Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 25, 2011Ward County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 25, 2011, 5:41 PM CDT for Ward County, North Dakota. It was in force for 19 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 25, 2011, 5:41 PM CDT (22:41 UTC)
Expired: Jun 25, 2011, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 19 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

County Ward County, ND

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1375 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 615 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

449 
WUUS53 KBIS 252241
SVRBIS
NDC101-252300-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0054.110625T2241Z-110625T2300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
541 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL WARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT.

* AT 542 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DES LACS...OR 11 MILES WEST OF MINOT...AND
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BURLINGTON AND FOXHOLM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY
BUILDING...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4836 10128 4813 10155 4834 10179 4847 10162
      4846 10149
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 209DEG 16KT 4827 10154
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

HEINERT

1 follow-up statement

432 
WWUS53 KBIS 252258
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
558 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

NDC101-252309-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110625T2300Z/
WARD ND-
558 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL WARD COUNTY HAS BEEN
REISSUED...

PLEASE REFER TO THAT BULLETIN FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 4836 10128 4813 10155 4834 10179 4847 10162
      4846 10149
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 209DEG 16KT 4834 10148

$$

HEINERT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 25, 2:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 2:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
246 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

MAIN PROBLEM IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS
CHANCES...THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN.

CURRENTLY...LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.
ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE OVER THE REGION...AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND CANADIAN LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON/THIS EVENING...EXPECT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT A BIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN AN AREA OF CONVERGENCE
OVER WESTERN/CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. WEAK SHEAR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT WILL INCREASE WITH APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. THIS
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING.
PREVIOUS SHIFT ALREADY HAD THIS GOING AND SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE.
MAIN THREAT WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND WINDS IN THE MOST ORGANIZED
STORMS. IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER...THE GFS
SHOWS 130 TO 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER OVER ALL BUT
THE FAR WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST....WITH DECENT MOISTURE
TRANSPORT CONTINUING INTO THIS EVENING.THEREFORE WE WILL CONTINUE
THE HEAVY RAIN MENTION TONIGHT.

LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...IMPULSES CONTINUE TO ROTATE THROUGH THE
AREA...ALONG A STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MODELS INDICATE A SERIES
OF CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS TRAVERSING THE SOUTHERN CWA LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE EXACT
LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION...BUT THE GENERAL CONSENSUS
IS ALONG THE NORTH DAKOTA/SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. 3 HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE GENERALLY AROUND 1.5 INCHES OVER SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...WITH AMOUNTS HIGHER IN THE SOUTHWEST. WILL ERR ON THE
SIDE OF CAUTION AND INCLUDE THE SOUTHWEST IN A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE
FAR SOUTHWEST AND MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

...SUNDAY NIGHT...FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA
AND DRIER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH...BRINGING AN END TO THE
HEAVY RAIN THREAT. BEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE
SOUTH DURING THE EVENING.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

EXITING UPPER TROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL END ANY SHOWER THREAT
FROM WEST TO EAST AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PRODUCES COOLER AND
DRIER AIR IN NORTH DAKOTA. RIDGING TAKES CONTROL AND BUILDS NORTH
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH WARMER AND
GRADUALLY MORE HUMID AIR THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THE RIDGE AXIS IS EAST OF NORTH DAKOTA WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW AND
INSTABILITY ENTERING THE FORECAST AGAIN. THE GFS IS SLOWER THAN THE
ECMWF WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH...BUT BOTH MODELS DEVELOP SOME
SHOWER/THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE EC
QUICKLY CLEARS THE ARE OUT BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH DRIER
WEATHER...WHILE THE SLOWER GFS KEEPS SOME PRECIPITATION THREAT INTO
FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A DRY SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE 80S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S...SO IT WILL FEEL MUGGY THROUGH THURSDAY.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR SHOULD ARRIVE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BEHIND OUR
DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH AS MENTIONED ABOVE. OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 50F
TUESDAY MORNING...THEN 60S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MORNINGS BEFORE
THE 50S AGAIN RETURN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY...AT JUST ABOUT ANYTIME AND AT ANY AERODROME. THUS
HAVE SKEWED THE TAFS TOWARD VCTS AND VCSH UNTIL RADAR CLEARLY
DEFINES WHERE THE PRECIPITATION IS. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WHERE WE DO RECEIVE THE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECT
MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. ALTHOUGH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING HAS THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
RAIN...THE MAIN THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. IMPULSES
ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE THE
SPARK AND WE HAVE AN INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
SETTING UP TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. IN ADDITION FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE IS QUITE LOW OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL...WITH 3 HOUR
VALUES AROUND 1.5 INCHES IN MANY LOCATIONS. THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO END SUNDAY EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW GETS SHOVED
INTO EASTERN CANADA...WHICH PUSHES THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR NDZ020-023-025-033>037-040>048-050-051.

&&

SHORT TERM...TWH
LONG TERM/AVIATION....KS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 4:19 AM CDT, 13 hours 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
419 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-260930-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
419 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011 /319 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS...POTENTIALLY STRONG TO SEVERE...ARE
POSSIBLE EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON.

TM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 25, 4:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
427 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     HAIL             11 S ROSS               48.15N 102.55W
06/25/2011  M1.75 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA...

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jun 25, 4:51 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
451 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HEAVY RAIN       KENMARE                 48.67N 102.08W
06/25/2011  M2.00 INCH       WARD               ND   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA...

&&

LHUBER

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:10 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
510 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     HAIL             MAXBASS                 48.72N 101.14W
06/25/2011  E1.50 INCH       BOTTINEAU          ND   PUBLIC

            REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA.

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:22 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
522 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     HAIL             MOHALL                  48.76N 101.51W
06/25/2011  E0.88 INCH       RENVILLE           ND   PUBLIC

            REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA.

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:24 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
524 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     HAIL             4 E MAXBASS             48.72N 101.05W
06/25/2011  E1.00 INCH       BOTTINEAU          ND   PUBLIC

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:32 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
532 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PARSHALL                47.95N 102.14W
06/25/2011                   MOUNTRAIL          ND   PUBLIC

&&

NHEINERT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 24, 9:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie	59 min
Jun 24, 9:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	McKenzie	3 hr
Jun 24, 10:47 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	McKenzie, Mountrail	4 hr
Jun 24, 10:57 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Dunn, McKenzie	3 hr
Jun 25, 5:42 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Ward	6 hr
Jun 25, 3:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie, Mountrail	35 min
Jun 25, 3:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	BIS	Adams, Bowman, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Foster and 11 more	25 hr
Jun 25, 3:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail	47 min
Jun 25, 3:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McKenzie, Mountrail, Williams	60 min
Jun 25, 3:50 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Burke, McKenzie, Mountrail, Williams	4 hr
Jun 25, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke, Renville, Ward	56 min
Jun 25, 4:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	BIS	Mountrail	28 min
Jun 25, 4:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, Renville	53 min
Jun 25, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, Renville, Ward	25 min
Jun 25, 4:52 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Bottineau, Burke, McHenry, Mountrail, Renville, Ward	6 hr
Jun 25, 5:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail, Ward	55 min
Jun 25, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, Renville	62 min
Jun 25, 5:46 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Bottineau, Renville, Ward	3 hr
Jun 25, 5:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry	66 min
Jun 25, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Renville, Ward	42 min
Jun 25, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McHenry, Ward	41 min
Jun 25, 6:41 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry	3 hr
Jun 25, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, Rolette	60 min
Jun 25, 6:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, Pierce, Rolette	67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.