Special Weather Statement, NWS Kansas City, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1059 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

.UPDATE...
/1058 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011/

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING...

SEVERE POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR THIS EVENING...THOUGH THE THREAT FROM
SEVERE /AND PARTICULARLY TORNADOES/ IS LOWER AT THIS TIME. CONVECTION
FROM EARLY IN THE DAY HAS LEFT THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS MUCH OF OUR
FORECAST REGION MORE STABILIZED THAN ANTICIPATED EARLIER.
HOWEVER...WITH RADAR MEASURED LOW LEVEL JET WINDS OF 60 KNOTS
IMPINGING ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT
WAS MOVED INTO WESTERN MISSOURI...THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO
PRODUCE SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS IN THE FORM OF 1 INCH
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 60 MPH AS THE STORMS ENTERED OUR AREA. AS
THE STORMS MOVE FARTHER NORTH AND EAST THEY WILL RUN INTO AN
INCREASING AMOUNT OF STABILITY MITIGATING THE STORMS. AREAS STILL TO
BE WATCHED CLOSELY WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 IN
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AS A SECOND LINE OF STORMS PUSH ACROSS EASTERN
KANSAS...THOUGH AT THIS POINT THE SECONDARY STORM LINE IS SHOWING
SIGNIFICANT SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS NOTED
RACING AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION IN CENTRAL KANSAS. HOWEVER...EVEN WITH
THE STABLE LOWER LEVELS...MID LEVEL LAPS RATES OF OF 8 C/KM COULD
ADVECT IN ABOVE THE STABLE LOWER LEVELS AS THE PARENT SHORTWAVE TO
ALL THIS ACTIVITY MOVES FARTHER EAST...PROVIDING SOME CONTINUED
POTENTIAL FOR STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY.

IN ADDITION TO ANY SEVERE WEATHER THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS PRODUCE...ANY STORMS THAT OCCUR WILL ALSO LIKELY PACK
SOME HEAVY RAIN. INDIVIDUAL STORMS WILL BE RATHER PROGRESSIVE ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT AS SHEAR PROFILES AND THE LOW LEVEL JET KEEP THE
STORMS MOVING QUICKLY...BUT WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE /EACH WITH 1 TO 2 INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES/
PRECIPITATION TOTALS WILL BEGIN TO PILE UP QUICK...POSSIBLY LEADING
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA HAS BEEN
NOSING DOWN FOR MANY DAYS THANKS TO RECENT RAINS...BUT WITH THE
LIFTING WARM FRONT EXPECTED TO STALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE IOWA
BORDER OVERNIGHT...THAT IS CURRENTLY WHERE STORMS WITH THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED BOTH TONIGHT AND AGAIN DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONTS PARENT SHORTWAVE LOW CHURNS ITS WAY EAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

CUTTER

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/413 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011/
MAIN CHALLENGE FOR THIS FORECAST CENTERS ON POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE LINE OF STORMS THIS EVENING/TONIGHT.

TONIGHT:

A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM EJECTING INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL SPAWN A WIDESPREAD CLASSIC PLAINS OUTBREAK THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. HIGH RESOLUTION CONVECTIVE MODELS AS WELL
AS LOWER RESOLUTION NAM AND GFS MODELS ALL INDICATE A CONGEALING OF
THE KS AND OK STORMS INTO A QUASI-LINEAR SYSTEM AND RACE IT THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. A SIGNIFICANT
CONCERN HOWEVER IS THE ONGOING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER MOVING THROUGH
CENTRAL MO AND A LARGE AREA OF STRATO CUMULUS LIMITING OUR AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY. NONE-THE-LESS...THINK THAT LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM THE
POWERFUL UPPER WAVE AND VERY STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE
REGION WILL ALLOW FOR A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO EXIST FOR THE
STORMS TO WORK WITH. LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD INCREASE DRAMATICALLY
THIS EVENING WHICH WILL INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AS THE SYSTEM IS
WORKING EAST. MUCH OF THE SHEAR LOOKS CONFINED TO THE LOWER LEVELS AS
WELL WHICH COMBINED WITH HIGH LOW LEVEL HELICITY VALUES SHOULD RESULT
IN A PERSISTENT TORNADO RISK EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE AS THE LINE
MOVES THROUGH. SO WHILE THE ENTIRE LINE MAY BE ABLE TO PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX TORNADOES ARE A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE EVENT AS IT IS MOVING THROUGH
OUR FORECAST AREA.

