Alert archive / Connecticut / River Flood Warnings in 2011

River Flood Warning 82, NWS Albany, NY

August 28, 2011Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut

NWS Albany, NY issued this river flood warning at Aug 28, 2011, 5:20 AM EDT for Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Aug 28, 2011, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2011, 5:20 AM EDT (09:20 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 28, 2011, 2:00 PM EDT
Expired
Aug 31, 2011, 10:08 PM EDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Housatonic River at Stevenson (STVC3).

Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01205500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

681 
WGUS41 KALY 280920
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
520 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

CTC001-009-282120-
/O.NEW.KALY.FL.W.0082.110828T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.2.ER.110828T1800Z.110829T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
520 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 446 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY 2 PM
  SUNDAY AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY 8 PM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN THE AREA OF SHELTON ARE
  AFFECTED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   SUN   SUN   MON   MON

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0    9.3 SUN 05 AM   9.4  11.0  17.2  16.7  16.7

$$
9 follow-up statements
759 
WGUS41 KALY 282057
FLWALY
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
457 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

CTC001-009-290857-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110829T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
457 PM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...OBSERVED FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... 
 
...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...20.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.3 
  FEET BY  8 PM SUNDAY ...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD INUNDATION OF LOW LYING 
  PROPERTIES FROM STEVENSON SOUTH TO BRIDGEPORT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   SUN   MON   MON   MON   MON

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   20.9 SUN 05 PM  21.3  21.2  20.4  19.4  17.7

$$
831 
WGUS81 KALY 290721
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
321 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

MAC003-291921-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-110830T0839Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110829T0219Z.110829T0630Z.110830T0239Z.NO/
321 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 2 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 10 PM MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVER STREET AND REACHES 
  SEARLES MIDDLE SCHOOL.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   MON   MON   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GT BARRINGTO  9.0    9.5 MON 02 AM   9.5   9.4   9.2   8.8   8.0

$$

CTC005-291920-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110901T0430Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110829T0415Z.110831T2230Z.NO/
321 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 2 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   MON   MON   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   11.3 MON 02 AM  10.2   9.8   9.9   9.8   9.6

$$

CTC005-291920-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
321 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 3 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 11.1 FEET BY 8 AM
  TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS 
  BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   MON   MON   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   14.6 MON 03 AM  14.3  13.7  12.9  12.1  11.1

$$

CTC001-009-291920-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T0200Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110831T2000Z.NO/
321 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 2 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 20 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD INUNDATION OF LOW LYING 
  PROPERTIES FROM STEVENSON SOUTH TO BRIDGEPORT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   MON   MON   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   18.5 MON 02 AM  17.7  16.7  15.8  15.2  14.5

$$

NYC027-291920-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-110830T0322Z/
/TENN6.2.ER.110828T1642Z.110828T2200Z.110829T2122Z.NO/
321 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TENMILE RIVER AT WEBATUCK.
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 2 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 5 PM MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...THE RIVER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   MON   MON   MON   TUE   TUE

TENMILE RIVER
  WEBATUCK      9.0    9.7 MON 02 AM   9.6   9.3   8.8   8.0   6.6

$$
474 
WGUS81 KALY 291614
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1214 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

MAC003-300414-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-110830T0600Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110829T0219Z.110829T1200Z.110830T0000Z.NO/
1214 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. 
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 8 PM MONDAY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GT BARRINGTO  9.0    9.5 MON 11 AM   9.4   9.0   8.2   7.3   6.8

$$

CTC005-300414-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110901T1200Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0000Z.110901T0600Z.NO/
1214 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY 8 PM
  MONDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 2 AM
  THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   11.1 MON 11 AM  11.2  11.7  11.2  10.9  10.2

$$

CTC005-300414-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110901T1330Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110901T0730Z.NO/
1214 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY 2 PM
  MONDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 3 AM
  THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS 
  BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   11.7 MON 11 AM  12.0  11.6  11.4  11.1  10.6

$$

CTC001-009-300414-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T0730Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110901T0130Z.NO/
1214 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY 2 PM
  MONDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 9 PM
  WEDNESDAY.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   MON   MON   TUE   TUE   TUE

