Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 6, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 15, 2011

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 15, 2011, 4:05 AM EST. It took effect at Jan 15, 2011, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2011, 4:05 AM EST (09:05 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 15, 2011, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 17, 2011, 4:01 AM EST
In force
42 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

229 
WHUS71 KBUF 150905
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
405 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

LEZ040-041-151715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.110115T1500Z-110116T1300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
405 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS TODAY THEN 15
  TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET TODAY THEN SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6
  FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-151715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.110115T1800Z-110116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
405 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25
  KNOTS TODAY THEN INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
  MORNING.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY THEN BUILDING TO 7 TO 10
  FEET TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/TMA
9 follow-up statements
666 
WHUS71 KBUF 151437
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
937 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

LEZ040-041-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.110115T1500Z-110116T1300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
937 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS TODAY THEN 15 
  TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET TODAY THEN SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 
  FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.110115T1800Z-110116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
937 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 
  KNOTS TODAY THEN INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY 
  MORNING. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY THEN BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 
  FEET TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
879 
WHUS71 KBUF 152004
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
304 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

LEZ040-041-160415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T1300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
304 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST AND INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS TODAY THEN 15 
  TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET TODAY THEN SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 
  FEET TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-160415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
304 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 
  KNOTS TODAY THEN INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY 
  MORNING. 

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET TODAY THEN BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 
  FEET TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
248 
WHUS71 KBUF 160300
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1000 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

LEZ040-041-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T1300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1000 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1000 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 9 FEET TONIGHT AND 4 TO 7 FEET SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
923 
WHUS71 KBUF 160907
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
407 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

LOZ042-161715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
407 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-161715-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
407 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND 10 TO 20
  KNOTS TONIGHT.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-161300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T1300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
407 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TMA/HITCHCOCK
677 
WHUS71 KBUF 161200
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
700 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

LEZ040-041-161500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
700 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
700 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS 
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
700 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND 10 TO 20 
  KNOTS TONIGHT. 

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
284 
WHUS71 KBUF 161453
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
953 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

LEZ040-041-161600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110116T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
953 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

LOZ042-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
953 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET THIS 
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-162300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
953 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND 10 TO 20 
  KNOTS TONIGHT. 

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
706 
WHUS71 KBUF 162002
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
302 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

LOZ042-162115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
302 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.

$$

LOZ043>045-170415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
302 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND 10 TO 20 
  KNOTS TONIGHT. 

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET TODAY SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SFM
696 
WHUS71 KBUF 170256
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
956 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

LOZ043>045-171100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
956 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR
131 
WHUS71 KBUF 170901
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
401 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

LOZ043>045-171015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
401 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED...THEREFORE THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

TMA/HITCHCOCK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 15, 3:54 AM EST, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:54 AM EST, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS GEORGIAN BAY AND SOUTHERN
ONTARIO TODAY...BRINGING A GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL FOR ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. AS THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THEN OFF THE EAST COAST SUNDAY...COLDER AIR IN
ITS WAKE WILL SET UP MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING WEAKENING LAKE EFFECT DRIFTING NORTHWARD
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS SOUTH AHEAD OF
APPROACHING SURFACE LOW...CURRENTLY OVER LAKE SUPERIOR. SAME
RADARS SHOWING WIDESPREAD SNOW DEVELOPING AROUND AND AHEAD OF THIS
LOW...IMPACTING THE GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO. THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE SYNOPTICALLY-DRIVEN SNOW WILL PUSH INTO
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA BETWEEN 5 AM AND 8 AM. THE SNOW
INTENSITY WILL LIKELY PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY AS THE SURFACE LOW
WORKS ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF 100
KNOT PLUS UPPER JET IMPACTS THE REGION. WE ARE SUGGESTING A
GENERAL 1-3/2-4" SNOWFALL FOR THE AREA THROUGH TODAY BASED ON
MODEL QPF IN THE 0.15-0.20" INCH. DECENT OMEGA WITHIN A FAIRLY
LARGE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
SNOW/WATER RATIOS IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS. THESE VALUES ARE JUST
UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR ANY HEAVIER
AND MORE PERSISTENT SNOW BURSTS FOR THE NIAGARA FRONTIER OVER TO
ROCHESTER. LAKE ENHANCEMENT/UPSLOPE IS LIKELY ACROSS THE ELEVATED
AREAS SOUTH OF BUFFALO WHICH COULD INCREASE AMOUNTS THERE. HAVE
THEREFORE ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS.

