Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 92, NWS Kansas City, MO

May 26, 2011Cooper County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at May 26, 2011, 8:27 AM CDT for Cooper County, Missouri. It took effect at May 26, 2011, 9:55 AM CDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2011, 8:27 AM CDT (13:27 UTC)
In effect from
May 26, 2011, 9:55 AM CDT
Expired
May 26, 2011, 5:50 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Cooper County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Lamine River near Otterville (OTTM7). The gauge peaked at 14.87 ft at May 26, 2011, 10:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101505/2605/27
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06906800, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

833 
WGUS43 KEAX 261327
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
827 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011
  

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE

AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...COOPER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-271327-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0092.110526T1455Z-110527T1800Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.110526T1455Z.110526T1535Z.110526T1800Z.NO/
827 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL MO HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY LATE THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   14.5   THU 08 AM   15.1 LATE THIS MORNING

$$
SAW
2 follow-up statements
773 
WGUS83 KEAX 261513
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011
   

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...CHARITON...MACON

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  102 RIVER AT ROSENDALE 
  BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK 
  CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR PATTONSBURG 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR GALLATIN 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER 
  GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY 
  PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION 
  PLATTE RIVER NEAR PLATTE CITY 
  PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE 
  STRANGER CREEK AT EASTON 
  WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...LEAVENWORTH 
AND IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...CHARITON...COOPER...
DAVIESS...GENTRY...JOHNSON...LINN...LIVINGSTON...PETTIS...PLATTE...
RAY...SALINE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...

  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT SIBLEY 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT BOONVILLE 
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...
LEAVENWORTH AND IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...BUCHANAN...CARROLL...
CHARITON...CLAY...COOPER...HOWARD...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...PLATTE...
RAY...SALINE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC003-021-271513-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-110527T1630Z/
/RSDM7.2.ER.110525T2336Z.110526T1122Z.110526T1630Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE 102 RIVER AT ROSENDALE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:22 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...STATE ROUTE 48 ON THE EAST AND WEST SIDES OF 
  ROSENDALE IS UNDER WATER.
* AT 18.0 FEET...STATE ROUTE 48 ON THE EAST SIDE OF ROSENDALE IS 
  OVERTOPPED BY FLOOD WATERS.
* AT 13.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

102 RIVER
  ROSENDALE       18   19.1   THU 06 AM   18.4 LATE THIS MORNING

$$

MOC101-159-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-110528T0251Z/
/VLYM7.1.ER.110525T1345Z.110525T2030Z.110527T0251Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* AT 22.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND FARM FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY     22   24.1   THU 09 AM   24.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-195-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-110529T2000Z/
/BLVM7.1.ER.110525T1237Z.110526T1215Z.110528T2000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.8 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 24.0 FEET...CROPLAND AND PASTURES ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

BLACKWATER RIVER
  BLUE LICK       24   27.6   THU 10 AM   27.8 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC041-121-261543-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-110528T0000Z/
/PRIM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A VALUE OF 
  12.4 FEET THIS EVENING. 


