Severe Thunderstorm Warning 520, NWS Fort Worth, TX

550 
WWUS54 KFWD 272116
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
416 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

TXC281-272145-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0520.000000T0000Z-110927T2145Z/
LAMPASAS TX-
416 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY...

AT 415 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF LOMETA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.


LAT...LON 3122 9815 3103 9814 3103 9844 3106 9849
      3109 9847 3111 9848 3109 9852 3110 9854
      3113 9855 3116 9853 3119 9857 3122 9857
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 301DEG 10KT 3108 9845

$$

635 
WWUS54 KFWD 272125
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
425 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

TXC281-272135-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0520.000000T0000Z-110927T2145Z/
LAMPASAS TX-
425 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

AT 425 PM CDT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING MOVED
OUT OF THE AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3122 9815 3103 9814 3103 9844 3106 9849
      3109 9847 3111 9848 3109 9852 3110 9854
      3113 9855 3116 9853 3119 9857 3122 9857
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 301DEG 10KT 3107 9842

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
304 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER AIR PATTERN ACROSS THE COUNTRY REMAINS SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE MIDWEST AND A
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. MEANWHILE
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY MOVING
SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. THIS FEATURE
IS DEPICTED PRETTY WELL IN COMPUTER MODEL OUTPUT AND WILL LIKELY
AID IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ISOLATED STORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED BY EARLY AFTERNOON OVER A
FEW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST COUNTIES. FEEL THAT AS SURFACE HEATING
CONTINUES...ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO CHANCE CATEGORY FOR THIS
EVENING OVER AREAS SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT...WHICH AT 2 PM WAS
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE FROM TYLER TO HILLSBORO TO JUST NORTH
OF GOLDTHWAITE. BOTH THE NAM12 AND RUC13 ARE ADVERTISING SB CAPE
BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 J/K OVER AREAS IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF THE
FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND MUCH OF THE EVENING HOURS.
SOUNDING FROM FWD THIS MORNING WAS ALSO SIGNIFICANTLY MORE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE THAN THE ONE FROM MONDAY. FEEL THAT A FEW OF THESE
STORMS COULD AGAIN BECOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL A POSSIBILITY.

FRONT WILL SHIFT A BIT SOUTH TOMORROW WHICH MAY FURTHER LIMIT THE
NORTHWARD EXTENT OF ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DEVELOPS. AS IT IS...IT
LOOKS LIKE THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPLEX WILL REMAIN NORTH OF
THE FRONT AND SUBSEQUENTLY JUST NORTH OF THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE OUT THIS EVENING
THOUGH AS A FEW MAY TRY TO APPROACH THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR
FROM THE SOUTH. AFTER TONIGHT...WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN FOR ESSENTIALLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY. THE NEXT FRONT WILL THEN PUSH THROUGH AND
COOL THINGS OFF FOR THE WEEKEND. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...HOT
AFTERNOON HIGHS OF NEAR 100 WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY UNTIL THE NEXT FRONT MAKES IT THROUGH THE ENTIRE
REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  68  94  70  98  64 /  10  10  10   5  10
WACO, TX              70  99  73 100  65 /  30  20  20  10  20
PARIS, TX             60  91  65  94  62 /  10  10  10   5  10
DENTON, TX            61  93  69  97  63 /  10  10  10   5  10
MCKINNEY, TX          61  94  68  97  62 /  10  10  10   5  10
DALLAS, TX            68  94  69  98  64 /  10  10  10   5  10
TERRELL, TX           62  95  68  98  63 /  20  10  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         68  98  70 100  65 /  30  20  20  10  20
TEMPLE, TX            69 100  73 100  66 /  30  20  20  20  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  95  70 100  62 /  10  10  10   5  20

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

58/30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
304 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281230-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
304 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT MAINLY SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 20. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND
SOUTHWEST OF A BOWIE...FORT WORTH...PALESTINE LINE THURSDAY
NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED SOUTH OF I-20 THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
348 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

TXZ156-272115-
LAMPASAS TX-
348 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN LAMPASAS COUNTY

AT 348 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN SABA...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE LAMPASAS.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3123 9856 3125 9804 3107 9790 3103 9791
      3103 9844 3106 9849 3109 9847 3111 9848
      3109 9852 3110 9854 3113 9855 3116 9853
      3119 9857
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 288DEG 11KT 3111 9849