Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2011

Lake Effect Snow Warning 5, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 15, 20115 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 15, 2011, 4:30 AM EST for 5 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 15, 2011, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 28 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2011, 4:30 AM EST (09:30 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 15, 2011, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 16, 2011, 10:06 PM EST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Cayuga County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-01-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-01-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
801 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

333 
WWUS41 KBUF 150930
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ006-008-151730-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0000Z-110117T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110115T2300Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
430 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST SUNDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. OTHER
  SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-151730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.110115T2300Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
430 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT
  BETWEEN ADAMS AND MANNSVILLE. OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE
  SNOW COVERED AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-151730-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.110115T1200Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
430 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-151730-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEWARK
430 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE COUNTY.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO A FOOT POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY DIFFICULT DRIVING
  CONDITIONS DEVELOPING.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
  EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

NYZ005-151730-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
430 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
  DEVELOPING.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
  EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

TMA
10 follow-up statements
686 
WWUS41 KBUF 151209
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
708 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ006-008-151730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110115T2300Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
708 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY 
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. 
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-151730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.110115T2300Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
708 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BECOME VERY 
  DIFFICULT BETWEEN ADAMS AND MANNSVILLE. OTHER SECONDARY ROADS 
  WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-151730-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
708 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-151730-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
708 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

TMA
482 
WWUS41 KBUF 151438
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
938 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ006-008-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110115T2300Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
938 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY 
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. 
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.110115T2300Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
938 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BECOME VERY 
  DIFFICULT BETWEEN ADAMS AND MANNSVILLE. OTHER SECONDARY ROADS 
  WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
938 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-152245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
938 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. 

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH 
  THE EXACT PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

&&

$$

SFM
230 
WWUS41 KBUF 152009
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
309 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ004-005-160415-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
309 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST
MONDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&
|

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-160415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110115T2300Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
309 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY 
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. 
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-160415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.110115T2300Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
309 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BECOME VERY 
  DIFFICULT BETWEEN ADAMS AND MANNSVILLE. OTHER SECONDARY ROADS 
  WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-160415-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
309 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SFM
911 
WWUS41 KBUF 152337 CCA
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
636 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ004-005-160800-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0003.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
/O.COR.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
636 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST
MONDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
  DEVELOPING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-160800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
636 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY 
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. 
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ007-160800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
636 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BECOME VERY 
  DIFFICULT BETWEEN ADAMS AND MANNSVILLE. OTHER SECONDARY ROADS 
  WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-160800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
636 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SFM/JJR
080 
WWUS41 KBUF 160314
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1014 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ007-161100-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1014 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...FAR SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...GENERALLY FROM ADAMS
  SOUTHWARD.

* TIMING...TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT
  BETWEEN ADAMS AND MANNSVILLE. OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW
  COVERED AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-161115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1014 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-161115-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1014 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE.
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1014 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

JJR/SFM
310 
WWUS41 KBUF 160448
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

NYZ007-160600-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE HEAVIEST LAKE SNOWS HAVE FINALLY SHIFTED SOUTH OF THE
AREA...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ004-005-161200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.110116T0600Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS DEVELOPING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-161200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY 
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. 
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-161100-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1100Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1148 PM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TOTAL.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

JJR/SFM
935 
WWUS41 KBUF 160911
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

NYZ004-005-161715-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
411 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTALS OF A FOOT OR MORE IN PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-161715-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
411 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TODAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTALS IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT IN PERSISTENT
  BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY 
  BECOME TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND CENTRAL SQUARE. 
  OTHER SECONDARY ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ012-019-020-085-161400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1400Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
411 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND 
  WYOMING COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...THROUGH MID MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 10 INCHES TOTALS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLIPPERY ROADS. DIFFICULT 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

TMA
836 
WWUS41 KBUF 161357
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
857 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

NYZ012-019-020-085-161500-
/O.EXP.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110116T1400Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
857 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON BUT
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD ONLY BE AN INCH OR LESS.

$$

NYZ004-005-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
857 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS
  TODAY.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TREACHEROUS DRIVING 
  CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-162200-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
857 AM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TODAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES IN PERSISTENT BANDS
  TODAY.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 AND ROUTE 11 WILL LIKELY BE
  TREACHEROUS BETWEEN SANDY CREEK AND SYRACUSE. OTHER SECONDARY
  ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SFM
998 
WWUS41 KBUF 162006
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

NYZ008-162115-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110116T2300Z/
LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE
306 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE STEADIER LAKE SNOWS WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE COUNTY TONIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS ARE STILL LIKELY ON THE TUG HILL...BUT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ONLY 2 INCHES OR LESS.

