Areal Flood Warning 20, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1037 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST
FROM CANADA FRIDAY USHERING DRIER WEATHER. MEANWHILE KATIA WILL
TRACK SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND CONTINUING HIGH SURF AND SWELLS FOR
THE SHORELINES INTO FRIDAY. REMNANT LOW PRESSURE FROM ONCE TROPICAL
STORM WILL APPROACH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS WEEKEND. THIS MAY YIELD
A FEW SHOWERS FOR THE AREA HOWEVER A WASHOUT IS NOT EXPECTED. THE
WEATHER THEME FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK FAVORS A WARMING TREND AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT MAY YIELD SCATTERED SHOWERS TUE
AND/OR WED.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

1030 AM UPDATE...
SEVERAL UPDATES TO ONGOING FORECAST AS PRECIP AMOUNTS HAVE COME IN
HIGHER THAN FORECASTED. WESTERN MASS HAS RECEIVED THE HEAVIER
AMOUNT OF PRECIP WITH 2+INCHES...WHILE A HEAVIER BAND OF PRECIP
HAS TREKKED ACROSS RI AND INTO EASTERN MASS WITH 2+ INCHES REPORTED
AS WELL. THIS BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND DROP HIGH
AMOUNTS OF PRECIP ACROSS EASTERN MASS. INCREASED QPF THROUGH 00Z
WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WHERE STRONGEST STORMS ARE MOVING
THROUGH. SEVERAL FLOOD PRODUCTS ARE IN PLACE.

LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW THAT PRECIP IS ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST
HAVE HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO SHOW. DRIER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE
INTO THE MID-LEVELS AROUND 18Z AS INDICATED IN THE NAM AND RUC.
THIS WILL HELP TREND DOWN PRECIP AS WELL.

HAVE TRENDED TEMPS DOWN AS INDICATED BY LATEST OBS. OTHERWISE
FORECAST IS MAINLY ON TRACK MINUS THE TWEAKS.

7 AM UPDATE...
NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST AS WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED TSTMS THROUGH THE MORNING
BEFORE BECOMING MORE SHOWERY TOWARD MIDDAY. SATELLITE DERIVED
PRODUCTS CONTINUE TO INDICATE TROPICAL CONNECTION STREAMING UP THE
EASTERN SEABOARD WITH PWATS AOA 2 INCHES...WHICH IS ABOUT 200% OF
NORMAL! THIS ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE IS WORKING IN CONCERT WITH
STRONG LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENTICAL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM
FRONT SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THIS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WEAKENS WITH TIME TODAY ALONG WITH UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK
EXITING NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE MARITIMES. THUS HEAVY RAIN
WILL BECOME MORE SHOWERY TOWARD MIDDAY.

AREAL FLOOD ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF CT/WEST-
CENTRAL MA INTO SOUTHWEST NH AS WE EXPECTED MINOR FLOODING OF
SMALL RIVERS AND STREAM ALONG WITH POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. IF THE
HEAVY RAIN PERSIST LONGER THAN EXPECTED THESE ADVISORIES WILL HAVE
TO BE UPGRADED TO WARNINGS. SO STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS.

COOL TEMPS WILL CONTINUE GIVEN THE NE FLOW...OVERCAST CONDITIONS
AND RAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
THURSDAY NIGHT...

AS KATIA SLIDES SE OF NEW ENGLAND AND BEGINS ITS NE TRACK OUT TO
SEA...RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL BE IN CONTROL...AND MID-LVL DRY AIR
CONTINUES TO WRAP CYCLONICALLY ALONG THE N PERIPHERY OF KATIA
ITSELF. ISENTROPIC FLOW BACKS OUT OF THE N...EXHIBITING A
DOWNWELLING TREND IN RESPONSE TO KATIA. LIGHT NLY SFC FLOW CONTINUES
WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLING INTO THE RGN. CLOUDS
STILL IN CONTROL...PERHAPS A FEW BREAKS ALONG THE S SHORELINE WITH
THE INTRUSION OF DRIER AIR. MINS IN THE UPR 50S TO LOW 60S N TO S.

FRIDAY...