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   16.8 MON 11 AM  17.1  16.5  15.8  15.1  14.4

$$
893 
WGUS81 KALY 300337
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1136 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

MAC003-301536-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-110830T1634Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110829T0219Z.110829T1200Z.110830T1034Z.NO/
1136 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GREAT BARRINGTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 AM TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIR GROUNDS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GT BARRINGTO  9.0    9.4 MON 10 PM   9.3   8.9   7.2   6.3   5.8

$$

CTC005-301535-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110901T1330Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0315Z.110901T0730Z.NO/
1136 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 3 AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   11.6 MON 11 PM  11.4  11.2  10.8  10.1   9.5

$$

CTC005-301535-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110901T1500Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110901T0900Z.NO/
1136 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 5 AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...WATER REACHES THE GENERATOR FLOOR AT BULLS 
  BRIDGE HYDRO PLANT.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   11.0 MON 11 PM  11.0  10.7  10.5  10.2  10.0

$$

CTC001-009-301535-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T0936Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110901T0336Z.NO/
1136 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN THE MAPLES AREA OF SHELTON
  ARE AFFECTED.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   TUE   TUE   TUE   TUE   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   15.5 MON 11 PM  15.5  15.0  14.4  13.8  13.2

$$
766 
WGUS81 KALY 301534
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

MAC003-301604-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-110830T1634Z/
/GTBM3.1.ER.110829T0219Z.110829T1200Z.110830T1337Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GT BARRINGTON.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET...AND THE RIVER CONTINUES TO RECEDE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...WATER FLOODS THE FAIR GROUNDS.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE   TUE   WED   WED   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GT BARRINGTO  9.0    8.9 TUE 10 AM   8.8   8.1   7.4   6.9   6.5

$$

CTC005-310334-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 10.4 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE   TUE   WED   WED   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   11.5 TUE 11 AM  11.4  11.1  10.8  10.4  10.0

$$

CTC005-310334-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110902T1200Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110902T0600Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.8 FEET BY 2 PM
  TUESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 2 
  AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER RECEEDS OFF OF SPRING STREET.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE   TUE   WED   WED   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   10.5 TUE 11 AM  10.8  10.6  10.3  10.1   9.8

$$

CTC001-009-310333-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110831T1620Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110831T1020Z.NO/
1134 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 11 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 6 AM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO REACH THE MAPLES AREA OF 
  SHELTON.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   TUE   TUE   WED   WED   WED

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   12.6 TUE 11 AM  12.4  12.3  12.3  10.5  10.5

$$
914 
WGUS81 KALY 310122
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
922 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

CTC005-311322-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 9 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 8.6 FEET BY 8 AM
  THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   WED   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   11.1 TUE 09 PM  10.7  10.4  10.0   9.5   9.1

$$

CTC005-311322-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110902T1200Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110902T0600Z.NO/
922 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 9 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER RECEDES OFF OF SPRING STREET.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   WED   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   10.3 TUE 09 PM  10.1   9.9   9.7   9.4   9.1

$$

CTC001-009-311322-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T0949Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110901T0349Z.NO/
922 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 9 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEAR 13.1 FEET THROUGH 2 AM
  WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 11
  PM WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER SHOULD RECEDE OUT OF THE MAPLES AREA 
  OF SHELTON.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   WED   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   12.7 TUE 09 PM  13.1  12.9  11.7  11.7  10.6

$$
929 
WGUS81 KALY 310851
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
451 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

