Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

May 14, 2011Taliaferro County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at May 14, 2011, 4:27 PM EDT for Taliaferro County, Georgia. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 14, 2011, 4:27 PM EDT (20:27 UTC)
Expired: May 14, 2011, 5:15 PM EDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Taliaferro County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -172 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 729 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 14, 3:46 PM EDT, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 3:46 PM EDT, 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
346 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE
PUSHING EAST THIS EVENING...SHOULD BE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BY
06Z WITH DEEPER CONVECTION ENDING DURING THE EVENING. PERSISTENT
UPPER LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD
WILL KEEP AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST...
MAINLY IN THE NORTH. A MORE SIGNIFICANT LOBE OF ENERGY ROTATING
AROUND THE UPPER LOW WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
MONDAY...BUT I AM KEEPING POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY FOR NOW. EVEN
WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT...INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL AT BEST
THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. ONLY INCLUDING THUNDER DURING THE DAY
MONDAY WITH THE INCREASED UPPER FORCING.

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST TRENDS AT THIS TIME. STILL SOME
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF CONCERNING THE EVOLUTION OF
THE UPPER FLOW...BUT GENERALLY DRY AND MILD TO SEASONALLY WARM
TEMPERATURES LOOK APPROPRIATE WITH THE OMEGA-LIKE STATIC UPPER
PATTERN PERSISTING THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD.

&&

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
COLD FRONT IS KNOCKING ON GEORGIA'S DOOR...WITH GUSTY WNW WINDS
EXPECTED ONCE IT PUSHES IN. STILL A CHANCE OF THUNDER ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SO HAVE LEFT CB IN THE CLOUD GROUPS FOR THE
FIRST FEW HOURS. SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD MOVE INTO
MAINLY NORTH GEORGIA BEHIND THE FRONT...SO LOW MVFR CIGS EXPECTED
SUNDAY MORNING FOR THE NORTHERN TAFS. SOME HINT AT IFR CIGS BUT
HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY FOR NOW. SHOULD START CLEARING BACK TO VFR
BY MIDDAY SUNDAY WITH GUSTY WINDS BUILDING BACK IN.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON WINDS.
MEDIUM ON CIGS.
LOW ON DEVELOPMENT OF POTENTIAL TSRA THROUGH 00Z TONIGHT.

TDP

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          56  73  51  68 /  20  10  10  40
ATLANTA         55  72  52  64 /  10  10  10  40
BLAIRSVILLE     54  69  49  62 /  20  20  30  40
CARTERSVILLE    53  69  50  63 /  10  20  30  40
COLUMBUS        56  76  54  69 /   5   5  10  30
GAINESVILLE     55  70  51  65 /  20  20  20  40
MACON           57  78  53  71 /  10   5  10  30
ROME            52  68  50  63 /  10  20  30  40
PEACHTREE CITY  54  73  51  65 /   5  10  10  30
VIDALIA         60  81  57  75 /  30   5  10  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

20

Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 11:45 AM EDT, 4 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1145 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-150915-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1145 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. THE BEST LOCATION FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NORTH
AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ROME...TO GAINESVILLE...TO MACON...TO
CORDELE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL DRAG A COLD
FRONT THROUGH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOCUSED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY.
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED WITH CAPES BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500.
SOME STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG...BUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA
EARLY SUNDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 14, 2:33 PM EDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
233 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

GAZ086-141900-
233 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN EMANUEL COUNTY UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

AT 230 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER COLEMANS LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZED HAIL ARE LIKELY AS THIS STORM
MOVES ACROSS NORTHEAST EMANUEL COUNTY THROUGH 300 PM EDT. SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE
CANOOCHEE...SUMMERTOWN...THREE POINTS AND COLEMANS LAKE.

&&

LAT...LON 3264 8230 3282 8236 3284 8233 3283 8226
      3281 8221 3282 8218 3282 8215 3280 8213
      3278 8212 3268 8209
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 245DEG 23KT 3280 8227

Special weather statement, May 14, 2:54 PM EDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

GAZ061-072>074-083>085-096-097-109-141945-
254 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR 40 MPH WINDS IN WASHINGTON...
TWIGGS...LAURENS...JONES...JOHNSON...WILKINSON...BALDWIN...
BLECKLEY...DODGE AND HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 248 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM GRAY TO BAILEYS PARK...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WASHINGTON...TWIGGS...LAURENS...JONES...JOHNSON...WILKINSON...
BALDWIN...BLECKLEY...DODGE AND HANCOCK COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE PAULK...ROYAL...
PORTER...COLEY STATION...BAILEYS PARK...COCHRAN...DISTRICT PATH...
RIPLEY...FITZPATRICK...DRY BRANCH...MOUNTAIN SPRINGS...POSTELL...
CLINTON...BRADLEY AND WAYSIDE. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3227 8335 3235 8344 3257 8342 3279 8352
      3282 8349 3286 8355 3309 8365 3326 8302
      3273 8280 3239 8282 3225 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 253DEG 27KT 3304 8350 3260 8331
          3235 8333

Special weather statement, May 14, 3:39 PM EDT, 48 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
339 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

GAZ050-060-061-073-074-084-085-097-142015-
339 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEA SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WINDS
IN WASHINGTON...PUTNAM...LAURENS...JOHNSON...WILKINSON...BALDWIN...
GREENE AND HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

AT 334 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM WARFIELD TO CADWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZED HAIL ARE LIKELY AS THESE STORMS
MOVE ACROSS WASHINGTON...PUTNAM...LAURENS...JOHNSON...
WILKINSON...BALDWIN...GREEN E AND HANCOCK COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM
EDT.

&&

LAT...LON 3239 8274 3223 8303 3234 8309 3280 8298
      3321 8329 3327 8355 3330 8353 3355 8308
      3352 8298 3347 8301 3345 8298 3345 8285
      3343 8282 3317 8274 3312 8266 3304 8260
      3301 8255 3293 8253
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 237DEG 24KT 3327 8340 3326 8320
          3285 8289 3231 8304

Local storm report, May 14, 4:05 PM EDT, 22 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 14, 4:17 PM EDT, 10 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 14, 4:27 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 8:50 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp	40 min
May 13, 9:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crisp	35 min
May 14, 1:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel, Johnson	28 min
May 14, 2:12 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Bleckley, Dooly, Houston, Jones, Peach and 2 more	48 min
May 14, 2:33 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Emanuel	27 min
May 14, 2:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Bleckley, Jones, Laurens, Twiggs, Wilkinson	51 min
May 14, 3:36 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Johnson, Laurens, Washington, Wilkinson	39 min
May 14, 3:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock, Johnson, Laurens, Putnam, Washington	36 min
May 14, 3:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Greene, Hancock, Putnam	52 min
May 14, 4:13 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Jefferson, Johnson, Laurens, Washington	62 min
May 14, 5:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Emanuel, Treutlen	44 min
May 14, 5:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Telfair, Wheeler	46 min
May 14, 5:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Treutlen	34 min
May 14, 5:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Toombs, Wheeler	50 min
May 14, 6:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Montgomery, Toombs	49 min
May 14, 6:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Wilcox	29 min
May 14, 6:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Dodge, Wilcox	52 min
May 14, 7:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dodge	32 min
May 14, 7:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Laurens	25 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.