Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

November 16, 2011Fannin County, Murray County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Nov 16, 2011, 1:42 PM EST for Fannin County, Murray County, Georgia. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 16, 2011, 1:42 PM EST (18:42 UTC)
Expired: Nov 16, 2011, 2:30 PM EST
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Fannin County, GA, Murray County, GA

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 627 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 484 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 108 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Nov 16, 1:03 PM EST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 1:03 PM EST, 39 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
103 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

.PREV DISCUSSION...

UPDATE...
/ISSUED 950 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011/
NO UPDATE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...CURRENT FORECAST GRIDS AND
PRODUCTS APPEAR TO BE ON TARGET. ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE
AND SHEAR REMAINS HIGH...THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
APPROACHING WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY LATE MORNING.

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
/ISSUED 345 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011/
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TAP TODAY AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. SHORTWAVE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS PUNCH OVERNIGHT. THE
UNSUPPORTED SURFACE FEATURE WILL BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FRONTAL
TROUGH THIS MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHWEST GEORGIA. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR ENHANCED PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA...AND
WITH PWS AT OR ABOVE 1.5...ANTICIPATING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 1 INCH ACROSS FAR NORTH GEORGIA...AND
GENERALLY A HALF INCH OR LESS ELSEWHERE. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE.

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR TODAY WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS.
ACTIVITY THIS MORNING HAS BEEN PRIMARILY RAIN SHOWERS...AND AS THE
ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE THROUGH THE DAY...THE BEST
THUNDER CHANCES WILL BE WITH THE SECONDARY BAND OF PRECIPITATION
THIS AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH THE HIGHEST INSTABILITY AND SHEAR.
WITH MODEL MU CAPE IN THE 1000 TO 1200 J/KG RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON...LIFTED INDEX VALUES APPROACHING -4...AND 0-6 KM SHEAR
ABOVE 50 KTS...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. PRIMARY
HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION GIVEN THIS ENVIRONMENT.

MUGGY CONDITIONS THIS MORNING CLOSE TO MEETING WARMEST LOW
TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR TODAY. HAVE INCLUDED THE CLIMATE SECTION
BELOW FOR REFERENCE. ANOTHER DAY OF WARM HIGH TEMPERATURES...IN THE
70S AND LOW 80S...BEFORE COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND FRONT AND DROPS
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY. HAVE
GENERALLY TENDED TOWARDS THE MORE SKILLFUL MET THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM.

DRY HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEEK.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
/ISSUED 345 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011/
CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY
THURSDAY...AND QUICKLY PROPAGATES OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY
LATE FRIDAY. NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOOTS ACROSS THE MIDWEST FROM
THE CENTRAL U.S. ON SATURDAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT BEHIND IT.
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM COULD BRING RAIN TO NORTH
GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO MONDAY...THOUGH HIGH PRESSURE
MAINTAINING A HOLD OVER THE STATE THROUGH MID WEEK WILL KEEP THE
FRONT FROM PUSHING TOO FAR INTO THE STATE. AS A RESULT...HAVE
GENERALLY KEPT JUST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE LATE EXTENDED PERIODS
FOR NORTH GEORGIA.

31

CLIMATE...

RECORDS FOR 11-16

               MAX TEMPERATURE         MIN TEMPERATURE
  STATION      HIGH        LOW         HIGH        LOW
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      84 1958     40 1920     64 1958     19 1940
   KATL      82 1958     40 1901     64 1958     19 1940
                                        1890
   KCSG      83 1993     50 1997     64 1957     26 1969
                1978        1970
                1955
   KMCN      84 1958     45 1920     65 1929     22 1940

31

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
AREA OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO METRO ATL
SITES. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHEAST AND INTO THE REST OF
THE TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON. SHOULD SEE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
DIMINISH ACROSS METRO SITES EARLY EVENING...23Z TO 00Z RANGE. MVFR
TO VFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE BUT LOWER TO IFR
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT 2 TO 3SM VSBYS WITH THE STRONGER TSRA. WINDS ARE
ALSO A CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON AND HAVE ALREADY SEEN GUSTS TO
26KTS. WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THESE STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON BUT WILL STAY ON THE WEST SIDE.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON VSBYS AND CIGS. HIGH CONFIDENCE ON WIND. LOW
CONFIDENCE ON ENDING OF PRECIP.

11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          76  55  62  35 / 100  90  10   0
ATLANTA         76  50  59  36 / 100  80   5   0
BLAIRSVILLE     69  44  53  29 / 100 100   5   0
CARTERSVILLE    75  45  57  32 / 100  70   5   0
COLUMBUS        82  57  65  40 / 100  70   5   0
GAINESVILLE     72  51  59  35 / 100 100  10   0
MACON           82  58  67  36 /  70  70  10   0
ROME            74  44  57  30 / 100  70   5   0
PEACHTREE CITY  77  52  61  32 / 100  80   5   0
VIDALIA         84  61  72  41 /  30  50   5   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: BARTOW...CARROLL...CATOOSA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHATTOOGA...
CHEROKEE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...DADE...DAWSON...DEKALB...
DOUGLAS...FANNIN...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...GILMER...GORDON...
GWINNETT...HALL...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...LUMPKIN...
MERIWETHER...MURRAY...MUSCOGEE...NORTH FULTON...PAULDING...
PICKENS...PIKE...POLK...ROCKDALE...SOUTH FULTON...SPALDING...
STEWART...TALBOT...TOWNS...TROUP...UNION...WALKER...WHITE...
WHITFIELD.

