Alert archive / Alaska / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011
Winter Storm Warning 15, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this winter storm warning at Nov 25, 2011, 2:35 PM AKST. It took effect at Nov 25, 2011, 3:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 22 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 25, 2011, 2:35 PM AKST (23:35 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 25, 2011, 3:00 PM AKST
- Expired
- Nov 26, 2011, 1:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 22 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
919 WWAK47 PAJK 252335 WSWAJK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 235 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 AKZ019-021-260800- /X.UPG.PAJK.WW.Y.0031.111126T0100Z-111126T1400Z/ /X.NEW.PAJK.WS.W.0015.111126T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAINES...HOONAH 235 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES IN THE HAINES AREA AND 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HOONAH AREA BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOW RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. POWDERY SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE QUICKLY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ026-260800- /X.UPG.PAJK.WS.A.0005.111126T0900Z-111126T1800Z/ /X.NEW.PAJK.WS.W.0015.111126T0600Z-111126T1800Z/ INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE 235 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION: NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA INCLUDING KAKE...PETERSBURG...AND WRANGELL. * SNOW...5 TO 8 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR DURING THAT TIME. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ022-260800- /X.NEW.PAJK.WS.W.0015.111126T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN 235 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. * SNOW...5 TO 9 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. POWDERY SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE QUICKLY. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ029-260800- /X.NEW.PAJK.WS.W.0015.111126T0600Z-111126T1800Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 235 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST SATURDAY NEAR HYDER... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST SATURDAY NEAR HYDER. * LOCATION...NEAR HYDER * SNOW...10 TO 14 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING AND BE LOCALLY HEAVY LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ020-025-260800- /X.EXT.PAJK.WW.Y.0031.111126T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ GLACIER BAY-JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...JUNEAU 235 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. * SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH 1 INCH PER HOUR. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ RWT
5 follow-up statements
246 WWAK47 PAJK 260715 WSWAJK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1015 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 AKZ019-021-022-026-029-261515- /X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND- SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAINES...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE... PELICAN...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER 1015 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. * SNOW...5 TO 9 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY IN THE PELICAN AND ELFIN COVE AREA. * SNOW...5 TO 8 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY IN THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA INCLUDING KAKE... PETERSBURG...AND WRANGELL. * SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES IN THE HAINES AREA AND 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HOONAH AREA BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * SNOW...10 TO 14 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY FOR HYDER. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR DURING THAT TIME. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST SATURDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ020-025-261515- /X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ GLACIER BAY-JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...JUNEAU 1015 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. * SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH 1 INCH PER HOUR. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM PM AKST SATURDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
799 WWAK47 PAJK 260725 CCA WSWAJK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1022 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 AKZ019-021-022-026-029-261530- /X.COR.PAJK.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND- SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAINES...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE... PELICAN...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER 1022 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. * SNOW...5 TO 9 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY IN THE PELICAN AND ELFIN COVE AREA. * SNOW...5 TO 8 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY IN THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE KUPREANOF ISLAND INCLUDING KAKE... PETERSBURG...AND WRANGELL. * SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES IN THE HAINES AREA AND 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HOONAH AREA BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * SNOW...10 TO 14 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY FOR HYDER. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR DURING THAT TIME. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM AKST SATURDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ020-025-261530- /X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ GLACIER BAY-JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...JUNEAU 1022 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY. * SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH 1 INCH PER HOUR. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 6 AM PM AKST SATURDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ BEZENEK