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CHARITON RIVER
  PRAIRIE HILL    15   10.7   THU 10 AM   12.4 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC177-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-110528T0311Z/
/RICM7.2.ER.110525T1855Z.110526T1445Z.110527T0311Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROOKED RIVER NEAR RICHMOND.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE THIS EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO OVERTOP A GRAVEL ROAD ABOUT 1 MILE 
  SOUTH OF THE F AND B HIGHWAY INTERSECTION.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL ROADS ALONG WITH CROPLAND AND 
  WOODLANDS FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND        20   22.8   THU 10 AM   22.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC061-075-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0090.110526T1506Z-110528T0616Z/
/PATM7.1.ER.110526T1505Z.110527T0000Z.110527T0616Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR PATTONSBURG.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:49 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 26.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...LOW-LYING FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  PATTONSBURG     25   24.3   THU 08 AM   26.3 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC061-117-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0091.110526T1615Z-110528T1000Z/
/GAZM7.1.ER.110526T1615Z.110527T0000Z.110527T1000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR GALLATIN.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 27.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 26.0 FEET...LOW-LYING WOODLANDS AND FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  GALLATIN        26   25.4   THU 10 AM   27.2 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC115-117-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-110529T1520Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.110526T0816Z.110527T0000Z.110528T1520Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR CHILLICOTHE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 24.0 FEET...LOW-LYING CROPLAND FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  CHILLICOTHE     24   28.1   THU 10 AM   29.5 THIS EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-115-117-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-110531T0827Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.110526T0022Z.110527T0600Z.110530T0827Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.1 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* AT 28.0 FEET...RURAL ROADS ARE UNDER WATER.
* AT 26.0 FEET...RURAL LAND ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IS FLOODED.
* AT 23.0 FEET...BOTTOMLAND 1 TO 2 MILES SOUTH OF THE GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  SUMNER          26   32.2   THU 10 AM   34.1 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC033-041-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0077.110526T1506Z-110601T0515Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.110526T1338Z.110528T1200Z.110531T0515Z.UU/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GRAND RIVER NEAR BRUNSWICK.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:33 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG THE EAST BANK OF THE GRAND 
  RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* AT 19.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS OCCURS ALONG THE WEST 
  BANK OF THE GRAND RIVER NEAR THE U.S. HIGHWAY 24 BRIDGE ABOUT 1 
  MILE WEST OF BRUNSWICK.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

GRAND RIVER
  BRUNSWICK       19   18.6   THU 07 AM   24.1 SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110527T1800Z/
/OTTM7.1.ER.110526T1508Z.110526T1535Z.110526T1800Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 15.1 FEET BY LATE THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS ALONG THE RIVER 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   14.7   THU 09 AM   15.1 LATE THIS MORNING

$$

KSC043-MOC003-021-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SJSM7.2.ER.110512T0945Z.110530T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ST JOSEPH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.9 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...RIVERFRONT PARK IN ST. JOSEPH BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* AT 19.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE MISSOURI RIVER FLOODS PROPERTY 
  ALONG THE NODAWAY RIVER AT NODAWAY MISSOURI.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM ST. 
  JOSEPH OCCURS.


&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ST JOSEPH       17   21.4   THU 09 AM   21.9 SUNDAY EVENING

$$

KSC005-MOC021-165-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ATCK1.1.ER.110524T2057Z.110529T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT ATCHISON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  7:10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.2 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 25.0 FEET...A CASTINGS PLANT IN ATCHISON IS AFFECTED BY FLOOD 
  WATERS.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS ON THE MISSOURI SIDE OF THE RIVER 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  ATCHISON        22   24.2   THU 07 AM   25.2 EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON

$$

KSC103-MOC165-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEVK1.1.ER.110526T1132Z.110530T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT LEAVENWORTH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE EAST AND WEST 
  BANKS OF THE RIVER.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  LEAVENWORTH     20   18.5   WED 10 AM   20.8 SUNDAY EVENING

$$

MOC047-095-177-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBEM7.1.ER.110526T0545Z.110527T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT SIBLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:04 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.9 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS ALONG THE RIVER AND OUTSIDE OF
  LEVEE PROTECTION FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  SIBLEY          22   23.9   THU 10 AM   25.9 FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC095-107-177-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NAPM7.1.ER.110525T0212Z.110527T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT NAPOLEON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS UNPROTECTED BY LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  NAPOLEON        17   20.3   THU 09 AM   23.5 EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-107-195-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WVYM7.1.ER.110524T2238Z.110528T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT WAVERLY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.2 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 23.5 FEET...RURAL AREAS ALONG THE RIVER WHICH ARE NOT PROTECTED 
  BY LEVEES FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  WAVERLY         20   22.8   THU 09 AM   26.2 FRIDAY EVENING