DRIER AIR AND RIDGE OF HIGH PRES IN PLACE. KATIA SLIDES NEWD PAST
NEW ENGLAND AND MAY SEE GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH OVER NANTUCKET WITH THE
POTENTIAL OF SOME OUTER BAND INTERACTION WITH SHOWERY WX. THE
REMAINDER OF THE RGN MAY GRADUALLY CLEAR OUT MIDDAY INTO AFTN. YET
THIS IS SHORT LIVED AS THE ATLANTIC RIDGE BUILDS WWD WITH KATIA/S
DEPARTURE...ENHANCING THE MID-UPR LVL CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE
REMNANTS OF LEE OVER THE LWR OH RVR VLY RGN. THE COLLOCATION OF THE
LEFT EXIT RGN OF THE MID-UPR LVL JET STREAK WILL LEND FOR SHOWERS
AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS THE END OF THE PD FOR THE WRN
FCST RGN. CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME...SOME DEPENDENCY LIES ON
MOISTURE AVAILABILITY.  WITH POTENTIAL CLEARING CONDITIONS AND H925
TEMPS OF +18-20C...COULD SEE UPR 70S TO LOW 80S FOR MAX TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODEL PREFERENCES AND SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW...
ABOVE AVERAGE FORECAST CONFIDENCE ON THE LARGE SCALE FLOW THIS
PERIOD AS BOTH THE 12Z/07 GEFS AND ECENS ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED.
HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE ON THE SMALLER SCALE DETAILS.
BOTH MODELS AGREE THAT REMNANT MID LEVEL LOW FROM ONCE TS LEE WILL
REMAIN DETACHED FROM THE WESTERLIES THIS WEEKEND AND AS A RESULT
WILL MOVE SLOWLY FROM THE OH VLY TO NEW ENGLAND. WITH TIME THIS
CLOSED CIRCULATION WILL TRANSITION TO AN OPEN WAVE AND EJECT SHORT
WAVE IMPULSES AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
HENCE PLAYING HAVOC WITH OUR WEEKEND FORECAST. THEN BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON POLAR VORTEX SLIDING SOUTHWARD INTO
HUDSON BAY WHICH SERVES TO KICK BROAD NE MID LEVEL TROF FINALLY OFF
THE COAST. AHEAD OF THIS DEVELOPING HUDSON BAY TO GREAT LAKES MEAN
TROF WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL SET UP OVER THE NORTHEAST
YIELDING A WARMING TREND HERE IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

DAILY DETAILS...

FRI NIGHT AND SAT...
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT SLIDES SOUTH FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FRI NIGHT
AND THEN ACROSS THE AREA SAT. MID LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW THEN SETS UP
OVER THE AREA SAT PROVIDING LARGE SCALE MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE AND
SURFACE HIGH PRES OVER THE REGION YIELDING DRY AND COOLER WEATHER.
THE 00Z GFS APPEARS TO BE AN OUTLIER WITH CONFLUENT ZONE FARTHER
NORTH ALLOWING LEFTOVER MOISTURE FROM REMNANT TS LEE OVER PA TO
STREAM EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF
THE NORTHERN STREAM JET PREFER THE SUPPRESSED SOLUTIONS FROM THE 00Z
NAM/GEFS AND ECMWF. THEREFORE HAVE UNDERCUT GFS MOS POPS BY
INCORPORATING THE DRIER METNAM POPS THIS PERIOD.

NE SURFACE FLOW AND SHALLOW COOL AIRMASS BEHIND BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
WILL YIELD LARGE TEMP DIFFERENCES SAT BETWEEN EASTERN MA /60S/ AND
THE CT RVR VLY /70S/.

SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...
MID LEVEL CONFLUENT ZONE LIFTS NORTH PROMOTING FRONT TO OUR SOUTH TO
DRIFT NORTHWARD. UPSTREAM MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE OH VLY WILL
EJECT JET IMPULSES TOWARD THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE FEATURES WILL INCREASE THE RISK FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ALTHOUGH FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
INSTABILITY ARE MARGINAL SO AREAL COVERAGE OF SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BE
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED. THUS TRIMMED GFS MOS POPS WITH DRIER
HPC GUIDANCE. OVERALL THE BULK OF THE WEEKEND APPEARS DRY WITH JUST
A LOW PROB OF DODGING A FEW SHOWERS...HIGHEST PROBS ACRS WRN MA INTO
CT AND COASTAL RI AND SOUTHEAST MA.

