Alert archive / Vermont / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 24, NWS Burlington, VT

August 28, 2011Rutland County, Windsor County, Vermont

NWS Burlington, VT issued this flash flood warning at Aug 28, 2011, 9:38 AM EDT for Rutland County, Windsor County, Vermont. It was in force for 11 hr. 27 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2011, 9:38 AM EDT (13:38 UTC)
Expired
Aug 28, 2011, 8:22 PM EDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Burlington, VT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Rutland County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 28, 10:47 AM EDTFLASH FLOODMt. Holly, VTLARGE CULVERT NEAR INTERSECTION OF VT RTE 155 AND MAPLE HILL ROAD WASHED OUT
Aug 28, 11:45 AM EDTFLASH FLOODBridgewater Corners, VTOTTAUQUECHEE RIVER HAS FLOODED THE MILL MALL IN BRIDGEWATER CORNERS
Aug 28, 11:46 AM EDTFLASH FLOODTaftsville, VTLOWER RIVER ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING FROM THE OTTAUQUECHEE RIVER
Aug 28, 11:49 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 S Bridgewater, VTCURTIS HOLLOW ROAD AND TURKEY HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED
Aug 28, 11:52 AM EDTFLASH FLOODLudlow, VTMOST COUNTRY ROADS AND ROUTES 100 AND 103 CLOSED WITH EVACUATIONS ONGOING
Aug 28, 12:49 PM EDTFLASH FLOODWeston, VTPUBLIC REPORTS HWY 100 NEAR WESTON FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE. CALLERS DRIVEWAY HAS WASHED OUT.
Aug 28, 12:54 PM EDTFLASH FLOODBethel, VTFLOODING ON BETHEL-GILLEAD ROAD
Aug 28, 1:17 PM EDTFLASH FLOODStockbridge, VTFLOODING ALONG STONY BROOK ROAD
Aug 28, 1:40 PM EDTFLASH FLOODRutland, VTOTTAUQUECHEE RIVER THAT FOLLOWS RTE 4 FROM RUTLAND, VT TO WOODSTOCK, VT IS OVER ITS BANKS AND FLOODING BUSINESSES IN WEST WOODSTOCK.
Aug 28, 1:45 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 W Mendon, VTEAST RIVER 1 FOOT OVER AMANDA LANE. WATER IS SURROUNDING A HOUSE.
Aug 28, 2:08 PM EDTFLASH FLOODRochester, VTSEVERAL ROADS WASHED OUT AND NO POWER
Aug 28, 2:15 PM EDTFLASH FLOODCavendish, VTSEVERE FLOODING FROM LUDLOW TO CAVENDISH ALONG ROUTE 103
Aug 28, 2:20 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPomfret, VTSESSIONS MEADOW ROAD FLOODED
Aug 28, 2:42 PM EDTFLASH FLOODRochester, VTBETHEL MOUNTAIN ROAD WASHED OUT WITH SEVERAL HOMES FLOODED
Aug 28, 2:49 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPlymouth, VTRICKS ROAD AND MCDONALD ROAD WASHED OUT AND HOMES FLOODED
Aug 28, 3:24 PM EDTFLASH FLOODWoodstock, VTOTTAQUECHEE 10 FT OVER ITS BANKS... PROPANE TANKS ARE SWIFTLY MOVING DOWN STREAM. ONE TANK HAS EXPLODED.
Aug 28, 3:39 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 6.61Ludlow, VT6.61 TOTAL FOR THE STORM SO FAR.
Aug 28, 3:49 PM EDTFLASH FLOODStockbridge, VTWHITE RIVER ON RTE 107 10 FEET HIGH. MAJOR FLOODING.
Aug 28, 3:51 PM EDTFLASH FLOODKillington, VTPARTS OF A CONDO COMPLEX FLOODED OUT
Aug 28, 4:13 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 4.3Clarendon, VTWATER IN BASEMENT COMING IN FASTER THAN CAN BE PUMPED OUT
Aug 28, 4:50 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 4.5Middletown Springs, VTWIDESPREAD FLOODIING AS WELL
Aug 28, 5:23 PM EDTFLASH FLOODDanby, VTWATER UP TO GAS PUMPS AT A GAS STATION ALONG RTE 7 IN DANBY
Aug 28, 6:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOODMt. Holly, VTTRAIN TRACKS WASHED OUT ON STATION ROAD
Aug 28, 7:06 PM EDTFLASH FLOODStockbridge, VTWIDE SPREAD FLOODING IN AND AROUND STOCKBRIDGE... RTE 7 AND RTE 100 IMPASSABLE
Aug 28, 7:48 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 5.661 N North Springfield, VTASOS STORM TOTAL
Aug 28, 7:57 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 3.5Rutland, VTASOS STORM TOTAL
Aug 28, 8:27 PM EDTFLASH FLOODBrownsville, VTCOVERED BRIDGE WASHED AWAY ON BIBLE HILL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 21 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 69 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2011-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 805 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
805 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1072 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