AS THE LOW PUSHES ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT COLDER
AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION CREATING FAVORABLE LAKE EFFECT
PARAMETERS...ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS A WELL ALIGNED
WESTERLY FETCH SETS UP. THINK THERE WILL BE A MODERATE TO HEAVY
SINGLE LAKE PLUME SETTING UP ACROSS OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES...POSSIBLE NUDGING INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN JEFFERSON
COUNTY. DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE WRAP IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW AND
EXPECT MUCH OF THE OMEGA TO BE LOCATED WITHIN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH
ZONE. HAVE THEREFORE DECIDED TO ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARING
FOR OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES AND A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR
JEFFERSON COUNTY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON SUNDAY A DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE TRANSLATING EAST ACROSS
QUEBEC AND WILL DELIVER A FRESH BATCH OF COLD CANADIAN AIR TO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE THE CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING
RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...WITH A TROUGH HANGING
BACK ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. FROM A SYNOPTIC STANDPOINT...JUST
EXPECT SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SURFACE
TROUGH AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. A COLD WNW FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF BOTH LAKES. ALSO OF NOTE...STEADY LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL OPPOSE THE DIURNAL CYCLE WITH SLOWLY
FALLING TEMPS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY ALONG WITH A NOTICEABLE WIND
CHILL.

OFF LAKE ERIE...
THE WNW FLOW WILL KEEP MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND POSSIBLY THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BOSTON HILLS. NAM BUFKIT ANALYSIS SHOWS ONLY MODEST INSTABILITY WITH
LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND 5K FEET DUE TO THE SHALLOW
NATURE OF THE COLD AIRMASS. THE SHORT FETCH ACROSS THE MINOR AXIS OF
LAKE ERIE WILL LIMIT LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL SOMEWHAT...BUT THERE IS
SOME HINT OF A POSSIBLE LAKE HURON CONNECTION IN MESOSCALE MODEL
GUIDANCE. EXPECT THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW TO BE FOUND ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.
FOR NOW WILL GO WITH ACCUMS IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE FOR EACH 12 HOUR
PERIOD...BUT IF AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON BECOMES
ESTABLISHED THESE AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED.

LATER SUNDAY NIGHT HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER LAKE ERIE...WITH
CRASHING INVERSION HEIGHTS AND DISRUPTED LOW LEVEL FLOW BRINGING AN
END TO THIS ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...
LATEST MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE AND OVERALL PATTERN CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WHICH WILL BE
ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING. MODERATE LAKE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST...WITH
LAKE INDUCED CAPES OF AROUND 400J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND
8K FEET. A VERY DEEP 5-8 THOUSAND FOOT LAYER OF FAVORABLE TEMPS/RH
FOR DENDRITIC CRYSTAL GROWTH WILL BE FOUND IN THE TOP HALF OF THE
CLOUD BEARING LAYER...ALLOWING EFFICIENT CLOUD MICROPHYSICS TO BE
REALIZED. 00Z MESOSCALE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SHIFTED SOUTH WITH THE
BAND POSITION FOR SUNDAY WITH A MEAN FLOW OF ABOUT 290 DEGREES
ADVERTISED ON MOST MODELS. IF THIS VERIFIES...THE BAND WOULD PUSH
SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY AND TAKE UP RESIDENCE ACROSS EASTERN
WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND POSSIBLY FAR SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY. HAVE ADJUSTED BAND POSITION SOUTH BY ABOUT 10
MILES IN THE GRIDS FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. SNOWFALL MAY BE QUITE INTENSE IN THIS BAND... ESPECIALLY
IN THE MORNING WITH 2-3 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES POSSIBLE.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE BAND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS
WAYNE/NORTHERN CAYUGA AND POSSIBLY SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. OVERNIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD...WITH LOWERING INVERSION HEIGHTS
AND SLACKENING LOW LEVEL FLOW ALLOWING THE BAND TO WEAKEN. WHATEVER
IS LEFT BY MONDAY MORNING WILL RETRACT BACK INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
LAKE AS THE SYNOPTIC FLOW BECOMES LIGHT AND LOCAL LAND BREEZE
CIRCULATIONS TAKE OVER.