MON/TUE/WED...
REMNANT MID LEVEL LOW FROM ONCE TS LEE WILL FINALLY MOVE OFFSHORE MON
SUPPORTING A TREND TOWARD DRY WEATHER. NEW MEAN MID LEVEL TROF
DEVELOPS FROM HUDSON BAY SOUTHWARD TO THE GREAT LAKES TUE/WED. THIS
WILL LIKELY PROVIDE A WARMING TREND INTO THE NORTHEAST BEFORE A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE SOMETIME MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE RISK OF SHOWERS
WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH THIS FEATURE TUE AND WED. BEHIND THE FRONT
UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MAY OVERSPREAD THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

TODAY...
NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IFR. LLVL
MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE AS SFC FRNT REMAINS ADJACENT AND TO THE
S OF NEW ENGLAND. SHRA/FG EXPECTED THRU THE DAY...PERHAPS SOME
SLIGHT LIFT DURING THE MIDDAY OF MVFR PSBL ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE
CT VLY TERMINALS. LGT/VRB NLY FLOW.

TONIGHT...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IFR/LIFR. COOLING OF THE VERY MOIST LLVLS WILL
CONTINUE THE VERY LOW CIGS AND REDUCTION IN VSBYS. WILL SEE
INCREASE E/NE FLOW FOR THE SE TERMINALS...ESPECIALLY ACK...WITH
THE APPROACH OF KATIA.

FRIDAY...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE MVFR/IFR. IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS LINGERING INTO
MORNING WITH SCT SHRA...BUT DRIER AIR USHERING INTO THRU THE
MIDDAY INTO AFTN PD MAY ALLOW FOR CONDITIONS TO DRAMATICALLY
IMPROVE MVFR/VFR. WILL NEED TO MONITOR ACK WITH THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY OF KATIA...LIKENED TO SEE MODEST GUSTY WINDS. E/NELY
FLOW.

KBOS TERMINAL...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE. IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS. PERHAPS SOME SLIGHT
IMPROVEMENT INTO THE MIDDAY PD WITH PRECIP CHANCES DECREASING BY
16Z. OTHERWISE TERMINAL WILL REMAIN SOCKED IN WITH AN ABUNDANCE OF
LLVL MOISTURE...LOW CIGS AND DRIZZLE...COUPLED WITH E/NEWLY FLOW.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR CIGS.
LOW PROBABILITY OF MVFR CONDITIONS IN SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS CT
AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF RI AND SOUTHEAST MA. LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED.

SUNDAY...VFR CIGS WITH A LOW RISK OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS.
LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE.

MONDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR VFR CONDITIONS AND DRY
WEATHER. LIGHT WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS CONTINUE TO BUILD ALONG THE S/E SHORELINES...WITH INCREASING
SWELL EMANATING NORTH FROM KATIA. ANTICIPATE 8 TO 10 FOOT SEAS
ALONG THE S SHORELINE TODAY...WITH 10 TO 12 FOOT SEAS INTO FRIDAY
MORNING LINGERING INTO DUSK...15 FOOT SEAS WELL S/E OF NANTUCKET.
ALL OF THIS WITH PERIODS OF 13-15 SECONDS AND SWELLS OF 10 TO 12
FEET.

WITH REGARDS TO WINDS...WILL SEE E/NE FLOW INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS FRIDAY MORNING INTO MIDDAY
WITH GUSTS OF UPWARDS OF 30 KTS.

THE BUILDING SEAS AND LONG PERIODS WILL RESULT IN HEAVY SURF ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COASTLINE EXPOSED TO SOUTHEAST SWELL. HIGH SURF
AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED ACCORDINGLY.

OUTLOOK...FRI NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

FRI NIGHT AND SAT...
CHOPPY/ROUGH SEAS ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS WITH LEFTOVER SE SWELLS
FROM KATIA COMBINING WITH NE WIND WAVES BEHIND BACKDOOR COLD FRONT.
LIGHT NW WINDS FRI NIGHT WILL BECOME NE 15-20 KT SAT. DRY WEATHER
SHOULD PREVAIL WITH A LOW RISK OF SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL
WATERS.

SUN AND MON...
SWELLS FROM KATIA WILL HAVE DIMINISHED BY SUN. LIGHT WINDS SUN AS
HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER NEW ENGLAND. THE HIGH MOVES OFSHR MON WITH
WINDS BECOMING WSW. DRY WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
INCREASINGLY LITTLE ROOM TO SOAK NEW RAIN INTO THE GROUND IN MANY
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AREAS AND THUS SEEING RELATIVELY RAPID
RUNOFF. BASED ON CURRENT AND PROJECTED RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO
ACTUAL OBSERVED SMALL STREAM RISES...FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR WEST AND CENTRAL MA AS WELL AS HARTFORD COUNTY IN
NORTHERN CT. SURROUNDING THIS AREA...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN MA
AND RI...EXPECT STREET FLOODING IN URBAN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN
THE BOSTON METRO AREA...WE ARE A LITTLE CONCERNED THAT THE ABERJONA
RIVER WILL COME CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE DUE TO ANOTHER HOUR OR SO
TROPICAL DOWNPOURS IN THAT AREA AND NOT A LOT OF ROOM TO WORK
WITH.