772 
WGUS51 KBTV 281338
FFWBTV
VTC021-027-281930-
/O.NEW.KBTV.FF.W.0024.110828T1338Z-110828T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
938 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  RUTLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT
  WINDSOR COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 933 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. SMALL CREEKS  
  AND STREAMS WILL QUICKLY LEAVE THEIR BANKS. CULVERTS...BRIDGES...
  AND ROADSIDE DITCHES WILL BE OVERWHELMED BY WATER. ROAD WASHOUTS
  ARE LIKELY. TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN THIS 
  MORNING AND AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH THE 
  REST OF THE DAY. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BETHEL...
  BRANDON...DANBY...FAIR HAVEN...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD AND WHITE
  RIVER JUNCTION.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODING...SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7 9...OR BY SUBMITTING
A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY FROM FLOOD WATERS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF YOU ARE
THREATENED BY FLOODING OR ARE DIRECTED BY EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. DO NOT
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY...THE ROAD MAY BE
WASHED AWAY BENEATH THE WATER SURFACE...AND IT ONLY TAKES A FEW
INCHES OF FLOWING WATER TO CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. MOST FLOOD DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES...MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING...
AND IMMEDIATE ACTION MUST BE TAKEN TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4332 7325 4356 7325
      4362 7337 4357 7339 4359 7343 4376 7336
      4377 7321 4384 7322 4385 7303 4381 7300
      4390 7288 4386 7287 4387 7286 4396 7280
      4377 7221 4358 7238 4323 7244 4322 7270

$$

NF
4 follow-up statements
359 
WGUS71 KBTV 281628
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1228 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

VTC021-027-281930-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110828T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-RUTLAND VT-
1228 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT FOR
RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES...

FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT NEAR LUDLOW IN 
WINDSOR COUNTY. ROUTES 100 AND 103 ARE CLOSED WITH EVACUATIONS 
ONGOING. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY IN BOTH WINDSOR AND 
RUTLAND COUNTIES. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY 
LEAVE THEIR BANKS. CULVERTS...BRIDGES...AND ROADSIDE DITCHES WILL BE 
OVERWHELMED BY WATER. ROAD WASHOUTS ARE LIKELY.

TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE AREA WITH AN 
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL 
RAIN MAY FALL THROUGH THE EVENING. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BETHEL...
BRANDON...DANBY...FAIR HAVEN...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD AND WHITE RIVER
JUNCTION.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODING...SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7 9...OR BY SUBMITTING
A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY FROM FLOOD WATERS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF YOU ARE
THREATENED BY FLOODING OR ARE DIRECTED BY EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. DO NOT
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY...THE ROAD MAY BE
WASHED AWAY BENEATH THE WATER SURFACE...AND IT ONLY TAKES A FEW
INCHES OF FLOWING WATER TO CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. MOST FLOOD DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES...MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN.

THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT FOR SUDDEN
AND RAPID RISES OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND IF YOU OBSERVE FLOODING OR ARE DIRECTED TO EVACUATE BY
EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. NEVER TRY TO WALK OR DRIVE ACROSS A FLOODED
ROAD...IF YOUR VEHICLE BECOMES STRANDED ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4332 7325 4356 7325
      4362 7337 4357 7339 4359 7343 4376 7336
      4377 7321 4384 7322 4385 7303 4381 7300
      4390 7288 4386 7287 4387 7286 4396 7280
      4377 7221 4358 7238 4323 7244 4322 7270

$$

NF
188 
WGUS51 KBTV 281905
FFWBTV
VTC021-027-290030-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110829T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  RUTLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT
  WINDSOR COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 301 PM EDT...WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED. MANY 
  ROADS ARE CLOSED OR WASHED OUT. NUMEROUS HOMES ARE FLOODED OR 
  THREATENED.  