HEADLINES...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES. WITH THE SOUTHWARD DRIFT IN
MIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES STARTING LATER TONIGHT AND EXTENDING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. NO HEADLINES FOR LAKE ERIE ON SUNDAY YET...
BUT MAY EVENTUALLY NEED ADVISORIES IF THE LAKE HURON CONNECTION
BECOMES ESTABLISHED.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVERHEAD
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE AT LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING. THIS COMBINED
WITH LIGHT WINDS...A COLD AIRMASS AND FRESH SNOWPACK WILL ALLOW
TEMPS TO PLUMMET TO THE COLDEST READINGS SO FAR THIS WINTER. MANY
AREAS EVEN NEAR THE LAKES WILL MAKE A RUN AT ZERO...WITH THE HIGHER
TERRAIN VALLEYS GOING BELOW ZERO. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TEMPS MAY
REALLY PLUMMET IN THE COLDER LOCATIONS WITH LOWS 10-20 BELOW NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION.

ON MONDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE LOWER LAKES WITH RETURN
FLOW BEGINNING BY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING A RARE DRY DAY TO THE
REGION WITH A GENERAL SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST INCREASE IN MID/HIGH
CLOUDS. THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT WARM ADVECTION ALOFT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BUT AFTER A VERY COLD START THE LOW LEVEL COLD WILL BE
DIFFICULT TO DISLODGE. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S ACROSS WESTERN
NY AND TEENS IN THE NORTH COUNTRY.

WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT WITH EVENING LOWS GIVING
WAY TO RISING TEMPS OVERNIGHT. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION WILL INCREASE AS WELL...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW SOME LIGHT SNOW
TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY
LIGHT AT THIS POINT GIVEN LACK OF UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT AND
WEAKNESS OF THE SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD...TWO STORM SYSTEMS WILL BE OF NOTE...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO BELOW NORMAL...AND TIMES WELL BELOW NORMAL.

TUESDAY A PRIMARY...DEEPENING SFC LOW WILL BE FOUND NEAR THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES...THOUGH THE SUITE OF 00Z MODELS (GFS,ECMWF AND GGEM)
ARE ALL DISPLACED SOMEWHAT WITH THE ACTUAL SURFACE LOW. AHEAD OF
THIS SURFACE LOW EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO FORM WITH ISENTROPIC
LIFT...AND CONVERGENCE ALONG A 65 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. BOTH THE 00Z
ECMWF AND THE 00Z GFS BRING A WARM WEDGE OF AROUND FREEZING
TEMPERATURES NEAR 850 HPA AND LOWER...WHICH WILL LIKELY CHANGE THE
PRECIPITATION OVER TO A WINTERY MIX OF SLEET AND RAIN. THIS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING
BEFORE A SECONDARY LOW FORM NEARS THE COASTLINE...DEEPENS AND DRAWS
A COOLER AIR MASS BACK ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

LATEST 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS MUCH LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH COLD AIR
BEHIND THIS FIRST SYSTEM...AND ALSO SLOWER WITH THE ARRIVAL OF COLD
AIR ALLOWING WEDNESDAY TEMPS TO BE NEAR AVERAGE...AT LEAST IN THE
MORNING.

BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS SUPPORT HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL DIMINISH ANY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...AND ALLOW SFC TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
EVERYWHERE...AND BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. IF SKIES
BECOME CLEAR...EVEN THESE TEMPERATURES THAT ARE FORECASTED WILL
LIKELY BE TOO WARM.

MODEL AGREEMENT THURSDAY FOR ANOTHER GENERAL SNOWFALL AS LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS PASSES JUST TO THE WEST AND NORTH
THURSDAY. HOWEVER WITH A COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE EXPECT JUST SNOW WITH
THIS FEATURE FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

FRIDAY THE GFS IS SEVERAL DEGREE COLDER AT 850 THAN THE
ECMWF...ALTHOUGH BOTH ADVERTISE A VERY COLD AIRMASS ARRIVING BY THE
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OFF LAKE ERIE...LINGERING LAKE SNOWS NORTH OF BUFFALO WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT FURTHER NORTH AND FALL APART THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WINDS BACK FURTHER AND BECOME EVEN MORE
SHEARED. THESE WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TO
KIAG AND POINTS NORTH BEFORE DISSIPATING.

MEANWHILE OFF OUR OTHER LAKE...WEAK LAKE SNOWS ALONG AND JUST
INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHEASTERN SHORE OF THE LAKE WILL ALSO
LIFT NORTH WITH TIME AND DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH THE BACKING/
INCREASINGLY SHEARED LOW LEVEL FLOW. THESE SHOULD ALSO BRING SOME
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TO AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN
SHORES OF THAT LAKE AS THEY LIFT NORTH...POSSIBLY AFFECTING KART
OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO MVFR THE BALANCE OF
THE NIGHT AS MOISTURE SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION FROM A STORM SYSTEM
OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. BY DAYBREAK...LIGHT SNOW FROM THIS
FEATURE WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES AND
REDUCING VSBYS TO 3-5SM.

THEN DURING SATURDAY...MVFR CIGS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS ALL OF THE
REGION IN WIDESPREAD SNOW. VSBYS AND POSSIBLY CIGS WILL DROP TO
IFR LEVELS AT TIMES...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO SOME DELAYS.

ONE OTHER ADDITIONAL COMPLICATING FACTOR DURING SATURDAY WILL BE THE
WINDS...WHICH WILL START OUT THE DAY SOUTHERLY...BEFORE TURNING
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AND BECOMING RATHER BRISK BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO
15-25 KNOTS ALONG WITH GUSTS TO 30-35 KNOTS. SUCH WINDS WILL ONLY
ACT TO ENHANCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW...WHICH IN TURN
WOULD HOLD VISIBILITIES DOWN LONGER THAN WHAT OTHERWISE MIGHT BE
EXPECTED.

DURING SATURDAY NIGHT...THE SYNOPTIC SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF FAIRLY
QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST...WHILE A COLD WESTERLY FLOW LEADS TO
MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES. AWAY FROM LAKE EFFECT
AREAS...VSBYS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR WITH CIGS REMAINING MVFR...WHILE
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN THE LAKE SNOWS.

.OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS IN LAKE SNOW EAST OF THE
LAKES...OTHERWISE VFR.
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...AREAS OF IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING FROM GEORGIAN BAY ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO
TODAY WILL RESULT IN FRESHENING WINDS. WINDS AND RESULTANT WAVE
CONDITIONS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ON LAKE ERIE LATER THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THESE SAME CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP ON LAKE ONTARIO BY THIS AFTERNOON AND LAST RIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ007.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ006-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ004-005.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ012-019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
         SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
         EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/THOMAS
AVIATION...JJR/RSH
MARINE...TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 14, 7:53 PM EST, 8 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

NYZ001>004-007-010>014-019>021-085-160100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-JEFFERSON-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005-006-008-160100-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-160100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 4:30 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningBUFCayuga, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego, Wayne42 hr
Jan 15, 4:30 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFJefferson18 hr
Jan 15, 4:30 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming29 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.