Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Goodland, KS

770 
WGUS73 KGLD 290541
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1141 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

KSC065-137-179-193-290730-
/O.CON.KGLD.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110729T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
THOMAS KS-SHERIDAN KS-NORTON KS-GRAHAM KS-
1241 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAHAM...SOUTHERN
NORTON...SHERIDAN AND THOMAS COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT...

AT 1234 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. OVER 
2 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS BEEN MEASURED AT A MESONET STATION NEAR 
BREWSTER KANSAS...WITH RADAR ESTIMATES OF OVER 3 INCHES FOR AREAS 
ALONG HIGHWAY 24.  RADAR ESTIMATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE 
STILL OCCURRING WITH THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ANGELUS...BOGUE...BREWSTER...COLBY...DENSMORE...EDMOND...GEM...
HALFORD...HILL CITY...HOXIE...LENORA...LEVANT...MENLO...MINGO...
MORLAND...NEW ALMELO...PENOKEE...REXFORD...SAINT PETER...SEGUIN...
SELDEN...STUDLEY AND TASCO.

AT 1115 PM CDT LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED THAT ROADS WEST OF HIGHWAY 
283 NEAR COUNTY ROAD C C IN GRAHAM COUNTY WERE IMPASSABLE DUE TO 
HIGH WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT
ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT
STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND.

&&

LAT...LON 3914 10139 3957 10139 3957 10018 3968 10018
      3968 9963 3913 9960

$$

JLUNDQUI

649 
WGUS73 KGLD 290727
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
127 AM MDT FRI JUL 29 2011

KSC065-137-179-193-290741-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110729T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
THOMAS KS-SHERIDAN KS-NORTON KS-GRAHAM KS-
227 AM CDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR GRAHAM...SOUTHERN
NORTON...SHERIDAN AND THOMAS COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
130 AM MDT/230 AM CDT/...

LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER FEW 
HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH. 

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING 
TO RECEDE...ENDING THE FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN 
OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3914 10139 3957 10139 3957 10018 3968 10018
      3968 9963 3913 9960

$$

THEDE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
600 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

.SHORT TERM... (TONIGHT - SUNDAY)
200 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 19Z SHOWS CUMULUS DEVELOPING NEAR 700MB
TROUGH AXIS IN THE WESTERN FORECAST AREA AND ALONG A SURFACE
BOUNDARY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN FORECAST AREA. SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALSO
EVIDENT COMING OUT OF NORTHERN COLORADO ON WATER VAPOR. SO WITH
CONTINUED HEATING EXPECTED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SLOW STORM MOTIONS TO THE ENE WILL
PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. SOUNDINGS A BIT MORE MOIST THAN
RECENTLY AND DCAPE NOT REALLY FAVORABLE FOR ANOTHER MICROBURST
EVENT. HOWEVER SBCAPE PUSHING 3000 J/KG AND HAIL HEIGHTS NOT AN
UNREACHABLE 30-35KFT...SO HAIL MAY BE MORE OF A THREAT TODAY.
OVERNIGHT...LIGHT EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS AND HIGH DEW POINTS MAY
LEAD TO SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT AFTER THE RAIN ENDS...WHICH RUC IS
HINTING MAY BE WIDESPREAD.

FRIDAY...AFTER ANY MORNING FOG BURNS OFF THE QUESTION BECOMES HOW
LONG DO THE CLOUDS LINGER. NAM IS MOST PESSIMISTIC OF THE GUIDANCE
AND CONSEQUENTLY THE COOLEST...WHILE RUC AND GFS SUGGEST SOME
AFTERNOON BREAKS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST BY THE AFTERNOON
WHICH WOULD PROMOTE A SLOW CLEARING MORE IN THE RUC AND GFS CAMP SO
WILL SHADE TEMPERATURES TOWARD THE WARMER GUIDANCE. CANT RULE OUT AN
ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON IF CLEARING DOES
INDEED OCCUR...BUT BETTER CHANCES WILL BE TO THE WEST WHERE IT WILL
CLEAR FASTER AND NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL COME OUT OF THE
MOUNTAINS. SOME OF THOSE MAY SURVIVE THE TREK ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
MAKE IT HERE FRIDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR EITHER SCENARIO AND
WILL CARRY ONLY 20 POPS.