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BETHEL...
  BRANDON...DANBY...FAIR HAVEN...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD AND WHITE
  RIVER JUNCTION.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODING...SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7 9...OR BY SUBMITTING
A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY FROM FLOOD WATERS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF YOU ARE
THREATENED BY FLOODING OR ARE DIRECTED BY EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. DO NOT
DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY...THE ROAD MAY BE
WASHED AWAY BENEATH THE WATER SURFACE...AND IT ONLY TAKES A FEW
INCHES OF FLOWING WATER TO CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. MOST FLOOD DEATHS
OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES...MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN.

THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT FOR SUDDEN
AND RAPID RISES OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND IF YOU OBSERVE FLOODING OR ARE DIRECTED TO EVACUATE BY
EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. NEVER TRY TO WALK OR DRIVE ACROSS A FLOODED
ROAD...IF YOUR VEHICLE BECOMES STRANDED ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING...
AND IMMEDIATE ACTION MUST BE TAKEN TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4332 7325 4356 7325
      4362 7337 4357 7339 4359 7343 4376 7336
      4377 7321 4384 7322 4385 7303 4381 7300
      4390 7288 4386 7287 4387 7286 4396 7280
      4377 7221 4358 7238 4323 7244 4322 7270

$$

NF
825 
WGUS71 KBTV 282237
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
637 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

VTC021-027-290030-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110829T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-RUTLAND VT-
637 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT FOR
RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES...

WIDESPREAD SEVERE FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED. NUMEROUS HOMES 
HAVE BEEN INUNDATED AND MANY ROADS ARE CLOSED. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BETHEL...
BRANDON...DANBY...FAIR HAVEN...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD AND WHITE RIVER
JUNCTION.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODING...SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7 9...OR BY SUBMITTING
A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT FOR SUDDEN
AND RAPID RISES OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND BE READY TO MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND IF YOU OBSERVE FLOODING OR ARE DIRECTED TO EVACUATE BY
EMERGENCY OFFICIALS. NEVER TRY TO WALK OR DRIVE ACROSS A FLOODED
ROAD...IF YOUR VEHICLE BECOMES STRANDED ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4332 7325 4356 7325
      4362 7337 4357 7339 4359 7343 4376 7336
      4377 7321 4384 7322 4385 7303 4381 7300
      4390 7288 4386 7287 4387 7286 4396 7280
      4377 7221 4358 7238 4323 7244 4322 7270

$$

NF
242 
WGUS71 KBTV 290022
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
822 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

VTC021-027-290029-
/O.CAN.KBTV.FF.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110829T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-RUTLAND VT-
822 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR RUTLAND AND WINDSOR
COUNTIES...

WHILE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS ENDED...MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES 
ACROSS THE AREA AND AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. THE 
HAZARDS CREATED BY FLOODING WILL REMAIN. STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO 
RUN HIGH...AND ROADS...BRIDGES AND CULVERTS MAY HAVE BEEN WASHED 
OUT. OBEY ALL ROAD CLOSURE SIGNS...THEY ARE THERE FOR YOUR 
SAFETY...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH DAMAGED AREAS.

LAT...LON 4325 7281 4330 7284 4332 7325 4356 7325
      4362 7337 4357 7339 4359 7343 4376 7336
      4377 7321 4384 7322 4385 7303 4381 7300
      4390 7288 4386 7287 4387 7286 4396 7280
      4377 7221 4358 7238 4323 7244 4322 7270

$$

NF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 28, 7:49 AM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 28, 7:49 AM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
749 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IRENE WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON
MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAJOR FLOODING IS
EXPECTED AS MUCH OF THE AREA WILL RECEIVE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN.
IN ADDITION...STRONG WIND GUSTS IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WILL
CAUSE TREES AND POWER LINES TO BE DOWNED AND RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES. DAMAGE TO PROPERTY IS ALSO EXPECTED BECAUSE OF THE HIGH
WINDS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 739 AM EDT SUNDAY...

MAJOR FLOODING AND HIGH WINDS WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT.