$$

MOC033-041-195-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIAM7.1.ER.110523T1648Z.110528T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT MIAMI.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS OUTSIDE OF LEVEES BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  MIAMI           18   21.6   THU 08 AM   24.8 EARLY SATURDAY MORNING

$$

MOC041-089-195-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLZM7.2.ER.110526T0957Z.110528T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GLASGOW.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 27.0 FEET...MANY AGRICULTURAL LEVEES ARE OVERTOPPED. WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING OF RURAL AREAS OCCURS. SECONDARY ROADS AND HOMES BEHIND 
  LEVEES MAY BE INUNDATED.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FARMLAND ALONG THE RIVER FLOODS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  GLASGOW         25   25.8   THU 09 AM   31.0 EARLY SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON

$$

MOC053-089-271512-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOZM7.1.ER.110526T0230Z.110529T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.3 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 25.0 FEET...NUMEROUS FARM LEVEES ARE OVERTOPPED. FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND AND SECONDARY ROADS OCCURS.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL AREAS ALONG THE RIVER FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

MISSOURI RIVER
  BOONVILLE       21   22.7   THU 09 AM   28.3 SATURDAY EVENING

$$

MOC021-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-110529T0249Z/
/AGYM7.2.ER.110526T0150Z.110527T0600Z.110528T0249Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.2 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY 
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 25.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS AT THE EAST BORDER OF AGENCY.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW-LYING AREAS EAST OF AGENCY BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  AGENCY          20   24.8   THU 09 AM   26.2 EARLY FRIDAY MORNING

$$

MOC165-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0080.110526T1800Z-110530T1741Z/
/SSTM7.2.ER.110526T1800Z.110529T0000Z.110529T1741Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 29.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 29.0 FEET...BACKWATER FROM THE PLATTE RIVER FLOODS HIGHWAY KK 
  ALONG THE LITTLE PLATTE RIVER AT THE LOCATION 0.2 MILES EAST OF 
  HIGHWAY B.
* AT 26.0 FEET...LOW-LYING RURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  SHARPS STATION  26   25.0   THU 09 AM   29.7 SATURDAY EVENING

$$

MOC165-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0081.110527T0224Z-110530T2136Z/
/PLCM7.1.ER.110527T0224Z.110529T0600Z.110529T2136Z.UU/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PLATTE RIVER NEAR PLATTE CITY.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:24 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 24.3 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 22.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS AT HUMPHREYS ACCESS AREA WHICH IS 
  LOCATED 5 MILES DOWNSTREAM FROM PLATTE CITY. 300 ACRES OF PASTURE 
  IS ALSO FLOODED.
* AT 20.0 FEET...CROPLAND NEAR STATE HIGHWAY 92 NEAR PLATTE CITY 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PLATTE RIVER
  PLATTE CITY     20   18.1   THU 09 AM   24.3 EARLY SUNDAY MORNING

$$

MOC053-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-110528T0243Z/
/BONM7.1.ER.110525T1410Z.110526T1415Z.110527T0243Z.UU/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PETITE SALINE CREEK NEAR BOONVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING WOODLANDS AND FIELDS NEAR THE CREEK FLOOD.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE       16   18.6   THU 09 AM   18.5 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

KSC005-103-271449-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110527T1449Z/
/ESTK1.2.ER.110525T0528Z.110525T1750Z.110526T1449Z.NO/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STRANGER CREEK AT EASTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...1ST STREET IN EASTON AND 231ST STREET NORTH AND 
  SOUTH OF EASTON BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* AT 17.0 FEET...WATER ENTERS LOW-LYING FIELDS SOUTH OF EASTON.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

STRANGER CREEK
  EASTON          17   18.0   THU 06 AM   16.1 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

MOC033-271512-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-110528T0430Z/
/CAXM7.1.ER.110525T1530Z.110526T1400Z.110527T0430Z.UU/
1013 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WAKENDA CREEK AT CARROLLTON.
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 16.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING UNDEVELOPED AREAS ALONG THE 
  CREEK BEGINS.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

WAKENDA CREEK
  CARROLLTON      16   18.2   THU 09 AM   18.1 THIS AFTERNOON

$$

SAW
945 
WGUS83 KEAX 262250
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
550 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS...
 
  LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE
  STRANGER CREEK AT EASTON
 
AFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KANSAS...ATCHISON...LEAVENWORTH 
AND IN MISSOURI...COOPER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.  THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER
AND STREAM INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KC/.

&&

MOC053-262320-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110527T1800Z/
/OTTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
550 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LAMINE RIVER NEAR OTTERVILLE.
* AT  5:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.8 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

LAMINE RIVER
  OTTERVILLE      15   12.3   THU 05 PM   12.5 THIS EVENING

$$

KSC005-103-262320-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-110527T1449Z/
/ESTK1.2.ER.110525T0528Z.110525T1750Z.110526T1409Z.NO/
550 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE STRANGER CREEK AT EASTON.
* AT  4:38 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:09 AM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.8 FEET BY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.

&& 
                       LATEST                   
LOCATION          FS   STAGE  DAY/TIME    FORECAST

STRANGER CREEK
  EASTON          17   14.4   THU 05 PM   13.5 THIS EVENING

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 26, 6:25 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 26, 6:25 AM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
625 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

VERTICALLY STACKED OCCLUDED CYCLONE OVER ERN MISSOURI WILL CONTINUE
TO FILL AND SHEAR EAST TODAY...AS UPSTREAM KICKER WAVE AND ZONAL JET
STREAK ENTERING THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST FORCES SHORTWAVE RIDGING AND
INCREASING SUBSIDENCE INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY. RESIDUAL
WRAP AROUND SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO CNTRL MISSOURI THROUGH THE MID
MORNING...BEFORE LIFTING MECHANISMS ABATE AND CLOUDS RAPIDLY ERODE
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY
RELAX THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON (THOUGH CONDITIONS STILL REMAINING
SOMEWHAT BREEZY THROUGH LATE MORNING)...YIELDING A FAIRLY NICE DAY
ALBEIT ABOUT 1 SIGMA LEVEL BELOW AVERAGE FOR LATE MAY. HAVE HEDGED
HIGHS TOWARDS THE UPPER END OF GUIDANCE IN THE WRN GRIDS WHERE SUN
SHOULD BREAK OUT BY LATE MORNING...AND TOWARDS THE LOWER END OF
GUIDANCE FURTHER EAST WHERE CLOUD COVER WILL BE MORE PREVALENT.

AFOREMENTIONED WRN WAVE WILL QUICKLY PROPAGATE INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST FRIDAY...WITH THE PRIMARY ZONE OF DYNAMIC LIFT RELEGATED TO
AREAS NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...ISENTROPIC ASCENT
INITIALLY CENTERED NEAR THE 310K LAYER WILL ALLOW FOR TOP DOWN
SATURATION OF THE COLUMN DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AROUND THE WRN
PERIPHERY OF THE SFC HIGH WITHIN A ZONE OF INCREASING THETA-E
ADVECTION. WHILE LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE COLUMN ARE NOT OVERLY
IMPRESSIVE...A FEW ISOLD TSTMS MAY BE POSSIBLE BUT ANY PRECIPITATION
SHOULD BE PRIMARILY MANIFESTED IN SCT SHOWERS...MOVING EAST OF THE
CWA FRIDAY EVENING. DEPENDING ON SHOWERS COVERAGE...FORECAST HIGHS
MAY BE A BIT TOO WARM WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER LIMITING
INSOLATION...HOWEVER GIVEN MORE EXPECTED SCT COVERAGE...KEPT HIGHS
TOWARDS A BLENDED GUIDANCE SOLUTION.