$$

NYZ006-170415-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
306 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL ALONG INTERSTATE 81 WILL BE DIFFICULT IN
  OSCILLATING BANDS...MAINLY SOUTH OF CENTRAL SQUARE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004-005-170415-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
306 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT BANDS.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND RAPIDLY CHANGING DRIVING
  CONDITIONS. ROUTES 104 AND 3 MOST AFFECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

SFM
311 
WWUS41 KBUF 170306
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1006 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

NYZ004>006-170415-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110117T1100Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1006 PM EST SUN JAN 16 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 

THE LAKE SNOWS HAVE DRAMATICALLY WEAKENED...THEREFORE THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

JJR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 15, 3:54 AM EST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:54 AM EST, 36 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
354 AM EST SAT JAN 15 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS GEORGIAN BAY AND SOUTHERN
ONTARIO TODAY...BRINGING A GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL FOR ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. AS THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT THEN OFF THE EAST COAST SUNDAY...COLDER AIR IN
ITS WAKE WILL SET UP MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING WEAKENING LAKE EFFECT DRIFTING NORTHWARD
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKS SOUTH AHEAD OF
APPROACHING SURFACE LOW...CURRENTLY OVER LAKE SUPERIOR. SAME
RADARS SHOWING WIDESPREAD SNOW DEVELOPING AROUND AND AHEAD OF THIS
LOW...IMPACTING THE GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHWESTERN ONTARIO. THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE SYNOPTICALLY-DRIVEN SNOW WILL PUSH INTO
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA BETWEEN 5 AM AND 8 AM. THE SNOW
INTENSITY WILL LIKELY PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY AS THE SURFACE LOW
WORKS ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF 100
KNOT PLUS UPPER JET IMPACTS THE REGION. WE ARE SUGGESTING A
GENERAL 1-3/2-4" SNOWFALL FOR THE AREA THROUGH TODAY BASED ON
MODEL QPF IN THE 0.15-0.20" INCH. DECENT OMEGA WITHIN A FAIRLY
LARGE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
SNOW/WATER RATIOS IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS. THESE VALUES ARE JUST
UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR ANY HEAVIER
AND MORE PERSISTENT SNOW BURSTS FOR THE NIAGARA FRONTIER OVER TO
ROCHESTER. LAKE ENHANCEMENT/UPSLOPE IS LIKELY ACROSS THE ELEVATED
AREAS SOUTH OF BUFFALO WHICH COULD INCREASE AMOUNTS THERE. HAVE
THEREFORE ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THESE AREAS.

AS THE LOW PUSHES ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TONIGHT COLDER
AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION CREATING FAVORABLE LAKE EFFECT
PARAMETERS...ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS A WELL ALIGNED
WESTERLY FETCH SETS UP. THINK THERE WILL BE A MODERATE TO HEAVY
SINGLE LAKE PLUME SETTING UP ACROSS OSWEGO AND SOUTHERN LEWIS
COUNTIES...POSSIBLE NUDGING INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN JEFFERSON
COUNTY. DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE WRAP IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW AND
EXPECT MUCH OF THE OMEGA TO BE LOCATED WITHIN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH
ZONE. HAVE THEREFORE DECIDED TO ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARING
FOR OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES AND A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR
JEFFERSON COUNTY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
ON SUNDAY A DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE TRANSLATING EAST ACROSS
QUEBEC AND WILL DELIVER A FRESH BATCH OF COLD CANADIAN AIR TO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE THE CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING
RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...WITH A TROUGH HANGING
BACK ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. FROM A SYNOPTIC STANDPOINT...JUST
EXPECT SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SURFACE
TROUGH AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. A COLD WNW FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF BOTH LAKES. ALSO OF NOTE...STEADY LOW
LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL OPPOSE THE DIURNAL CYCLE WITH SLOWLY
FALLING TEMPS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY ALONG WITH A NOTICEABLE WIND
CHILL.

OFF LAKE ERIE...
THE WNW FLOW WILL KEEP MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND POSSIBLY THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BOSTON HILLS. NAM BUFKIT ANALYSIS SHOWS ONLY MODEST INSTABILITY WITH
LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND 5K FEET DUE TO THE SHALLOW
NATURE OF THE COLD AIRMASS. THE SHORT FETCH ACROSS THE MINOR AXIS OF
LAKE ERIE WILL LIMIT LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL SOMEWHAT...BUT THERE IS
SOME HINT OF A POSSIBLE LAKE HURON CONNECTION IN MESOSCALE MODEL
GUIDANCE. EXPECT THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW TO BE FOUND ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.
FOR NOW WILL GO WITH ACCUMS IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE FOR EACH 12 HOUR
PERIOD...BUT IF AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON BECOMES
ESTABLISHED THESE AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED.

