Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 41, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

May 13, 2011

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this small craft advisory at May 13, 2011, 4:17 AM EDT. It took effect at May 13, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2011, 4:17 AM EDT (08:17 UTC)
In effect from
May 13, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
Expired
May 17, 2011, 3:36 AM EDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

153 
WHUS73 KGRR 130817
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
417 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

LMZ844>849-131630-
/O.NEW.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.110514T0100Z-110515T0000Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
417 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS EVENING AND
  CONTINUING ON SATURDAY.

* WAVES:  BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
16 follow-up statements
959 
WHUS73 KGRR 131414
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1014 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

LMZ844>849-132215-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.110514T0100Z-110515T0000Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1014 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUING ON SATURDAY. 

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
918 
WHUS73 KGRR 131951
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

LMZ844>849-140400-
/O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.110514T0100Z-110516T0000Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS BY THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUING ON SATURDAY. 

* WAVES: BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET BY THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
310 
WHUS73 KGRR 140249
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1049 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

LMZ844>849-141100-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110516T0000Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1049 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20
  KNOTS SATURDAY.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
874 
WHUS73 KGRR 140817
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
417 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

LMZ844>849-141630-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110516T0000Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
417 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
  KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
928 
WHUS73 KGRR 141415
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1015 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

LMZ844>849-142215-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110516T0000Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1015 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

* WINDS: NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KNOTS TODAY...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
  KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
747 
WHUS73 KGRR 141944
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
344 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

LMZ844>849-150345-
/O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110516T1200Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
344 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY.

* WINDS: NORTHEAST INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
402 
WHUS73 KGRR 150240
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1040 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

LMZ844>849-151045-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110516T1200Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1040 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS: NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
816 
WHUS73 KGRR 150828
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
428 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

LMZ849-151630-
/O.UPG.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110516T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.GL.W.0028.110515T0828Z-110515T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.110515T2200Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
428 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 GALES THIS AFTERNOON.
  WINDS DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-151630-
/O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
428 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY
NIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 30 KNOTS TODAY. DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-151630-
/O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
428 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
296 
WHUS73 KGRR 151428
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1028 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

LMZ849-152230-
/O.CON.KGRR.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110515T2200Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.110515T2200Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1028 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 GALES THIS 
  AFTERNOON. WINDS DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT. 

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-152230-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
1028 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH 20 TO 30 KNOTS TODAY. DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 
  KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-152230-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
1028 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
017 
WHUS73 KGRR 151949
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
349 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

LMZ849-160400-
/O.CAN.KGRR.GL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110515T2200Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.110515T2200Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
349 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WARNING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EDT MONDAY NIGHT. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-160400-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
349 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-160400-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
349 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
616 
WHUS73 KGRR 160151
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
951 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

LMZ849-161000-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
951 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS 
  OVERNIGHT.

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-161000-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
951 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-161000-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
951 PM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
265 
WHUS73 KGRR 160723
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
323 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

LMZ849-161530-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
323 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-161530-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
323 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-161530-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
323 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
621 
WHUS73 KGRR 161512
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1112 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

LMZ849-162315-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1112 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-162315-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
1112 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-162315-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
1112 AM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
573 
WHUS73 KGRR 161946
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
346 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

LMZ849-170400-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
346 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-170400-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0400Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
346 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-170400-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
346 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

OSTUNO
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
961 
WHUS73 KGRR 170213
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1013 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

LMZ849-170900-
/O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
1013 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ847-848-170900-
/O.EXT.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
1013 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WINDS: NORTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ844>846-170900-
/O.CON.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-
1013 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TO NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR
493 
WHUS73 KGRR 170736
MWWGRR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
336 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CANCELLED...

.WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

LMZ849-170845-
/O.CAN.KGRR.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
336 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA TODAY.

$$

LMZ844>848-170845-
/O.CAN.KGRR.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-110517T0900Z/
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-
336 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA TODAY.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 13, 4:01 AM EDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 4:01 AM EDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
401 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

LATEST UPDATE...AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...(401 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011)
MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY AND
TONIGHT...HOWEVER THERE WILL ALSO BE PERIODS OF DRY WEATHER.  A MORE
WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATES.  A BRISK NORTHEAST WIND ON SUNDAY WILL MAKE THE DAY
FEEL ESPECIALLY RAW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(401 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011)
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
TWO UPPER LOWS WILL IMPACT OUR WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM.
ONE LOW WAS OVER EASTERN KS THIS MORNING...WHILE THE OTHER WAS
FORMING JUST NORTH OF THE MN BORDER.  THE TWO LOWS WILL MERGE OVER
IL SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT
LAKES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THIS WILL RESULT IN RATHER WET
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY INTO THE WEEKEND.

A SHORT WAVE WAS CROSSING THE CWA THIS EARLY THIS MORNING.  BEHIND
IT WE WILL ADVECT DRIER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE.  SO I HAVE A DRY
FORECAST FOR THE MORNING HOURS WEST OF U.S. 131 AND ONLY SCATTERED
PCPN ELSEWHERE.  HOWEVER THE SHOWERS SHOULD BECOME MORE COMMONPLACE
LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS THE SE CWA WITH A SURFACE LOW LINGERING NEAR
THE MI/OH BORDER...SO HAVE BUMPED UP POPS FOR LATE DAY SHOWERS
ACROSS THE SE CWA.  AT THE SURFACE A COLD FRONT WAS PRESSING INTO
THE NW PORTION OF THE CWA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND THIS FRONT WILL
SLIDE SE AND EXIT THE CWA AROUND MID DAY TODAY.  THEREFORE SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

AS THE UPPER LOWS MERGE DEEPER MOISTURE IS ADVECTED OVER THE REGION
AND RAIN WILL BECOME MORE PERSISTENT INTO SATURDAY AND LAST INTO
SUNDAY.  IN FACT WE MAY NEED TO LOOK AT THE NEED FOR A FLOOD WATCH
GIVEN THE HIGH WATER TABLES IN PLACE NOW AND THE POSSIBILITY OF AN
INCH OR TWO OF RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND.  THE AREA MOST PRONE WILL BE
SOUTH OF I-96.  HAVE BUMPED UP POPS AND LOWERED TEMPS FOR THE
WEEKEND GIVEN THIS SETUP.  SOME AREAS MAY NOT GET OUT OF THE 40S ON
SUNDAY WITH SHOWERS AND A BRISK NE WIND.