CTC005-312051-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110902T2100Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0900Z.110902T1500Z.NO/
451 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON... 
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0   10.4 WED 04 AM  10.1   9.7   9.3   8.9   8.6

$$

CTC005-312051-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110902T1200Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110902T0600Z.NO/
451 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 2 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER RECEDES OFF OF SPRING STREET.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0   10.0 WED 04 AM   9.9   9.7   9.5   9.2   8.9

$$

CTC001-009-312051-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T2136Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110901T1536Z.NO/
451 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 11
  AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER SHOULD RECEDE OUT OF THE MAPLES AREA 
  OF SHELTON.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   WED   WED   WED   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   12.6 WED 04 AM  12.6  12.5  12.0  11.7  11.3

$$
556 
WGUS81 KALY 311537
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1137 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

CTC005-010337-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110902T0900Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0900Z.110902T0300Z.NO/
1137 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 11 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...THE RIVER REACHES THE EDGE OF SEVERAL 
  SECTIONS OF ROUTE 7 NORTH OF CORNWALL BRIDGE.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED   WED   THU   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0    9.9 WED 11 AM   9.6   9.0   8.5   8.0   7.6

$$

CTC005-010337-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110902T0400Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110901T2200Z.NO/
1137 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER  6 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER RECEEDS OFF OF SPRING STREET.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED   WED   THU   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0    9.8 WED 11 AM   9.5   9.2   8.9   8.5   8.2

$$

CTC001-009-010337-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T1049Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110901T0449Z.NO/
1137 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY 2 PM
  WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 12
  AM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.5 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO REACH THE MAPLES AREA OF 
  SHELTON.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                      2 PM  8 PM  2 AM  8 AM  2 PM
LOCATION        STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED   WED   THU   THU   THU

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   12.1 WED 11 AM  12.1  11.8  10.8  10.8  10.5

$$
725 
WGUS81 KALY 010208
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
1008 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

CTC005-011408-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0102.000000T0000Z-110902T0730Z/
/FLVC3.2.ER.110828T1707Z.110830T0900Z.110902T0130Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT FALLS VILLAGE.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 9 PM THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 9 FEET...WATER FLOODS RIVERSIDE ROAD AT KENT SCHOOL 
  AND BEGINS TO APPROACH BUILDINGS.  WATER GETS CLOSE TO ROUTE 7.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  FALLS VILLAG  7.0    9.0 WED 09 PM   8.6   8.0   7.5   7.1   6.7

$$

CTC005-011408-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110902T1042Z/
/GAYC3.3.ER.110828T2302Z.110829T0000Z.110902T0442Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT GAYLORDSVILLE.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AFTER 12 AM FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10 FEET...WATER RECEEDS OFF OF SPRING STREET.

&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  GAYLORDSVILL  8.0    9.2 WED 09 PM   9.1   8.9   8.6   8.4   7.9

$$

CTC001-009-010238-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-110901T1049Z/
/STVC3.3.ER.110828T1020Z.110828T2000Z.110901T0058Z.NO/
1008 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 


&& 
 
                  FLD   OBSERVED              FORECAST
                                       2 AM  8 AM  2 PM  8 PM  2 AM
LOCATION         STG   STG  DAY TIME   THU   THU   THU   THU   FRI