LATER SUNDAY NIGHT HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER LAKE ERIE...WITH
CRASHING INVERSION HEIGHTS AND DISRUPTED LOW LEVEL FLOW BRINGING AN
END TO THIS ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...
LATEST MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE AND OVERALL PATTERN CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT EVENT WHICH WILL BE
ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING. MODERATE LAKE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST...WITH
LAKE INDUCED CAPES OF AROUND 400J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND
8K FEET. A VERY DEEP 5-8 THOUSAND FOOT LAYER OF FAVORABLE TEMPS/RH
FOR DENDRITIC CRYSTAL GROWTH WILL BE FOUND IN THE TOP HALF OF THE
CLOUD BEARING LAYER...ALLOWING EFFICIENT CLOUD MICROPHYSICS TO BE
REALIZED. 00Z MESOSCALE MODEL CONSENSUS HAS SHIFTED SOUTH WITH THE
BAND POSITION FOR SUNDAY WITH A MEAN FLOW OF ABOUT 290 DEGREES
ADVERTISED ON MOST MODELS. IF THIS VERIFIES...THE BAND WOULD PUSH
SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY AND TAKE UP RESIDENCE ACROSS EASTERN
WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND POSSIBLY FAR SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY
FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY. HAVE ADJUSTED BAND POSITION SOUTH BY ABOUT 10
MILES IN THE GRIDS FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING FROM PREVIOUS
FORECAST. SNOWFALL MAY BE QUITE INTENSE IN THIS BAND... ESPECIALLY
IN THE MORNING WITH 2-3 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATES POSSIBLE.

SUNDAY NIGHT THE BAND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS
WAYNE/NORTHERN CAYUGA AND POSSIBLY SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. OVERNIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD...WITH LOWERING INVERSION HEIGHTS
AND SLACKENING LOW LEVEL FLOW ALLOWING THE BAND TO WEAKEN. WHATEVER
IS LEFT BY MONDAY MORNING WILL RETRACT BACK INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
LAKE AS THE SYNOPTIC FLOW BECOMES LIGHT AND LOCAL LAND BREEZE
CIRCULATIONS TAKE OVER.

HEADLINES...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR OSWEGO AND LEWIS COUNTIES. WITH THE SOUTHWARD DRIFT IN
MIND...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES STARTING LATER TONIGHT AND EXTENDING
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. NO HEADLINES FOR LAKE ERIE ON SUNDAY YET...
BUT MAY EVENTUALLY NEED ADVISORIES IF THE LAKE HURON CONNECTION
BECOMES ESTABLISHED.

OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVERHEAD
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE AT LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING. THIS COMBINED
WITH LIGHT WINDS...A COLD AIRMASS AND FRESH SNOWPACK WILL ALLOW
TEMPS TO PLUMMET TO THE COLDEST READINGS SO FAR THIS WINTER. MANY
AREAS EVEN NEAR THE LAKES WILL MAKE A RUN AT ZERO...WITH THE HIGHER
TERRAIN VALLEYS GOING BELOW ZERO. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TEMPS MAY
REALLY PLUMMET IN THE COLDER LOCATIONS WITH LOWS 10-20 BELOW NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION.

ON MONDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE LOWER LAKES WITH RETURN
FLOW BEGINNING BY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING A RARE DRY DAY TO THE
REGION WITH A GENERAL SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST INCREASE IN MID/HIGH
CLOUDS. THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT WARM ADVECTION ALOFT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BUT AFTER A VERY COLD START THE LOW LEVEL COLD WILL BE
DIFFICULT TO DISLODGE. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S ACROSS WESTERN
NY AND TEENS IN THE NORTH COUNTRY.

WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT WITH EVENING LOWS GIVING
WAY TO RISING TEMPS OVERNIGHT. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION WILL INCREASE AS WELL...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW SOME LIGHT SNOW
TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. AMOUNTS LOOK RELATIVELY
LIGHT AT THIS POINT GIVEN LACK OF UPPER LEVEL JET SUPPORT AND
WEAKNESS OF THE SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD...TWO STORM SYSTEMS WILL BE OF NOTE...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO BELOW NORMAL...AND TIMES WELL BELOW NORMAL.

TUESDAY A PRIMARY...DEEPENING SFC LOW WILL BE FOUND NEAR THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES...THOUGH THE SUITE OF 00Z MODELS (GFS,ECMWF AND GGEM)
ARE ALL DISPLACED SOMEWHAT WITH THE ACTUAL SURFACE LOW. AHEAD OF
THIS SURFACE LOW EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO FORM WITH ISENTROPIC
LIFT...AND CONVERGENCE ALONG A 65 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. BOTH THE 00Z
ECMWF AND THE 00Z GFS BRING A WARM WEDGE OF AROUND FREEZING
TEMPERATURES NEAR 850 HPA AND LOWER...WHICH WILL LIKELY CHANGE THE
PRECIPITATION OVER TO A WINTERY MIX OF SLEET AND RAIN. THIS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING
BEFORE A SECONDARY LOW FORM NEARS THE COASTLINE...DEEPENS AND DRAWS
A COOLER AIR MASS BACK ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

LATEST 00Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS MUCH LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH COLD AIR
BEHIND THIS FIRST SYSTEM...AND ALSO SLOWER WITH THE ARRIVAL OF COLD
AIR ALLOWING WEDNESDAY TEMPS TO BE NEAR AVERAGE...AT LEAST IN THE
MORNING.

BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS SUPPORT HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL DIMINISH ANY LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...AND ALLOW SFC TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
EVERYWHERE...AND BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. IF SKIES
BECOME CLEAR...EVEN THESE TEMPERATURES THAT ARE FORECASTED WILL
LIKELY BE TOO WARM.

MODEL AGREEMENT THURSDAY FOR ANOTHER GENERAL SNOWFALL AS LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS PASSES JUST TO THE WEST AND NORTH
THURSDAY. HOWEVER WITH A COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE EXPECT JUST SNOW WITH
THIS FEATURE FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

FRIDAY THE GFS IS SEVERAL DEGREE COLDER AT 850 THAN THE
ECMWF...ALTHOUGH BOTH ADVERTISE A VERY COLD AIRMASS ARRIVING BY THE
END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OFF LAKE ERIE...LINGERING LAKE SNOWS NORTH OF BUFFALO WILL
CONTINUE TO LIFT FURTHER NORTH AND FALL APART THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WINDS BACK FURTHER AND BECOME EVEN MORE
SHEARED. THESE WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TO
KIAG AND POINTS NORTH BEFORE DISSIPATING.

MEANWHILE OFF OUR OTHER LAKE...WEAK LAKE SNOWS ALONG AND JUST
INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHEASTERN SHORE OF THE LAKE WILL ALSO
LIFT NORTH WITH TIME AND DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH THE BACKING/
INCREASINGLY SHEARED LOW LEVEL FLOW. THESE SHOULD ALSO BRING SOME
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS TO AREAS ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN
SHORES OF THAT LAKE AS THEY LIFT NORTH...POSSIBLY AFFECTING KART
OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO MVFR THE BALANCE OF
THE NIGHT AS MOISTURE SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION FROM A STORM SYSTEM
OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. BY DAYBREAK...LIGHT SNOW FROM THIS
FEATURE WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES AND
REDUCING VSBYS TO 3-5SM.

THEN DURING SATURDAY...MVFR CIGS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS ALL OF THE
REGION IN WIDESPREAD SNOW. VSBYS AND POSSIBLY CIGS WILL DROP TO
IFR LEVELS AT TIMES...POTENTIALLY LEADING TO SOME DELAYS.

ONE OTHER ADDITIONAL COMPLICATING FACTOR DURING SATURDAY WILL BE THE
WINDS...WHICH WILL START OUT THE DAY SOUTHERLY...BEFORE TURNING
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY AND BECOMING RATHER BRISK BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO
15-25 KNOTS ALONG WITH GUSTS TO 30-35 KNOTS. SUCH WINDS WILL ONLY
ACT TO ENHANCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW...WHICH IN TURN
WOULD HOLD VISIBILITIES DOWN LONGER THAN WHAT OTHERWISE MIGHT BE
EXPECTED.

DURING SATURDAY NIGHT...THE SYNOPTIC SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF FAIRLY
QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST...WHILE A COLD WESTERLY FLOW LEADS TO
MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES. AWAY FROM LAKE EFFECT
AREAS...VSBYS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR WITH CIGS REMAINING MVFR...WHILE
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE IN THE LAKE SNOWS.

.OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS IN LAKE SNOW EAST OF THE
LAKES...OTHERWISE VFR.
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...AREAS OF IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING FROM GEORGIAN BAY ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO
TODAY WILL RESULT IN FRESHENING WINDS. WINDS AND RESULTANT WAVE
CONDITIONS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ON LAKE ERIE LATER THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THESE SAME CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP ON LAKE ONTARIO BY THIS AFTERNOON AND LAST RIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ007.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ006-008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
     NIGHT FOR NYZ004-005.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ012-019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EST
         SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM
         EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/THOMAS
AVIATION...JJR/RSH
MARINE...TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 14, 7:53 PM EST, 8 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

NYZ001>004-007-010>014-019>021-085-160100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-JEFFERSON-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ005-006-008-160100-
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-160100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
753 PM EST FRI JAN 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 4:05 AM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF48 hr
Jan 15, 4:30 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFJefferson18 hr
Jan 15, 4:30 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming29 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2011Every lake effect snow warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.