&&

.LONG TERM...(401 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011)
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
THE MAIN CHALLENGE IN THE LONG TERM DEALS WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE
UPPER LOW AND ITS IMPACT.

MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD KEEPING THE LOW IN THE VICINITY RIGHT
THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.  THE GFS IS FURTHER NORTH WITH
THIS FEATURE AND AT 00Z WED SHOWS THE NORTHERN END OF THE LOW OVER
MI.  THE ECMWF KEEPS THE LOW FURTHER SOUTH...DOWN OVER TN.  HOWEVER
GIVEN THE COLDER AIR ALOFT FROM BOTH MODELS...MY THOUGHTS ARE THAT
WE WILL SEE SOME DIURNAL SHOWERS ON TUE.  WITH THE UPPER LOW HANGING
AROUND ANOTHER DAY OR TWO...I LOWERED HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR MON AND
TUE SEVERAL DEGREES.

AN INCREASED RISK FOR A OVERNIGHT FROST/FREEZE EVENT EXISTS WITH THE
CHILLY AIR IN PLACE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUE NIGHT.  HOWEVER THE CLOUD
COVER COULD BLANKET THE AREA LIMITING THE RISK.  TOO EARLY TO ADD IT
IN THE FORECAST...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR CLOSELY IN THE COMING
DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(1155 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011)
NOT MUCH CHANGE FORM EARLIER THINKING. THE SHORTWAVE HAS CREATED AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT AT 0330Z WAS COMING ON SHORE
NEAR HOLLAND MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST. I USED THE TIMING TOOL TO
PROJECT IT ACROSS THE CWA (SHOULD REACH LAN BY 0730Z).  I USED A
TEMPO GROUP TO TIME THESE STORMS THROUGH SINCE IT IS NOT A SOLID
LINE OF CONVECTION.

BEHIND THAT WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOIST AIR FOG IS LIKELY AS IS LOW
CLOUDS. THAT WOULD BE MORE SO AT THE NORTHERN TAF SITES. I EXPECT
IFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP BY 12Z AT MKG AND GRR...POSSIBLY BTL AND
AZO. I ALSO LOOKED AT RUC TIME SECTIONS FOR 95 PCT RH BELOW 1000 FT
AGL. IT WAS THOSE TAF SITES WHERE THE RH DOWN LOW AS THAT HIGH.

ALL OF THAT SHOULD MIX OUT BY MID MORNING. THE DEEP COLD AIR MOVES
IN AFTER 00Z AND THAT IS WHEN THE CLOUDS WILL MOVE BACK IN. THE
MODELS WERE NOT REAL STRONG ON CONVECTION WITH THE FRONT SO I DID
NOT TO MUCH WITH THAT.  ALL THE RAIN WAS BEHIND THE FRONT... WELL
AFTER 06Z SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...(401 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011)
WILL HOIST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH WILL START TONIGHT AND LAST
THROUGH SATURDAY.  COLD ADVECTION AND NORTH WINDS COMING DOWN THE
LENGTH OF THE LAKE WILL BUILD WAVE ACROSS THE LAKE.  WE MAY NEED TO
EXTEND THE SCA INTO SATURDAY NIGHT IF THE FLOW REMAINS NORTHERLY
VERSUS NORTHEAST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...(401 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011)
RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED.  HOWEVER A MORE
PERSISTENT RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.  SOME AREAS...MAINLY
SOUTH OF I-96...COULD SEE AN INCH OR TWO OF RAIN.  RIVERS AND
STREAMS ARE ALREADY HIGH AND THIS ADDED HEAVY RAIN COULD PUSH SOME
OUT OF THEIR BANKS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ENTIRE NEARSHORE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

SYNOPSIS:    JK
SHORT TERM:  JK
LONG TERM:   MJS
AVIATION:    WDM
MARINE:      JK
HYDROLOGY:   JK
Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 7:36 PM EDT, 8 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
736 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-130915-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
736 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BUT THESE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. HAIL TO A HALF INCH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED FLOODING DUE TO SLOW MOVING STORMS
WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS FOR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
MAIN RISK FROM THE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY.

LMZ844>849-130915-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-
736 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS...FREQUENT
LIGHTING AND HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY THE MORE INTENSE STORMS. LOCALLY
HIGHER WAVES WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT NEAR ANY STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY.

MJS WDM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Eaton35 min
May 12, 8:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRLake28 min
May 12, 8:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRJackson30 min
May 12, 9:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRJackson43 min
May 13, 4:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRBarry66 min
May 13, 4:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRClare64 min
May 13, 5:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRClinton42 min
May 13, 5:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRKalamazoo56 min
May 13, 5:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRGratiot63 min
May 13, 6:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRGratiot57 min
May 13, 6:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo, Van Buren5 hr
May 13, 6:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRMontcalm58 min
May 13, 6:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRKent54 min
May 13, 6:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson and 2 more61 min

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.