075 WWAK47 PAJK 261338 WSWAJK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 438 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 AKZ019-021-022-026-029-261800- /X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND- SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAINES...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE... PELICAN...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE...HYDER 438 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. * SNOW...5 TO 9 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY IN THE PELICAN AND ELFIN COVE AREA. * SNOW...5 TO 8 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY IN THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE KUPREANOF ISLAND INCLUDING KAKE...PETERSBURG...AND WRANGELL. * SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES IN THE HAINES AREA AND 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE HOONAH AREA BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * SNOW...10 TO 14 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY FOR HYDER. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THROUGH MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR DURING THIS TIME. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST SATURDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$ AKZ020-025-261800- /X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ GLACIER BAY-JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...JUNEAU 438 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. * SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES BY MID-MORNING SATURDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST SATURDAY MORNING OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
728 WWAK47 PAJK 261744 WSWAJK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 844 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 AKZ019-021-022-026-261845- /X.EXP.PAJK.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND- SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA- INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAINES...HOONAH...ELFIN COVE... PELICAN...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE 844 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING... THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RANGED FROM 4 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. SNOW HAS DIMINISHED AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE DAY WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. $$ AKZ020-025-261845- /X.EXP.PAJK.WW.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-111126T1800Z/ GLACIER BAY-JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...JUNEAU 844 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING. SNOW FALL AMOUNTS RANGED FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY WILL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. $$ AKZ029-262200- /X.EXT.PAJK.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111126T2200Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 844 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON. * SNOW...10 TO 14 INCHES BY MID-AFTERNOON SATURDAY FOR HYDER. * VISIBILITY...LESS THEN 1 MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVIER SNOW. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW THROUGH MID-DAY SATURDAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR DURING THIS TIME. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER CONTENT. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 1 PM AKST SATURDAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. && $$
001 WWAK47 PAJK 262135 WSWAJK URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1235 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 AKZ029-262245- /X.EXP.PAJK.WS.W.0015.000000T0000Z-111126T2200Z/ MISTY FJORDS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER 1235 PM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIER SNOW HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 25, 1:50 PM AKST, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 25, 1:50 PM AKST, 45 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
150 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011
.SHORT TERM...A COMPLES LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL REMAIN OVER THE
NW GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THRU SAT. A TROF EXTENDS FROM THE NE
GULF SEWD ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST THE CURVES SSW OVER THE SE
GULF. THIS TROF WILL DRIFT JUST ONSHORE THIS EVENING THEN STALL
THERE. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NE PAC WILL MOVE NNE TO THE FAR
SERN GULF BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE NE ACROSS THE S-CNTRL INNER
CHANNELS AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY SAT MORNING. USED A BLEND OF THE 12Z
NAM AND ECMWF FOR TONIGHT AND SAT.
MAIN FORECAST ISSUE WILL BE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THE 2 MAIN AREAS
OF CONCERN ARE THE NRN THIRD OF THE INNER CHANNELS AND THE ERN
PARTS OF THE SRN INNER CHANNELS. OVER THE N...TROF MOVING ONSHORE
AND STALLING WILL FOCUS PRECIP IN THAT AREA THIS EVENING AND A
DEFORMATION BAND WILL ALSO SET UP OVER THE AREA MAINLY ALONG A
PAHN-PAEL LINE. THINK THIS AXIS WILL BE FOCUS FOR HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL EXCEPT THERE WILL BE SOME DOWNSLOPE DIMINISHING THE SNOW
IN THE PAGS ZONE LATER TONIGHT. THE PAOH ZONE WILL SEE INCREASING
ELY UPSLOPE FLOW SO THEIR SNOW SHOULD BE ENHANCED TONIGHT AS
WELL. THIS SAME FLOW WILL DIMINISH THE PRECIP IN THE PAJN AREA
OVERNIGHT. ATTM THINK MOST SNOW WILL BE AROUND PAHN AREA WHERE
GOOD ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL ALSO OCCUR DUE TO PRESENCE OF COLDER
AIR IN LOWER LEVELS. THEY COULD GET AROUND 1 FOOT OF SNOW. THE
PAOH AND PAEL AREAS COULD SEE 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH PAJN
AND PAGS GETTING 3 TO 6 INCHES BY 18Z SAT. WILL ISSUE WS WARNINGS
FOR THE PAHN/PAOH/PAEL ZONES...AND WW ADVYS FOR PAGS AND PAJN
ZONES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN ANY OF THESE ZONES
THOUGH DUE TO POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OF HEAVIER EMBEDDED SHOWERS
THIS EVENING...BUT IT IS NOT CERTAIN WHERE THIS WOULD SET UP
ATTM. WILL WATCH SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS FOR THIS AND MAKE
ADJUSTMENTS IF NEEDED.
