Severe Thunderstorm Warning 215, NWS Cleveland, OH

903 
WWUS51 KCLE 291921
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
321 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

OHC075-292000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0215.000000T0000Z-110729T2000Z/
HOLMES OH-
321 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR HOLMES COUNTY...

AT 319 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR NASHVILLE...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHREVE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
GLENMONT...HOLMESVILLE...KILLBUCK...MILLERSBURG AND BERLIN.

LAT...LON 4045 8214 4048 8219 4055 8218 4057 8218
      4057 8222 4066 8222 4067 8185 4063 8167
      4044 8167
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 302DEG 17KT 4059 8212

$$

FITZ

515 
WWUS51 KCLE 291959
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
359 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

OHC075-292009-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0215.000000T0000Z-110729T2000Z/
HOLMES OH-
359 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HOLMES COUNTY EXPIRES AT 400
PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

SOME TREES AND LIMBS WERE REPORTED KNOCKED DOWN IN THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4045 8214 4048 8219 4055 8218 4057 8218
      4057 8222 4066 8222 4067 8185 4063 8167
      4044 8167
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 302DEG 17KT 4049 8192

$$

KIELTYKA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
148 PM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY
MONDAY ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO THE UPDATE FOR THE AFTERNOON AS SOME
NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS TAKEN PLACE NEAR FDY. DIFFUSE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS GENERALLY LOCATED ACROSS LAKE ERIE TO FWA.
EXPECT A SLOW INCREASE IN COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. WIND
SHEAR IS LOW WHICH SHOULD HELP LIMIT ORGANIZATION. HAVE RAISED
AFTERNOON MAX TEMPERATURE A TAD FROM THE PREVIOUS UPDATE. ONLY
SLIGHT CHANGES MADE TO POPS FOR THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS AND THE SEVERE THREAT WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EVENING AND SHOULD END BY 9 PM TO 10 PM.
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR SHOULD FILTER IN BEHIND THE WEAK FRONT TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO SUNDAY. NOT
REALLY ALL THAT MUCH OF AN AIRMASS CHANGE BEHIND THE FRONT SO
HIGHS WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER WEAK
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AT THIS
POINT WE WILL ONLY CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. THE FRONT APPEARS THAT IT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE AREA MONDAY
EVENING WITH SOME MINOR DRYING EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DECIDED TO DROP MENTION OF SHOWERS ON THURSDAY AS MODELS WERE
HINTING AT POSSIBILITY OF DRY WEATHER FOR THE DAY. OTHER THAN
THAT...THREAT FOR PRECIPITATION EARLY IN THE PERIOD WEDNESDAY NIGHT
STILL LOOKS REASONABLE.

SOME MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY SIMILAR EACH DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE WEAK COLD FRONT WAS MOVING SOUTH...ONSHORE FROM LAKE ERIE
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE OLD BOUNDARY FROM THE EARLY MORNING
CONVECTION WAS THE FOCUS FOR NEW CONVECTION BETWEEN KAOH AND KMNN
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WILL ALLOW FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE KMFD
KCAK AND KYNG TAF FORECASTS THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON... THEN
THE CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

WITHOUT MIXING...THE DEWPOINTS WILL BE SLOW TO DROP OFF TONIGHT.
INLAND LOCATIONS WILL PROBABLY HAVE MVFR FOG/HAZE. LOCAL IFR
VISIBILITIES WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP AS WELL WITH A CHANCE OF SOME
IFR STRATUS CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT. THE FOG/STRATUS WILL BURN OFF
QUICKLY ON SATURDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
EARLY WIND ON THE LAKE WAS DUE TO THE SHOWER/TS ACTIVITY. COLD
FRONT CROSSING THE NORTHSHORE AS OF NOON. CONCERN IS WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS STAYING UP ENOUGH BEFORE THE FRONT PASSES TO CREATE SMALL
CRAFT CONDITIONS ON THE EAST HALF. WILL CONTINUE THE FORECAST FOR
2 TO 4 FEET...IT WILL BE CLOSE. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

FLOW WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. FLOW DOES PICK UP
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY. WEST END AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL
LIKELY REMAIN FAIRLY FLAT BUT OPEN WATERS SHOULD PICK UP SOME WAVE
ACTION DUE TO LONG FETCH ON SUNDAY. WINDS DIMINISH SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING. FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS DEVELOP INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     LEZ147>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MULLEN
NEAR TERM...REL
SHORT TERM...MULLEN
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...KOSARIK
MARINE...LOMBARDY/OUDEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

LEZ142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-089-PAZ001>003-300815-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 698 IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

LEZ061-OHZ018>023-033-300815-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-MAHONING-
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE
THROUGH THE MORNING. OUTFLOW FROM THE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS AND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BECOME A FOCUS SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

OHZ017-027>032-036>038-047-300815-
HANCOCK-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-
406 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS MORNING AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS LAKE ERIE
THROUGH THE MORNING. OUTFLOW FROM THE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS AND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY BECOME A FOCUS SOUTH OF LAKE ERIE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SOME MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

IN ADVANCE OF THE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
SUNSHINE TO PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER 90S. THIS COMBINED
WITH HIGH LEVELS OF HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDEX VALUES INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.