Severe Thunderstorm Warning 91, NWS Caribou, ME

775 
WWUS51 KCAR 011835
SVSCAR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
235 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEC021-025-011900-
/O.CON.KCAR.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-110801T1900Z/
PISCATAQUIS ME-SOMERSET ME-
235 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL SOMERSET AND CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES...

AT 231 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAUCOMGOMOC LAKE...OR 23 MILES NORTHWEST
OF RIPOGENUS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CHAMBERLAIN LAKE AND TELOS LAKE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY CONTACTING YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4635 6910 4601 6910 4601 6986 4621 6984
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 260DEG 24KT 4615 6942

$$

BLOOMER

445 
WWUS51 KCAR 011901
SVSCAR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
301 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEC021-025-011912-
/O.EXP.KCAR.SV.W.0091.000000T0000Z-110801T1900Z/
PISCATAQUIS ME-SOMERSET ME-
301 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL SOMERSET AND
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY CONTACTING YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

LAT...LON 4635 6910 4601 6910 4601 6986 4621 6984
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 260DEG 24KT 4615 6942

$$

BLOOMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1206 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AND THEN SLOWLY
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
EAST THURSDAY.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE 3...THUNDSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO FORM IN THE ST LAWRENCE
VALLEY. THIS WILL MOVE INTO FAR NW MAINE AROUND MIDDAY THEN
PROGRESS EAST FROM THERE THIS AFTERNOON.

UPDATED 2...THUNDERSHOWERS CROSSING INTO THE WESTERN CWA ARE
DIMINISHING THIS MORNING. THUNDERSHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO REBUILD
AROUND MIDDAY AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. RAISED
TEMPS BIT IN THE FCTS WHERE SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY.

UPDATE...MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPS/DEW POINTS
OTHERWISE CURRENT FORECAST STILL ON TRACK.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE ACROSS WESTERN QUEBEC
PROVINCE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST TOWARD NORTHERN MAINE THROUGH
TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL APPROACH
FROM THE WEST TODAY AND SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT THE ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. BOTH THE GFS AND
THE NAM ARE INDICATING SB CAPES OF 1000 TO 1500J ACROSS NORTHERN
AND WESTERN SECTIONS BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SIGNIFICANT
HEIGHT FALLS/MID LEVEL COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL VORTEX WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING BY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL
THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER CONTINUES TO
HIGHLIGHT OUR AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
AND WILL REFERENCE IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK THIS MORNING.
IT APPEARS AS IF THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WILL BE INLAND
AWAY FROM THE COAST WHERE SOUTHERLY WINDS OFF THE WATER WILL HELP
TO KEEP THINGS MORE STABLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION BUT IT
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER ALONG THE COAST WITH AN ONSHORE FLOW.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THIS
EVENING DESPITE THE LOSE OF DIURNAL HEATING AS THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW APPROACHES AND THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLIDE EAST.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES TO THE EAST. LOWS TONIGHT ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
COLD FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY JUST EAST OF THE REGION ON
TUESDAY. STACKED UPPER LOW WILL THEN MOVE FROM JUST SOUTHEAST OF
JAMES BAY TO EASTERN MAINE BY TUESDAY EVENING. THIS UPPER LOW WILL
PRODUCE A LOW ON THE FRONT ALONG THE MAINE NEW BRUNSWICK BORDER
KEEPING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ON TUESDAY BUT
PRIMARILY OVER EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS ON WEDNESDAY AS UPPER LOW
SLOWLY STARTS TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS
INDICATE CAPE VALUES REACHING 500 J/KG EACH AFTERNOON SO WILL
INCLUDE THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON. THE COLD CORE NATURE OF
THESE STORMS SHOULD KEEP ANY CONVECTION SUB SEVERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
THEN CREST THE STATE ON FRIDAY AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND. NEXT TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST DURING THE
WEEKEND BUT A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME DUE TO CONVECTION
FEEDBACK IN THE MODELS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TODAY AND
CROSS THE TERMINALS LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT VFR CONDS
ALL TERMINALS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE TERMINALS FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING. THERE MAY BE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN ANY
STRONGER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXCEPT FOR PERIODS OF MVFR IN SHOWERS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
THROUGH TONIGHT. VSBY MAY BE REDUCED TO 1 TO 3 NM LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AS WELL AS PATCHY FOG.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...DUDA/MCB
SHORT TERM...FOSTER
LONG TERM...FOSTER
AVIATION...DUDA
MARINE...DUDA/FOSTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
337 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-020745-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
337 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL POSSIBLE. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES THAT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING.

ANZ050>052-020745-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
337 AM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DUDA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1252 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

MEZ001-011730-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK ME-
1252 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2011

THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHWESTERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY WILL BRING
HEAVY DOWNPOURS...CLOUDS TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND
POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL BETWEEN 1 PM AND 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.