEEN THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AND HIGHWAY 64 WILL BEGIN TO SEE WATER 
  APPROACH THEM.

$$

465 
WGUS82 KGSP 070221
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
921 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...
KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-080221-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110309T0000Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T1952Z.110307T0600Z.110308T1200Z.NO/
921 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY 
  LATE TONIGHT AND HOLD AT 17.5 FEET FOR MUCH OF MONDAY MORNING.  
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOST OF THE SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER WILL BE OCCUR.  RIVER ROAD WILL 
  HAVE ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER ON IT AT THE 18 FOOT STAGE.

$$

219 
WGUS82 KGSP 070441
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1141 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...
KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-080441-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110309T0000Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T1952Z.110307T1200Z.110308T1200Z.NO/
1141 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT 10:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE TO A CREST 
  OF 17.8 FEET IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF MONDAY.  THE RIVER
  WILL LINGER AROUND 17.8 FEET THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING
  BEFORE FALLING THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.  THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOST OF THE SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER WILL BE OCCUR.  RIVER ROAD WILL 
  HAVE ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER ON IT.

$$

854 
WGUS82 KGSP 070908
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
408 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...
KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-080908-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110308T1848Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T1952Z.110307T1200Z.110308T0648Z.NO/
408 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.0 FEET THIS
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOST OF THE SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER WILL BE OCCUR.  RIVER ROAD WILL 
  HAVE ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER ON IT.

$$

104 
WGUS82 KGSP 080120
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
820 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...
KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-090120-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110310T0336Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T1952Z.110307T1215Z.110309T1536Z.NO/
820 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT  7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 17.9 FEET EARLIER TODAY AND 
  HAS REMAINED AROUND THAT LEVEL ALL DAY.  THE RIVER WILL REMAIN 
  AT 17.8 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO FALL.
  THE RIVER AT BLANTYRE WILL FALL BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 16 FEET 
  LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.  CAUTION IS ADVISED SINCE MORE HEAVY RAIN 
  WILL ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY WHICH MAY DRIVE THE RIVER TO AN 
  EVEN HIGHER LEVEL THAN IT REACHED TODAY.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOST OF THE SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER WILL BE OCCUR.  RIVER ROAD WILL 
  HAVE ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER ON IT.

$$

797 
WGUS82 KGSP 080847
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
347 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN THE RIVER REMAINING 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INTO WEDNESDAY AS IT CONTINUES TO FALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...
KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-090847-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110310T0019Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T1952Z.110307T1215Z.110309T1219Z.NO/
347 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT  3:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...CAUTION IS ADVISED AS MORE 
  HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY WHICH MAY RESULT IN AN EVEN 
  HIGHER RIVER LEVEL THAN THE PREVIOUS CREST OF 17.9 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF MOST OF THE SECONDARY 
  ROADS ALONG THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER WILL BE OCCUR.  RIVER ROAD WILL 
  HAVE ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER ON IT.

$$

000 
WGUS82 KGSP 082111
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
411 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN NORTH CAROLINA...

  FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE AFFECTING HENDERSON AND TRANSYLVANIA 
  COUNTIES.

.RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN HAS WORKED ITS WAY FURTHER 
DOWNSTREAM THUS...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT
12 TO 18 HOURS. HOWEVER...ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA AND WILL ONCE AGAIN CAUSE THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT 
BLANTYRE TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...CAUTION IS URGED WHEN WALKING NEAR RIVER BANKS...
KEEP CHILDREN AWAY FROM DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS. 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED AND 
FORECAST RAINFALL. IF ACTUAL RAINFALL VARIES FROM THE FORECAST
VALUES...THE RIVER STAGE WILL VARY ACCORDINGLY.

&&

NCC089-175-082141-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110310T0019Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.110306T1952Z.110307T1215Z.110308T1957Z.NO/
411 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AT BLANTYRE.
* AT  3:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  2:57 PM TODAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 12.8 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED...FARMFIELDS IN LOW 
  LYING AREAS AND A LOCAL TREE FARM AND GREENHOUSE NEAR GROVE BRIDGE 
  ROAD WILL BEGIN TO FLOOD.  PARTS OF PLEASANT GROVE ROAD WILL BE 
  COVERED WITH 6 INCHES OF WATER.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE CAROLINA
COAST SUNDAY EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TO
START THE WEEK.  ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE
WEST ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A WEAKER TROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FORM THE WEST THIS MORNING...PRECEDED BY SOUTHERLY UPSLOPE
FLOW AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE. HEAVY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED EARLY
THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BLUE RIDGE
ESCARPMENT WHERE NC BORDERS GA AND SC. THE FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE
ALONG THE SOUTH FACING ESCARPMENT INTO THE AFTERNOON FOR RUNOFF...
AND WILL BE EXPANDED TO NORTHERN OCONEE AND NORTHERN PICKENS
COUNTIES IN SC.

ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS WEAK IN THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING...SHEAR IS
TREMENDOUS...AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CARRIED THERE. SEVERE WEATHER
REMAINS A POSSIBILITY AS WELL. FRONTAL PASSAGE OCCURS AROUND
MIDDAY...WITH RAPID DRYING OCCURRING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. GUSTY WINDS
WILL REACH LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE NORTHERN NC MOUNTAINS
AND ADJACENT BLUE RIDGE...WHERE AN ADVISORY IS PLANNED FOR TODAY.
THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REST OF THE NC MOUNTAINS WILL BE
CANCELED EARLY UNLESS STRONGER WINDS MATERIALIZE BEFORE ISSUANCE.
STRONG WINDS ALOFT ON UPSTREAM RADAR HAVE BEN MIXING DOWN TO THE
SURFACE. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES WITH MOVEMENT TOWARD OUR AREA...A
WIND PRODUCT MAY BE NEEDED FOR NE GA AND UPSTATE SC. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN WARM ADVECTION AHEAD
OF THE FRONT.