&&

11

Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 4:48 AM EST, 8 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
448 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-171000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
448 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE TODAY...WITH INSTABILITY
AND SHEAR HIGH ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH GEORGIA TODAY. THE DESTABILIZING
ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WILL SUPPORT DEVELOPING
THUNDERSTORMS. WITH MODELED CAPE IN THE 1000 TO 1200 J/KG
RANGE...LIFTED INDEX VALUES BETWEEN -2 AND -4...AND 0-6 KM SHEAR
ABOVE 50 KT...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED. THE PRIMARY
HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH...AND IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. THE BEST CHANCES
FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE PEAK
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR. STORMS WILL MOVE OUT QUICKLY AS THE COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE STATE...AND ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OUTSIDE
THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 16, 11:23 AM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1123 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

GAZ001>003-161730-
1123 AM EST WED NOV 16 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 45 MPH WINDS
IN WALKER...CATOOSA AND DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM EST...

AT 1118 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF COLE CITY TO 41 MILES
WEST OF RISING FAWN...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH ARE LIKELY AS THESE STORMS MOVE ACROSS WALKER...
CATOOSA AND DADE COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 PM EST. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE
PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE COLE CITY...STEPHENSVILLE...HOOKER...
MORGANVILLE...WILDWOOD...NEW ENGLAND...TRENTON...LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN...
CHATTANOOGA VALLEY...RISING FAWN...CLOUDLAND CANYON STATE PARK...
LAKEVIEW...FAIRVIEW...FORT OGLETHORPE AND COOPER HEIGHTS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8507 3495 8510 3459 8550 3459 8553
      3498 8561 3499 8560
TIME...MOT...LOC 1623Z 270DEG 29KT 3510 8574 3495 8583
          3488 8591 3462 8619

Special weather statement, Nov 16, 12:04 PM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Nov 16, 12:22 PM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes before

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Local storm report, Nov 16, 1:37 PM EST, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
137 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0114 PM     HAIL             1 SW WOODSTOCK          34.09N 84.53W
11/16/2011  E0.75 INCH       CHEROKEE           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CHEROKEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RELAYED FIRE
            DEPARTMENT REPORT OF PENNY-SIZED HAIL NEAR WOODSTOCK.

&&

RGARCIA

Special weather statement, Nov 16, 1:42 PM EST, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
142 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

GAZ005>007-161930-
142 PM EST WED NOV 16 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIME SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN MURRAY...FANNIN AND GILMER COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EST...

AT 141 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CONASAUGA LAKE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH ARE LIKELY AS THIS STORM MOVES ACROSS MURRAY...
FANNIN AND GILMER COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EST. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE
PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE FORT MOUNTAIN STATE PARK...CHATSWORTH...
ETON...CRANDALL...SUMAC...CONASAUGA LAKE...COHUTTA WILDERNESS...
COLWELL...JONES MILL...HIGDON...BLUE RIDGE...
MCCAYSVILLE-COPPERHILL...EPWORTH...MORGANTON AND MINERAL BLUFF.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR OTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8419 3496 8417 3495 8418 3490 8414
      3473 8476 3489 8483 3500 8456
TIME...MOT...LOC 1842Z 249DEG 40KT 3485 8468

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 16, 11:23 AM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dade	67 min
Nov 16, 12:04 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Floyd, Polk	41 min
Nov 16, 12:22 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Carroll, Douglas	38 min
Nov 16, 12:46 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Cobb, Paulding	29 min
Nov 16, 1:06 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Cherokee, Cobb, Fulton	39 min
Nov 16, 1:11 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Harris, Troup	49 min
Nov 16, 1:25 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Cobb, DeKalb, Fulton	35 min
Nov 16, 1:28 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Cherokee, Forsyth	47 min
Nov 16, 1:44 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Fulton, Gwinnett	26 min
Nov 16, 1:52 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Harris, Meriwether, Talbot, Upson	38 min
Nov 16, 1:59 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Fannin, Union	31 min
Nov 16, 2:04 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hall	26 min
Nov 16, 2:13 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion, Muscogee	47 min
Nov 16, 2:24 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Lamar, Meriwether, Pike, Talbot, Upson	36 min
Nov 16, 2:37 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Murray	53 min
Nov 16, 2:41 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Chattahoochee, Marion	24 min
Nov 16, 2:56 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jasper, Lamar, Monroe	34 min
Nov 16, 3:00 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Stewart, Webster	45 min
Nov 16, 3:08 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Jasper, Jones, Monroe, Putnam	39 min
Nov 16, 3:20 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bibb, Twiggs, Wilkinson	40 min
Nov 16, 3:32 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Glascock, Jefferson, Washington	58 min
Nov 16, 3:38 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon, Marion, Schley, Sumter, Webster	37 min
Nov 16, 3:44 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock, Putnam	46 min
Nov 16, 3:44 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Glascock, Jefferson, Washington	46 min
Nov 16, 3:54 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Bleckley, Houston, Twiggs	36 min
Nov 16, 4:03 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Washington, Wilkinson	42 min
Nov 16, 4:13 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon, Schley, Sumter, Taylor	32 min
Nov 16, 4:17 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Laurens, Wilkinson	43 min
Nov 16, 4:21 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly	39 min
Nov 16, 4:23 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Jefferson, Washington	37 min
Nov 16, 4:50 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Johnson, Laurens	40 min
Nov 16, 5:00 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp	30 min
Nov 16, 5:00 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Jefferson	45 min
Nov 16, 5:06 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Jefferson	39 min
Nov 16, 5:21 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp, Pulaski, Wilcox	24 min
Nov 16, 5:27 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Emanuel	48 min
Nov 16, 5:41 PM EST	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dodge, Pulaski, Wilcox	49 min
Nov 16, 5:54 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Dodge, Telfair, Wilcox	51 min
Nov 16, 6:40 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Telfair, Wheeler	37 min
Nov 16, 6:51 PM EST	Tornado Warning	FFC	Montgomery, Telfair, Wheeler	39 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.