Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
454 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-231000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
454 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
A STALLED UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THE CAROLINAS. A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH WAS
DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL U.S...WITH AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD
FRONT. THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL MOVE LITTLE
THROUGH FRIDAY...AWAITING THE ARRIVAL OF THE SYSTEM FROM THE
NORTHWEST LATER ON FRIDAY TO FINALLY MOVE IT EASTWARD OUT OF THE
STATE.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARD TODAY WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT MAY
RESULT IN AREAS OF LOCALIZED FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
OCCASIONAL CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE A HAZARD WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE TROUGH REMAINED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...DELINEATING VERY MOIST
TROPICAL AIR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S FROM SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR TO
THE NORTHWEST...WHERE DEWPOINTS WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WAS PROVIDING AN AMPLE LIFTING
MECHANISM FOR THE WARM...MOIST AIR RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A MUCH STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE AREA AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN SWEEP SLOWLY THROUGH THE
REGION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL DYNAMICS FOR MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT
ENCOUNTERS THE VERY MOIST AIR MASS ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...WEAK
SHEAR AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
A GREATER CONCERN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 2.0 INCHES...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS.
WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...SOME TRAINING OF
THUNDERSTORM AND SHOWER CELLS CAN BE EXPECTED...RESULTING IN
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...HENCE FLOODING OR POSSIBLY EVEN
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS AND COCORAHS
OBSERVERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH
THE WEB BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

19

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