MOISTURE REMAINS ALONG THE TN BORDER INTO THIS EVENING IN UPSLOPE
FLOW...WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING RAPIDLY. MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE
MARGINAL AT BEST FOR SNOW...WITH THE MOIST LAYER BELOW MINUS
FIVE...BUT NOT TO MINUS TEN. FOR NOW ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
CARRIED WHERE SURFACE WET BULB TEMPERATURES SUPPORT IT...WITH NO
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL IN COLD ADVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 215 AM SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON
MONDAY...AND TAKE ON A COLD AIR DAMMING CONFIGURATION MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE OVER THE REGION LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...BUT THE
LLVLS WILL BE QUITE DRY. THERE SHOULD BE SOME DECREASE IN CLOUD
COVER DURING THE DAY ON TUE AND MAX TEMPS SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. RETURN FLOW WILL MOISTURE WILL LIFT
INTO THE WRN CAROLINAS AND NE GA TUE NIGHT. LIGHT SHOWERS AND
SPRINKLES ARE A GOOD BET OVER PARTS OF THE FA...THOUGH MIN TEMPS
WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE PCPN TO BE LIQUID FOR THE MOST PART. THE
ONE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER THE NRN MTNS WHERE MINS WILL BE
CLOSE TO FREEZING. WE/VE GOT PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH THIS
SITUATION...BUT A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN CAN/T BE RULED OUT LATE TUE
NIGHT IN THE HIGHER MTN ZONES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM SUNDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE STARTS WELL WITH A BLEND OF
THE GFS AND ECMWF.  HOWEVER...SEEMS WE SHOULD TREND TOWARD THE GFS
TOWARD THE END OF THE 7 DAY FORECAST AS GFS AND OLD ECMWF DIVERGE
CONSIDERABLY.  NOW LOOKING AT THE NEWEST 06/00Z ECMWF...IS MUCH
CLOSER TO THE GFS BUT STILL SOME DIFFERENCES.  THE TRENDS OF THESE
MODELS SINCE YESTERDAY HAVE BEEN TO DECREASE THE QPF.  BOTH OF THESE
MODELS BRING THE COLD FRONT IN FROM THE WEST TO REACH THE AVL AREA
ON AVERAGE IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.  THE ECMWF WAS FASTER IN PREVIOUS
RUNS BUT NOW IS QUITE CLOSE TO THE GFS.  THE ECMWF HAS VERY LITTLE
CAPE WITH THE FRONT...BUT THE GFS IN THE LATEST RUN HAS MORE CAPE.
THUS...WITH THE HIGHER DEGREE OF INSTABILITY WITH THE MORE CONFIDENT
GFS...DECIDED TO REINTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER FOR FOOTHILLS
AND PIEDMONT FROM LATE MORNING TO MID AFTERNOON.  BOTH THESE MODELS
DIG A POST FRONTAL TROUGH...GFS DEEPER AND WIDER AND ECMWF HAS A
SKINNY QUICKER MOVING TROUGH.  VERY BRIEF NW FLOW PRECIP THURSDAY
EVENING TO END AROUND MIDNIGHT.  DRY FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST...ALTHOUGH NEXT FRONT MAY PRODUCE LIGHT PRECIP FOR THE NC
MOUNTAINS SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT...AS HEAVIER RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF A FRONT...
MODEL DATA CIG RESTRICTIONS DOWN TO IFR EARLY THIS MORNING...AND
VSBY TO MVFR. WITH MODEST INSTABILITY AND STRONG WIND SHEAR...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND CB WILL BE CARRIED IN THE TAF. BY
MIDDAY GUSTY S WINDS VEER TO THE NW BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND VFR
RETURNS.

ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY IFR CIG AND MVFR VSBY EARLY THIS MORNING IN
HEAVY RAIN AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. WEAK INSTABILITY AND STRONG WIND
SHEAR SUPPORT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN SC...WHERE CB WILL BE
CARRIED. THIS WIND SHEAR ONLY MEETS CRITERIA FOR LLWS AT KHKY...AND
THE REMARK WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN THE MOUNTAIN SC TAFS. GUSTY S
WINDS VEER TO THE NW BY MIDDAY AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE...EXCEPT
BRIEFLY W AT KAND IN LEE TROUGHING...AND VFR RETURNS WITH DRYING.
UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIKELY REMAIN WELL W OF
KAVL NEAR THE TN BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OUTLOOK...VFR THROUGH MID WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE WED
NIGHT OR THU WITH RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ010-017.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-049-
     050-501-503-505.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ058-062>064.
SC...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SCZ001-002.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...JAT
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
430 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ036-037-057-068>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-070930-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
430 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT
OF THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS MORNING. DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING WITHIN THIS AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL. IF THUNDERSTORMS DO
DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85. THIS
WOULD MAINLY AFFECT AREAS ACROSS THE WESTERN UPSTATE AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA FOR THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035-048-051>053-056-059-065-502-504-506>510-SCZ003-070930-
ALEXANDER-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-NORTHERN JACKSON-
HENDERSON-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
430 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAINFALL WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND 1 INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING WATER LEVEL
TO RISE IN STREAMS AND CREEKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-070930-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
430 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

RAINFALL WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND 1 INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE...CAUSING WATER LEVELS
TO RISE IN STREAMS AND CREEKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ058-062>064-SCZ001-002-070930-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-GRAHAM-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
430 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

07