Severe Thunderstorm Warning 190, NWS Binghamton, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
142 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A REINFORCING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH
FAIR WEATHER. THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
UPDATED AS OF 12 NOON... WW 686 NOW IN EFFECT TIL 23Z...FOR ALL OF
OUR CNTRL NY CNTYS...AS WELL AS THE NRN TIER OF PA. INSTAB/SHEAR
COMBO...AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...WILL SUPPORT AT
LEAST ISOLATED SVR TSRA.

GIVEN CURRENT STM MOTION AND MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER-LVL
WAVE...WE'LL BEGIN TO CLEAR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OUT OF THE REGION
BY LATE AFTN (20-23Z).

UPDATED AS OF 10 AM... VSBL SAT/RADAR LOOPS SHOW DEVELOPING
CONVECTIVE BANDS FROM THE ADIRONDACKS...ACRS LK ONT...AND INTO
PTNS OF WRN NY/SRN ONT ATTM...COINCIDENT WITH APPROACHING UPPER-
LVL WAVE. MEANWHILE...DOWNSTREAM ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL NY AND
NORTHEAST PA...SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR.

GIVEN DAYTIME HEATING THROUGH EARLY AFTN...AND SOME HGT
FALLS/COOLING ALOFT FROM THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER-LVL
SYSTEM...OUR AMS SHOULD DESTABILIZE...LEADING TO SHRA/TSRA
DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY FROM THE TWIN TIERS NWD. THUS...WE'LL
CONTINUE TO EMPLOY CHC POPS/SCTD WORDING THROUGH LATE AFTN. BASED
ON 12Z SOUNDINGS/MODEL PROGS...ML CAPES OF 500-1000 CAN BE
EXPECTED...ALG WITH GOOD VERT SHEAR (0-6 KM VALUES OF 40-50 KT).
BASED ON THESE INDICES...STORMS MAY BECOME ORGANIZED IN
NATURE...AND WE'LL HAVE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS CLOSELY BY MIDDAY.

AS FAR AS TEMPS GO THIS AFTN...925/850 MB TEMPS AT 12Z SUPPORT OUR
FCST MAX READINGS FAIRLY WELL (UPPER 70S-MID 80S).

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
ONCE THIS TROUGH MOVES THROUGH BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP
THE WEATHER QUIET THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MORNING, A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN ZONES. THIS WILL BRING OUR NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS FRONT WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND LOOKS TO
POSSIBLY OCCLUDE BEFORE IT MAKES IT THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
11 AM UPDATE...LONG TERM FORECAST DONE EARLY WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT. POPULATED WITH HPC GUIDANCE. FAIRLY QUIET LONG TERM PERIOD
WITH A RAIN THREAT ENDING FRIDAY NIGHT...AND DRY WEATHER OVER THE
WEEKEND. NEXT SHOT AT PRECIP COMES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A FRONT
DROPPING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 21Z ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS
WITH DRY WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTH. AFTER 21Z CONVECTION BEGINS TO
SLIDE EAST EVERYWHERE EXCEPT AT KAVP WHERE CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH 0Z. FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING WILL BRING A RETURN TO
VFR WEATHER TO THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE LONE
EXCEPTION MAY BE AT KELM WHERE RAIN FROM TODAY MAY CREATE SOME
LIGHT FOG.

SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS THEN WESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON AT 10 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. LIGHT NORTHWEST
AFTER SUNSET.

OUTLOOK...

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ...GENERALLY VFR. MORNING IFR/MVFR FOG
POSSIBLE AT KELM EACH DAY. SCT TSTM THUR AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLE MVFR IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. MORNING IFR/MVFR FOG POSSIBLE AT KELM.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY...VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SLI
NEAR TERM...MLJ/SLI
SHORT TERM...SLI/TAC
LONG TERM...HEDEN
AVIATION...HEDEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1200 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-048-
072-271600-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN-
SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO-
OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA-
NORTHERN WAYNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE-
1200 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 686 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ON FRIDAY MOST LOCATIONS WILL HAVE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S...
WITH THE HEAT INDEX REACHING NEAR 100 DEGREES. A HEAT ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ043-044-047-271600-
WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-
1200 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OR HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ON FRIDAY MOST LOCATIONS WILL HAVE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S...
WITH THE HEAT INDEX REACHING NEAR 100 DEGREES. A HEAT ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MJ

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
126 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0116 PM     HAIL             NEW HARTFORD            43.07N  75.29W
07/26/2011  M1.00 INCH       ONEIDA             NY   PUBLIC

&&

EMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
130 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     HAIL             NEW HARTFORD            43.07N  75.29W
07/26/2011  E1.75 INCH       ONEIDA             NY   PUBLIC

&&

RAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
132 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEW HARTFORD            43.07N  75.29W
07/26/2011                   ONEIDA             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MANY LARGE TREES DOWN JUST SOUTH OF THE SARGERTOWN
            SQUARE MALL. CAR PORT DAMAGE IN THE SAME AREA.

&&

RAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
148 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

NYZ056-PAZ039-261830-
BROOME NY-SUSQUEHANNA PA-
148 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN SUSQUEHANNA AND SOUTHERN
BROOME COUNTIES...

* AT 146 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VESTAL
  CENTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BINGHAMTON AT 155 PM EDT...
  BRACKNEY AND WYOANNA AT 200 PM EDT...
  CONKLIN AND KIRKWOOD AT 210 PM EDT...
  GREAT BEND AND HALLSTEAD AT 215 PM EDT...
  HICKORY GROVE AT 220 PM EDT...
  WINDSOR AND EAST WINDSOR AT 225 PM EDT...
  LANESBORO AND SUSQUEHANNA AT 230 PM EDT...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

LAT...LON 4200 7548 4188 7548 4196 7614 4200 7614
      4200 7610 4214 7611 4212 7542 4204 7542
      4201 7540 4200 7537

MLJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
149 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

NYZ046-261815-
OTSEGO NY-
149 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN OTSEGO COUNTY NEAR
CHERRY VALLEY...

* AT 146 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A   STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SPRINGFIELD...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CHERRY VALLEY AT 155 PM EDT...

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

LAT...LON 4279 7499 4285 7496 4283 7490 4289 7489
      4290 7487 4284 7465 4282 7464 4276 7466
      4267 7463 4267 7464

HEDEN