RAIN CONTINUES TO MOVE FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING AS HURRICANE IRENE...CURRENTLY JUST
SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY...CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.
EARLIER...SPRINGFIELD PICKED UP ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN IN ABOUT
2 HOURS AND GIVEN THE DEEP LAYER OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE IRENE...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. THE
CENTER OF IRENE WILL TRACK UP INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THE DYNAMICS/DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT WILL LEAD TO
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS VERMONT AND NORTHEAST NEW YORK. OF CONCERN IS
THE STRONG AXIS OF FRONTOGENESIS THAT FORMS ALONG THE NEW YORK AND
VERMONT BORDER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE DEFORMATION ZONE
THAT FORMS SHOULD ENHANCE RAINFALL AND PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN THAT
RESULTS IN A SWATH OF 5 TO 7 INCHES IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.
LOOKING AT 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE REMAINDER OF VERMONT...AROUND AN
INCH IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS. ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVE OVER 4 INCHES OF RAIN
WILL EXPERIENCE MAJOR FLOODING ISSUES. STRONG WINDS WILL BE
ANOTHER ISSUE AS SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 20 TO 40 MPH RANGE DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 60 MPH RANGE.
THERE WILL EVEN BE GUSTS TO 70 MPH OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS
WILL LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...POWER OUTAGES...AND
DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AS THE REMNANTS OF IRENE QUICKLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA...BUT THE
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
AS OF 426 AM EDT SUNDAY...DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND
WINDS WILL BE DECREASING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE
REMNANTS OF IRENE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 426 AM EDT SUNDAY...MAINLY FOLLOWED THE 00Z GFS FOR THIS FORECAST
CYCLE...BUT THAT SOLUTION IS SIMILAR TO THE 00Z ECMWF.

IT APPEARS THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD FROM ONTARIO IN THE
WAKE OF IRENE...WITH ASSOCIATED FORCING FOR ASCENT MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD
GENERATE SCATTERED DAYTIME RAIN SHOWERS...WITH BEST COVERAGE AND
HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE NRN MOUNTAINS. HAVE INDICATED POPS OF 35-45
PERCENT FOR THE AFTN HRS ACROSS FAR NRN NY/VT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
TUESDAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 70S...AND PARTLY SUNNY
CONDITIONS CAN BE ANTICIPATED ON BALANCE. SUFFICIENT CLEARING
TUESDAY NIGHT SHOULD BRING PATCHY FOG TO THE FAVORED VALLEYS WITH
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.

ONCE THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES EAST OF THE REGION...SHOULD SEE A
PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS AS LARGE SFC RIDGE BECOMES
ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE NERN CONUS WEDNESDAY THRU FRIDAY NIGHT. ONE
CHANGE WITH THE 00Z GUIDANCE IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POSITIVE TILT
500MB TROUGH ACROSS THE ERN GREAT LAKES DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY...WHICH ATTEMPTS TO CLOSE OFF AS IT TRACKS EWD INTO NEW
YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. ECMWF ALSO SHOWS THIS
FEATURE...BUT IT IS DISPLACED SOMEWHAT FURTHER NORTH OVER OUR
REGION AND INTO SRN QUEBEC. GIVEN ABSENCE OF THIS UPPER TROUGH IN
PREVIOUS GUIDANCE RUNS...WILL GENERALLY INDICATE JUST MID-UPR CLOUDS
WED-THU BUT NO PCPN CHANCES AT THIS TIME. DEVELOPMENT OF S-SW RETURN
FLOW THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MAY ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE TO
THE UPR 70S TO AROUND 80F. THEREAFTER...COLD FRONT APPROACHING
SATURDAY SHOULD BRING NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY BY LATE IN THE
DAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...IRENE WILL RESULT IN RAPIDLY DETERIORATING
AVIATION WX CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT
OF WIDESPREAD IFR CEILINGS...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND TERRAIN
OBSCD BY LOW CLOUDS/FOG. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE NE
25G35KTS THRU EARLY AFTN...AND PEAK 40-50 KTS IN GUSTS AT THE TAF
SITES LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WIND
DIRECTION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT FROM NE TO NW BETWEEN 00-03Z AS LOW
CENTER TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WRN NH THIS EVENING. THE HEAVY
RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF BETWEEN 03-06Z MONDAY...WITH
PRECIPITATION GENERALLY OVER BY 06Z.

OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...CONDS GRADUALLY IMPROVE
MONDAY MORNING AS REMNANTS OF IRENE ACCELERATE NEWD ACROSS THE
GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE. NW WINDS DIMINISH TO 10-15 KTS AFTER 15Z
MONDAY WITH GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS BY LATE MORNING THRU THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THRU
BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS - ESPECIALLY TO NRN AREAS - ON
TUESDAY. COULD SEE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE SHOWERS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS GENERALLY VFR WX AND
LIGHT WINDS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. COULD SEE LOCALLY DENSE
RADIATION FOG 06-12Z THU AT MPV/SLK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED FROM THE EASTERN SLOPES OF
THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS EASTWARD ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND
ALL OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN VERMONT IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE
IRENE. THE THREAT WILL BEGIN WITH POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...AND MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING FROM AROUND
MIDNIGHT MONDAY MORNING WITH RIVERS CRESTING GENERALLY DURING MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BE A POTENTIALLY LIFE-THREATENING FLOOD EVENT
AND CLOSE ATTENTION SHOULD BE PAID TO ANY NECESSARY FLOOD WARNINGS
AND/OR FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ISSUED LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.

ALL NWP GUIDANCE REMAINS VERY CONSISTENT IN QPF DEPICTION...WITH MAX
PRECIPITATION AXIS BISECTING THE NORTH COUNTRY. MODELS GENERALLY
SUPPORT BASIN-AVERAGE 4-6" RAINFALL TOTALS...BUT HIGHER RESOLUTION
00Z NAM INDICATES UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT ALONG THE ERN SLOPES OF THE
ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MTNS WITH POINT TOTALS UP TO 8". THAT MAY BE
A BIT HIGH GIVEN APPROX 24 HR DURATION OF RAINFALL...AND HAVE
NOTED 06Z NAM HAS BACKED OFF THOSE AMTS. OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST AT 4AM
GENERALLY REFLECTS A BLEND OF GFS/NAM/SREF WITH INCORPORATION OF
UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT...WITH AMOUNTS 4-6" WITH ISOLD 7" TOTALS.

TROPICAL NATURE OF SYSTEM AND STRONG FETCH OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE
BRINGS SWATH OF 2-2.25" PW VALUES NORTHWARD INTO VERMONT BY EARLY
AFTN AS SYSTEM REACHES CT BY 18Z. STRONG WIND FIELD IN 925-700MB
LAYER AND EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION FOCUSES IMPRESSIVE
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ALONG AND LEFT OF THE LOW TRACK...MAXIMIZED
ACROSS WRN VT AND NERN NY BETWEEN 18-00Z. DURING THIS PERIOD...THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH 2-3"/6-HRS AND HOURLY AMTS IN
EXCESS OF 0.5" AT TIMES. LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS ON EAST/NORTHEAST
FACING SLOPES WILL YIELD HIGHEST LOCAL TOTALS. FLASH FLOODING WILL
BECOME MORE LIKELY AS WE HEAD THRU THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HRS
GIVEN THESE FACTORS.

ANTECEDENT SOIL CONDITIONS AREN/T PARTICULARLY MOIST...AND FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE SHOWS 4-7" TOTALS ARE NEEDED TO GENERATE FLASH
FLOODING IN A 24 HR PERIOD CURRENTLY. NEVERTHELESS...THOSE ARE THE
AMTS FORTHCOMING WITH IRENE. THE RIVER FORECASTS FROM NERFC REFLECT
RAPID RESPONSES TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER
FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS NEARLY ALL VERMONT RIVER BASINS IN ADDITION
TO THE AUSABLE BASIN IN NEW YORK. THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL
NEED TO MONITOR CAREFULLY TODAY THRU THE DAY MONDAY. ALSO...RIVER
FLOWS WILL REMAIN HIGH THRU THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS RIVERS GRADUALLY
RECEDE...REFRAIN FROM VENTURING NEAR OR BOATING IN DANGEROUSLY
HIGH FLOWS NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 426 AM EDT SUNDAY...

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE CHAMPLAIN. DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AS NORTH WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 35 TO
45 KNOT RANGE AND BECOME EVEN STRONGER TONIGHT...45 TO 55 KNOTS.
THIS WILL CREATE WAVE HEIGHTS...ESPECIALLY ON THE BROAD LAKE...AS
HIGH AS 6 TO 8 FEET. RAIN WILL BE HEAVY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
AND REDUCE VISIBILITIES SHARPLY.