HOUSATONIC RIVER
  STEVENSON DA  11.0   10.8 WED 09 PM  10.6  10.5  10.3  10.3  10.3

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 28, 4:30 AM EDT, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 28, 4:30 AM EDT, 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
430 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HURRICANE IRENE WILL IMPACT THE REGION TODAY WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
STRONG WINDS. IRENE WILL WEAKEN AND EXIT THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD
AND CONTROL OUR WEATHER FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM...WIDESPREAD RAIN...FRQUENTLY HEAVY...WAS OVER THE
ENTIREFORECAST AREA AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES UP ALONG THE NEW JERSEY
COAST. OUR LOCAL VWP IS NOW SHOWING LOW LEVEL WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE OF AROUND 45 MPH...WITH ASOS REPORTS FROM AREAS JUST SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA REPORTING GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. EXPECT WINDS TO
INCREASE AND BECOME STRONG THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...REACHING
THERE PEAK IN MOST AREAS LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. ROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT AS DOES THE FLOOD WATCH. STILL EXPECT
WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH TODAY IN MOST AREAS...WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 65
MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY EASTERN AND SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THE OTHER THREAT IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING CELLS
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA. DISCUSSION WITH SPC INDICATES THAT THE FORECAST AREA
IS NOT LIKELY TO BE INCLUDED IN ANY ADDITIONAL TORNADO WATCHES...BUT
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. IF IRENE SHIFTS FURTHER WEST...SOME
EASTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA WOULD HAVE A HIGHER THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
IRENE EXITS THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT...WITH DRY POPS FORECAST AFTER
06Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...THEN SUBSIDE TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY SUNRISE.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S AS COOLER AIR POURS
INTO THE REGION.

MOSTLY SUNNY AND DECENT ON MONDAY WITH NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ONLY
5 TO 15 MPH AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S.

MAINLY CLEAR AND EVEN COOLER MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S.

A WEAK TROF MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA
WILL PRODUCE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE ADIRONDACK ZONES. ELSEWHERE MOSTLY TO PARTLY
SUNNY SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DUE TO WORKLOAD ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IRENE. HAVE NOT MADE ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST.

****PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF IRENE WILL PROVIDE FOR FAIR WEATHER FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION FOR THE ENTIRE WORK WEEK.  A WEAK COLD FRONT
BEARING DOWN ON THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. FROM CANADA MAY KICK OFF A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES AT THE START OF THE
WEEKEND...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE
QUITE SEASONABLE WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.
LOWS WILL BE MOSTLY FROM THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HURRICANE IRENE WILL SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE TERMINALS WITH
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD ENDING AT 06Z
MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA.

AS OF 200 AM...WIDSPREAD RAIN ASSOCIATED IRENE HAD MOVED INTO ALL
THREE TAFS SITES...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE DAY ON
SUNDAY. EXPECT MAINLY IFR TO OCCAIONALLY MVFR CONDITIONS IN THIS
RAIN THROUGH ABOUT 18Z TO 20Z...THEN MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
ABOUT 00Z TO 01Z MONDAY...THEN VFR CONDITIONS AFTER 01Z.

WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST THROUGH SUNRISE...
THEN TURN TO A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION AFTER SUNRISE SUNDAY
MORNING. BY AROUND NOON AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ALL TERMINALS WILL
BE EXPERIENCING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS OF AROUND
40 TO 45 KT...POSSIBLY REACHING 50 KTS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS IRENE TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND. AFTER 00Z WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE...
GENERALLY BECOMING 10 TO 20 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 25 KTS BY 06Z.

DUE TO STRONG SURFACE WINDS DEVELOPING AS STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT
MOVE IN...WILL NOT MENTION LLWS AT THIS TIME.

OUTLOOK...
LATE SUN NIGHT...VFR WITH WINDS CONTINUING TO DECREASING.
MON/TUE...VFR. NO SIG WX.
WED/THU...VFR. SLIGHT CHC MAINLY PM -SHRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
EXPECT RH VALUES TO REMAIN IN THE 80 TO 100 PERCENT RANGE TODAY AS
WIDESPREAD RAIN AFFECTS THE REGION. RH VALUES MAY ACTUALLY LOWER
SOMEWHAT TONIGHT AS GUSTY NORHWEST WINDS BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT. EXPECT NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 35 TO
50 MPH TODAY WITH GUSTS TO 55 TO 65 MPH. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND THEN DECREASE TONIGHT. DUE TO THE
WIDESPREAD RAIN TODAY...A WET FLAG HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY WIND DRIVEN RAINS FROM IRENE WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH
MOST OF TODAY. TOTAL QPF OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH UP TO 10 INCHES OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN IS EXPECTED. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF MAIN STEM RIVERS IS POSSIBLE.
FLASH FLOODING...AS WELL AS FLOODING OF URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE AND
LOW LYING AREAS MAY OCCUR.

