Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Cleveland, OH

453 
WWUS51 KCLE 291814
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
214 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

OHC033-101-175-291900-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-110729T1900Z/
WYANDOT OH-CRAWFORD OH-MARION OH-
214 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR MARION AND SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...AND
SOUTHERN WYANDOT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OHIO...

AT 211 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR MORRAL...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF UPPER SANDUSKY...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
MARION...BUCYRUS...CALEDONIA AND GALION.

LAT...LON 4044 8325 4051 8325 4051 8342 4068 8343
      4070 8350 4086 8345 4089 8272 4071 8274
      4071 8285 4064 8287 4064 8296 4049 8296
      4048 8301 4044 8302
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 284DEG 29KT 4071 8316

$$

FITZ

964 
WWUS51 KCLE 291851
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
251 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

OHC033-101-175-291900-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-110729T1900Z/
WYANDOT OH-CRAWFORD OH-MARION OH-
251 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR MARION AND SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...AND SOUTHERN WYANDOT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OHIO...

AT 249 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CALEDONIA...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT
GILEAD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE....

LAT...LON 4051 8325 4051 8342 4068 8343 4070 8350
      4086 8345 4086 8293 4065 8292 4070 8285
      4064 8287 4064 8296 4049 8296 4048 8301
      4044 8302 4044 8325
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 291DEG 21KT 4063 8289

$$

FITZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
148 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY
MONDAY ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO THE UPDATE FOR THE AFTERNOON AS SOME
NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS TAKEN PLACE NEAR FDY. DIFFUSE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS GENERALLY LOCATED ACROSS LAKE ERIE TO FWA.
EXPECT A SLOW INCREASE IN COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. WIND
SHEAR IS LOW WHICH SHOULD HELP LIMIT ORGANIZATION. HAVE RAISED
AFTERNOON MAX TEMPERATURE A TAD FROM THE PREVIOUS UPDATE. ONLY
SLIGHT CHANGES MADE TO POPS FOR THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AND THE SEVERE THREAT WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EVENING AND SHOULD END BY 9 PM TO 10 PM.
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR SHOULD FILTER IN BEHIND THE WEAK FRONT TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO SUNDAY. NOT
REALLY ALL THAT MUCH OF AN AIRMASS CHANGE BEHIND THE FRONT SO
HIGHS WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEAK
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AT THIS
POINT WE WILL ONLY CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE FRONT APPEARS THAT IT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA MONDAY
EVENING WITH SOME MINOR DRYING EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DECIDED TO DROP MENTION OF SHOWERS ON THURSDAY AS MODELS WERE
HINTING AT POSSIBILITY OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE DAY. OTHER THAN
THAT...THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION EARLY IN THE PERIOD WEDNESDAY NIGHT
STILL LOOKS REASONABLE.

SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY SIMILAR EACH DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTH...ONSHORE FROM LAKE ERIE
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE OLD BOUNDARY FROM THE EARLY MORNING
CONVECTION WAS THE FOCUS FOR NEW CONVECTION BETWEEN KAOH AND KMNN
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL ALLOW FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE KMFD
KCAK AND KYNG TAF FORECASTS THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON... THEN
THE CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

WITHOUT MIXING...THE DEWPOINTS WILL BE SLOW TO DROP OFF TONIGHT.
INLAND LOCATIONS WILL PROBABLY HAVE MVFR FOG/HAZE. LOCAL IFR
VISIBILITIES WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP AS WELL WITH A CHANCE OF SOME
IFR STRATUS CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT. THE FOG/STRATUS WILL BURN OFF
QUICKLY ON SATURDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
EARLY WIND ON THE LAKE WAS DUE TO THE SHOWER/TS ACTIVITY. COLD
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTHSHORE AS OF NOON. CONCERN IS WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS STAYING UP ENOUGH BEFORE THE FRONT PASSES TO CREATE SMALL
CRAFT CONDITIONS ON THE EAST HALF. WILL CONTINUE THE FORECAST FOR
2 TO 4 FEET...IT WILL BE CLOSE. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

FLOW WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. FLOW DOES PICK UP
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY. WEST END AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN FAIRLY FLAT BUT OPEN WATERS SHOULD PICK UP SOME WAVE
ACTION DUE TO LONG FETCH ON SUNDAY. WINDS DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING. FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS DEVELOP INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     LEZ147>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...REL
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...KOSARIK
MARINE...LOMBARDY/OUDEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-089-PAZ001>003-300815-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 698 IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

LEZ061-OHZ018>023-033-300815-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE
THROUGH THE MORNING. OUTFLOW FROM THE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS AND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BECOME A FOCUS SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

OHZ017-027>032-036>038-047-300815-
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE
THROUGH THE MORNING. OUTFLOW FROM THE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS AND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BECOME A FOCUS SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

IN ADVANCE OF THE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
SUNSHINE TO PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 90S. THIS COMBINED
WITH HIGH LEVELS OF HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDEX VALUES INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.