Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Caribou, ME

843 
WWUS51 KCAR 011852
SVSCAR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
252 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEC003-011930-
/O.CON.KCAR.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110801T1930Z/
AROOSTOOK ME-
252 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL AROOSTOOK COUNTY...

AT 245 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR DEBOULLIE MOUNTAIN AND SAINT FRANCIS...MOVING EAST AT 
30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SAINT
FRANCIS...WINTERVILLE...EAGLE LAKE...WALLAGRASS...SOLDIER POND AND
FORT KENT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY CONTACTING YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4729 6855 4688 6854 4675 6928 4705 6939
      4720 6891 4719 6889 4722 6882 4723 6876
      4725 6873 4725 6862 4730 6858
TIME...MOT...LOC 1851Z 250DEG 28KT 4705 6888

$$

BLOOMER

236 
WWUS51 KCAR 011930
SVSCAR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
330 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEC003-011941-
/O.EXP.KCAR.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-110801T1930Z/
AROOSTOOK ME-
330 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL AROOSTOOK COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY CONTACTING YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

LAT...LON 4729 6855 4688 6854 4675 6928 4705 6939
      4720 6891 4719 6889 4722 6882 4723 6876
      4725 6873 4725 6862 4730 6858
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 250DEG 28KT 4705 6887

$$

BLOOMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
221 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE DROPPING SOUTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA
WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH TONIGHT THEN SLIDE OVER THE AREA ON
TUESDAY. THE LOW WILL MOVE OVER NOVA SCOTIA WEDNESDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RETURN THURSDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT MAINLY
ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS AS HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO LOWER.
SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH
WHERE DIVERGENCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH SOME SURFACE CONVERGENCE
SHOULD ADD SOME LIFT. AS THE LOW CENTER MOVES OVER SOUTHERN MAINE
ON TUESDAY DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE COAST WILL
CAUSE SHOWERS TO CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH. COOL AIR
POOLED ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CONTINUED INSTABILITY. THIS
MAY CAUSE SOME HEAVIER DOWNPOURS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE MAINE COAST AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS
PERIOD WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE INTO THURSDAY. MODEL POPS
A LITTLE HIGH MID DAY THURSDAY SO WILL LOWER NUMBERS A LITTLE. HAVE
USED A MODEL BLEND FOR POPS. WILL INCLUDE THE MENTION OF THUNDERS
INTO EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. FOR WIND HAVE USE A BLEND OF THE NAM12
AND GMOS. THE GMOS WAS USED TO INITIALIZE THE TEMPERATURE GRIDS.
HAVE INCREASE MAXIMUM/MINIMUM RANGE SEVERAL DEGREES.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE THROUGH THE PERIOD. A
CONFUSED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE REGION AT THE START OF
THE PERIOD. THIS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE EAST ACROSS HUDSON BAY
WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH TO THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION. A SECONDARY LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE
SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. BY SATURDAY MORNING THESE SYSTEM WILL
MERGE WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS THEN MOVE EAST INTO MAINE BY SUNDAY
EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AS
MULTIPLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SLOWING THE FORWARD MOVEMENT. BY LATE MONDAY EVENING THIS SYSTEM
WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. HIGHER PRESSURE WILL
RIDGE IN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

LOADED GMOS...MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO SKY AND POP GRIDS...LOADED
NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATER. ADDED 20 PERCENT TO WINDS
FOR GUSTS OVER WATER...15 PERCENT FOR OVER LAND. &&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO IFR TONIGHT AND
REMAIN MOSTLY IFR TUESDAY IN LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

SHORT TERM: MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH TUESDAY.
FOG MAY AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS AGAIN TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

SHORT TERM: HAVE USED A BLEND OF THE NAM12 AND GFS40. FOR WAVES
WINDS ARE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND NO LONG PERIOD WAVE IS EXPECTED.
WILL GENERATE WAVE GRIDS WITH WNA/4.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...NORTON
AVIATION...BLOOMER
MARINE...BLOOMER/MIGNONE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
337 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-020745-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
337 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL POSSIBLE. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES THAT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING.

ANZ050>052-020745-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
337 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DUDA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEZ001-011730-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK ME-
1252 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHWESTERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY WILL BRING
HEAVY DOWNPOURS...CLOUDS TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND
POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL BETWEEN 1 PM AND 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.