WEDNESDAY:

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE INCREASING FOR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE COLD CORE UPPER LOW VENTURES INTO EASTERN KANSAS
BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MODELS SHOW AN OCCLUDED BOUNDARY EMANATING
FROM THE SURFACE LOW ALSO IN EASTERN KANSAS DRAPED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. STRONG CONVERGENCE ON THE
BOUNDARY...MODEST LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY WITH AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TO
THE SURFACE WINDS ENHANCING LOW LEVEL HELICITY SHOULD SUPPORT A COLD
CORE UPPER LOW TORNADO RISK. HAVE MENTIONED THIS IN THE AFTERNOON HWO
ISSUANCE. GIVEN THE MORE DIURNAL NATURE TO THESE EVENTS ANY SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING AS THE LOW LEVELS BEGIN TO
STABILIZE ERODING THE LOW LEVEL CAPE. OF COURSE THIS IS HIGHLY
DEPENDENT ON HOW TONIGHTS CONVECTION EVOLVES BUT CONFIDENCE IS HIGH
ENOUGH ON THE PATTERN TO WARRANT MENTIONING THE RISK.

THURSDAY:

THE UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW SHOULD BE EXITING THE
AREA LEAVING A SEASONALLY COOL AIRMASS BEHIND WITH RELATIVELY STRONG
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS. HIGHS SHOULD NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE MID 60S
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION MOVE AWAY.

FRIDAY - MONDAY:

WITH THE PRIMARY FOCUS ON THE FIRST FEW PERIODS FOLLOWED CONSENSUS
MODELS CLOSELY. HOWEVER THE PATTERN MAY CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE AS
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES.

CDB

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...BROKEN LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING INTO EASTERN KS WILL PASS ACROSS THE TERMINALS EARLY THIS
EVENING. WHILE LARGE HAIL AND STRAIGHT LINE DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MOST LIKELY SEVERE THREATS WILL NEED TO BE AWARE THAT LOW LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER WEST CENTRAL MO WHICH WOULD
INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING STORMS.

SHORT RANGE MODELS ALSO SUGGEST A SECOND WAVE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT
THE TERMINALS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND GIVEN LATEST UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS
THIS LOOKS QUITE REASONABLE. SHOULD BE A LULL IN STORMINESS FROM
PRE-DAWN HOURS THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH MVFR CEILINGS
MOST LIKELY.

SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KS AND WEST CENTRAL MO AS PRIMARY PORTION OF
UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES THE TERMINALS.

MJ

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR MOZ001>008-
     011>017-020>025.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR KSZ025-102.

&&

WFO EAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
708 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-251130-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
708 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO EASTERN KANSAS WILL
MOVE THROUGH NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE EVENING
HOURS. SEVERAL NEGATIVE PARAMETERS FOR SEVERE WEATHER DEAL WITH A
STABLE AIRMASS LEFT OVER FROM THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON. THE APPROACHING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ENTERING
THIS STABLE AIRMASS SHORTLY. HOWEVER...SHORT RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN
CONSISTENTLY RAMPING UP THE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS WHICH
WILL INCREASE THE LOWE LEVEL HELICITY AND O-3 KM SHEAR. SO WE ARE
LOOKING AT A BALANCING ACT OF PARAMETERS. WITH THIS IN MIND CURRENT
THINKING IS ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...CANNOT ENTIRELY RULE OUT TORNADIC
THREAT OVER WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS EVENING.
THE BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY TRACK ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE SEVERE THREAT MUTED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

A SECOND BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH THIS
ACTIVITY TRACKING ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER
EASTERN KANSAS...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE FROM
LARGE HAIL AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DIMINISH SOON AFTER SUNSET AS COLDER AIR BEGINS TO DOMINATE THE
SYSTEM.

ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION EVENTS WILL BE SCATTERED AND NOT CONTINUOUS
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN
THUNDERSTORMS...WILL LIKELY DEVELOP. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK MAY EXCEED SEVERAL INCHES IN SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...AND WILL LIKELY PUSH SOME STREAMS AND
RIVERS INTO FLOOD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING MAINLY OVER
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY
BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

MJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1106 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

MOZ038-043>045-053-054-250445-
BATES MO-CASS MO-HENRY MO-JOHNSON MO-LAFAYETTE MO-PETTIS MO-
1106 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN PETTIS COUNTY IN
CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE...JOHNSON...HENRY...
SOUTHEASTERN CASS AND NORTHEASTERN BATES COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL
MISSOURI UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

AT 1105 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CREIGHTON TO 7 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF URICH TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DEEPWATER...AND MOVING
NORTH AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  CLINTON...HOLDEN...WARRENSBURG...WINDSOR...DEEPWATER...CHILHOWEE...
  CALHOUN...LEETON...QUICK CITY...LA TOUR...BLAIRSTOWN...
  BROWNINGTON...POST OAK...CENTERVIEW AND FAYETTEVILLE.