RAIN WILL TAPER OFF SUNDAY NIGHT AS IRENE PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION MONDAY FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
ALLOWING RIVERS TO RECEDE AND THE GROUND TO DRY OUT.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2011 THUS FAR STANDS AT 5.58"
WHICH IS 2.61" ABOVE NORMAL. AS IRENE MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION...WE HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DOUBLE THIS CURRENT VALUE. HERE
ARE THE RECORD WETTEST YEARS FOR THE MONTH OF AUGUST:

1.  10.59" IN 1871
2.  10.14" IN 1856
3.   8.47" IN 1870
4.   7.58" IN 1885
5.   7.51" IN 1832
6.   7.34" IN 2004
7.   7.33" IN 1950
8.   7.28" IN 1867
9.   7.21" IN 1893
10.  7.04" IN 1971

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR CTZ001-013.
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-
     047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-
     063>066-082>084.
MA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR MAZ001-025.
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR VTZ013>015.
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR VTZ013>015.
&&

SYNOPSIS...GJM
NEAR TERM...GJM
SHORT TERM...GJM
LONG TERM...GJM/ELH
AVIATION...GJM
FIRE WEATHER...GJM
HYDROLOGY...GJM
CLIMATE...BGM
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 28, 3:52 AM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
352 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-291100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
352 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF THE SKYWARN NET IS REQUESTED FOR ALL COUNTIES AT
THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 28, 12:20 AM EDT, 5 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1220 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

CTZ001-013-280445-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-
1220 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...

AT 1214 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
NEW HARTFORD TO TORRINGTON TO NEW PRESTON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 9 MILES EAST OF TORRINGTON TO TORRINGTON TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NEW MILFORD...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 45 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
GAYLORDSVILLE AND MERWINSVILLE BY 1225 AM EDT...
KENT...CORNWALL BRIDGE AND CORNWALL BRIDGE POTTERY BY 1230 AM EDT...
NORFOLK BY 1235 AM EDT...
SHARON AND FALLS VILLAGE BY 1240 AM EDT.

HOURLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED.

LAT...LON 4153 7330 4162 7350 4165 7349 4167 7351
      4177 7351 4203 7346 4203 7301 4197 7302
      4198 7294 4193 7289 4188 7294 4185 7295
      4183 7293 4176 7307
TIME...MOT...LOC 0419Z 119DEG 40KT 4189 7303 4181 7319
          4166 7334
Special weather statement, Aug 28, 3:43 AM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

CTZ001-013-NYZ065-066-281000-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-WESTERN DUTCHESS-
EASTERN DUTCHESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON
343 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

...WINDS ARE INCREASING ACROSS DUTCHESS AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR VELOCITY SIGNATURES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE NORTHEAST WINDS ARE INCREASING WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 30 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST DIRECTION.
THESE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 40 TO 50 MPH TOWARD 6
AM.

THE COMBINATION OF SATURATED GROUND AND STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN
FALLEN TREES WHICH MAY IMPACT POWERLINES. DO NOT APPROACH DOWNED
POWERLINES! NOTIFY LOCAL AUTHORITIES AND UTILITIES WHERE THESE
POWERLINES ARE DOWN. FURTHERMORE...MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO WATCH FOR
BLOCKED ROADS FROM FALLEN TREES AND TREE LIMBS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 27, 10:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALY60 min
Aug 28, 12:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementALY25 min
Aug 28, 1:42 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region6 hr
Aug 28, 3:03 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region50 hr
Aug 28, 4:58 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region22 hr
Aug 28, 7:50 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region27 hr
Aug 28, 8:11 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region5 days
Aug 28, 11:41 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region3 hr
Aug 28, 1:30 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Connecticut, 2011Every river flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.