SEEING MANY RISES...SOME SHARP...WITH MAIN STEM RIVERS. FLOOD
WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE CT RIVER FROM NORTHAMPTON TO MIDDLETOWN
WITH MIDDLETOWN PROJECTED TO REACH MODERATE FLOODING. A WARNING
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FARMINGTON RIVER TRIBUTARY FOR UNIONVILLE
AND SIMSBURY. WE ARE HOLDING ON TARRIFILLE AT THIS TIME. THE CT
RIVER AT MONTAGUE IS FLUCTUATING JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH THE
MAIN ISSUE HOW MUCH LOCAL RUNOFF IS CONTRIBUTING. SO
FAR...RAINFALL UPSTREAM NORTH OF THE MA BORDER HAS NOT BEEN SO
MUCH AN ISSUE. THE NORTH NASHUA RIVER AT FITCHBURG WILL PROBABLY
COME CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE AND WE MAY YET HAVE TO ISSUE A WARNING
ON THAT RELATIVELY FLASHY RIVER. OTHER RIVERS OF CONCERN INCLUDE
THE SUDBURY AT SAXONVILLE AND THE ASSABET AT MAYNARD WHICH ARE
RISING WELL ABOVE PREVIOUS FORECASTS. THE BOTTOMLINE IS THAT THE
RVD LATER THIS MORNING SHOULD REFLECT SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER STAGES
THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST. WE WILL PROCESS THE NEW GUIDANCE AS
QUICKLY AS WE CAN.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR MAZ007-020-
     022>024.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR MAZ002>004-008>012.
NH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR NHZ011.
RI...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR RIZ006>008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ235-237-250-
     254>256.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ251.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...NOCERA/DUNTEN
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/DUNTEN
MARINE...NOCERA/SIPPRELL
HYDROLOGY...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
442 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

MAZ007-020-022>024-RIZ006>008-090845-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
442 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN RHODE
ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH SURF ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002-MAZ002-003-008>011-NHZ011-090845-
HARTFORD CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-CHESHIRE NH-
442 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ003-004-MAZ004>006-012>019-021-026-NHZ012-015-RIZ001>005-090845-
TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
442 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-090845-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
442 AM EDT THU SEP 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LOW PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS SOUTH AND EAST
OF NANTUCKET THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1015 AM EDT THU SEP 08 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0858 AM     FLOOD            STURBRIDGE              42.10N  72.06W
09/08/2011                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROUTE 20 NEAR BOYS CLUB FLOODED WITH ROAD CLOSED

0858 AM     FLOOD            BURLINGTON              41.77N  72.97W
09/08/2011                   HARTFORD           CT   AMATEUR RADIO

            SCOVILLE STREET...WEST CHIPPENS STREET AND GEORGE
            WASHINGTON TURNPIKE FLOOD WITH ONE FOOT OF WATER

0911 AM     FLOOD            WARE                    42.25N  72.25W
09/08/2011                   HAMPSHIRE          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROUTE 9 STARTING BELCHERTOWN TOWN LINE ONE LANE BLOCKED
            DUE TO FLOODING

0916 AM     FLOOD            BLOOMFIELD              41.82N  72.73W
09/08/2011                   HARTFORD           CT   AMATEUR RADIO

            WALKER LANE CLOSED DUE TO 8 INCHES OF WATER

0929 AM     FLOOD            WORCESTER               42.27N  71.81W
09/08/2011                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARMARTINE STREET AT QUINSIGAMOND STREET CARS STUCK IN
            FLOOD WATERS. OCCUPANTS RESCUED BY FIRE DEPT

0938 AM     FLOOD            CHARLTON                42.13N  71.97W
09/08/2011                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            ROUTE 2O FLOOD WITH SEVERAL CARS STUCK.

0952 AM     FLOOD            NORTHBRIDGE             42.15N  71.65W
09/08/2011                   WORCESTER          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            BLACKSTONE RIVER AT BANKFULL

&&

AED