Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

May 27, 20114 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at May 27, 2011, 3:44 PM EDT for 4 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2011, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2011, 4:30 PM EDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Glascock County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Warren County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 27, 2:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 2:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
215 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FEW STRONG STORMS THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY DRYING TREND...

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES FROM THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS THROUGH MACON AND INTO THE
GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA. MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS
MAXIMIZED IN THIS REGION WITH DEWPOINTS NOW IN THE UPPER 60S TO
AROUND 70 WHICH IS HELPING YIELD MIXED LAYER CAPE VALUES IN THE
2000 TO 2500 J/KG RANGE. RESULT OF THIS HAS BEEN THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG STORMS
CONTAINING MARGINAL HAIL THUS FAR THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN RELATIVELY
STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT ALONG WITH CONTINUED MODERATE COLD
POOL...IT REMAINS POSSIBLE FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM THROUGH
EARLY EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL THE DOMINANT MODE.

RAPID REFRESH MODELS NOT ONLY SHOW ACTIVITY QUICKLY WANING AFTER
SUNSET...BUT ALSO SHIFT ACTIVITY QUICKLY EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY
EVENING. WILL FOLLOW SUIT AND LIMIT POPS TO JUST 20 PERCENT AFTER
03Z AND CONFINE TO THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MODELS DO SHOW WITH CONTINUED ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE GULF COAST AND ALONG THE EASTERN TIER LATE TONIGHT AND WILL
INCLUDE IN LATEST GRID UPDATE.

FOR THE WEEKEND...THE ONLY DAY WITH VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE OF A DRY
FORECAST IS SATURDAY AS MID LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM
THE GULF COAST. LOOKS LIKE ANY ENERGY FROM THE NORTH WILL SPILL
OVER THE RIDGE WELL EAST OF THE AREA THROUGH SAT EVENING. THIS
ALONG WITH THE FACT THAT LOW LEVEL ATMOSPHERE WILL BE DRYING OUT
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S RESULTS IN ME LEANING TOWARD THE DRIER
GFS FORECAST. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THE NAM12 DOES GENERATE AIRMASS
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT IT IS TYPICALLY OVERDONE
WITH CONVECTION WITH STRONG MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONES IN PLACE.

THIS TREND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY AS NAM12 IS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE
IN BRINGING TSRA CHANCES BACK TO THE AREA. AREA WILL BE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A 590 DM HIGH BY THIS TIME AND ONE WOULD THINK THIS
WOULD EFFECTIVELY SHUT DOWN ALL PRECIP. LOOKING AT THE SPECIFIC
LAYERS HOWEVER...MOISTURE UNDER THE HIGH DOES INCREASE WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER ON THE GFS INCREASING TO 1.60 AND THE NAM12
1.80 BUT LIKELY INFLUENCED BY DEVELOPING CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH
FORECAST WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY DRY...GIVEN TRENDS...WILL INCLUDE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS PRIMARILY.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...UPPER HIGH LIFTS NORTH FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND MODELS INDICATE MARGINAL MOISTURE IN
PLACE FOR A RETURN TO LOW END THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. CURRENT
EXTENDED PORTION HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO AFFECT MAINLY EASTERN AND CENTRAL
TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON AS COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE
STATE. LOW VFR CIGS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH
VSBY GENERALLY UNRESTRICTED OUTSIDE OF PRECIP AREAS. MAY SEE VSBY
LOWER INTO THE MVFR RANGE LATE TONIGHT IN PATCHY FOG. SOUTHWEST TO
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS LOOK GOOD FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.

49

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          62  89  65  89 /  30  20  10  20
ATLANTA         63  88  69  88 /   0   0   5  20
BLAIRSVILLE     53  82  60  83 /  10   5   5  20
CARTERSVILLE    56  90  61  90 /   0   5   5  20
COLUMBUS        65  91  68  91 /   0   5   0  10
GAINESVILLE     62  87  67  86 /  10   5   5  20
MACON           64  92  66  90 /  20  10  10  10
ROME            55  91  61  92 /   0   5   5  10
PEACHTREE CITY  58  89  63  89 /   0   5   5  10
VIDALIA         66  90  68  89 /  40  20  10   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

DEESE

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 11:33 AM EDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 27, 1:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 1:44 PM EDT, 2 hours before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 2:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 2:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 2:59 PM EDT, 45 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 27, 3:44 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
344 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

GAZ050-051-061-062-074>076-272030-
344 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAIN IN WASHINGTON...WARREN...TALIAFERRO...GLASCOCK...GREENE...
HANCOCK AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

AT 341 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM BASTONVILLE TO LINTON AND OVER OTHER
AREAS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WASHINGTON...WARREN...TALIAFERRO...GLASCOCK...GREENE...HANCOCK
AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH
OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE FIVE POINTS...HAMBURG STATE PARK...
AGRICOLA...MITCHELL...MAYFIELD...SPARTA...BEALL SPRINGS...SHOALS...
MESENA...JEWELL...NORWOOD...CAMAK...WARRENTON...REESE AND
BASTONVILLE. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS.

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED FOR WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...
HAIL LESS THAN THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...OR SIGNIFICANT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3326 8226 3293 8293 3351 8316 3361 8264
      3346 8258 3341 8254 3336 8254 3334 8243
      3332 8240 3332 8234
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 282DEG 15KT 3333 8252 3316 8272
          3318 8300

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 9:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson, Johnson	38 min
May 26, 9:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Montgomery, Toombs, Treutlen	51 min
May 26, 9:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel	26 min
May 26, 10:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Jefferson	41 min
May 27, 12:53 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Fayette	22 min
May 27, 1:37 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Washington	38 min
May 27, 2:13 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Johnson	32 min
May 27, 2:17 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta	43 min
May 27, 2:26 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta	34 min
May 27, 2:35 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson	40 min
May 27, 2:50 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	DeKalb, Fulton	2 hr
May 27, 2:55 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Coweta, Fayette	50 min
May 27, 4:49 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	FFC	DeKalb, Fulton	90 min
May 27, 10:09 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jefferson	36 min
May 27, 11:32 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Telfair	28 min
May 27, 12:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taliaferro	32 min
May 27, 1:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkes	29 min
May 27, 1:16 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taliaferro, Wilkes	59 min
May 27, 1:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Jones	31 min
May 27, 2:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taliaferro	30 min
May 27, 2:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Hancock, Taliaferro, Warren, Wilkes	52 min
May 27, 2:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin	24 min
May 27, 2:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Glascock, Hancock, Warren	46 min
May 27, 4:02 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkinson	28 min
May 27, 4:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilkinson	43 min
May 27, 4:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Laurens, Wilkinson	52 min
May 27, 5:09 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel	21 min
May 27, 5:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Johnson	48 min
May 27, 5:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Laurens	46 min
May 27, 5:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Jefferson, Johnson, Washington	33 min
May 27, 5:51 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Telfair	39 min
May 27, 6:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel	46 min
May 27, 6:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Laurens, Treutlen	50 min
May 27, 6:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Toombs	49 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.