OVER THE S...PRECIP WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE LOW
MOVING TOWARD THEM. LOOKS LIKE THE NE HALF OF ZONE 26 AND NERN
THIRD OF ZONE 29 WILL GET ENOUGH PRECIP AND REMAIN COLD ENOUGH
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW. HYDER LOOKS LIKE THEY COULD EASILY SEE
ANOTHER FOOT OF SNOW BY 18Z SAT...WITH NERN ZONE 26 GETTING 5 TO
8 INCHES FROM 06Z TO 18Z SAT. WILL ISSUE WS WARNINGS FOR BOTH
AREAS.
OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL PICK UP OVER THE SRN AREA LATE THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS LOW MOVES PAST THEM JUST TO THE
W. WILL HEADLINE STRONG WINDS IN ZONES 27 AND 28 FOR MAINLY THE
LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING SAT PERIOD. PEAK WINDS SHOULD OCCUR
AROUND 12Z WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WILL SEE RAIN OVER THE SRN ZONES
OUTSIDE THE WS WARNING AREA AND AS FAR N AS THE PASI AREA LATER
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY RISE THRU THE NIGHT OVER THE SRN AREA AS THE
LOW BRINGS UP WARMER AIR FROM THE SSE...THEN COOLER AIR SHOULD
MOVE BACK IN ON SAT ONCE LOW MOVES INLAND.
&&
.LONG TERM...MAIN CONCERN IN THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST REMAINS
THE FRONT THAT WILL BE IMPACTING THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY BRINGING MORE PRECIP AND WIND. MODELS ARE IN DECENT
AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF THE SYSTEM, BUT SOME OF THE DETAILS ARE
SKETCHY AT BEST. THE MAIN PROBLEM IS HOW FAST WILL THE WARM AIR
GET ADVECTED INTO THE INNER CHANNELS AND AS A CONSEQUENCE HOW MUCH
SNOW WILL PLACES GET BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES TO RAIN. IF IT
CHANGES OVER AT ALL. THE NAM IS TRENDING A BIT COLDER THEN THE EC
OR THE GFS WITH THE -6 DEGREES C AT 850 LINE NOT EVEN MAKING IT
NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND MIDDAY MONDAY. GFS AND EC ON THE OTHER
HAND SEND THAT LINE A BIT FARTHER NORTH ALMOST TO TAKU INLET.
GENERALLY THOUGH BASED ON THE HIGH QPF AMOUNTS FORECAST FOR EARLY
MONDAY MOST INNER CHANNEL AREAS AND THE NORTHERN OUTER COAST MAY
GET A DECENT AMOUNT OF SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY
BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES OVER TO RAIN. TENDED TO FAVOR THE EC AND
GFS OVER THE NAM BECAUSE OF BETTER AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE TWO.
WIND WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM AS GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE OUTSIDE MARINE WATERS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND FOR CLARENCE
STRAIT EARLY MONDAY. STRONG WIND HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE
SOUTHERN ZONES AND OUTER COAST AS WINDS SHOULD BE GUSTING UP TO 40
KT AT TIMES.
AFTER THE EARLY WEEK SYSTEM, MODEL AGREEMENT FALLS APART AS
THE EXTENDED MODELS TRY TO RESOLVE SMALLER WEAKER FEATURES THAT
ARE MOVING ACROSS THE GULF. TIMING, PLACEMENT AS WELL AS STRENGTH
ARE OFF WITH EACH MODEL WANTING TO HANDLE THEM SOMEWHAT DIFFERENT.
TRENDED TOWARD THE HPC DATA TO TRY AND GET AN AVERAGE SOLUTION OUT
OF THE MESS.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST
SATURDAY FOR AKZ026-029.
STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
AKZ027.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ020-025.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ019-021-022.
STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-036-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035-042-043-051-
052.
&&
RWT/EALThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 20 hr | |
| Nov 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 24, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 25, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 25, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 25, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Nov 25, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 25, 4:59 AM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AJK | 10 hr | |
| Nov 25, 4:59 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 28 hr | |
| Nov 25, 7:48 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Nov 25, 11:33 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.