RISING HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS RIDGE
REBUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. AS A RESULT TEMPERATURES WILL
BE APPROACHING TRIPLE DIGITS ONCE AGAIN. ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE
FAVORS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE FRONT RANGE WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THEM MAKING IT TO FAR EASTERN COLORADO IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.LONG TERM... (MONDAY - THURSDAY)
200 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS PERIOD.
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS RIDING THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OUT OF COLORADO AND
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. LOCAL FORECAST AREA WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH
TO THAT STORM TRACK FOR DAILY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO A
SUBTLE WEAKENING AND SHIFT A BIT FURTHER SOUTHEAST. SURFACE WIND
FORECASTS SHOW AN EASTERLY COMPONENT BY WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY. 850MB TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES ALSO DROP FROM +1 TO +2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS EARLY IN THE PERIOD TO NEAR NORMAL BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. AS A RESULT...WILL TREND TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY DOWNWARD
FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AT LEAST BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.

024
&&

.AVIATION...
554 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...IN THE NEAR TERM THE MAIN AFFECT OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL STAY AWAY FROM BOTH TAF SITES. SO HAVE VFR CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME SINCE NOTHING STRONGER TO AFFECT THE SITES LOOKS IMMINENT.
WILL UPDATE ACCORDINGLY IF SOMETHING GETS CLOSE. OTHERWISE...UPSLOPE
WINDS WITH A MOIST AIR MASS WILL CAUSE FOG AND STRATUS TO DEVELOP
LATER TONIGHT. COULD NOT SPEND A LOT OF TIME ON IT DUE TO CURRENT
SEVERE WEATHER BUT WILL FINE TUNE THAT AS IT GETS CLOSER. HOWEVER...IT
LOOKS LIKE MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE REACHED.

BULLER
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1048 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-291215-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1048 AM MDT THU JUL 28 2011 /1148 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE
IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. STORMS WHICH DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON WILL INITIALLY HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL BEFORE THE THREAT BECOMES LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE AREA
MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
719 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

COZ090-290145-
YUMA COUNTY-
719 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YUMA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 715 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR KIRK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 55
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3977 10249 3963 10226 3957 10238 3957 10261
      3965 10268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 320DEG 6KT 3963 10254

FOLTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
735 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0734 PM     FLOOD            KIT CARSON              38.76N 102.80W
07/28/2011                   CHEYENNE           CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            A LOT OF PONDING OF WATER IN THE TOWN. NO DEPTH GIVEN.

&&

MBULLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
831 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

KSZ027-041-290315-
GREELEY-WALLACE-
831 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GREELEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND
WALLACE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 828 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTH OF SHARON SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH
AT 15 MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...INSTENSE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WINDS
TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10197 3910 10193 3906 10148 3883 10148
      3870 10153 3870 10157 3864 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 0231Z 191DEG 15KT 3876 10175

FOLTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
836 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W WILD HORSE          38.82N 103.02W
07/28/2011                   CHEYENNE           CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WATER OVER THE ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 287
            AND COUNTY ROAD 8 NEAR THE BIG SANDY.

&&

LUNDQUIST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
931 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

KSZ014-290345-
THOMAS-
1031 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 1029 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MINGO...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3927 10076 3917 10099 3945 10124 3957 10095
      3957 10091
TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 151DEG 7KT 3931 10092

JLUNDQUI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
935 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

KSZ013-290400-
SHERMAN-
935 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SHERMAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 933 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF RULETON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...INTENSE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WINDS
TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3913 10191 3916 10205 3957 10204 3945 10152
      3913 10182
TIME...MOT...LOC 0335Z 214DEG 23KT 3927 10189

FOLTZ