AS A SECONDARY TRAILING WAVE DIGS INTO THE WRN CONUS FRIDAY
NIGHT...HELPING AMPLIFY HEIGHTS OVER THE SRN PLAINS...FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME LESS ZONAL AND MORE SWLY ALLOWING STRONGER EML TO ADVECT
NORTHEAST. FOCUSED DEEP ISENTROPIC ASCENT THROUGH THE 305K-310K
LAYERS ON THE EDGE OF THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT ADVECTING
NORTHEAST SHOULD SUPPORT RAPID ACCAS AND ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT
SOMETIME DURING THE SATURDAY MORNING TIME FRAME. MODELS DEPICT
WIDELY VARYING TIMING AND LATITUDINAL DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPMENT AND COVERAGE (ECMWF FAR MORE AGGRESSIVE
AND FURTHER NORTH)...PRECLUDING A STRONGER POP MENTION. BASED ON
HISTORICAL TRENDS AND BIASES...PREFER THE FASTER DEVELOPMENT SPEED
OF THE ECMWF AND PROBABLY A PLACEMENT SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THESE 2
MODEL FORECASTS...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS RAPIDLY LIFTING
THROUGH NRN MISSOURI DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS. FUTURE FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL CERTAINLY BE REFINING THESE PRECIPITATION CHANCES...AS
CONCEPTUALLY THIS SCENARIO SUGGESTS STRONGER PROBABILITIES FOR
ELEVATED CONVECTION SATURDAY MORNING.

ALTHOUGH MEDIUM RANGE MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK DISPLAY VERY GOOD AGREEMENT BUILDING
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH RIDGING HEIGHTS ALOFT FROM THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH
OHIO RIVER VALLEY (IN FACT...EVENTUAL 594+DM HEIGHTS OVER THE CNTRL
OHIO RIVER VALLEY WOULD REPRESENT 2-3 NORMALIZED STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE AVERAGE)...DETAILS CONCERNING MESOSCALE PROCESSES AND
POTENTIAL SFC BOUNDARIES SAGGING SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA ADD
INCREASED COMPLEXITY TO THE FORECAST. WITH ANOMALOUSLY HIGH HEIGHTS
AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT...FEEL OPERATIONAL MODELS ARE A BIT TOO
AGGRESSIVE WITH QPF GENERATION EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH CANNOT
SUMMARILY DISCOUNT ALL PROBABILITIES. HAVE PERIODICALLY SPREAD SOME
CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE...THOUGH CERTAINLY THIS PERIOD
WILL NOT BE CHARACTERIZED BY FREQUENT PRECIPITATION...AND IN FACT
SHOULD BE DRY FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME. KEPT TEMPERATURES RATHER
CONSERVATIVE AS WELL GIVEN THE OVERALL UNCERTAINTY...AND MAY NEED TO
BUMP HIGHS UP A CATEGORY OR TWO BASED ON PATTERN RECOGNITION AND
CONUS HEIGHT ANOMALIES.

21

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH MID/HIGH CLOUDS
CLEARING BY MID MORNING. COULD SEE A PERIOD OF HIGHER NLY SFC WIND
GUSTS AND A FEW CU LATE IN THE MORNING...BUT NOTHING TERRIBLY
OPERATIONALLY SIGNIFICANT. SFC WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND BACK TO AN ELY
DIRECTION DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD...AS CIRRUS COVER
THICKENS BY SUNRISE FRIDAY.

21

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 5:00 AM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
500 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-271000-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
500 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...THOUGH NO SEVERE
WEATHER EXPECTED.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE THREAT
FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...THOUGH A FEW OF THESE STORMS
COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE WHETHER ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY.

21

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 8:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXDaviess, Gentry23 hr
May 25, 8:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXDaviess, Livingston37 hr
May 25, 10:41 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXAndrew, Gentry, Nodaway22 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.