LAT...LON 3821 9399 3850 9421 3899 9389 3880 9362
      3855 9341 3850 9346 3851 9351 3845 9351
      3820 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 0406Z 202DEG 35KT 3856 9406 3842 9389
          3820 9382

21

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1136 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

MOZ003>006-014-015-022-023-030-031-250515-
CALDWELL MO-CARROLL MO-DAVIESS MO-GENTRY MO-GRUNDY MO-HARRISON
MO-LIVINGSTON MO-MERCER MO-RAY MO-WORTH MO-
1136 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WORTH...NORTHEASTERN RAY...
SOUTHWESTERN MERCER...LIVINGSTON...HARRISON...WESTERN GRUNDY...
EASTERN GENTRY...DAVIESS...NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND EASTERN CALDWELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

AT 1133 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF NEW
HAMPTON TO 9 MILES NORTH OF NORBORNE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  GALLATIN...BETHANY...CHILLICOTHE...TRENTON...BRECKENRIDGE...NEW
  HAMPTON...GRANT CITY...JAMESPORT...UTICA...GILMAN CITY...
  RIDGEWAY...EAGLEVILLE...WHEELING...WORTH...JAMESON...SHERIDAN...
  LUDLOW...COFFEY...DENVER AND MOORESVILLE.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 66 AND 114.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3982 9336 3970 9335 3936 9375 3997 9421
      4003 9420 4004 9426 4052 9463 4056 9463
      4058 9391
TIME...MOT...LOC 0436Z 220DEG 34KT 4020 9421 3945 9365

MJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1153 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

MOZ030-031-038-039-044>046-054-250545-
CARROLL MO-COOPER MO-HENRY MO-JOHNSON MO-LAFAYETTE MO-PETTIS MO-RAY
MO-SALINE MO-
1153 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SALINE...PETTIS AND WESTERN
COOPER COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH
CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND EASTERN RAY...EASTERN LAFAYETTE...EASTERN
JOHNSON AND NORTHEASTERN HENRY COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

AT 1152 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HARDIN TO SWEET SPRINGS TO LA MONTE TO 5 MILES EAST OF WINDSOR...AND
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  SWEET SPRINGS...SEDALIA...CARROLLTON...MARSHALL...SLATER...
  HOUSTONIA...BLACKBURN...NORBORNE...WAVERLY...MALTA BEND...
  SMITHTON...OTTERVILLE...BOSWORTH...HUGHESVILLE...MOUNT LEONARD...
  GRAND PASS...SEDALIA MEMORIAL ARPT...BOGARD...CLIFTON CITY AND
  WAKENDA.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 55 AND 92.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3841 9355 3874 9357 3899 9364 3926 9390
      3959 9347 3914 9295 3884 9295 3868 9298
      3869 9305 3853 9306 3853 9329 3850 9329
      3851 9351 3842 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 0453Z 255DEG 28KT 3923 9373 3902 9345
          3877 9339 3853 9341

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1203 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1143 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W GALLATIN            39.91N 93.98W
05/24/2011  E55 MPH          DAVIESS            MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED TO AROUND 55 MPH.

&&

GAMIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1213 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1204 AM     HAIL             WHITEMAN AFB            38.73N 93.55W
05/25/2011  M0.50 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

GAMIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1222 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

MOZ005>007-015-016-023-024-031-032-250600-
CARROLL MO-CHARITON MO-GRUNDY MO-HARRISON MO-LINN MO-LIVINGSTON
MO-MERCER MO-PUTNAM MO-SULLIVAN MO-
1222 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN SULLIVAN...WESTERN
PUTNAM...MERCER...EASTERN LIVINGSTON...WESTERN LINN...NORTHEASTERN
HARRISON...GRUNDY...NORTHWESTERN CHARITON AND NORTHEASTERN CARROLL
COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

AT 1220 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAMONI TO SPICKARD
TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHEELING TO 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CARROLLTON...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  BROOKFIELD...SPICKARD...PRINCETON...HALE...GALT...MERCER...
  WHEELING...MEADVILLE...LACLEDE...BROWNING...LINNEUS...TINA...MILL
  GROVE...LAREDO...TRIPLETT...AVALON...MENDON...SUMNER...HUMPHREYS
  AND OSGOOD.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 110 AND 114.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

LAT...LON 3994 9300 3946 9307 3949 9363 3979 9357
      4012 9368 4058 9401 4058 9334
TIME...MOT...LOC 0522Z 202DEG 39KT 4062 9393 4022 9359
          3987 9344 3950 9356

MJ