AGAIN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN. ALL
PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE MADE TO SECURE MARINE CRAFT AND OTHER
PROPERTY DUE TO THE VERY STRONG WINDS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE TOP 5 2-DAY RAINFALL RECORDS FOR SELECTED
SITES: (RAINFALL ENDING ON SPECIFIED DATE)

BTV
1. 5.10 11/4/1927
2. 4.91 6/14/1942
3. 4.66 10/6/1932
4. 4.49 8/11/1998
5. 4.47 6/15/1942

MPV
1. 6.72 8/5/1989
2. 4.85 10/2/2010
3. 4.51 5/27/2011
4. 4.32 9/17/1999
5. 4.47 6/15/1942

1V4
1. 6.56 11/4/1927
2. 5.90 8/12/1998
3. 5.29 9/17/1999
4. 5.18 7/19/1898
5. 4.99 7/29/1913

MMNV1
1. 10.83 9/17/1999
2. 8.13 8/5/1995
3. 6.69 10/24/1999
4. 6.59 8/17/1981
5. 6.05 8/4/1995

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR VTZ001>012-016>019.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR VTZ001>012-
     016>019.
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY FOR NYZ028-031-034-035.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR NYZ028>031-034-
     035.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR NYZ026-027-029-030-087.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS
HYDROLOGY...BANACOS
MARINE...
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 28, 4:33 AM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
433 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

NYZ028-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-290845-
EASTERN CLINTON-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-
LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
433 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAJOR FLOODING AND HIGH WINDS TO IMPACT VERMONT AND PARTS OF
NORTHEAST NEW YORK. EXPECT 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN TO PRODUCE MAJOR
FLOODING LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS IN THE
50 TO 70 MPH RANGE WILL CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES AND
POWER LINES...AND CREATE POWER OUTAGES.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NYZ029-030-290845-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-
433 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

FLOODING AND HIGH WINDS TO IMPACT VERMONT AND PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK. EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN TO
PRODUCE FLOODING LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES AND POWER
LINES...AND CREATE POWER OUTAGES.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NYZ026-027-087-290845-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
433 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HIGH WINDS TO IMPACT THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK. EXPECT
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND THIS WILL CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE...DOWN TREES
AND POWER LINES...AND CREATE POWER OUTAGES.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

EVENSON

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 28, 5:15 AM EDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
515 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-281115-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
515 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...MAJOR FLOODING AND DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM LOCATION INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
YORK AND VERMONT...ALONG WITH MARINE INTERESTS ALONG LAKE CHAMPLAIN.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING FOR
VERMONT AND THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
ADIRONDACKS IN NORTHERN NEW YORK.

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE ADIRONDACKS IN
NORTHERN NEW YORK.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING FOR THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND ALL OF
VERMONT.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
WERE 75 MPH. IRENE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST AND
THEN ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.RAINFALL...
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS
VERMONT AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF NEW YORK. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
YORK.

.FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS VERMONT. THE WORST OF THE
FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SUNDAY EVENING AND SUNDAY
NIGHT...WHILE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE
FLOODING WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO PROPERTY AND LIFE.
EVERYONE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED TO MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW.
FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS IT IS MUCH HARDER TO
RECOGNIZE HOW DEEP WATER IS OR REALIZE THAT A ROAD OR BRIDGE IS
WASHED OUT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

.WINDS...
FOR VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY TODAY...PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FREQUENTLY GUST OVER 50 MPH...AND MAY REACH
70 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF VERMONT. TONIGHT THE WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND
CONTINUE GUSTING OVER 40 MPH BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING MONDAY
MORNING.

ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WESTERN AREAS OF THE
ADIRONDACKS...THE WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER...HOWEVER GUSTS
OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH WILL DOWN NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES.
LARGE SCALE AND LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. DRIVING
LARGE VEHICLES SUCH AS TRAILERS AND RECREATIONAL VEHICLES WILL BE
DIFFICULT. NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE CARE OF ANY OBJECTS THAT MAY BE
BLOWN AROUND BY STRONG WINDS SUCH AS TENTS AND DECK FURNITURE.

