Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
454 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-231000-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
454 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.SYNOPSIS...
A STALLED UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDED ACROSS
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THE CAROLINAS. A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH WAS
DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL U.S...WITH AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD
FRONT. THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL MOVE LITTLE
THROUGH FRIDAY...AWAITING THE ARRIVAL OF THE SYSTEM FROM THE
NORTHWEST LATER ON FRIDAY TO FINALLY MOVE IT EASTWARD OUT OF THE
STATE.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARD TODAY WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT MAY
RESULT IN AREAS OF LOCALIZED FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
OCCASIONAL CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE A HAZARD WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE TROUGH REMAINED
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...DELINEATING VERY MOIST
TROPICAL AIR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S FROM SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR TO
THE NORTHWEST...WHERE DEWPOINTS WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WAS PROVIDING AN AMPLE LIFTING
MECHANISM FOR THE WARM...MOIST AIR RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A MUCH STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE AREA AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE
STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...THEN SWEEP SLOWLY THROUGH THE
REGION FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL DYNAMICS FOR MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT
ENCOUNTERS THE VERY MOIST AIR MASS ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...WEAK
SHEAR AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
A GREATER CONCERN WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 2.0 INCHES...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS.
WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...SOME TRAINING OF
THUNDERSTORM AND SHOWER CELLS CAN BE EXPECTED...RESULTING IN
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...HENCE FLOODING OR POSSIBLY EVEN
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS AND COCORAHS
OBSERVERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH
THE WEB BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

19

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
321 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

GAZ004-222000-
321 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 35 MPH WINDS
IN WHITFIELD COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

AT 320 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER TUNNEL HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS
WHITFIELD COUNTY THROUGH 400 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF
THIS STORM INCLUDE TUNNEL HILL...VARNELL...BEAVERDALE AND COHUTTA.
HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...
HAIL LESS THAN THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3497 8481 3493 8484 3487 8482 3481 8504
      3483 8506 3485 8506 3487 8505 3488 8501
      3491 8502 3491 8501 3499 8497 3499 8484
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 228DEG 9KT 3485 8500

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
339 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

GAZ053-054-222045-
339 PM EDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HEAVY RAIN IN COWETA AND FAYETTE
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

AT 333 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
COWETA AND FAYETTE COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND THOMAS
CROSSROADS...SENOIA...TURIN...SHARPSBURG...MORELAND...STARRS
MILL...PEACHTREE CITY...CANNONGATE...TYRONE...KENWOOD...FAYETTEVILLE
AND SANDY CREEK. DRIVERS SHOULD USE CAUTION AS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IS ALSO LIKELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3324 8493 3351 8462 3350 8461 3352 8459
      3355 8448 3355 8444 3351 8442 3350 8442
      3348 8439 3342 8440 3323 8460
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 228DEG 3KT 3337 8458

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