.MARINE...
ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN...VERY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY...PEAKING DURING THE EVENING HOURS. SEVERAL HOURS OF
SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 40 TO 55 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED...WITH GUSTS
APPROACHING 65 MPH. AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST
TO WEST AND BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
PRODUCE VERY LARGE WAVES...WHICH MAY EXCEED 8 FEET IN THE BROAD
PORTION OF THE LAKE. THE WAVES WILL RESULT IN EROSION ON NORTH AND
WEST FACING LAKE SHORES. ALL PRECAUTIONS NEED TO BE MADE TO SECURE
BOATS AND OTHER PROPERTY ON THE LAKE.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BURLINGTON BY NOON EDT SUNDAY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS LIFE AND
PROPERTY THREATENING WEATHER SITUATION.

EVENSON
Special weather statement, Aug 28, 5:16 AM EDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
516 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-281600-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-
CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-
WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH...
STAR LAKE...SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...
LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...
GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
516 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...MAJOR FLOODING AND DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM LOCATION INFORMATION.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
YORK AND VERMONT...ALONG WITH MARINE INTERESTS ALONG LAKE CHAMPLAIN.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING FOR
VERMONT AND THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
ADIRONDACKS IN NORTHERN NEW YORK.

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE ADIRONDACKS IN
NORTHERN NEW YORK.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING FOR THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK AND ALL OF
VERMONT.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
WERE 75 MPH. IRENE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST AND
THEN ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.RAINFALL...
RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS
VERMONT AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF NEW YORK. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
YORK.

.FLOODING...
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS VERMONT. THE WORST OF THE
FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR SUNDAY EVENING AND SUNDAY
NIGHT...WHILE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. THE
FLOODING WILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO PROPERTY AND LIFE.
EVERYONE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS NEED TO MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW.
FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS IT IS MUCH HARDER TO
RECOGNIZE HOW DEEP WATER IS OR REALIZE THAT A ROAD OR BRIDGE IS
WASHED OUT UNTIL IT IS TOO LATE.

.WINDS...
FOR VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY TODAY...PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FREQUENTLY GUST OVER 50 MPH...AND MAY REACH
70 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF VERMONT. TONIGHT THE WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND
CONTINUE GUSTING OVER 40 MPH BEFORE FINALLY DIMINISHING MONDAY
MORNING.

ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WESTERN AREAS OF THE
ADIRONDACKS...THE WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER...HOWEVER GUSTS
OF 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

WINDS OF THIS STRENGTH WILL DOWN NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES.
LARGE SCALE AND LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. DRIVING
LARGE VEHICLES SUCH AS TRAILERS AND RECREATIONAL VEHICLES WILL BE
DIFFICULT. NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE CARE OF ANY OBJECTS THAT MAY BE
BLOWN AROUND BY STRONG WINDS SUCH AS TENTS AND DECK FURNITURE.

.MARINE...
ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN...VERY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY...PEAKING DURING THE EVENING HOURS. SEVERAL HOURS OF
SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 40 TO 55 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED...WITH GUSTS
APPROACHING 65 MPH. AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST
TO WEST AND BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
PRODUCE VERY LARGE WAVES...WHICH MAY EXCEED 8 FEET IN THE BROAD
PORTION OF THE LAKE. THE WAVES WILL RESULT IN EROSION ON NORTH AND
WEST FACING LAKE SHORES. ALL PRECAUTIONS NEED TO BE MADE TO SECURE
BOATS AND OTHER PROPERTY ON THE LAKE.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BURLINGTON BY NOON EDT SUNDAY...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS LIFE AND
PROPERTY THREATENING WEATHER SITUATION.

EVENSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Burlington, VT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 11:41 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningBTVAddison, Orange, Washington9 hr
Aug 28, 12:14 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVRutland67 hr
Aug 28, 2:50 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBTVAddison, Chittenden, Franklin, Grand Isle, Lamoille, Washington6 hr
Aug 28, 2:55 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBTVCaledonia, Essex, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans3 hr
Aug 28, 5:11 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVWindsor15 hr
Aug 28, 5:11 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVOrleans24 hr
Aug 28, 5:19 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVWashington11 hr
Aug 28, 5:41 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans14 hr
Aug 28, 5:44 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVCaledonia22 hr
Aug 28, 5:52 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVLamoille24 hr
Aug 28, 6:56 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVChittenden37 hr
Aug 28, 7:04 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningBTVFranklin19 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Vermont, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.